 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning market kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. And good morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN 906 AM Tuesday morning and talk about an overnight session, folks. We have some tensions possibly easing between Russia and the Ukraine, the market taking that and running with it. We got a five minute chart here in the S&Ps. You take a look at about 3 AM Eastern time. You're trading at 43.90. You trade up almost 80, 80 S&P points. We reach a high at about 7.10 AM this morning of 44.68. Just like that, though, we've given up 20 S&P points. On that level, the NASDAQ 100, we were up, I think 2.2, 2.3 percent pre-market at the highs. You're still up 1.6 percent right now in the NASDAQ 100, 14,479. You're just shy of 1 percent right now. The Russell, up 1.3 percent right now. Russell's given up 15 points from the high. The Russell, you talk about an acceleration, man. From 2013 up to 2060, you're talking about, what is that, 47 points in an index where 20 points is representing about 1 percent. Crude oil pulling back right now. Check out crude three in the morning. We're up at about 95 bucks. You trade below 92, a short-term rise to 93.24. We're trading at 92.28. You jump over to gold. Gold, quite the rise in the overnight session, extending what we had on Friday into Monday, and gold gives it all back in then some. From 18.80 down to 18.45, gold's down $14 on the session right now, but man, you're talking about gold off 25 bucks off the high, and you were about 35 bucks off the high just in the last hour or so in that gold contract. We jumped in notes and bonds right now. We got the 10-year, 125, 25. You're down about six ticks right now, the 30-year down 23 ticks at 151. So we have the Russia story going on. We'll get into that in a moment. What we also have, producer prices, and where do they come in? They come in hot, folks. Now this data point, not as important as the CPI, but it's still an important data point. We're going to talk to our man, Kevin Hinks, coming up after the break at 9.15 this morning. Next segment, we'll get his take on this. He always does a great breakdown where he gives you his take on the numbers he's looking at and the importance of each number on a monthly basis, PPI somewhere in there, but not quite up to the CPI data. But you're talking about 9.7%, folks, 9.7%. The market was looking for 9.1%, and you rise 9.7% from a year earlier, and that is the business cost gauge. Producer price index inflation stays hot above of what they were looking for. Now they were looking for 9.1% year over year and a 0.5% monthly advance, folks. You got a 1% monthly rise, the fastest since May. That's not the data you want. If you're going to try and talk about waning inflation, there's your PPI in black year over year. In yellow, monthly we're talking about, that is not a subsiding PPI in any way, folks. That is quite a monthly reading. Last month we had 0.4%. We committed a solid 1%, almost 10% on a yearly basis. The figures, which reflected broad increases across categories, further reinforced the Fed's intentions to begin raising rates next month amid multi-inflation. I don't imagine that this is anything too surprising. The 1% on a monthly basis, man, that is quite a number, doesn't take a genius in math to annualize that. You're talking about 12% or more. And so we'll see how that breaks down in terms of what we get. I've been talking about it. March 10th, folks. Put it on your calendar. March 10th. My grandfather's birthday, but it's more than that. We get the CPI data for February on March 10th. All expectations are going to point to that as we continue to see elevated levels of inflation. The cost of energy rebounded in January after falling a month earlier, rising 2.5%. So far, crude and other energy prices continue to climb on risks. Of course, we're talking about Russia and Ukraine, excluding volatile food and energy. The core PPI, 0.8% still on a monthly basis, 0.8% on a monthly basis, 8.3% from a year ago. Prices of goods accelerated in January from a month earlier, rising 1.3% the most in three months. That's quite a number, folks. So that number comes out, again, that just builds the expectation for the CPI data print on March 10th. It's already February 15th, folks. We only got 28 days in the month of February, and you're talking about, I mean, where is it exactly? March 10th. You're talking about three weeks from Thursday. That is a fast time that we get the next CPI print, and we'll see how that shakes out. All right, let's get into some of the headlines of Russia. You almost can't keep up with the headlines that are coming. NATO awaits evidence of pullback. Russia, now, German chancellors meeting with Putin, U.S. warnings of possible attack on Ukraine, most urgent level yet. Markets were a little freaked out in the last couple of days. Yeah, and then you have the president of Ukraine making a sarcastic comment about the rest of the world predicting a date for the attack by Russia. Markets reacted to that almost quickly, thinking