 Now let's get over to our man Mr. Tim Moore as we do every Tuesday and Thursday and don't forget folks You can reach Tim every trading day at odd hyphen oracle calm That's old hyphen oracle calm and I can tell you time just goes so quick It's hard to believe that feels like I was just speaking with him Well, I was because I called him a few hours ago, but I'm talking about on the air Tim. What's going on brother? Yeah, I sent you a bunch of charts. I don't know if we'll be able to use certainly did I like it man. No Awesome, man. Okay, so which shot do you want to start with? Well, it you know, we got the equities and we got the gold so whatever you want to do Pardon tell just tell me which shot to start with I start with one. Yeah, I just start with one, okay? So anyhow chart one This is kind of a We always got to look at the bigger picture and work backwards. Yes You got to look at, you know, what the bigger picture is doing and Anyhow the bottom window is the VIX. Yes, and when I did this chart it was thirteen point two nine Anything blows seventeen that usually you're okay when the market when the VIX starts to get above seventeen. That's when ugly things can happen and So the VIX relatively speaking is in a safe area, you know, you can have pullbacks, but nothing really significant Yes, and the next window higher is the SBX VIX ratio. Okay, and so That's a ratio. So it Moves up and down with the S&P. So if that ratio is rising that's usually a good sign But if you got the S&P's going up and you got that ratio going down Which off to the far left of the chart from then 2018 yeah all the way to 2020 I point out times when the S&P's were making higher highs and this ratio is making lower highs That's pretty amazing. Every time it did Pardon. No, it's just amazing. You know as you're looking at this chart folks Tim You can see the five red arrows man. Pretty amazing. I know cool. Go ahead. Yeah, so it's really Picked out, you know, even that COVID crash, you know, the market was going up I think was in March 2020. Yes, this ratio is going going way down It's really obvious of how that ratio worked and even though there is You know that kicked off the news and obviously the market crashed and back in 2021 late 2021 early 2022 you got the ratio or the S&P's making higher highs You got the ratio of making lower highs and so now you get over the current places You got the S&P's basically testing the July highs right now And you got the ratio making higher highs, right? Well, it's something similar happened back in April May of this year You got The S&P's were kind of testing its previous highs. Yes, I think around 41 40 200 and that ratio is breaking out to new highs You can have a little pullback But in general, this is bullish so the immediate term on the bigger timeframes So far is bullish according to the VIX below 17 and the SPX VIX ratio So but we did get out yesterday Are my trading gives you just I got out most show the reason why I got out okay, and you know the bigger trend up I Guess if you're longing, you know The odds point to that at some point. We're gonna make a higher high than where we are right now But you may have to suffer through some sort of a pullback for that next higher high comes. Yes So Reiterate folks, okay, because you've been following Tim and myself so Tim got in really close to these lows They got out yesterday before the close. Okay, and he made over 10 and was a 10 point to 10 10.4 percent of something Right was a was a 10.5 to Yeah, I'm on some okay, so so should we go to the next show get near the low If you go back and look March or October 27th was a low and that's the day I went long on the clothes I love that's right that Friday. That's right. Oh my god. Yeah I'm like a gapped up the next day and and I just can't kind of kept going. I was right. There's always Far as indicators go to get one indicator. That's good if you can get two indicators Yes, that's even better to match what you're trying to do So you want to you know if you got an indicator that 80% right and you got another indicator that's a percent right But they're not related at all then that increases your odds of success. Yes So on on page our chart to okay, I got another chart now Folks What's happening here as you've been following us right, you know, you've got the all the information about when we were coming into lows Now what you're gonna be getting done is you're gonna get information coming into highs Which is so cool because that's when you know that you have an amazing system that you can go both ways Okay, that's that's what it comes down to because we know anyway go ahead with the next shot Tim. Thank you All right. I'm on page or chart to I got to Light blue indicators. Yes, or it like to light blue shaded areas in the bottom window is just the SPY the next window higher is the VIX Ray it says the VVIX to BB a VIX to a VVIX ratio So it's a VIX and the VIX of the VIX so well, what's the VIX VIX is actually measures the premiums of options on the S&P's so when the VIX goes up that means the option premiums are going up So what's the