 as a presentation of TFNN. The Tom O'Brien Show is produced every business day. Tom, take your phone calls toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Let's go to Phil in Puerto Rico. Hey, Phil, what's going on? Hey, Tom, doing great. Just want to thank you guys and the whole crew. Best content on the internet. Really appreciate everything you guys are doing. We appreciate you growling a problem with us out here. Phil, how did you find us? I just typed in live training in YouTube one morning. Cool. I was looking for any type of live training room you guys came up in the kind of quality when I see it. Well, at least I like to think so. And I mean, you guys just a dream. I appreciate everything you guys do. Welcome to the Tiger film. We appreciate you growling a problem with us. Oh, my pleasure. Now, Tom O'Brien, welcome folks. This is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We got five days a week. We go seven hours a day. We go 24 hours a day in the internet at TFNN.com. Always remember folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on grows. Hope everyone's having a great day, safe day. It's making a great night, folks. To begin, a great relationship, know what you want. Know what the needs of your body are and what the needs of your mind are. And what fits well with you. There are millions of men and women and some will make a good match for you and others won't. The two of you only be like a keen lock. A match that works. Mug it wise. Let's take a look at it out here. We have the Dow Industries up 147. Nasdaq's up 20. S&P's up 14 and a half. Gold contract, gold contract up a buck. 2020, there we go, 2020 an ounce. We have Silver up 11 cents. 25 dollars, 37 cents an ounce. Light sweet crude. Flat, $75, 30 cents a barrel. Notes and bonds. A 10-year note. Up a ticks, trade in 113 flat. A 30-year, up almost a full point. Up 36, had 127, 23 and Kingdoll. Kingdoll's up 356 ticks. Trade in out at 100.296. The euro's at 112. The yen is at 139. The British pound is at 129 to one US dollar. Our phone number's 877-927-6648. Give us a call, folks. One note's going on in your world. In the world of the S&Ps, let's take a look at them. What do we have? So, we have the higher prices out here. Higher prices once again today. Yesterday, what we did out here, we did 60. We did, we actually did 80 million shares. Yeah, you did 80 million shares. We hit 80 million shares. We're at a higher high today, we're at 47 million. If we go into the S&Ps and we take a look at them intraday here, what you're gonna see out here is that we've had basically, yeah, it's kind of a flat market all day. But if you take a look at this e-mini, what we had here, the first downdraft, you can see that you had the big volume on the downdraft that wanted to get tested. That was the 45.90. Bottom line, it comes higher high, can't handle the higher high, comes back down, test it. Now that test down there was definitely on lighter volume. So the bottom line is that it's really gonna be how you're going against this bar that we're against right now. The bar that we're going against, this is how it came down the second time, that was at 49,000 contracts. The last bar was only 20. So we're gonna start a new bar right now. I suspect it's gonna attack it. We're two minutes into that new bar. It's gonna attack it. And we'll see if you get a failure there and it'll go right back down the other side. NQs, we take a look at the NQs. NQs are gonna be set up the same way. We take a look at these NQs. You get the same type of setup. You had the first bar. Actually, no, the NQs just went one way. Interesting. Yeah, no, the NQs went just one way, man. And you can see down the bottom there though, you do have light volume at the bottom. But in the NQs case, we just did almost a 50% retracement of the move. Now the NQs, the last bar, we had 10,000 contracts going against 23. So the way that's set up is that that wants to come back down. Okay, that's way too light of volume. That's less than 50% volume. So we'll see where that shakes out, but that's how it's looking. Notes and bonds. We take a look at the note and bond market. The amazing part, of course, we get the Fed next week, but the bottom line is that note and bond market wants higher price. You know, we had got down to a price point on the 10-year at 1106. Right now we're trading 113. You're back inside the range again. We're at 3.74 on the 10-year. When we were down there, it was at 4.062. You know, it's gonna take quite a bit to get through this congestion right here. There's no doubt about it. But the bottom line is that that's the consolidation that you're looking at. Gold's in an ABC structure on the way up. It took the B point out yesterday, took it out with volume. You get, oh, this is interesting. We just look at this. This is amazing. So check this out, folks, okay? This is amazing. We're in July, right? And we now, the Z contract, I believe this is a Z contract. Yeah, man, we're on the Z contract. We're rolling right now. Man, time is just something that you never can catch. Stay right there, folks, we'll come right back. We have the Dow. The Dow industry is right now up 151. The Aztec is trading up 20. S&P's up 14.5. We'll come right back. Currencies, commodities, and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex report. Teddy Kegstad breaks down the Forex markets every Monday using his 30 plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, Forex, stocks, and options. Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs, including the Dollar Index, the Euro Dollar, Pound Dollar, Dollar Swiss, Dollar Yen, as well as many more. 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Dow industries right now trading up on 160. You get the Nasdaq up 27. S&Ps are up 15 and a half. Let's go to our man, Frank, and gloss to Frank. What's going on, brother? Hey, how are you, Tommy? Hangin' in there, Hugh? I'm doing great, man. Thank you. Outside of the... Well, I guess last time I talked to you, I guess it hasn't been really hot up there, right? It hasn't? It's been humid, but not terribly hot. Okay. Yeah, poor Larry. Larry's gettin' smoked. Your voice sounds a lot better. You sound good. Thank you, thank you. So, we're gonna look at banks, right? Well, you know, I'm looking at KRE, but I'm really looking at the components. I was short Silicon Valley bank when they went bankrupt. Yes. And I had a great score. Yep. Probably best I've done in 25 years of trading. It's a beautiful thing. It's a particular stock. Yep. But I'm looking at these components, and some of them are trying to claw their way back, but they are the sariest-looking group of stocks. I think I've ever seen together in my life. Yep. Is there another shooter drop in this industry or what? So, let's look at it. So, KRE folks is the ETF for the regional banks. When you say the regional banks, you know, if you're watching Tiger TV, you're gonna see in the Bloomberg there, most of them have about a 2%, and then it gets less weighting structure. You get East West bankrupt, New York Community, I've heard that, First Horizon, Sinovus, OZK, Huntington Bank shares, Regions, M&T, PacWest, PacWest. PacWest, yeah, right. Yeah. Exactly. Yep. So, let's take a look at this, baby. So, what these banks have done is that, let's do this on a weekly. So, you got a high volume low here, man. So, we've done, we just hit a .382 retracement, okay? Yeah, a little above it, I think. Yeah, it's a little above it, that's about it. On the daily, let's see, so 33, we just took out the swing high yesterday, but had a little light of volume. You know, it's gonna take a lot, Frank, for these, my take is to get through this area right where we're at. I mean, that's how this is set up right now. I mean, you come down with a vengeance, you're going into some real heavy resistance here, man. And people are just gonna want to get their money back, because what happens here, folks, is this, is that, so the crisis was in February, February to March, right? And what you have is that we're, man, it's pretty amazing that it's only three months ago. Interesting, right, wow. Because normally what would end up happening here is that you come down, you went sideways for a bit, and I suspect even, let me pull this back more. Because you have a lot of- If they took over Silicon Valley Bank's assets, it's doing great. FCNCA at some North Carolina, something or other. Right. That looks fantastic. No, that's what does happen on these deals, because the reality most of the time, when something gets done that quick, most, you know, the bank's no better than, you know, when you're doing fast auctions, man, I mean, the bottom line is that, you can get assets on the cheap, and that's exactly, I mean, remember the day that the first day it happened, I think the stock went up five or 10%, you know what I mean? So, you know. Okay. You know, I don't see anything here, Frank. I wouldn't, you can see- I'm looking at the short. No, no, I know that. No, I know that's what I'm saying. I really don't see anything here that has a problem doing that, because what you have, well, you're in no man's land right now. That's kind of what's also happening. It's like, okay, you just made it over to 0.382, a little, does it really get up to, you know, because your danger would be that it gets up to ice, which is 56, you know. Okay. But, you know, compared to the large banks, okay? Cause you gotta remember what ended up happening here is that when this happened, all the money, not all the money, but a lot of money shifted out of the small banks, or