he might not have been sarcastic. Bottom line is war has not happened yet. That is a good thing. Looks like it hopefully will not happen today. A lot of posturing, a lot of game theory going on between some bad dude named Putin out there, and they're talking about pairing some troops after drills, but maybe saying they haven't seen anything yet. Nonetheless, it seems like tensions easing a bit and the market really taking and running with them in. Remarkable, then, on the day that we may get some action in terms of, I believe, Chairman Powell in front of the Senate Banking Committee, is it talking about for his confirmation, but that's not even the talk. The talk is about the Ukraine and does a company, just some of our growth companies really, you know, live or die on that, you know, the humanity level of going on, the democratic norms of Putin invading another country, but in terms of the reaction on these growth stocks, man, it's pretty remarkable. All right, let's jump over to the S&P. I was looking at, so check out, I'm going to put this thing on a 20-day, get it back. Well, here's a 20-day, okay, this is an hourly chart we're looking at. Now what to look at here is from the lows that we had, from basically the pullback lows we're talking about. From January 23rd to January 28th, you chopped around, you had about 150-point S&P range from maybe 44-40, maybe the lower end, 42-67, you see the range we're talking about right here. On that consolidation, you pop from that area, on January 28th, you trade from a price point of 42-66 up almost 350-points about to 45-80, even more than that, right? What is that? No, yeah, about 320-points. What I want to pull out here is that the area that we are bouncing from is the 6-1-8 retracement, which is pretty cool. You trade up from that level, you reach a high of about 45-80, you pull back and chop around right near the 6-1-8 for the last couple of days, and that is right where you pop from, that 6-1-8. Now that is, okay, I'm going to put this on now a four-hour chart to zoom in to see the exact pullback. We're talking about market highs coming into the new year, January 4th of 4808, you pull all the way back down to 4200 almost, that was on January 24th, we reach 4212, you look where we are, like I just talked about, on January 28th, the market rebounds, it bounces, we pull back to a 6-1-8, always a nice area if you're looking for a bounce to maybe play out, right? We got to pull back to a 6-1-8, and yeah, if you get another leg in this, you're talking about a leg from 4265 up to 45-80, yeah, so more than 300 points, we'll talk about the ABCD, we'll talk to Kevin Hicks when we get right back folks, stay tuned. 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All the markets, excuse me, giving back some of the gains they've had over the last couple hours. Let's jump over to our man, Kevin Hinks. Every trading day, folks, 12 noon eastern time on the TD Ameritrade Network, live here on Tiger TV, Fast Market. Kevin Hinks, Tom White, the team at TD Ameritrade Network. They break down the day's market action, folks. They walk you through hypothetical trades. They're talking options. They're talking about defined risk. Kevin Hinks, good morning. Where do we start, man? Well, I think the first big news story is the lessening of geopolitical risk that's going on in the market. A slight lessening, Tommy, I don't think it's one to be overdone. There's still 100,000 troops on the Ukraine border. Quite the reaction, Kevin, for a market that, man, 2%, just like that, on which it's better than no news, as in maybe some de-escalation. I'm jumping in, but I agree. Go ahead, man, because that's quite a move in these markets on potentially, but we'll see where the troops go. Go ahead, man. Exactly. I mean, what you don't want to fall for, Tommy, now, you grew up in Boston. You live in Florida, but it's the old snowball trick, right? When you don't want to fall for the snowball up in the air, you want to look at the one coming at your nose, and so let him reboot as a KGB agent. Deception is part of his daily practice, so I would still be very aware of what he's doing, and they're still, like I said, 100,000 troops, but there appears to be on the surface a bit of de-escalation here, so that's a very good thing. So we'll take that as it is, and we'll trade it and understand it. So the economic data today, interesting, right? The month over month numbers were very high, but, Tommy, the year over year numbers came in flat to a month ago. I thought that was something that to pay attention to, and if you're hoping for a plateau of inflation, maybe you're getting it right up at this level. I mean, there's still big bits of inflation in the pipeline, Tommy, but at least you could cling on to the fact that the year over year numbers didn't escalate any higher from where they were. And, Kevin, for those new listeners out there, you've talked about it a couple times. When you talk about some of the economic numbers throughout the month, and this is your own bias, but the ones you look to, the ones that you talk about