VIX? Well the VIX anticipates the rising of the VIX or the VVIX anticipation Anticipates the rise of the VIX I hear the music I don't want to get too complicated here. No, no, it's cool that you're doing great just stay right there folks Tim and I coming right back We have the dial up 332 Nasik's down 116 S&P's a seven and a half Tim and I come right back folks Welcome back folks dial up that 333 Nasik up Nasik down a 111 S&P's off 7 we're talking about Managed to Tim wood and I have the second child up here Tim right well this the middle window is the VIX to VVIX ratio and normally when it's trending down the mark is trending up and And pretty much the S&P's are actually testing is August Or late July or August highs is kind of actually moving sideways here No, the point I was trying to make this ratio in general is making lower lows as the S&P's are basically testing its previous highs Didn't quite draw this chart right but in general is another area term bully signed You can have short term pullbacks here, but this this other this other ratio gives another bullish bigger picture So Anyhow that's a flip to chart three. I think this that was I think you just went over chat three Okay, except the chat three says at the top vix slash VVIX ratio is that chat three? the top Yeah VVIX to VVIX ratio a spy versus VVIX T All right, I must get the charts just scoot up. What do you got for chart three? Just tell me what would chat three says at the top I can find it But chart three is just the VIX. Yeah, so wherever the VIX is just It'd be the just the chart of the VIX on the top very top left Okay, I think that was shot to okay All right, did I do I did I mess them up so the chart goes back to mid 2022? I Kind of what happens Tim when I'm on here I did the screens away in front of me so I kind of had time seeing those smaller print That's called getting old Tom. Yeah, well, I'm blind them on ice. I'm with you. I'm with you Let's let's do this. Let's go. We got to get people on the same page Yeah, let's go to the chart that says at the top spy VIX VVIX ratio and then the daily VIX and the VIX higher lows. Is that the one we is that the one you just did? Yeah, that's one. We just okay. That's all right then. Let's go to the next one one second So how about chart four that see what chart four say that's the TLT VIX VVIX, right? Okay, all right. We'll go to that. Okay. Thank you. Okay All right The point I was trying to make a big size trying to confirm that the bigger trend is up Which is all those other charts. Yes, and the reason why I got out yesterday is because of this TLT VVIX ratio, right? That's the reason why I got out yesterday, right? So what I'm saying is the bigger trends up the short-term trend at best the sideways and probably going to see a pullback in the Coming days and the reason why I got out yesterday is because of the TLT VVIX ratio Yeah, this is like an early warning. I kind of like it. I think that yeah, right. Okay, great And so anyhow back in July the market was going up. Yeah, and Making higher highs and this ratio is making lower highs and remember on the radio We got it. You know, I just said that we got out in July. No, I remember this one. Yeah, big time Yeah, and I showed you that ratio. That's the reason why I got out in that ratio Yes, and also I said going into the October 27th low. Yeah This is one of the reasons why I got back in the market because this ratio is going to make it higher Lows why the SP is making lower lows, right? And so now you got the ratio kind of you got the SP's kind of going sideways up a little bit Yeah, well that sideways and this ratio is going right through the floor, right? Gone straight down. Yeah, so that's a bearish divergence That's one of the reasons why I got out of the market. I get it. Yeah, and sometimes You know, you can you can go These diversions have been last several days even a couple of weeks if you look at the July high Most of July was showing a divergence So I kind of just waited and they got lucky you got close to the highs, but for now You know the market upside it's just having a lot of trouble and we're also running into the July highs there So we're not seeing a sign of strength through those highs and we got this ratio TLT VIX ratio going straight down why the SP's are kind of holding up the highs So to me, that's a very sign. So what it's going to do Well, my opinion flip to chart five, okay? And this is the same thing, but the charts kind of blown up Yeah, if you look at the bottom window there, you can kind of see the versions Yes, he's been going sideways. Yes, it looks like about November 20th sideways Maybe up a little bit since November 20th And if you look at at that ratio the ratio made a high around November 20th and since then it's been trending down and I did a Pibonacci relationship from the October low up to the the recent high and That's a 21 or 38.2% retracement comes exactly where that gap is and that gap is right around that 444 area I think that's probably where we're going to go. So it's only a 38.2% retracement. It's no guarantee We'll get there. I'm