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Sign up today. Absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on The Tigers then are on the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN has launched our brand new website. You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL, but when you do, you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com, educating investors. Now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Okay folks, I've also posted another article that Norm passed on to us. It's about that golden week that we have coming in Japan starting tomorrow and going through May the 6th. It's going to be the longest period of time that the Japanese financial markets have been closed in the last 80 years back to World War II. So you've got to be really careful folks because there's going to be some illiquidity possibly over there and you want to be at least aware of it. And that doesn't mean the Bank of Japan might come in and do something anyway. So just be careful. It's a sign of something unusual. That's all we want to pay attention to. Probably nothing will happen this time because it's on the internet quite a bit. Even the Chicago Mercantile Exchange posted something about it. So this time it probably won't mean anything but the fact that it's there is we should pay close attention to it. Because we've seen some really big moves here this week in the dollar. The euro, especially the Australian dollar, has been a really good one. And the British pound has been really good too. So we're going to watch and see how these things end up. But because of that's happening, we're certainly going to be aware of it here at TFNN. We'll try to remind each other every day that that's going to keep going all the way through the following Monday. So it's going to be quite interesting as we look at some of these things. I posted the chart of cattle. This comes right out of the futures newsletter that I do every week. This was as of Friday. And then you can see what's happened this week. And the key to this was the sale came in on Friday of last week. And the fact that the market could not open higher on Monday was a really strong indication that that pattern at the 78% level was probably pretty good. And of course, as you can see, the cattle broke quite a bit down to this 6 cents a pound all the way down with that big wide range. That's most probably means it's probably going to go even lower. But that's what that pattern was nothing more than that particular, you know, pattern of, you know, going up to the 78% level with a lower top. And that makes it a really interesting pattern. Now I wanted to bring one other thing to your attention. I have to put this this footsie up today because I missed it earlier in the morning. And you can see here that the footsies had a pretty big break here in the last day or so. We had all of those big things there. And we'll say we'll get this up here. You'll see there we go. You see right at the 75 area, we completed a big ABCD pattern on the daily pattern. And now we've had a pretty good break. And I think that's we're getting ready to see here in the US market. And the reason why I say that folks is because if you look at some of these stocks that are having the earnings, in fact, the Amazon came out with absolutely incredible earnings. And yet the stock is up, you know, very little, you know, given the fact that how bullish things were. I mean, the analysts that I heard on Bloomberg this morning, my God, they were going crazy. It sounded like, you know, the IPO for Facebook. So who knows? One other question someone's asked is about Fibonacci numbers. How come they work? How come they don't work? You know, hey, folks, I don't know the answer. All I know is I see these things popping up and why they stop at these numbers. I have no idea. Look at Facebook yesterday, folks. It gaps up like what? It up about $14 and it stopped at the exact. I mean, to the tick at $198 and change at the 786 retracement of the high that we made on the island reversal way back in July. I mean, why did it stop exactly there? There are not that many people that know what the 78% level is. You know, I certainly believe that it's got to be something related to the normal reaction of what's going on in the market. You know, one of the reasons why I believe these numbers work is because it's all part. I haven't got that many students, Marshall, is it's all part of the DNA of which we're all involved because all DNA is based on these Fibonacci spirals that we see all the time. It just depends how our chromosomes, you know, line up, you know, because that tells us, you know, where our relatives are and all that kind of thing. You know, that DNA folks is very important because it's one of the main reasons that there's never been a murder conviction in the state of Arkansas. And the reason for that is most people have the same DNA. I used to tell that joke and I used to get a lot of laughter, but just an old joke. So anyway, let's move on here and talk about a couple other things. As British Pound has held up extremely well, folks, we were looking at it. If you remember last Friday, we wanted it to get down to that 29 area. We got down to 128, 68. We bounced a little bit, acting okay so far. The risk on this now is very, very small under $200. So it is acting the way it should hasn't bounced very much as of yet. But we've had a little bit of a bounce in the Euro this morning mainly because of the GDP report and the fact that it was incredibly oversold here in the Euro. And we've rallied about what 50 or 60 pips off the bottom, which isn't very much. And the most rally we should get would most probably be about 80 pips. That would be the thing that I would be looking at that. So that's it. So those are some of the things that we're looking at here this morning. I wanted to bring to