 The following is a presentation of TFNN The power trading hour with your host David white Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 now David white And welcome all to another excellent edition of the power trading hour It doesn't matter whether you're trying to sell ice to Eskimos in Alaska Or having a long island tea in tally-hass see As long as you're here at this time The following takes place between 2 p.m. And 3 p.m.. So we've got a little bit of a bounce Kind of what we were talking about this week. I gave it kind of a 50-50 chance That we just railed over or that we got a bounce and if we got a bounce it would be time to add a lot of short positions I am on that side of the fence today. So we'll see how the market closes But so far volume poor Especially for the equities a lot of volume early on in the indexes But we'll see if that can hold up the rest of the day a good chance for reversals before the end of the day or early on Monday options continue to be incredibly bearish But not pointing to anything other than Down significantly Put the charts in the newsletters to our newsletter today, but you know what? Could it go higher it could but And it's hurricane season As far as all the things that I look at for big surprises in the market where you're gonna lose a lot of money So I've kind of thinking that there's probably not a bad idea To make sure that either you've bought some downside protection or that you skeed addled Out of the market. I'm not exactly sure what it is, but there are a lot of people are worrying about something the biggest thing that I can tell you that is Telling me that we've got a couple of problems and I'm not exactly sure where they're at The first one of course is gold That's taken off that should start telling you there's something going on that we have not seen yet other than Straight inflation. I think that's part of it, but I think there's something else The other part is the bonds the bonds went up to right to resistance gave it all up back to 147 07 Got to 146 76 which is kind of support But over the next couple of days if that bus 146 50 that suggests it will make a beeline to 138 So keep an eye on that. It's Hadn't really broken down yet, but when the options are telling me something when the Bonds are telling me something and when golds telling me something Everybody thinks that they know that something's gonna happen and generally the people on the inside Generally, no, I don't know what it is. I Can speculate we talked about it earlier in the week about maybe The every ever grande deal Coming back now that the Germans are forcing it into bankruptcy Maybe that actually gets things going in a long But you know what it's always one of those things in bankruptcies like this with huge amounts of money Absolute mountains amounts of money that some people are going to be caught out and as William Buffett likes to say What is it about the oh everybody is what Everybody's out there swimming without bathing suits until the tide goes out something like that Anyway, there's naked people on the beach. That's what I remember about the story with Buffett, but yeah You know, you can be out there swimming when the tide goes out. You're gonna they're gonna know you're naked. So Yeah, I got all these naked people running around in my head. Okay, so what else do we have that's kind of it But we've got kind of a trifecta of something going on out here. I don't know what it is I can speculate a lot of times. I'd say more than half the time. It's nothing that someone has ever brought up But we continue to see the Chinese and the Chinese Communist government acting poorly I don't know if that's going to do any good to tell them that they're not making good choices But that's apparently the foreign policy of the US government now But what else can you say just keep an eye on it TLT 147 10 got down 146 176 146 50 is kind of a line in the sand But this the way we came off the highs out there is not good That does look like one big last drive to the top in my opinion Okay, and I Kind of like my version better naked people running on the beach You can tell who doesn't have swimming trunks on when the tide goes out That was his thing But uh, yeah naked people That's what I remember Okay, uh well What else do we have let's take a quick look at the TLT time to give me a call 877-927-6648 I had a question earlier in the uh Dan earlier this week And every time I went to answer it the gentleman that asked it was not there So I see that he is there now and he wanted to know about the possibility of emp problems with the computers The u.s. Government, uh after finding out that uh, it fired off a nuke and it ended up blowing up the electrical grid In hawaii and parts elsewhere Started doing a lot of research they actually built a bridge Over a giant cavern or not a chasm chasm cavern What is it the uh There's a giant ditch They made a big kind of runway across it put a b52 on it. You can find pictures of it on the internet They did a huge amount of emp Work there on whether or not you could blow a uh b52 out of the air just by coming close Not hurting the frame, but actually frying the electronics Uh, what they have found out is whether or not you're