not a I don't have a crystal ball in front of me I don't really have enough evidence to go short right and I may not go short because You know the market doesn't have to go down It just could go sideways and and I just put up this this so as you're watching Tiger TV folks You can see what Tim's talking about. I mean, it's amazing that that gap is right at 38% man I mean just like right on And it's a big gap so it's it's a it is a big gap folks Okay, so the real bottom line is that what's interesting Tim today is that you know the NASDAQ's getting hit and The gap inside of the NASDAQ. I mean, it's going right after it right now You know, this is the end the X100 rather You know, that's off 128 points and that gap actually starts at 15,000 726 and we actually hit 15,000 825 Yeah, so it's still a hundred points off of but but we get to just this is really cool man. Okay Yeah, so get to just a lot of times, you know the NASDAQ kind of leaves the S&P markets absolute That's that will outperform the S&P. Yeah, you know, and absolutely. So yeah, pretty cool Yeah, that may or may not happen But that you know that right now that I think that's a logical conclusion is that yes I may get that pullback and and now how to identify that pullback as we'll go on the shows, you know the next Week or two whatever right wherever this pullback starts. Maybe it won't put there Maybe it will but it does get there. You'll have to have panic in the ticks and trend We'll discuss that when we get that pullback right need to get that pullback and we'll help identify You know through the football ratios and actually the trend is my favorite tool for his panic totally But and you know folks, okay if you missed the workshop that Tim did it was an amazing workshop about Identifying, you know the lows that were out there, you know He went through all of these So it's really cool man because you know it's gonna be amazing Tim is that if we only get a point point three a Two pullback and your panic. It's like amazing when you think about it, right? But that's what's happened on the last couple pullbacks. They think it's the end of the world man Do you know what I mean? And the panic came in pretty quick. It seems like I came in pretty quick, you know Yep, yep, it did So we're gonna have some music here about we are just stay right there. We're gonna be coming right back folks We're gonna do we get that three more shots to go through Dow right now up 369 that's XI down 104 recipes are off three and a half. They're right there folks to come right back Welcome back folks Tim or Tom over there We do appreciate you growling a problem on us and don't forget folks You can hold a Tim any trading day at all or D hyphen oracle calm. That's all hyphen oracle calm We're on the TLT VVIX chat him All right, we're kind of done with that. That's what okay may develop in the coming days. So that's what Any other possibilities? Okay, so now I got the oh good. Okay. Let's have some fun here We got the RSI with the GDX and here we go. Okay All right. Yeah, we presented this chart on the Your program before yes back in August 23rd. I This church actually pretty good it buddy. I wanted to go through it one more time But the blue lines on the chart above Are the times when the RSI falls RSI of the bullish percent index for the gold miners index flash GDX Ratio when the RSI falls below 30 then closes above 30. Yes, I went when Are triggered bicycles for this for this method and it works pretty well But I wouldn't point out back on August 23rd That ratio or the RSI of this ratio fell below 30 close above 30 Which is a bi-signal and right after it went black below 30 again and triggered another bicycle on October 4th Okay, so The point the point was is a very unusual to get a double bicycle actually the last time that happened was in 2022 something similar that happened. So You know the signal was was accurate better gave another bicycle right after it. Yes, so we had to you had to Set through some pain before you got another bicycle So it called a low in August and it called another low in October the October low Obviously was a better one to catch because You know it screamed down scream right back up right so anyhow I just want to point that out But it is on a bicycle now. We've got the trend going up these signals sometimes last a year It's not sometimes longer so it's with the Chart number seven. Okay There we go. This is kind of where we are right now. So the bigger trend is up You can see the August low came in around 28 or so. Yes, and the October low comes in 26 or so 25 something in there, but the whole pattern Is my opinion the head and shoulders bottom the head was the October low The the August low was the right left shiller Yes, the right shiller was in November low and you had a sign of strength through that neck line Which is that blue line right there? So now you have support at 30 because you jumped the neck line now that becomes four doesn't have to pull back down to that neck line But it could and that's that that when we talk in this Tim that we did this on Tuesday, correct? They had