that are most important, I know, is it CPI that maybe, or the jobs number, but PPI not as important. Could you give us that breakdown again real quick for the new listeners or what you look for, and where you rank some of the more economic important numbers, like PPI, for instance? Right. Well, let's focus on the PPI number and inflation, because there's four really good looks in a month at inflation, Tommy. And that is the wages part of non-farm payrolls, then CPI, then PPI, and then we look at personal income and outlays, there's a PCE, a consumption data that comes within the personal income and outlays. That's the four big looks at inflation. Now, here's the thing, PPI, as in terms of inflation, compared to the other three is a distant fourth, right? You want to look at wages in non-farm payrolls. You want to look at CPI at the consumer level, and you want to look at personal income and outlays in the PCE data. Because sometimes that PPI data doesn't show up. It doesn't manifest itself into the other data. It often does, and it often does at a percentage, but those top three are really important. PPI is another look at inflation, but it's a distant fourth. That's why you may not see the market move as much from PPI as it does from the other three, Tommy. It's a great explanation, man. I learned a lot from listening to you go through those types of explanations, so I appreciate you going over it. For all those that are unaware of the snowball trick, man, it only takes once where they lob that snowball up and you get nailed in the face, and then you never forget that one again, man. Exactly. We go from that. We got some companies out with earnings today, Kevin. What are you guys going to be checking out at Fast Market coming up at 12 noon Eastern time today? You know, it's funny, if you listen to the show often, you know that Andy Swan is a big fan and proponent of cracks. So they're going to do their presentation on cracks today. They come out with earnings before the open tomorrow morning, and then, I mean, we can look at Roblox. We can look at Shopify, two really good names coming out with earnings. We did Airbnb yesterday that's coming out with earnings today after the bell. So Roblox and Shopify today, along with cracks from like Folio. Now, Kevin, if they watch the show, do they know how you may fall on the cracks trend? Yeah. I fall on the Andy Swan is a big proponent of cracks. I fall on the never ever in my lifetime side of the cracks discussion. You know what? I'm probably there with you, man, but I got kids in the house now and they love them and they're perfect for kids, man. So I'll just keep buying them for kids because they hose them off their rubber. They're perfect. But yeah, I'm in the adult camp. But man, that chart quite a turn around that stock, man. I've shown many people just because they have had quite a rebound, man. The stock shows it to 183, but talk about a pullback back to 97. Kevin, we appreciate the conversation, the education as always, man, and we'll be watching at 12 noon Eastern time today. Have a great day, Tommy. Thanks for having me on. Always a pleasure, man. Folks, tune in, 12 noon Eastern time today, bunch of great companies coming out with earnings after the bell. We've got geopolitical issues happening with Russia and the Ukraine. And on top of that, you're gonna have the PPI number that they'll be digesting that on the open coming up at 8.30 as well. And you heard he did a great breakdown and that's what I wanted him to talk about, a distant fourth, the PPI number, a distant fourth when they're out there. All right, jumping over the Nasdaq 100 right now, up 243, the Dow up 317 right now, jumping over to other headlines we have going on in terms of the market. And there is it. And what Kevin was talking about, when you talk about plateauing, okay, when you talk about PPI year over year, there it is that maybe could be the plateau. You got a 9.8% number. Again, we're looking at the yellow here for the year over year. We got 9.8%. You got 9.8% in December. We got 9.7% in January. So maybe a little bit of a plateau, especially when maybe all of those prices not getting pushed forward to subscribers, not to consumers. Down the pipeline, as in some of those costs, maybe producers able to handle themselves as opposed to passing that on to the customers. All right, let's jump around to some of the fang stocks this morning. As we get the Nasdaq 100 right now, up about a percent and a half. You can have Amazon open in about $60 higher right now. There's a pop for Apple. Remarkable the moves you get when you think about the size of the company Apple is with 16 billion shares outstanding. So you're talking about a move of more than $2. You're talking about $33, $34 billion in market cap added to that stock. You jump over to Google shares this morning. It's going to be a big open, as you'd expect. When you get the Nasdaq 100 right now up 1.7%, we get the Dow right now up 53 points. Excuse me, S&Ps up 53, Dow up 320. We jump over to the VIX as this market charges higher. We almost reached a high yesterday