your attention, of course, one of the reasons for this NASDAQ yesterday. If you take a look at this NASDAQ, we were watching it really closely because there was a perfect ABCD up there at that 78, 75 level. It was 78, 79, I believe. We broke all the way down to 7790. And today we rallied back to the exact 61% level at 7340, whether it's going to stop there or not. I don't know, but the key there is nobody else does either. But that's a very, that's a really strong possibility that there is a top in there. We saw the same thing, of course, in the E-mini S&P, if you'll remember, that that was another one that we had the same type of a pattern for me. If you'll remember yesterday, just to show you that big drop that we had in the DAX today, excuse me, the footsie, look what we were showing yesterday, folks, when it was making the top. Look at the beautiful little three-drive pattern up there right at the 75, 30 level, which was priding. Please dissect. Oh, you want to take a look at the gold? You betcha. We will be happy to. Gold stopped right at the 50% retracement this morning. Let me get the live chart up here, Mr. Z. Just give me one second and I'll put it up here into the den so that we can all see it. It'll only take me just a short period of time to do that and then we'll get it up here. Let's move it up here. Let's do the four hour. Let's just do the daily here. Oh, this is looking really good. We bought the gold the other day, yesterday, Wednesday, of course, and it's acting okay so far. Let's just hold on. Ah, shucks. It's the secondary. Just relax. Just relax. Okay. We just missed the 61% retracement by half a dollar. One second. I have to send this out. And now I have to retrieve it and then it'll be coming into the den so that everybody will see it with a little luck. And I do believe we have a little luck working on us today. Let's don't be too spoke too soon. Is that it? No, that's not it. Yep. There it is. Hold on one second. Here it is, Mr. Z. We'll get it up here. Had an order to buy some more today, but we didn't get filled. We're sitting there at 1275 and a half. We got to 1276 and we've rallied 10 bucks. This is telling us that we've got a pretty good chance here, this gold making a pretty good turn. We've been waiting for it. The 23rd was the day. If you look at the bottom there at the 23rd, folks, this is an hourly chart on a June gold. You can see that three drive to a bottom from the 16th of March, the 18th to the 23rd. Bada bing, bada boom. She's on the way. We'll be right back. 877-927-6648. Larry will send out via charts or videos or both the key markets that he is watching during the day. This will be up to the date active trading information that will help you in your daily trading. In Larry's first week alone, he sent out 25 charts, 6 videos and a full report to his subscribers in just one week. If you're a technical trader that uses patterns and retracements to trade, then Larry's service Fibonacci 24-7 is something that you must try. Right now, new subscribers can get a full 30 day money back guarantee. With nothing to risk, sign up now to Larry Pezzavento's Fibonacci 24-7 by visiting the front page of TFNN.com under Trading Newsletters. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30 day free trial to David's daily newsletter, the path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning, then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under Trading Newsletters. For all the details and to start your 30 day free trial today, log on to TFNN.com now. 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Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Okay folks, going back to that Fibonacci stuff, I posted a chart, the long-term weekly chart of Microsoft. And as you can see, the high was exactly a 1.618 expansion. It's a weekly chart, folks, at 130, 157. I mean, to the tick. I mean, how could that happen? I guess some people over there at Redmond, Washington must have been locking in some dividends or stuff like that. I don't know. Anyway, sometimes these Fibonacci numbers work, sometimes they don't. The thing that you have to remember is they just as important when they don't work as when they do work because when they fail, that usually just means they're going on to the next sequence of numbers. And you don't want to get locked in, you know, to something like I did with the doggone gold trade. This I'm not going to do anymore. I'm not going to get emotionally attached to it. And my attachment is gone because I just moved the stop to break even. And now we'll see what happens with it from there. So that's pretty much what we're going to be looking at here. Someone's asked a question about how confident do I feel that this could be a major top? I don't know if it's going to be a major top. I think we're going to have a tradable top here in the stock market. It could be a major top because nobody's looking for one. And so that there's a possibility, but it'll tell us if it is, it's going to have one hell of a bad day here pretty quick. I mean, that that'll really tell you that, you know, the door is the door to the old Corral has closed and not many of the horses can get out. So let's let's watch that because right now it's doing nothing. This is just bouncing around no volatility pretty much. And so it's really, you know, it's really acting extremely bullish. That's it. As far as the bonds, we had some nice movement today after the report. First time the GDP, the market broke, of course, and then short rallying come in and the markets not back again. And we went back above the 61% retracement in those bonds, which was at 147.16. I believe we're trading a tad higher than that right now. We're trading at 147.21. But that's neither here nor there. So we'll see what's going to happen. So with that, as we go through and look at regarding the grains, folks, one of