building one that uses conventionals munitions or you're using a uh the emp of a big, uh nuclear explosion Uh that it's all about the length of the wire attached to it if you got something that's uh, We'll say like the aerial six inches long probably not a problem You got something three three feet or longer attached to whatever electrical vice you have That is a giant antenna for getting emp in it Uh, if you got real close, uh the best idea is just to keep your valuable backups in a uh metal Uh ammo can that seals And make sure that you uh get a little grounding strap for the top to the bottom Some people use uh aluminum foil, but you can find all kinds of plans People have on the internet for doing that, but uh You just need to make a little fairer day cage to keep your values But uh, yeah, is it a big deal? It is anything with the three foot long, uh power cable is problematic Uh laptops probably Unless they get hit probably gonna hit five two four than that probably okay back in Are you grinding in the market? But seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with david white's powerful trading newsletter David white is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades support and resistance Define the ranges in which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges David white is able to find a path of least resistance David white's trading newsletter the path of least resistance is delivered daily Before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to david white's ultimate trading newsletter For $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30 day money back guarantee Take the path of least resistance at tfnn educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on wall street? 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That'll be interesting Uh, that's it for thursday of next week morning after the bell on thursday night. We've got amat Workday intuit, uh, palo alto networks. Williams sinoma Rost, uh, and farfetched Yeah, got a few of them Okay The company behind the global chip shortage Been identified who is that? Okay, that's interesting. I don't know if it's true, but it's interesting Okay, uh, let's get back to it. Uh, go ahead and take a look at the usual suspects Uh, as we said going into next weekend earnings applied materials up a little bit on light volume um Yeah I mean You don't have you really don't like this light volume on a friday Uh, let's take a quick amd. AMD still, uh, the most shorted one of the most shorted Stocks, uh, I don't know if anybody knows anything about this company Uh, but it is avalan bay communities Uh, but this is the most heavily shorted stock Uh yesterday and I mean a ton of people went short this thing I saw that they were buying another company So maybe that's part of the hedge But if anybody knows anybody knows anything about this company Why don't you call in today eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight? Uh, but uh, may I you know just on a volume basis 147 000 shares and uh almost 800 000 shares certainly not a lot of volume Back up these highs. I suspect that they are them buying out yet another big, uh, communities uh Company I think they're worried about them buying it at the high I don't know just a thought I don't know enough about them When you get somebody to go 45 short in a day in a company that's normally Um, it's good to have 10 short sellers throughout a day Yeah, there's something going on with that one Uh, other things going on as we take a look Question about beam therapeutics I had a good, uh Some good news spiked on it Back up over 100 and it kind of started giving it all back up They've got a trial going on, but I think that trial is going to take six months So maybe that is it no one wants to hang around take a look at the smh's today Quickly, um Again, this is the kind of pattern I start looking for And that is a move down below and a close below He came close a couple days above and then the next move down below It's not an ideal one, but that's kind of very close to what we're looking for out here So why you can't say pull the trigger yet on the smh's? Any close below something like about, uh Uh, 296 297 next week would set up some real worries in the market Apple is gonna have to Um, let other payment systems in the judge ruled against them this week They're up a little bit today, but not a lot of juice again Yeah, I think a lot of people are going to give them a benefit of the doubt for a while, but that's not much Uh Juniper networks, do they still matter? Um, I think they matter, uh, but not to the broad market I mean, it's a nice company to trade and make money on it. They had a decent breakout At 30 bucks. They made it up to 32 58 But uh, I don't know whole market just looks weird It's weird Okay We're up 20 20 eight points on the spcash dow up 149 nasdaq up 135 Russell basically flat on the day crude oil down a buck 34 I think we're finally starting to there were a lot of Rigs that were sitting idle Because of the price of crude And of course, uh, the government decided that uh, they want gas at eight bucks a gallon So they continue to try to move things around well Those a lot of those, uh wells that they couldn't make money on Are coming back online when we saw that in the baker Hughes numbers today I think we're gonna getting to the area where it's gonna be a little tough to get through this area. I do think that uh continued, uh just out now, uh trying to destroy the Possible fuel industry here in the United States crude oil to go to a hundred bucks I think right now you kind of run it into first We'll be back in a minute. Are you having fun trading the markets? 