mid-sized banks, to the large banks, because people said, hey, why do I even wanna worry about my money anymore? In general, do you know what I mean? Right, yeah. You know, and that's business-wise, cause business-wise, you know, you're only insured for so much money. So, I don't think they're gonna be coming out with the same type of earnings at the big banks. You can see these big banks, I mean, they match so much money on the spread interest, it's amazing, you know. Never mind. They all had a great day yesterday. They did. And they made plenty of money too. I mean, it's like, yeah, they were buying them, but I mean, you know, when you can make, you know, Morgan Stanley made, well, J.P. Morgan made 80 billion on interest rates spread in 90 days. It's like, wow. I mean, that's pretty amazing, you know. And that's just the money that's in the bank, you know what I'm saying? That's the money that we have, whether, you know, you're doing business with J.P. Morgan, you know, and with J.P. Morgan folks, you're doing business with them a million different ways. You know, because I don't have an account of J.P. Morgan, but you gotta have a Chase account. And so, they have it sewed together that it doesn't matter where you go, you're in the computer, and as far as their concerns, you're a J.P. Morgan customer. You know what I mean? So, I like that. It's a good thing, you know, to be, but the bottom line is, is that all that bread that's in there, well, as the rates go up, well, they automatically just make money on that bread like nothing, you know what I mean? Because when you, yeah, you leverage it nine to one, you'll lend it out. They put their money on the bank? Yeah, yeah. Yeah. So, you know, market-wise though, we can see what's going on, Frank. I mean, this market is relentless. So, you know, will it turn? I guess I'm gonna look for some, go look for some topping signals here and see if I can get some sure. Right, right. Cookin', brother. Thank you, sir. Have a great one, man. Have a safe one. iPhone number's 877-927-6648. Let's go inside the NDX first and take a look at what's movin' the NDX out here today. So, you got Warner Brothers, man, Warner Brothers is like, Sylvalth, so it's unbelievable. It was down 3% yesterday. It's up 4.5% today. Sirius is up 4.5%. ZScale is up 4%. Lucent's up 3.8%. Taken away from the line, technology's down 5%. You got ASML down 4.5%. Is that Dexcom? Dexcom's down 3.5% and you got Clackoff 2.4%. Inside the Dow Industrials. We take a look at the Dow Industrials. Strength versus weakness. Yeah, the phone companies came right back. That's for sure, that's interesting. Well, we'll see if it's a one-day wonder or not. You got Salesforce putin' 46 positive points. Goldman 33, United Health 32. Taken away from it, Microsoft 22. Big deal, they put 150 points into that yesterday. Boeing 19, Caterpillar 11. Stay right there, folks. We're gonna be comin' right back. Our phone number's 877-927-6648. We have the Dow. The Dow Industrials trade up 169. Nasdaq is up 35. The S&P's up 17.5. We'll come right back. Gold report. As a precious metal, gold is still king. It continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the London OTC market, the US futures market, and the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The Gold Report. Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly Gold Report every Monday morning for subscribers, consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, the Dollar, Bonds, the South African Rand, as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. The Gold Report. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Subscribe to Tom O'Brien's Gold Report newsletter now at TFNN.com. 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Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back folks to Dow Industries up 145, Nasdaq up 24, recipes up 14 and a half. Netflix, let's go take a look at it. We got Netflix, we got a huge amount of numbers coming out after closed today, but Netflix is one of them. Now the ironic part about Netflix is that in order to come out with the numbers today, this is at a 52 year high today too. So that high, 483.39 and revenue wise, that's what they're looking for now. They're gonna be looking for $8.3 billion and $2.85 cents to the bottom line. And we take a look at Netflix. Well, I mean, this blew away the highs with volume. There's no doubt about that. So let's, let me look at this on a weekly. See what kind of a weekly, you definitely got a small ABC in a daily. On a weekly, let's say, we got, you have two more days, you're at 32. Yeah, you're gonna have an ABC up, man. So check this out. So you got 448, oh my God, look at this. This is something else. Okay, so this is gonna get interesting. 