the reasons why I have not, I nibbled once. If you remember early, early in the week I nibbled, it was last week, excuse me, I nibbled at soybeans because we were making a beautiful garlic there. And believe me, I did not risk more than four cents in soybeans because it had to stay there and stop right at that 78% level and it didn't. It stayed there for about 10 minutes and then immediately got out of the trade. And if I had had any sense at all, I would have shorted it because if it breaks below that 78% level in a strong downtrend like that, the odds of it going to 1.27 or even 1.618, like soybeans did, is quite high because it's like a magnet. And once you break through these numbers on the upside, they go higher. Once you break through the downside, they go lower and they're pulled by those numbers to the next level. And believe me, remember, folks, I'm a fundamentalist, oh my God, I'm a technician. I don't know diddly squat about the fundamentals and I stay away from them. And I try to think about things like we're seeing here with this Japanese holiday, the golden week, because that could affect us because that means liquidity could be, well, there won't be any liquidity in Japan. There'll be some in other parts of Asia, but Japan is the big daddy rabbit over there, so you've got to pay very, very close attention to it for sure. Now I wanted to show you a trade here that we really wanted to do on the short side, but we never quite got there. This is the hog market. Remember, we came in, I'm a Southern fundamentalist, you're about right. I misspoke on that one. Yes, the oil I believe has topped, but this is just, we stopped right at the 78% level at the crew this morning, folks. It was 63.77 and low was 63.67. We've rallied 60 pips to stop exactly right there. Actually, most of you folks, I'm from Southern Indiana. I was Terre Haute, Indiana was only about 40 miles away from where the Clux Klan started. Not very proud of that, but it did start in Indiana. Let's take a look at this June hog chart. We had that beautiful garly pattern, three drive to a bottom down there at 73. We had a little bit of a rally of about 27 cents a pound, and now we're pulling back, and it looks like I was thinking we might get, if you see that line that I had there, I was thinking, this is, we've been down every day this week. I was thinking we might rally early in the week to make a three drive to a top pattern there, but we didn't, and now we're pulling down. So I believe we're going to be heading down to about 85 cents per pound in these June hogs. That's the old high that we made back in November. So that's going to be a really key level. Now at any time, if the Chinese get, yep, Evansville is where Don Mattingly is home, the old Evansville purple aces, right across, almost across the river from Louisville, where we always travel the first Saturday in May. By the way, I have the winning horse in the Kentucky Derby. Be sure you get your money into me by next Friday, folks, because we've got to get those bets in on Saturday morning for the Derby. We're going to be betting the Superfecta this week in the Derby when it comes up. All you have to do is pick the horses finishing one, two, three, and four. Really a small task when there's only 20 horses. The odds are about 300,000 to one. Anyway, let's move on to, by the way, I just mentioned that because it was 10 years ago, there was a horse, no, it was more than that. It was about 15 years ago, a 50 to one shot named Jacomo won the Kentucky Derby and the $1 Superfecta. In other words, if you bet $1 and picked horses one, two, three, and four in that order, that ticket paid $870,000. Now, it didn't pay as much as the lottery, but it has a better chance of going on. Yes, I don't know about the crash and the cryptocurrencies, Ruby, but I do watch Bitcoin. We were up there. What was the crash? Did it get down? Did it drop four or 500 bucks? I don't know. How much did it drop, Ruby? You'll have to tell me because I don't follow that that much. I've never traded it. I just watch it for entertainment purposes, but I don't know how much. David, can you tell me how much Bitcoin? Yeah, 500 points. No big deal. That's what? That's nothing. That's a 10% drop in that thing. I mean, we've gone from 3,100 to 5,600. Why couldn't we have a small correction? We're looking for a 3,8,2 correction in that, and that's going to take you at least down to 4,100, I believe. So 4,400, so that's nothing. First of all, those exchanges, let's change the subject. Let's change the subject on Bitcoin, folks. We don't need that. Let's move on to something that we can pay sort of attention to. That's the real thing that we want to watch. The gold, let's get back to the gold just for a second, just to give a rough idea of where we are here. We're trading about $10, $12, $15 higher. We'll see. Yeah, the do that. I bet you were on that NASDAQ at $78.40 with the I at $70.40, $50, weren't you? So we'll see. Yeah, we've had a pretty good bounce. Well, it's bounced more than the... Yeah, it's bounced $17, $18, I think, which is the harmonic number in gold. The gold's got to get above this $12.91 level, folks. And that's pretty much it. So let's keep an eye on that. We get above that. It's okay. The silver started to pop up a little bit. It's rallied better than $0.40 since Ruby told us on Monday when it got to that $4.70 level the exact $0.61 and, you know, platinum still looks relatively good. So let's take a break when we get back. We want to go through and take a look at Amazon. Which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year, or $6,200 over the four-year period. 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As of April 1st of this year, the gold report currently has eight active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8% for each open trade. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your gold report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. Don't let gold's next big run pass you by. Sign up today. Will the S&P 500 continue to climb for bold trades on U.S. large-cap stocks in either direction trade SPXL, SPUU, or SPXS, directions daily S&P 500, bull and bear leveraged ETFs. Direction leveraged ETFs. An investor should carefully consider a fund's investment objective, risks, charges, and expenses before investing. A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares. To obtain a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus, call 866-476-7523 or visit Direction Investments.com. A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the fund is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor for side fund services, LLC. Next on TFNN. Okay, folks, we're going to take a look here at Amazon. As you can see here, we're up right near that 78% double. This is another one of the trillion-dollar companies, I guess. But it hasn't made new highs. Google almost when it made a new high came very, very close within just a few dollars of making a new high. That could be a potential for a double top. It's a little early to tell, but the fact that we've had all this good news come out and these things have not gone crazy to the upside, especially with the news that we're seeing gives you maybe a little bit of an idea that maybe it's getting a little tired. That's about the only way you could possibly describe it. So keep that in mind. So they're just little patterns that we're looking at. But the key one, of course, was that NASDAQ making that big ABCD at making a double top above the double top without confirmation between the New York Stock Exchange Index or the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the IWM, the Russell 2000. All of those mean something very, very much. You'll notice here, if you take a look at this pattern in Google, you'll see that we do have a modified, well, it's a pretty extended three-drive pattern almost at the exact double top that we made back in July. And if you look at this closely, there's a nice little butterfly pattern in Google coming in at the same time. Please re-show the chart of the New York Stock Exchange Index with the numbers. Absolutely. We can do this. No extra charge here on Friday. And we'll get this up here. Now, remember, we did get up to hit that 78% level on Tuesday. That was the day that we went to the exact 78% level in the New York Stock Exchange Index, just a little above 13,000, and we immediately reversed from that level. But if you look at this really closely, folks, if you'll watch this NYSE chart, you'll notice the first 78% level coming between January and September. And then you'll see the second 78% level coming in between September and April. Folks, that's a 135 pattern. The one is in January of last year. The September was September of this year. And then that's the three. And then the five is where we are right now because they're both 78% levels. And you can see what happened from the one in September. We went from 13,250. We dropped, what, 24% in a matter of three or four months to make the biggest bottom that we've seen since Hector was a pup. And that dog's 14 years old now. So pay attention to these because this could be something very important. Remember, the New York Stock Exchange is the biggest and the broadest of all the indices that we look at. They don't trade it. They used to. It was called the knife, but they don't do it anymore. But it's used for calculating these mutual funds and ETFs and stuff that are out there because it is, I think it's 2,300 issues of the most liquid and highly-capitalized stocks in the United States. And there's foreign stocks in there too that are really big. So we'll watch this very, very closely. Another person, something asked me that, oh, Starbucks. Yes, Starbucks, they should be making a lot of money because the, what was that guy's name? David Einhorn was either one that bought the big bet, the billion dollar bet on Starbucks way back when it was 58 or something. And here it is, 76. Yeah, here it is. Hold on a second here. Well, I would tell you, I would have to be really careful being a long Starbucks in here, boys and girls. This is not a, let's get this over. He bought this at 58, I believe. Yeah, he bought it at 58 and had that big gap up. Let's just look at this. And now it's trading at 76. Let's, just a minute, I gotta put this through the mill here. Otherwise it's not going to come out right on the chart for the Den and Al. They'll get all upset with me and I like Al and I don't want him to be upset with me. So let's get this Starbucks chart up here so we can all see it. All I gotta do is find the doggone thing now. That's the problem. Da da da da da. Oh, Starbucks, what did you do to me? All right, bear with me, folks. It's got, I just got so much to cover that I can't get it all done and that's what the problem is. Is this it? Nope, that's not it. It's got that huge gap. I just don't see it. Where did I put the chart? Dear, that's not it. Well, I'm going to get that chart up there in some way. It's here. All I gotta do is find it and there it is, right there. Hold on one second. There we go. You'll be able to see it here. I think it was a Dave and I. Yeah, it must have been Dave and I or made a billion dollar bet when it was at 50, 58 bucks, I believe, is where he bought it. You know, I've got that little red box there. Maybe that's where he bought it. Yeah, that little red box that's there. He must have bought it at around 54. He put a billion dollar bet. As I recall, I think that's why I notated that little red box. Otherwise I wouldn't have that in there and now it's trading, you know, almost doubled in price. So that's a huge bet that's paid off and you know, it's still looking pretty good and considering, you know, the Starbucks