 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday December 20th and the week beginning December 27th I'm going to take a Christmas New Year's break off So this would be a two-weeker at the end. Of course the second week is not that accurate But anyways Tuesday December 26th day after Christmas. We have a really full moon Will look beautiful possibly on some fresh snow Sun is not active this face, but there's a lot of stuff coming around that's going to be stirring up the geomagnetic story Looking at drought conditions from last week to this week things are a little better on their western slopes in the north But that's about it looking nationally a little lessening of the drought in the deep south Smoke wise not much to talk about at all nothing in the west Looking at our snowpack We're kind of averaging on the low side. We haven't hit 100 percent. We've been 85 percent Whoops one too far can see now. We're at 75 percent of median And so we're kind of getting left behind by the normals We do have this next storm coming in so we'll see if I can get us up there For the precipitation it was really a southern Counties storm this last time We had some flurries up around Longmont just enough to kind of put snowflakes and crevices in the grass But it wasn't much at all for Convection severe weather no severe weather really just convection ahead of this big wet low pressure system coming into California They're gonna get inches of rain There's gonna be pretty Amazing on Thursday and kind of slips into southern Arizona and then Arizona Nevada. I'm sorry, New Mexico a little bit of Southern California Just getting some thunderstorm possibilities Taking a look at Wednesday, we have this big storm coming in flooding rains are possible there a little ripple to our southwest That passes this is keen to come in and then this little bit here is an indication of the northern branch storm and our chances of a Christmas Eve snowstorm really depend on how these two phase together get going so here is Sorry to the 23rd you can see a lot of stuff is starting to move in So over the next 10 days we stay above normal for a few days and then drop Sunday Monday, and then stay kind of cool to normal for the week beyond got a Touchy finger today a really good chance of precipitation Sunday into Monday are taking a look at this big wet storm here and the storm up here We are in the dry right now some mountain waves here You can see the clouds have been sort of anchored to the Rockies out there. I can see it right now at the window The notable event is Saturday night Here's the northern branch and the southern branch ripples if they can Align we get a better storm slow down and really crank some moisture You'll see in a moment that there is a lot of moisture just to our east So for Saturday p.m. It we see the low deepening Lea the Rockies and this possibly getting really going the Canadian is much more enthusiastic I'll show you that in a moment. I don't have the North American model because it doesn't go out that far It's just one day before this So let's put this in motion in the GFS. Here's this bowling ball coming down here just drenching something California There'll be mudslides and floods and everything like that. Here's that northern branch storm coming down and they just kind of Match you get a little Rotating around there some energy is staying back up here and then it zooms on past After that in the week between Christmas and New Year's we have this big ridge Forming so we will be dry for much of that time Well, northern branch thing way up north of us passing Ridge over us right now It's that another ripple coming in but that seems to go south of us. So yeah north of us south of us Kind of like that very abnormally warm in the whole Western US and that is what the US forecast had For the month. So that one looks pretty good. This is Pacific air coming in So we're not gonna get brutally cold at all and you'll even see that though the cold front comes in on Monday We do get a little bit below normal. There's a lot of above normal north of us and really It doesn't go that far below normal. It's just not much Right the entire west has a lot of moisture in the atmosphere This is precipitable water largely due to this low spinning slowly out here getting a lot of that pushed into the atmosphere ahead and It really is moist as it goes past us Deepest moisture does stay to our east and northeast really quickly on Christmas Day. It dries out And I got some moisture in the northern Rockies Dew points. I'm just gonna show you into the storm that we're in the 25s. Here's 40 dew points 30 dew points Friday And then started the 23rd and then Christmas Eve you can see 30 dew points almost 40 dew points come back briefly That's where we're gonna get our chance of some Snow on the ground and it really dries out after that Let's take a look at at least a GFS right now It the strength of this system is all over the place run-to-run and different model a different model It's really hard to say but it does look like we'll get some white stuff on the ground for Christmas Eve There it is. It looks pretty healthy for Sunday into Christmas morning Maybe a little bit of wrap around after that And then we just stay high and dry So for the next five days, we do see moisture Here's a half inch up to boulder quarter inch or so around four columns and south And that translates into a few inches so boulder three four or five inches Three inches or so out here This is a looks like a downslope signature. So you have sinking air off the Rockies eating into the snow amounts And diminishing the amount of precipitation don't know if that's gonna hold but it's not great That has not been there every run This is the GFS again, but this is a different view different color scheme and you can see a little hole right there and Maybe three to five inches maybe Two to four inches right in the long long area. It's kind of hard to see in the scale But I'm gonna contrast this to the Canadian which has five to eight inches of snow in here That's that's pretty healthy So and there's a still a little bit of a hole right there But there's still a lot more snow happening in the Canadian the North American only goes out three days You can see it beginning to hit the mountains and like that. It's pretty heavy right down here over a foot and a half two feet maybe but it hasn't Calculated out far enough to show us what's gonna happen the low altitudes up with that over at the Longmont leader In a day or so the next 10 days not much more happens. It looks very similar It's over the next week. We are abnormally warm right now The cold front comes in we have a really good chance of some precipitation Right now most of the models around the inch inch two three or side or so in the lower elevations We stay cool Christmas beyond maybe you'll see some snow flurries a Monday morning I'd be really neat waking up to you some light snow in the air a real white Christmas by anybody's definition Going for the week after taking us through the New Year's We have probably really close to normal temperatures dry most of the time There's a hint the right after the New Year we might have a system coming in that could change by day or two This is two weeks out So don't put a lot of confidence in it if you got a three inch five inch snowstorm on Saturday Well, that can happen that can certainly Materialize and be in the forecast when I had nothing here at all just trying to cover that time out there So Christmas Day forecast most of cloudy high 39 low of 22 northeast winds about 10 and Ams snow showers are possible for New Year's Eve right a minute before midnight. It looks partly cloudy 34 West Northwest winds at six, so if you're out watching a ball drop someplace, it won't be too bad So check out Longmont leader. That's where I can keep you updated on the Snow and lack of snow through the holidays here and again. I will not be back next week I'll see you in the New Year. This has been chief meteorologist John Insworth Wishing you to keep looking up