448 is your B, 315, you get 133A to B plus 411, 544. On a, yeah, I mean, that's how this is shaking out, man. And 544, put this on a monthly. See right into that downdraft. It looks like to me though, wants to go higher into that downdraft. Pretty amazing, man. So we'll see where that baby goes and Tesla. So Tesla, let's see what Tesla's saying here. The low for the year is 101, the highs 314. They're looking to take in 24.5 billion, bring 80 cents to the bottom line, put this on a weekly two. Okay, so let's see what we got. Okay, so this is a totally different setup. Let's see this. Okay, so yeah, Tesla wants to pull back. You can see these highs. Three weeks ago, you did 405 million, you were taking out 722. So you get distribution right here. And it would make sense, because you're coming into huge, resistance up at these levels. It doesn't look to me that it will pull back that much. That's, you know, like we're at 293, you get 264 or something, and I was trading 264, yeah, I was trading 265 last week. So how's that? That's how it looks, man. It just looks like it wants to pull back a bit. Nothing heavy. Some of the other higher volume equities that we have out here today, you get Kavana. Yeah, I heard Tommy talking about that this morning. That's quite a deal. No doubt, up 15 bucks, but that's been, that's that went from 345 down to $3 or something. You got Apple, Apple's up a buck 50. You get Verizon up a buck 56. Yeah, the phone companies came off those lows. Let's just take a look at this. You had a mob bell out here this morning, coming out saying less than 10%, no, 10% of their wires have lead in them. So you're gonna start seeing, you know, they're gonna have to come up with someone and say, hey, okay, you know, where's the defense for all this is that's happening? Now, if I put this on a monthly, we're gonna see how this is gonna shake out. See, it's still gonna be quite a bit to get back inside the range. The range is 1577, but you can see volume-wise. I suspect it's going to the reason being, see that, see that what's happening there? You got this broke the 2008 lows, but with tremendously lighter volume and it broke the March lows with lighter volume also. You're talking about, if we go to the old eight lows, you're talking about one billion shares. The March lows, 1.19, and right now we've only done 800. And you don't have that many, well, we get a few trading days left. We get about nine trading days left, but that's gonna have lighter volume. Verizon VZ is gonna be the same type of setup, I believe. We take a look at VZ, pull this back. Oh, that's a better shape. That's interesting. Yeah, that's a different shot altogether. Now, you're still gonna get back inside the range. I mean, this is wild, actually. This is a total different shot. So, yeah, this is not even close. Well, this 2008 lows was 21, you're at 33. You're breaking a swing, 585 million, 445. That's gonna get close with a brace that would volume, but that would have to also, well, we'll see if it can close above 3455. That would be the number, 3455, that you'd wanna see that above. And I suspect we'll see how this shakes out, but both of those, and this always gets dangerous. When you stop paying, you see that definitely yield 7.71%, that's pretty intense, man. And normally, if you get up into those levels, that's when you always have to worry about the aspect of, is it gonna get paid? That's the real bottom line. Let's go to the NQs, because we were just, as we were talking, just then you had that first bar down looks like it has some volume. So we're at six minutes. Yeah, you get volume on this bar. See that we just topped out at 9,200, and we're at 8,300 at six minutes. It's seven minutes now. So we'll see what it's gonna want to go after that. The low only had 60, 84. No, 84,000, 8,400 rather. What's gonna be interesting here is that after it closed, though, this is what you wanna pay attention to, too. If I'm right in that context with Netflix, Netflix will put some juice into that NDX 100. The GDX, let's go take a look at the GDX out here. GDX yesterday had some good juice in it. You're backing down today with light volume. Yesterday we go up with 20 million, you're back down with seven, and this is an ABC Up. This is a nice ABC Up too, man. You get 33, let's say just 29, you get four bucks, which gets you 35, yeah, this wants to go to the high. Those highs are game right now inside of the gold market. And if we go over to the dollar, and we do take a look at this dollar, what's gonna get intriguing here, because the dollar actually did get a little bounce going today. Yeah, well, it hasn't held total price. We're at 100.299. And we were as high as at 100.535. But you can see what happened here is that, you know, it was trying to get off, trying to get off, it got off a little. So even if it does a .382 retracement on the way up, you're gonna back down a little inside of those metals. But as long as you back down with light volume, well, you're in great shape. Now, Dow Industries right now, up 131 as except 17, S&Ps up 12 and a half, come right back. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities and Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them, using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities and Options Report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com, TFNN Educating Investors. 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TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours, the Tiger's Den, available to all tigers and tigerses for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. This program is brought to you by Vista Gold, traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. I'm O'Brien. Welcome back folks to Dow. Dow Industrial is right now at 1.28. You get the NASDAQ up to 17, S&Ps are up 13. And let's look at this composite. So we're gonna get action after close on the composite as well as the NDX, that's for sure. So you really, you got higher highs out here. So let's take a look at the volume. They're gonna do about the same. We did 4.8 yesterday. You're gonna do about the same. We're at 4.3 right now. Inside the NYSE, when you take a look at it, we did 918 yesterday. Now that's gonna have lighter volume. We're in the 509 right now. We gotta go to Microsoft because Microsoft put $150 billion in market cap yesterday. And on top of that, check this out, Nadella who's a CEO, he's now at $1 billion compensation-wise. But check this out. He's at 1 billion compensation-wise, but since he's been the CEO, Microsoft has gone up 1,000% too. So that's pretty intense. Let me just look at this for a second. I was reading this earlier. That's like 1,000%. He's been there for quite some time, I guess. Let's see, one second, Nadella. We go right here. That's weird. The saying is he's only been there. He's only been there 2.1 years as chairman. He pulled us up. That doesn't make any sense. Microsoft's not up 1,000% in two years. This has to do with options, evidently. But let's put this on a monthly and see where we come out here. So, 510 million, 345, okay? Now I definitely gotta find out how many trading days are left in a month here. Okay, let's see. So we have five, six, seven, eight. You get eight trading days left in a month. There's not, you average out 21 trading days, okay? So we have eight left, three 55, three 35. This is gonna get interesting, actually, that you might not get the volume. So at the end of this month, the real kick is gonna be where is Microsoft trading? It's gonna be a close call. This is gonna be really wild, man. Yeah, like, cause they're gonna need a lot of volume in order to basically have that high. And you're down four bucks today. The real question is, is that what's gonna happen at that, when it tries to test that three, is it 349? Well, it's 349. We take a look at it right now. Yeah, so the high was made like at 230 yesterday afternoon. Ran down yesterday, ran down all day today. And if you take a look at it, see this, it was going into the strength right from when it started up yesterday. So we'll see where that baby shakes out, but that'll be intriguing in the context of, you know, if it can't stay above that level. It's not the end of the world, trust me. Microsoft's gonna continue to make a fortune. You know what I heard today, which just actually blew my mind. And what it was is this, is that this was on Bloomberg, and a couple analysts, well it was one analyst, saying the aspect of these lodge caps and they were always moving and they moved too much. You know, I've heard this story so many times, folks, okay? Growth stocks and technology stocks have always traded like this, and they've always come to accelerations on the way up. And it seems to me that, you know, since 94, that's what's always happened. I mean, I've been really in that market heavily since 94. I mean, the first time I made a trade was 80, that's from 94 on, I mean, forget it. And I'll always hear the same thing, and then you'll always hear, and I knew it was a couple people actually, because yesterday I was listening on the way home, and you had a couple analysts on about the small caps that know they're gonna have to do better, the value stocks, and it's like, oh my God, so what is that? I've been hearing the same story for 30 years. It's like, the big stocks just keep getting bigger, folks. And you know, the small stocks, you know, a lot of these small stocks never should have went public in the first place. When you're a public equity, that's a whole different ballgame. You know, you're basically doing business quarter to quarter, which if you're not big enough, that's very