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I'm only looking at the short term but I don't think 100 150 points of the s&p is Into the world But the question is You only saw a small corrections likely in june july august time frame here in november see a larger Correction, please reshare key reasons for this Outlook, uh, well the first one be consumer confidence that had it down Since the end of the summer Secondly, we all saw the uh response to throwing huge amounts of cash and checks Into the market. We're going to get just the opposite of that We're going to get Huge amounts of cash coming out of the market And into heating bills shortly Not only that but literally everything that we touch has to be shipped or moved at one point or another for physical goods and You know, it's not just inflation Inflation is kind of an easy word It's literally going to suck uh disposable income out of the market over the next three or four months And it's going to be rather large Uh, I don't think powell as any reason to Not uh to start to raise to kill the inflation Uh, he knows he's not going to be the next fed president. I don't think any reasonable person would think that Uh, so he has no reason not to continue to cut I mean, uh, yeah to to uh taper So I think there's a little bit of that and everybody kind of knows that he probably would want to be remembered more like vulture Uh than uh yelling um And any handful of other things like that, but uh, you know right now just the uh that gold is running Uh that tlt is giving me the shivers With every newspaper I deliver Bad news on the doorstep I couldn't take one more step anyway The day the market died, maybe I don't know But uh, I'm just getting a overall sense light volume into the uh bounces the inability really even yesterday To bounce much if at all today The volume was poor also Other things I've talked about my newsletter We couldn't get anybody to short the last two days Very very low put buying Generally that means one it means a couple things one The risk reward to the downside opens up because there aren't people that naturally buy on the way down To the upside it ends ends up being somewhat muted Because you can't run as many shorts as you thought you could I've seen many A kind of uh ideas or is in the kind of percolating today around stocks that took off to the top They're gonna have no volume and if they roll over before the end of the day Could be a fairly big signal So I think that signal either comes late today or in monday But uh, we get back down to let's say 46 50 ish on the s and p cash. I think that opens the door I'm not exactly sure what next week happens, but I think a lot of those retailers are going to report some fairly bad numbers again You got tons and tons and tons of stuff that was uh supposed to be sold for Thanksgiving or not Thanksgiving halloween Uh, you couldn't find anything Other products, uh, couldn't find it, you know, if they're down five percent or something Is it really the end of the world? No, but I have a feeling a lot of people are going to look at that way in the market Uh, if you see walmart and target head south Um, you know, they still have a problem getting stuff in for christmas and it's almost thanksgiving I don't know the government still fails to to jump in and get that stuff off the docks So I don't know maybe just a perfect storm of everything Uh, just the complete, uh Ignoring of all the things that have happened eventually They all pile up to the last blade of grass you throw on the camel but uh You know, I it doesn't matter what you or what i'm looking at um You know the option market makers Are all kind of looking at their toes that are not thinking that the market goes Uh very much higher. They are all On the side that maybe it goes a little higher, but much more likely goes significantly lower Okay, other things going on that's kind of just in the next few months um But we shall see we get something like the uh S&P closing like 10 points higher I think that tells you a great deal today or maybe even 15 If you get half of it if you give half of the pop today back by the close That's telling something especially get in the next week now. I wouldn't be short the nasdaq Because those guys again Uh are a lot better off than target and walmart As I've said before if it flies you can buy it If it travels on container ships, that's a real problem So you're going to have a tail of two cities going forward So I'd be much more uh bearish on the traditional s and p stocks and anything up on extremely light volume today um Let's see what else we have eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight We answered that question. We answered that question Get in some of the other stuff uh Ron asks, uh a m z in if you see