 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, November 16th, 2022. I'm Chief Meteorologist John Insworth for Longmont Public Media and as I'm reporting this early Thursday morning, the snow is already beginning. So our next lunar phase is the new moon on Wednesday, the 23rd next week. The sun, all the sunspots have rotated pretty much out of view and nothing, maybe ones come around the other side, but right now the face of the sun towards the earth is pretty blank. Looking at drought conditions, before we get to our snowstorm here, you can see that things are getting a little worse out on the eastern plains and a little better in the northwest part of the state. This storm though is going to bring some good snow, it's going to be very local to the front range and Denver area and not a lot of moisture, it's going to be so cold that it'll be fluffy snow, but not a lot of actual water. Looking nationally, things, a little bit of relief here, a little worse in spots in the west and mountains and yeah, not much change. Most of the nation is having some level of drought conditions, so just about the northeast here is, the Great Lakes are kind of okay. Looking at snow, keeping an eye on the snowpack, we started with very little snow as normal, but it was a little above normal. Now we've kind of gone back to the normal mark, it's a nice start, mountains will get some more here. We did get a bit of a surprise storm, Monday into Tuesday morning, places around Longmont, got three and a half, two inches, Boulder saw spots up to around four, I think there's a four and a half, 4.7 in there, Denver got snow a little bit later in the morning, kind of messed up the commute. When you look at the amount of liquid though from the snow, not much, the last seven days. It's very quiet as thunderstorms go as well, nothing at all, Wednesday or Thursday and Friday maybe you'll have some thunderstorm up here with lake effect precipitation. Looking nationally, you see snow coming down with the cold front on Wednesday, cold front pushes across the state and how the northeast two thirds of Colorado can get some snow. Not much of west of the divide, this is an eastern Colorado storm more than anything else and for Friday the snow finally tapers off kind of mid-morning, early morning. Go back real quick, we got really deep cold going all the way down to that front, almost to the coast in California and the south and the east, so this is a huge dome of cold air. I'm looking at a spoke, nothing really to report there either. High temperatures are expected to go from 51 to 45, we are starting out as you can see here, way below normal with highs only in the low 20s for a couple of days, our normal low is 24 going down to 20s, so really rapid decline in the normals this time of year. Here's our about day, day and a half of precipitation. The cold air is visible, this big huge semi-circle coming out of the north and that's just going to continue to sneak down, so subtropical jet stream being pushed aside. So notable features, this is what is going to create this snow, it's not as strong of a trough, it's kind of laying out the side, it's just an interesting configuration and the snow is going to be very local, you go out on the plains or go to the other side of the rockies and you're not going to see much but it's just going to sit over the front range, Denver to four columns, especially four columns and give us stuff. Next week we get a system like this, next Wednesday that looks pretty substantial but it's very dry, it's not much moisture associated with it, so we'll see what that changes and gives us some fun. The coldest temperatures are Friday and noon, 25 degrees below, 26 degrees below normal and 28 below normal, very cold. So let's put this in motion, here comes the trough that's giving us a couple days of upslope or graphically or mountain elevation induced snow, then a ridge is trying to push into the west for the beginning of next week and then sort of zonal flow, the jet stream is going west to east. Here comes that ripple, it looks really impressive but right now there's nothing big happening here, maybe some sort of weather in south Texas or something like that, we've just sailed past Thanksgiving but Thanksgiving looks okay right now. There is the cold look of all the below normal purples and blues over the entire nation, south Texas down into Florida, only south Florida is not, there's a little patch of downslope and then trying to warm up in the west, Tuesday next week, Wednesday coming up on Thanksgiving, there's another shot of cold coming down into the Great Lakes but not in the west, so it should be for Thanksgiving pretty close to normal. With your precipitation this is the storm but notice how it just kind of parks and pittets for two or three, maybe four, six hour periods and then it's gone. Here's the weekend on Sunday and a Monday, high and dry still, interesting stuff happening in the Gulf but here comes Thanksgiving, there's a snow in Utah, snow in southern Colorado and then there's your weather chances, Texas, Louisiana with that system wrapping up down there. The next two days, got some snow in the north, here's our Longmont location, kind of in the heavier area of snow, north and west of Denver, up to Fort Collins, up to Red for the Lakes and Estes Park and this is from the weather 5280, often wrapped around, 5280 forecast with the heavier amounts here, four to six inches including Longmont and places along the interstate maybe two to four. I'm climbing for three to six and locally eight, most locations maybe up to ten in a few spots around Boulder, much less on the south side of Denver, this is a northern Colorado storm. The next ten days a little more precipitation statewide but really that doesn't look very different. So Wednesday we just about hit 50 and we have two days in the mid to low 20s, single digits at night, really good chance of snow Thursday all day into the night and then tapering off in the morning on Friday. We go take a little while to warm up, it's only about 40 and 46 for the weekend, we start to see 50s again right before Thanksgiving. So stay warm out there, we're on local news and people are up weather updates, check out Longmont Leader and Broomfield Leader, this has been Chief Meteorologist John Innsworth, keep looking up.