hard to do for a small company, because you have to take higher risk when you're a small company. The money comes in later. You have money that goes out sooner. There's just so many different things, and you know, I've just never bought the deal. And then when I heard that last night, I'm saying to myself, you know what? There's no reason, I don't care how many times they are gonna reshuffle the NDX100. That's not gonna change the outlook of Microsoft, Amazon, you know, Meta, okay? They're gonna get big, well, the awaiting structures are gonna go up again. That's the bottom line, and we're all gonna be surprised how big, how fast they actually go up, I suspect. That's just how it goes. Let's go take a look at that oil market out here. So we take a look at the XLE, XLE right now. Yeah, see, there's not enough volume on the XLE. Oil, okay, so oil gave it up today, interesting. Oil gave it up at $76.97. They were all these contracts are rolling too. That's what's also happening, but yeah. That gave it up pretty good. We'll go take a look at the, let's see when Google's coming out with numbers. So Google's coming out the 25th. Amazon, that's gonna be around the same time, I suspect. 27th, so Amazon, they're gonna be looking for 131 billion to the top line, 35 cents to the bottom line, and Amazon really hasn't got the type of love that the rest of them have, that's for sure. I mean, off the bottom, yeah, 81, 81 to 135, that's not bad. But you're coming, this is, if you want to understand what ice is, this is ice, right here. There it is. And you can see that this is about as clear as you can get. See the big down draft bar, so the way, that term ice, okay, it's a white cough term folks. And with that, how it came to being is that I suspect he must have lived where there was a pond, and that ice was in the winter that you jump the creek and then you come back up to ice again. That was his correlation into it. And you can see it quite clearly. He consolidated, you broke through in a monster way, you're coming up to it. And his method, as long as that's coming up there with light volume, you're always selling ice. Because then what ends up happening, risk-reward ratio, you're putting, you stop on the other side of ice. That was just a normal sequence of how markets move. Move higher, move lower. And ice in general, you know, we call it resistance, you know, this day and age. But the bottom line is that when you do have ice, the difference with ice is that you always have long bars and you have high volume. Dow industrials, Dow industrials up 124 and Aztecs up 13, S&Ps up 11, stay right there folks, come right back. Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades. 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Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN, live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back folks, the Dow industry is up 121 now, it's like up 13, SAP is up 12. What a story this is. So the president of Stanford folks just resigned, Stanford University and what it's about is that there's flaws in his research and the thing that's amazing on this thing is that it was actually found by one of the students there. Man. And this guy's been there for quite some time, man. And that'll be less like the same, he's been the president since 2016. Wow. I can't wait to read the rest of that story because that is something else, man. I mean, it's pretty amazing. I guess when you're in that type of venture, all the research papers and that type of deal, that's how they basically get forward. That's how it comes down. So let's go take a look at Netflix, NFLX because coming into the clothes, you're gonna have everyone's gonna be saying, they're gonna buy it, I'm gonna sell it. And right now, they got one little sell down, but Netflix topped out today at 483 or 477 right now. We go to Tesla, we take a look at Tesla because both of these are gonna be right after the close out here today. And we take a look at Tesla. Tesla right now is down a Buck 35. Yeah, Tesla looks to me like it wants to pull back a bit. To that, what do I say, is it 264. I think that's 30 bucks. It's not the end of the world. Tesla's definitely coming right up to some heavy duty resistance. There's no doubt about that, man. That's where it's traded for quite some time. You know what the amazing thing is? The amazing thing is how many shares that Elon Musk sold in the four and five hundreds and no one even bats an eye at it. It's like, amazing. Always remember, folks, the bear can claw your hideout, the bull can run you over, and thank God, there's always another trade. Health, happiness, and prosperity. Have a great night, folks. Have a safe night. Come back and visit Tommy tomorrow morning. Kick us off 9 a.m., great job, folks. Yeah, look at him, folks.