at 32 folks. We had a 25 handle on that VIX at 7.30 this morning. You jump up to about 26.57 right now in the VIX. And we jump to notes and bonds right now. And you're near the lower levels on the note and bond in term price wise. You're down 8.5 ticks right now. You're chopping around right where we were last Thursday. We take a look at this on a daily basis. You're talking about lows. You take a look at it on a five-year weekly to get the full run. I had this 618 on that chart for a while, folks. You chopped around at the 382 for a while, broke right through that. And we are right at the 618. We'll see if we turn around or maybe just chop around there for a while. You're talking about 10-year yields right near 2%. All right, folks, stay tuned. We'll be coming back. We'll be right back in three minutes from the Market Open. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We got markets open. We got the S&P right now. You're trading up 48 points. That's 1.1% NASDAQ giving it up a little bit on the open. You're still at more than 1.5% right now in the NASDAQ. Dows up 810% right now. Bitcoin, up $2,185, $2,185, I'll get it out. That's more than a 5% pop over there in Bitcoin. Crude oil, that's the inverse. You're trading lower by $4, 9142. For some context here, you're just back to where you were on Friday, middle of the day. Pretty sure oil was doing just fine at 91.50 on Friday. Yes, it's a pullback, folks, but man, I'm not sure that that's gonna be anything monumental. You talk about bonds and yields. 10-year yield right now, 2.04%. So we just blow right past 2%. The yield on the 10-year markets, holding onto the gains relatively well. I mean, we did give up. On any other world, this would be quite a pullback. You're talking about almost 30 points from where we were at seven in the morning to where we just opened. You reach a low of 44, 38. We were up there at 44, 68. So basically 30 points on the dot, but you're still up 49, 1.1% right now in the S&P. Some earnings already. You got Burger King parent, restaurant brands international. They have more than Burger King, but Burger King, the big one there. You're up 2.6%. The market's in higher territory as well. So a pretty marginal gain for their numbers. One thing I just wanted to touch on though, for their numbers, the digital sales. Company said global digital sales climbed from $6 billion in 2020 to $10 billion last year. That is a 66% rise. And they accounted for 30% of the system-wide sales. Remarkable that you have a company like that doing 30% of their sales digitally. Popeyes reported same-store sales declined while Burger King and Tim Hortons both reported strong same-store sales growth. Popeyes struggling, wonder if that was because they had that huge chicken explosion, tough to keep up with maybe some of the comps, but nonetheless, restaurant brands international, they're trading a little bit higher today. Couple of the stories that popped up here as well. First of all, you got Virgin Galactic. All right, now be careful of this stocks, folks. They are space. You're up 8.6% today. You wanna look, you wanna see what a dead cat bounce looks like? Can you see the bounce on that chart? No, you can't, okay? Percentages when working with very small numbers can be very deceptive, folks. Yes, you're up 70 cents today. You just gave back $50 almost on this equity, and you almost did it twice in the last 12 months, okay? Story comes out, they're taking deposits for space travel, ticket prices. I saw one saying, yeah, $150,000 deposit and prices start at 450 grand. Alongside opening ticket sales to the public, they reveled a rebranding replacing the iris of Sir Richard Branson as logo with a purple outline of a space aircraft. Again, be careful of that one, folks. I mean, that was like, you know, he goes into space. They get all the coverage back in June. Bezos was right there behind him as well, and then the company just proceeds to sell off dramatically. They sell shares, they sell shares into the market to raise money, and you're sitting at $9, and they got a long way to go, and you're talking about a company, because I remember talking about it back at those highs, folks. Right now, you're valued at $2.3 billion. The whole recreational space travel industry, okay, is only gonna be worth a few billion dollars. There's not a ton of people that are gonna be able to pay $450,000 to travel into space. Yes, you'll have some forms of revenue, et cetera, but the whole industry of space tourism is not a big industry right now, because it's too expensive. So you're valuing these companies, like SpaceX, that's gonna fly people into space. It's not the, excuse me, like Virgin Galactic. The point was gonna be, it's not the same as SpaceX, which is, I think, valued at $100 billion or something like that because they're doing deals with the Defense Department, et cetera. So be careful, I would not be buying that equity even today, even though they're taking orders. Fool me once, shame on me, fool me twice, shame on you. Don't fool me three times, man. Not getting into this one. There's better