is going up and the price of coffee went right down to the sewer. You know, there was nobody wanting to buy coffee, but now they're starting to nibble a little bit at the coffee market. So maybe that'll cut the margins for Starbucks, but he mainly was because of the Chinese. I think they're opening two Starbucks a day in China and they could probably do that for two centuries before they run out of those. Go. Al, you can call him Al. That's an old joke. All right, let's move on. We had another question about the banking index. I just wanted to show you that's another one that was lagging the market badly and you'll see here that we've certainly done that. I mean, this was the leader on the way up. It led on the way down. It made the bottom down there, that beautiful ABCD down there in December 26. It was Bill Ackerman. Thank you very much, Pete. I appreciate it. I don't follow those guys too much, but I didn't think it was David Einhorn because I know him and he's the poker player and I don't know who Ackerman was, but we'll see. They all probably go to the same country club, but, you know, not the country club I go to. By the way, we've had lots of illegal aliens coming across the border here in Tucson, folks. They rushed the border yesterday, the day before yesterday here in Tucson, about 500 people. There weren't any Mexicans in the group, folks. They were all from either Guatemala, Cuba, Honduras, Egypt. There were a whole bunch of, you know, it was just from everybody, but there's a crisis here in Tucson. I can tell you that right now. They've warned us on our televisions here to, you know, to stay out of that area, which is down by Tijuana, so we'll see what's going to be moving on. Anyway, who knows? I try not to listen to that politics. Oh, my God, I tell you, you know, if it wasn't for Donald Trump, I think they would probably close CNN and Fox and everything else. They wouldn't be anything to talk about, for God's sake. You know, if they don't even mention the fact that somebody is as popular and as wonderful as John Havilacek, no one even mentioned it. I saw a little tiny blurb, and that's it, you know. Anyway, we'll see how that works out. We've got to pay a few bills here, and then we're winding up for the weekend. That's a pretty good, pretty good idea. All right, let's move on here. We'll take a little break here. 877-927-6648. Al says the lines are just jammed up today, folks, so you won't be able to call in. I'm sorry, that's just filled up. The lights are just all over the board there, and we just can't take it. Maybe next week, and we will have another guest next week that I think you're going to enjoy quite a bit. We have Tim Boston, and we're also going to have the Shane Mann, the Wolf Traders coming out. He's in the house. 877-927-6648. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability, and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6, and 3 months. Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. 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Stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game. Visit our newsletters page by going to TFNN.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page. TFNN.com Educating Investors Since 1984, Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion. While originally hand-drawing charts from the late 1970s and 1980s, Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply. Later Basil found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy in calling price turns as well as market trend calls. Thus was born the Chapman Wave sequence. Using the Chapman Wave methodology along with other indicators, Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion as well as the average market day with his opening call newsletter. Right now you can get a two-week free trial to the opening call Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing. Get your two-week free trial to Basil's newsletter of the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner at www.thinkorswim.com Okay folks, we're going to be taking a look here at this Euro because we did get down to that key level below that 1160 area. We bounce back up to it so it really doesn't mean anything. We're trading at the same level that it broke out to the downside which is 1160. So it does. We got a caller from Barmington, I think New Hampshire. Charlie, are you there? Yes, I am. It's Framingham. Framingham. Okay, what can I do for you, my friend? I don't know if you covered this already. You haven't been able to listen to the show entirely. But GDX Oh yeah, we'll cover it right now for you because we bought that on Wednesday. It's acting really good. If you bought it just put your stop at break-even and it looks like it's got a real chance in here so I would still look, the gold looks okay. As long as gold, spot gold, June gold stays above that 1268 level. That's about $20 somewhere it is right now. I think we're in good shape on the gold. But getting below 1268 would say that's not good so you want to put your stop as near as break-even as you possibly can. Got it. Thank you very much. I appreciate it. I hope you bet. Have a wonderful weekend and I'll remember Framington. Where is that in New Hampshire? It's actually Framingham. It's in Massachusetts just 25 miles west of Boston. So that's where you get the accent huh? Framingham I'll remember that. Tell me about that because he's from Boston. Hey, thanks for calling in Charlie. We really appreciate it but hang on to that gold as long as it stays above that 1270 level in the spot gold. It's got a good chance I think. You got it. Thank you Larry. You're making a good one. Alright, you too. Thank you folks. Folks, we're coming up to a break-in. Live every day in an attitude of gratitude and live every day like it's your last because you don't know when that presence going to be unwrapped. May God bless.