anything else, uh Still below the three by three uh another company where I've got a bunch of stuff ordered and You know what? I'm glad that I bought all my christmas presents back at the first of october It's all I got to say because I've got a bunch of stuff that I was going to get In addition to that stuff And ship out for christmas and I'm looking at I just got updates from amazon delivery date somewhere between the fifth Of december and the 28th So I don't know what that means other than I think it means that there's a container And whatever I want in that container and they're not exactly sure when that container is going to be released at long beach But that's just an idea. Anyway, I it's hard for me to believe Uh that amazon holds up if target and uh wal-mart this week with so we want to keep an eye on that uh to Uh some of the other things amd has been heavily shorted. Uh, it's just up a buck today Um, this is the most heavily shorted Uh tech stock and that it's up on light volume makes me think that maybe Uh The buy the dips on this thing is maybe Maybe wrong for just a little while But uh, uh, it's hard to say Uh, what else do we have here? Okay Question on twitter. Do you still see this augurring back to 40? Uh, yes, I do Um, I don't see any reason to be long Any of these stocks we've talked about metamucil Uh used to be facious book fascist book 149 12 is the Support level on may 13th from twitter. Gotta go test that Uh, I don't know if it holds up. There are a ton of companies now Getting into twitter's business And what they told us was going to be their big claim Has been taken by another company Yes, that is a good company. We'll be back in a minute Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area? Including the surrounding st. 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That's tfnn.com and hit watch tiger tv We return uh question about who i'm talking about sub stack Is a uh place for uh people that want to uh write newsletters and probably the most famous guys uh glenn greenwall who's the uh Guy that uh broke the uh snowden story and some of that stuff But uh, you know, you've got a lot of folks out here treating the fbi Even this week as its own personal uh secret police going after reporters it didn't like so, um You know if you're somebody like that You probably don't want the government being able to lean on somebody and get rid of your livelihood So, uh, we're finding more of these companies like sub stack Uh others that are going to fill the void of uh twitter um And I think twitter's probably And maybe in a year or two years, uh, we'll probably won't be talking about it anymore Everybody will go to these other platforms because there is free speech on them and not uh I don't know what it is right there, but it's certainly not free speech on twitter anymore Um, anyway, we got that question about air b&b uh I think that uh, especially uh This year probably will do extremely well if we're just talking about florida Uh, we had the the canadians kept out and uh foreign Europeans everybody else really kind of kept out of florida last year still had a very good year From people inside the country Uh, but uh, I've got what I call aluminum overcast down here and In tampa right now, and that's all the people since they opened up the borders on monday Uh, there's a ton uh ton ton ton a metric ton of canadians that have uh Mobile homes down here. There's entire mobile home parks with just canadians Are who that are like 80 percent canadians? And they want to come down here for the winter And uh, like I said, it's aluminum overcast. It's one bowing or air bus plane after another now Uh coming down here because they wanted to get down here before they were Trapped back in canada once again for the uh for the winter Uh, but uh, I think that will be good. There'll be a lot of people especially Uh now that europe's opened up, um I hear that orlando is incredibly packed But those people are going to need places to stay They're probably going to stay longer because they missed last year didn't get to go anywhere My guess is they will spend a little bit more time So air b and b makes more sense if you're just coming for a couple of days Maybe not so much, but if you're coming down for two weeks Pretty good Uh, and there are a lot of people that bought property this over this last year to put on air b and b Uh, so uh, yeah, I think it's uh, I think it's good. I think you're going to go back and test 214 if the market's turned down a little bit I think you'll also find people that uh are hard on cash Will turn to renting their summer or not their summer the winter florida homes Out to the air b and b also So I think this was a company that can do well Uh, whether the economy does well or not, but uh, yeah, I think this goes back up to uh, 215 It may be even higher over the winter Um, I know they're more than just the united states, but I have a feeling this is going to do incredibly well As everybody wants to come to the free state of florida. Maybe one of the last free states in the union Even though we have to do battle With the uh with the feds on a daily basis Our governor is going to keep this uh, keep the state open and running Uh, what else do we