stocks, folks, than this equity out there. All right, speaking of better stocks, how about Buffett? Bought a billion dollars with the Activision shares before the Microsoft deal, man. You can say what you want about Buffett, he's had quite a cash pile for a while, hasn't really invested a lot. I mean, his brilliance, folks, is having cash when people need it, getting deals that the general public can't, and making great investments in great companies, okay? I mean, just pay attention to what he did here. We all could have done it, okay? This stock got punished for a lot of various reasons, one of which, though, as I think they go in here, yeah, that after a state lawsuit alleging a sexist culture, the game publisher sent the stock price down, they were dealing with some big problems, okay? But guess what? Buffett thinks long-term, he thinks value, okay? He looks at this equity and he says, there's no reason it should be trading at these levels. He buys a billion dollars worth, and before you know it, Microsoft says the same thing and they come in and they buy it for $68.7 billion. He owned 14.66 million shares, valued at about a billion dollars at the end of 2021. Yes, this is a weekly basis, so there's the end of 2021, and it didn't take long. We'll put it back on a daily basis to see the volatility. Didn't take long, January 14th, that thing escalates higher. And yeah, this still has a way to go because they are buying it at $95 a share. So they still have some regulatory problems potentially. There's still quite a rise there. You don't see that often as in, there's a hefty percentage priced in there that this deal does not get done, 95 bucks. So you got 14 bucks to the upside if the deal gets done. All right, and let's say you got 65. You got $16 to the downside. The logic being if the deal does not get done, it goes back to where you were trading prior. So your risk to the downside is about $16. This is all theoretical folks, okay? It could be far lower or far higher. And your risk to the upside, your profit potential is 14 bucks. It's almost a 50-50 in that equity. And that has waned since this thing came out when you spiked to 87 almost on a high, you're back to 81. Just keep that in mind as that goes forward. It'd be interesting to see how that plays out. These markets, they're running higher folks back to the short-term basis. There's the Dow making new highs right now where we're pushing almost 35,000. We're up 462 points. You got the Nasdaq 100 catching a little bit at the open up about 1.8% and the S&Ps catching a little bit of a bit as well, up 1.4%. I imagine the VIX continuing to pair. Yes, 2583 right now in the VIX. And we jump over to the notes and bonds can't help but paying attention, man. As these yields keep rising, 2.05. We got a 2.05% yield in the 10-year. And as I mentioned, interesting that we're sitting right at the 618 but you blew right through that 618. And you look where we are on this chart, seems like 117 is a pretty easy trip considering the run we had through that level with through the 618, the next stop is 117. The half we'll call it. And you put this thing even longer term. I mean, you can see you go through this level. That's your next level it's calling yet folks. That's the next level for sure. In terms of higher yields coming down to the 117 price point in the 10-year. All right, let's check out some of those fang stocks as we got the Nasdaq 100 Rockin. Amazon's up 1.6%. Big Dog Apple 1.3%. Microsoft shares up 1.9%. Google shares up 1.3%. Let's take a look at some of the stocks they've gotten pummeled recently. Zoom up 1.8%. Roku shares up 6.10%. I say recently as in over the last few months, et cetera, as these growth stocks have really pulled back in dramatic fashion. We jump over to ARC up 3.2%. You take a look at the five-year weekly just to see the full COVID run. You've almost given it all back. I'm gonna jump to next. Pretty interesting story talking about Mr. Buffett as well. We're just gonna jump to this one after Buffett's story. He's basically caught up with Kathy Wood. We'll show you a little chart when we get right back. Don't miss this one. Stay tuned folks. 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That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks. We get the S&Ps right now. You're up 63 points. The market running even higher. NASDAQ 100 up 243. I got a chart up here. So interesting one. Let me jump to this article real quick. I saw this recently. So this is an article that's gonna be a little bit old here. We're talking about an article dated, come on. January 24th, all right? So we're going back three weeks. But talking about Buffett has nearly caught up with Calfee Wood after the tech stock guru vastly outperformed him in 2020. Interesting. So I have a two-year chart going back here. I got the purple is ARC, okay? Sitting at $73 as we speak. Made it up to 160. You have the ARC axis on the left, okay? We have 73 bucks is the current price. You got 160 was the high. Again, ARC is the purple. Berkshire Hathaway is the bar graph in here with the axes on the