 The morning markets pick off with your host Tommy O'Brien Good Monday morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien company alive from TFN and just after 9 a.m. Eastern time We got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading and you got markets picking up pretty much where we left off last week But lower prices across the board right now S&P's you see the sell-off. I got the chart up here in a five minute basis We are actually below the lows of Friday that sell-off began about 3 30 a.m. Eastern time went to bed last night Markets positive by 5 10 points. You challenge that 43 80 price point and then boom just like that markets trade down a solid 35 points from where you were at right from 43 80 which was positive pushing almost 20 points to the positive side in the span of about a half hour Markets dive down 35 points would just below that price level right now You're almost 40 points below where you were coming into that 3 30 p.m. 3 30 a.m. Eastern time Just pointing it out because markets say you're down by 17 But boy, we got some volatility with the S&P's almost selling off 40 points And we are basically at pre-market session lows as we speak Nasdaq 100 we're off by 66 Also below the lows of Friday below the lows of Thursday as well. You get the Dow right now of 113 up Amazing ease At 34,000 120 we had a 35,000 handle on Wednesday Almost a thousand points below where you were trading at as of Wednesday this morning and the Russell off by 11 points You jump over to crude holding that $90 price point pretty well right now at 90 13 gold contract 1944 pretty much where you chopped around Thursday and Friday as well and we jump to the all-important notes and bonds What do we got lower price higher yield coming at you with challenging the lows of Thursday? 108 0 9 the low of Thursday 108 0 8 on the 10-year you jump to the 2-year Basically flat so not quite the same scenario right interesting Excuse me in terms of the yields on the 10-year going up the 2-year basically remaining flat We know the story there right higher for longer for a period of 2 years where we go over 10 years That's quite an interesting question the 30 year down a full point and 16 ticks well below So what do we got? The longer end of the curve Going up on yield man. Now. That's one way for the curves to get To be no longer inverted right to be un-inverted is You don't have yields on the short-term basis come down What do you have you have a recalibration of the longer-term yields going up across the board and That's what's happening right now man. You jump over the dollar index. What's that doing? It's putting strength into the dollar index Excuse me 105 78 right now. We just hit 105 81 on the dollar index you jump over the Vicks How about an 18 handle going up on the Vicks? 1833 1357 was where we were for the Fed last week and we're now challenging the highs of August Which was 1888 were 1833 you can see well off the lows that we've basically been chopping around in since the beginning of June excuse me one second here Thought I was gonna sneeze I'm okay All right, let's jump around and where do we kick things off? Let's kick things off with a little streaming. They got a deal going on and let's jump over to the headline Where are we there? We are reach a tentative deal to end the strike initial votes on the pact by the Union boards could come by Tuesday we know how this goes right they got a tentative deal They got to go to a vote seems like it will happen, but we will see once it comes Do the focus will shift to reaching a deal with the actors union now Seems like they should be in step to some degree It's ending. There's how it happened. Nonetheless, you got Netflix trading higher. You get Disney trading higher 11,500 writers is what they represent says Sunday it reached a deal with the alliance of motion picture and television Producers seems like people thought that this was coming right I talked about it last week where you had Bill Maher Was gonna go forward with his program saying you know, we can't do a whole season We're not gonna give up a whole year Seemed like they were coming back to the table. They thought there was hope. He said, you know, what if there's hope? We're gonna hold off here. We're not gonna come back if there's hope and if agreed Excuse me the agreement if approved by the guild members will end a strike that began May 2nd So you're talking about what almost five full months on strike here the three-year deal remains subject to the completion and contract language and Recommendations from the union's council and board which is calm which could come as soon as Tuesday annual pay for working film and TV writers declining Yeah, they just go over some of the Bullet points that we've been talking about for some time here. Nonetheless, there's Netflix a very small reprieve For Netflix shares as you're basically back to where you were trading at at one in the afternoon on Friday You jump over to Disney Same deal, right? No quite reprieve there, you know, I tell you I was looking at Disney this weekend, man Listen, I got a bearish trade on the market In my newsletter, okay that goes out at least it's an option straight looking for some action To the downside that we initiated last week Going out till the next Fed meeting, okay Because man, I don't see a lot of optimism in this market going out to November 1st, right? October might be a tough month, man as we got Student loan payments beginning yet again. We have interest rates remaining high And we have a market that's been euphoric for some time on multiples that are getting a little lofty by anyone's standards So with that said right thinking that the market could potentially have a pullback We've talked about this before you take a look at the daily You take this area. It's looking more and more attractive man when I was talking about this last week We were at about forty four hundred saying hey, it's only 200 points away that forty two hundred price point We're only a hundred and forty points away now You take the Fibonacci retracement area From the one-way move we had basically from March up to the highs of July The 382 brings you back to about forty three twenty seven the six one eight Brings you back to about forty one fifty. That's the bottom of this area that I've created here Okay, and then in the den they were talking about rightfully So you take the low that we had back in this market You take that trend and the 382 brings you to about forty two hundred you got an area of confluence folks Which is two different Fibonacci retracement areas from two Different trends and they line up with an area of about fifty sixty points in which I think what I think is so cool Is this area was an area of support for some time? It could turn into an area of resistance And maybe that's where this market's going on its first step wouldn't be outlandish. Okay, I Mean you're talking about right now. I mean, what are we at right