have? Oh, I had another one out here Okay stx um Question of whether to short seagate western digital Didn't do as well on earn its earning cycle. Let's take a real quick look at that It's bouncing a bit um I take it you're looking at the same thing Uh, it's very tough to short these right now um, I'm still waiting for memory to become cheaper than hard drive space And it just is tough, but this is a very ugly candle in seagate today I'm like I said, I'm going to think we're going to find a bunch of these by the Uh, when I run my scans this weekend But uh, no, you know, I think that if you're going to short something I will most likely think that you'd want to short something on the s&p side And maybe not so much on the uh tech side Uh, I think this could still probably do better than the s&p stocks overall People are going to continue to make data. It doesn't stop You know the big problem these guys have is any kind of margin They're all trying to sell to the same three or four customers now with big hard drives And it's just tough to do it But I don't see anything that says anything other than uh, I would want a short western digital first over seagate Uh, it looks much much more of the weaker sister And on that one To see what we have for retracement on it Um On this one, I'd probably want 67 ish On this I know that we might not get it But uh, that's where the risk reward is probably going to come in on this and again I'd probably want to be short a more bricks and mortar more Anybody that has problem with the supply chain Even though these are kind of heavy and a little big you can still throw these a lot of these on a 747 And get them over here So it's the companies that can't afford to ship stuff other than by sea Or by train They're gonna have real problems. I think over the next three four months So I would look at that first, but 67 bucks could be the short On western digital and of course these companies. I don't know if it's two years or five years But uh, probably both of them were out of business Okay Got a few more emails out here Okay, pick up the war emails To see how much time I got I got a minute left Okay question on tesla I was looking for a bigger bounce and You know what? You're just underneath it. I think you're still gonna get back up there I think we still talked about 11 75 ish As where you'd want to pull the ripcord on this on a short. I think you get a little bit of a bounce Out of here and you that's where you want to short it. You really haven't gotten that bounce yet I mean you got kind of like a one-day thing I think you're gonna have one more. They're gonna try to squeeze the shorts out and when it gets up there I think you're gonna see some kind of candle like we saw in In a seagate you're gonna see one of these things where it gives back half or more of the thing in the day And that's going to be the signal look for these big kind of Bust away Candles where most of it's given back in the day Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis And it's not just dry tedious text either Tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts To help you make the right moves with your money Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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You can call 877-518-9190 That's 877-518-9190 Catch toml bryan professional trader and educator founder of tfnn Also a special guest on cnbc tom will bisect and dissect the markets the toml bryan show next on tfnn Got a question on temiko as we wrap up the show today It blew through a previous high did so on lighter volume You had 28 million shares on the 26 57 high that was back on september 13th Um, you had about eight million shares on Yeah on november 8th And so you're probably going to pull back here a little bit What I would say is really good support comes in at 23 19 to 23 47 That is exactly if you're reading tom's book or want to look at confluence levels Those are two fibonacci levels put together. Uh, they work incredibly well. In fact, I use them probably pretty exclusively Compared to individual fibonacci levels Just because they seem to work so much better One fibonacci level works great two together have to be better, don't they? Anyway, I think they are 23 19 to 23 47 when they're very narrow like that and over a number of trading days like these Both legs have a few weeks. Maybe three weeks in them That is a very nice pattern And 23 19 to 23 47 is where I'd be looking at this. Uh, if it comes back Uh, we'll keep an eye on what's going on in the market, but uh, you know come sunday night You see that tlt? Well, it didn't really trade you see bonds under uh Uh under threat. I think you're probably going to see the market roll with it. Um You know 147 oh nine hadn't broken the 146 50 which has kind of been the line in the sand between good and bad in the markets Uh, but you break 146 50 On monday or tuesday or something. I think we're going down 139 Um, we ran back up to the highs Gave it up almost instantly with one big huge candy Gotta be watching that gotta be watching a few other things Gold is telling you something And now we're starting to get it into some other things. So keep an eye out See you monday same bat channel same pat