right. Now Berkshire trading at $476,000. But this goes back two years. Now the article, okay? If you take basically just from January of 2020 talking about the pandemic, boy, Buffett way behind, right? But just like that, he's caught up because man, those growth companies have pulled back. It's remarkable folks and kudos to him for having the patience and the tenacity to make that happen. So you are right back there. And I think with what's happened since then you'd be above, but here's the cool thing is that chart right there is starting in January of 2020, okay? Now this star chart that I have is only going to February of 2020. But you can see folks, I mean, yeah, Berkshire came in at 343,000. You're trading at 476. You had ARC come in at about $60. And guess what? You're trading at 72. You see though the volatility there. ARC way ahead as you came into 2021. But boy, 2021, let's just take off this ARC one because Berkshire, how do we remove that? Yeah, just going back even a three-year weekly, man. Yeah, you trade from 340 down to 234. You only got your money back in 2020, which was quite an underperformance considering where the market finished. But look at that value that you got in 2021 as you traded from 344 and you're still almost pushing highs in that company at 476. I don't even see a pullback on that chart. Just something to keep in mind as you go through, we all want that quick buck and we all want the ARC returns. But you can't get that return without taking some risk folks. And when you had in 2021, Berkshire Hathaway accelerating higher, you had ARC trading from about 128 up to 159 and finishing the year at about 95. And now you're sitting at 73, yeah. Now they popped up because this company, now C limited, okay? Now this is an ADR, I believe. Yes, an ADR, okay? They do business in Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines. They provide users a shopping environment with integrated payment, logistics, infrastructure and seller services. They provide various payment services and loans to individuals and businesses when they integrate with third party merchant partners. Now the reason why I'm talking about them is, Kathy Wood is loading up on these shares and let me make sure, let me see, here it is. So this is a gaming firm, okay? As well, $16 billion in market value race Monday, getting back to the chart. All right, now on a 15 minute basis, yeah, it's been rough recently, okay? But man, the drop from Friday and Monday, you went from 160 down to 127 yesterday alone. Now I'm not encouraging buying this, okay? I'm just talking about the volatility. I have no idea what this company does, folks. Yes, it's attractive to try and follow with somebody that obviously has some investing acumen to say the least, but you see the loss is possible too. Now she bought in terms of arc investment management more than 145,000 C shares on Monday. You had the next generation internet ETF buying the bulk of it. There's the pullback they've had recently on the chart. Now this pullback recently had to do with India's move to ban 54 apps due to security concerns, including their free fire have only added to the headwinds, slowdown in gaming revenues, user growth, et cetera. The ban certainly clouds C's outlook. I would say so, when you're operating a business in the country and they ban your business, I would say that's a worry for sure. But they've been accumulating these shares since the start of the year and the frequency of their purchases are only increasing this month. Do you know what that sounds like, folks? That sounds like doubling down on a losing investment. Now, yes, you get a pop, it pays for it, but boy, I mean, some of these companies, great companies, but Zoom comes to mind, folks. Yeah, you might be nearing the level that you can get some Zoom action at 142, but you were up at 588 last year. You were up at 400 a couple, a few times. Excuse me, two years ago, you were at 588. Roku comes to mind as well, I've been talking about them. You're at 158 right now. You're back to 2019 prices on Roku. Strong, strong equities with dramatic pullbacks can't overstate that in terms of where the appeal may be. Not familiar with C, but interesting that Kathy would. Going after some of these stocks have really been pummeled. Now, one thing they do say in this article, which I would agree with longer term, is that she has a five-year horizon. And the companies that she's investing in, they're gonna be pretty volatile, all right? The oft-repeated mantra is that ARK invests with at least a five-year time horizon and the volatility in their equity picks is expected. That part I agree with. If you're buying growth companies, folks, I mean, just look at the moves we've had in the last few weeks, you pick any, right? I mean, many come to mind. Salesforce, the pullback. Strong company from 311 down to 209. You're right back to where you were a year ago, basically in March of 2021, before you traded dramatically higher. Many of these growth companies, Roku, Zoom. These are good companies, folks. Zoom makes a lot of cash. Now, that's why