now? This market is six point three four percent off of its eyes six point three four percent off of its eyes in the span of Less than two months So we've given up six point three five percent and all that's talking about is an additional three percent that maybe get you back To that area of consolidation at about forty two hundred. I mean, what's the area for the bid right now coming into a New earning season potentially that always has the potential to give a lift if we do but boy We're talking about higher for longer rates And the market is recalibrating that to a degree. Yes, we have upgraded growth But boy, we still got inflation kick and man We'll see what see where we go from there and you now have the markets below the lows of August 18th that low 4350 we're sitting at 43 42 with about 15 minutes to go until the opening bell And no reprieve whatsoever. So what I was gonna say though didn't quite get there as I explained the market. Okay Said Disney might be a buy here, man. I mean, maybe this is the Max Payne situation for Disney We'll talk a little bit about this when we get back Your test in the COVID lows. Okay, we get the writer strike done We have the pain that they're spending money for the parks. That's out of the picture. We'll talk a little bit more about Disney We get back stay tuned folks If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market then rocket equities and options report is a newsletter You should try Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and Technicals sign up for rocket equities and options report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee So you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your subscription today visit the front page of tfnn.com tfnn educating investors Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for Everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market to stay on top of stock patterns You can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at tfnn.com when you subscribe You'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks You need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis after all He's got 45 years experience as a day trader Larry will also provide daily charts Videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from Larry on market movement You need to act on at any time first-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today tfnn.com educating investors Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master Steve won the prestigious timer of the year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019 Finishing it number two for the year an amazing accomplishment Steve Rhodes is committed to sharing his techniques and knowledge with anyone who wants to learn and he shares his vast amount of trading knowledge Every day it is mastering probability newsletter Steve's award-winning newsletter Mastering probability is delivered every trading day with updates throughout the afternoon sign up for Steve's market newsletter Mastering probability and you'll receive access to seven of Steve's educational webinars Absolutely free at tfnn all our newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee So you have absolutely nothing to worry about visit tfnn.com and try mastering probability 30 days risk-free today tfnn educating investors Tfnn has launched the Tiger's Den hosted at Discord Tfnn has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours The Tiger's Den available to all Tigers and Tigris's for just one dollar for the year There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders sign up today and become a part of this Educational community of traders just visit the front page of tfnn.com So we get the S&Ps down about 15 points right now all the markets in the red as we kick off Monday trading I got a chart up here of Disney I'm gonna have to take some of these graphics off here But it doesn't get much more simple as in testing the COVID lows right you back to that area you're testing the COVID lows We got a spike low of seventy nine dollars and seven pennies back then we just got a low of 79 75 I mean who would have said that we would have gotten within one Dollar of the lowest when you were trading at two oh three oh two Absolutely remarkable pullback and on a fundamental Basis I Mean Disney paid the price last week won that drop off on Tuesday that they're spending tens of billions of dollars over the next Ten years to expand the parks to expand the cruises you want to see that on a longer term basis Okay, they've now weathered a Writer strike they have the actors coming up next As I said this market yeah, this market has room for a pullback But you may see some type of rotations in this market as well as we've seen them and at some point Disney will find a bid folks and if you've held your hands in your pocket long enough to go from 200 To 160 at the beginning of last year Kicked off this year even at eighty four dollars and you're below that with a market that's been positive gangbusters All right, eventually it's gonna write the ship and I think we might be approaching that area now I'll give you a little bit more worrisome news though on the longer term front Okay, which is man this thing had a one-way trip almost from the financial crisis lows of 2009 at $15 You were back in 2011 at 29. Okay But you're talking about trading at an area 86 bucks in 2016 you're talking about trading at an area where you get into Disney at ten years ago prices of 2014 and you take all of that headache out of things now, you know Keep in mind that this market's sitting at a pretty lofty 4348 and if you do trade lower everything is gonna trade lower But if you're looking for areas that could potentially have a bid Disney's finally one that I'm looking at man Because if the strike is over that was the one that really could stretch things out You know that they're spending lots of money on the parks, you know, that's gonna be profitable Okay, and the multiples are much more in line with where they've been historically We'll go with some of those at some point as well as I pull them up, but No reprieve For the writers that potentially might be back, but on a longer-term basis, man. I've talked about it before Okay, Disney's movie schedule you got to go out a couple years, but boy you start going out a couple years You're talking about getting two Star Wars movies Okay, the year that you get two Star Wars movies to come the same exact year within a 12-month period That's the Disney of all that accelerated this thing to the prices We're dealing with right now because when you back things up, okay coming into COVID Think it was 2019. I think they had Eight or ten different movies that all grossed a billion dollars. Okay, those those have been gone for some time The movie slate that they have coming in the next two or three years It's been a while I think it's been since 2019 since we have had a Star Wars movie You're gonna have a nice five-year void