jumped. Yeah, yeah, I think right Monday Monday Tuesday Why twice red market just accelerated volume was huge volume to man I mean we ended up with 40. Yeah, 41 million shares folks It blew away every one of those swing points to 38 was the biggest swing point and 21 so pretty cool, man Okay, go ahead. That's really you know, you know what you want to pick up out of this folks Which Tim is saying is that when you do break these you have to break them with the sign of strength So your probability goes higher. Would that be correct? Yeah? Yeah? Yeah, you are correct We this is only 30, you know, this was like the fourth or fifth time up Yes, 30 so to get through it You can't just go up there and test it a lot of volume could ain't gonna go through it Right, you jump to it with a really a flap in the face to get through it. So now that becomes support Yeah, and the bottom two windows exit The bottom window is the up-down volume percent with an 18-day average, okay? And I deleted one of those lines at minus 10 But anyhow when both those indicators are above minus 10 You got an uptrend going in the market and all that blue stuff on the chart is when that indicator both indicators are above minus 10 I see and okay when the indicator is below minus 10 on both of them That's when all the pink areas are in there interesting Okay, you you got above minus 10 on both indicators back in You know looks like a right around Thanksgiving time frame. Yes, you know, right? And so it's you got a gap up there things turn green and so you got another chance to get through that that Resistance of 30 which it did and so far we're in the green area But the blue area and so in my opinion, you know, as long as those two indicators hold above minus 10 The other end should continue, you know pretty cool pulling back now Kind of curled over. I think it's just a normal consolidation. I don't think right We're going to pull back much. I guess at worst case we may pull back at 30 But you know, sometimes when these rallies go they don't let you in particularly in the gold market Tim, right? Yeah, especially in the bull market. Yeah, so on a short-term basis in your mid-term basis look really good What the next chart? Okay, I have the next one up. Yep. Here we go to that one. Okay. I have it up All right, this this chart now this defines the bigger trend it doesn't it doesn't attempt to make the Every wiggle in the market this gets you along out It gets you along after the lows and get you out after the tops. Yes They get you in the main trend, right? So you want this chart in your favor and so it gave of a sell signal back in 2012 and It stayed short or stayed out of the market all the way into 2016 low got you a little bit late, but got you in Kept you in for 2016 to 2018 got you out in that sideways kind of consolidation Okay, got you back in at 2019, which is the next blue line. Yeah kept you in for another year and a half and got you out and Looks like about 2000 January 2021 you got out and pretty much you've been out since 2021 and now you're right at that mid-bolinger band to get a signal you need a Close above the mid-bolinger band on both of them. Okay, so so all those The blue and red lines are time when both those indicators close Above the mid-bolinger band. That's the blue line when it closes below the mid-bolinger band That's the red line. So this mark this one picks out the trend and most these trends You know, you got trends from 2012 2016 now four years Most these trends are at least a year and a half And it got you out in 2021 just about ready to get you back in 2000 And you know, maybe this year or first part next year But once it gets it gets long it's it stays long for you know, years No, which is so cool, man. No, I get it. It's almost like a point-and-figure Deal folks point and figure, you know, it's a good system, but it gets you in later Get you out later, but it's a very accurate type of system interesting man Yeah, because they listen when we look at the you know, the GDX in general It's only a 30 in the high was 66. So I mean it's like, okay, you know, this is Well, I'm thinking is you know, I wish I had this going back further, but it's on GDX So but I like to see them back to like 1988. I think we're in a time frame Where this chart to turn up is we've been going according to this chart Momentum in the up up down volume and advanced client indicators have been in general week all the way since 2021 yes, so in general, you had a hard time making money over the last three years Yep, and gold sock that they really didn't have performed. Absolutely. Once these once these things turn up It could be like a good like 2000 remember back 2000 Listen, there's no doubt folks and what ends up happening, you know The longer that you build cause folks the higher that you can go and that's what Tim is saying that this is a three-year Deal that we're going through. Well, listen Tim. It's always a pleasure, man You have a great weekend a safe weekend and we look forward speaking you on Tuesday All right. Thank you. Thanks, man. Stay right there folks. You come right back