they're valued at $42 billion, okay? But I talked about it yesterday. You start getting into companies like Roku that are only valued at $21 billion. Where is your risk here? Because you just pulled back by more than 60 to 70%. Roku at this stage is valued at $20 billion. You're at least in the area that if you ever get some type of crazy pullback, you're in the area that just like Mr. Buffett coming in saying, hey, this company's valued way too low here, regardless of what's going on. Maybe they get picked up by somebody else or maybe that value just regresses back to the mean of where it should be in higher prices. Roku, $21 billion. Where do you think Roku needs to get down to where they become attractive to somebody like a Microsoft? Where they become attractive to somebody like a Netflix? I don't know who would buy them, but you get the point. They are attractive. They control the set top boxes that many people use to access streaming portals and they're valued at $21 billion. You pull back 25%, you're talking about being valued about $15 billion, right? One of these tech companies that's worth $1.6 trillion, that's worth $2.2 trillion, that's worth $3 trillion. You get a company like Roku in the teens for billions. Maybe that becomes something attractive. That's what I'm thinking about. And what happens is you get companies that are on the verge of making money. I mean, folks, I know I'm biased. We have no Roku, I don't have Roku. I do have Roku's in my house though, and I'm watching them at these price levels because longer term, that company valued at $20 billion with the reach that they have into households, I imagine there is a future for Roku. But hey, that's my bias and I could be wrong. It's a growth company. You gotta be careful with those growth companies. If there's one thing the last couple of years that taught us, make sure that you are diversified, folks, because you never know what's around the corner. I mean, did we ever think a pandemic could hit and markets could cascade like they have? Did you ever think they could rebound as quickly as they have? Yes, it all seems pretty normal now, but rewind yourselves to March of 2020 and think about what you were thinking about in terms of the prices some of these equities were trading at. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back to finish out the show. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. 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We've had a little bit of volatility in both directions, but you got the SMPs up 1.2% right now up 54 points, NASDAQ 100 up 228. You get the Dow up 365 right now. We jumped to commodities crude. Sitting right at about 91.29, crude's been trading a little bit lower since we've been chatting. Nine o'clock we came on the air. You were at about 92.50, so crude. Giving it up, we were trading at 93.24. You just gave up $2 in crude in the last hour and 15 minutes, but man, that's been a volatile market. Go contract. Right back to where we were trading at on Friday, and we make it up to 18.81. We're right now trading at 18.52. My dad had a nice update out there for the Gold Report. I believe he's got an issue coming out today as well. Great time to sign up for the Gold Report, folks. You can find that under the newsletter tab on the front page of TFNN.com. And we jumped to notes and bonds right now as we got the 10-year. Right near 2.05%, man, quite a pullback. You almost can't overstate how quickly things have escalated from the first to the year. You're talking about five full points, folks, in the 10-year. But when I pull up this chart, okay, because we're talking about inflation, we're talking about yields, we're talking about rising rates coming at us, all right? When I pull up this chart and I say next stop could be 117, naturally you should say, geez, that's eight points in the 10-year, right? What are we gonna be yielding? We're gonna be yielding some higher yields to say the least if we drop seven points in the 10-year. Well, folks, for some context, we just dropped five points in about six weeks, okay? We have rising rates coming at us for the next two years, market, accelerating how they're pricing that in, but that is not that big of a move. When you think about how move, how quickly, we just moved in six weeks, and think about how quickly the conversation has shifted. March wasn't even in play, right? Whatever happened to winding down the asset purchases and launching the rate hikes in June? Not even close. Now the question is 50 basis points, 25 basis points. Remember, March 10th, February CPI data, folks, look for the wage data and the non-farm payroll number as well, but consumer prices, man, they're rocking it higher month over month. We had quite a beat on a 0.6% for consumer prices on a monthly basis. That's gonna be the biggest number I'm watching next month along with, like our man Kevin Hanks was talking about, some important numbers coming up. We got a March meeting, March 16th. Stay tuned, folks. Basil Chapman, he's up next, live programming all day at TFNN. Have a great Tuesday, everybody.