as those come back and they're gonna hit you with a one-two punch of Star Wars over the period of 12 to 18 months now that could change Depending on how this writer strike plays out right if that's done by Tuesday depending on how the actor strike plays out as well But nonetheless putting it on the chart you're getting it a COVID lows right now Yeah, so keep it on your radar man as the strike looks to be done At least for the writers for some time Okay, checking out yields. Let's go back to that tenure So the tenure You're back to where you were in 2007 man, right now shorter term braces you put it back on the ten minute chart you're challenging We just hit 10806 man 10806 now right now the tenure yield above point four point five percent above four point five four point five two three How about that right the third year four point six three seven right now? The trend is just catching up to the new normal. I think folks as The dollar index pushes 105 81. We'll see where we go from there, but higher for longer Is a new one that the market is coming to grips with and I don't think That the market has fully calibrated for where we're gonna be yet and let's take a look at the 30 year for a second Okay, we go back super long-term All right The 30 year seems like a bargain if you only look at this chart since the financial crisis, okay If you look at this chart, we're trading at 1507 right now. Okay. Let's take that part off there We're trading at 1507 right now. This is what the chart looks like folks from basically my later years in high school crazy 1996 I was a sophomore or junior graduate in 1998 there we go if You stop this chart in about 2008 I was 28 years old. I was four years out of college. Okay point being The chart is distorted because we have been at low interest rates for some period of time You take a look at this chart. You only look at it on A basis of before the financial crisis and what do you look at you look at the fact that hey Guess what man? We got a long way that we could go Okay, we got a long way that we could go in terms of we are actually at what's been an area of high price in The bond when you look at where we are which would correlate To actually the interest rates are lower than they've been for some time, right? So Context is important focusing only on Where yields have been since the financial crisis might get you in trouble? Okay? You back it out then and yeah, you say to yourself. Ah, how could I go wrong buying this thing at 115? We were just a 190 Well, keep that in mind that rates have been distorted for some time during the financial crisis I think we're coming out of that. I'm not sure if we'll see negative interest rates on a global basis anytime soon and Realized that there is room for the 30 year to trade lower in price and higher in yield And all you have to do is take the financial crisis out of things. Okay, so context is important the market recalibrating a bit I like the third year because it goes back so far the 10 year you see doesn't even go back that far That's why the 10 year looks so distorted because you put that on a futures basis and we're only talking about going back to 2002 Okay, there's 2008 there. You don't get all the action before then which can distort how you feel about yields where they are When man the world has been an interesting place where we've had zero and negative interest rates for some time to put it lightly Right, let's check out some of those other streamers Warner Brothers discovery Look at that they catch small lift and then they give it back just like that No, we're preven these markets right now with the VIX pushing 18 and when you get negative action across the board right now Check out some of the high flyers The fang stocks Amazon shares tough week for them last week man. They trade lower this morning We're trading basically flat right now actually slightly in the green with a negative market Amazon up by about 40 cents Apple reading about that Apple 15 this weekend Okay, I talked about I have a 12 plus Maybe I'll think about upgrading to a 15 plus but for 1200 or 1500 bucks, man I'm not sure it's happening gonna be really interesting to see How this goes forward in terms of people being able to upgrade their phones And if they want to how many generations do you go until you upgrade? That's the question, right? How many generations seems like you know the fanboys are always gonna upgrade next generation But for the average consumer which who can't afford it, right? Because if I really needed it if I thought it was advantageous if I thought it would make sense And you know one of the things I read about is they got a five-time zoom I take a lot of pictures with the two-year-old two-year-old Tommy in the house man the camera five times soon Something I might actually consider, but I am three generations out. Okay three generations out is what I am and even then I'm like is it worth it. I don't know if it's worth it I don't know I'm not quite on the edge yet, but Apple shares basically flat Pitch up over to Microsoft shares. They are down a dollar right now at 316 and NVIDIA shares At 413 93 Stay tuned folks negative markets to kick things off gonna be an interesting Monday in the markets We're coming back for the opening bell. 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You were born to be TF NN educating investors Don't forget you can listen to TF NN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to TF NN comm and hit watch Tiger TV That's TF NN comm and hit watch Tiger TV We get the markets open you look at an SMP down by about 12 points as we kick off the trading session at 43 48 Now the market's putting on a minute basis. Look at the dive We were just down 10 points lower coming into that So we pop a bit you're back to where we were at about 745 a.m. This morning But markets in negative territory as we have yields In focus rising higher you're talking about a 10-year right now is a level that we have not seen since 2007 2007 there it is 4.5 to and change a level last seen in 2007 you got the dollar trading higher as well and That is going to be a persistent theme as I was talking about man and remember folks Okay, if there's one thing you remember from the show today Remember this chart when I talked about because that's what I try and remind myself right Context is important the financial crisis created yields that we may never see again in our lifetime, okay? I remember our man Larry Pezzimento being on the air saying folks This is not how it works You don't give somebody money on the premise that they give you less money back in the future talking about negative interest rates Right, you give somebody a hundred dollars. You loan it to them and they say no problem I'll give you back 99 dollars in five years say why would I lend you it right well What happened? Yeah, that's not how things persist man. If you're if you're familiar with Economics you either consume or you save right? You have a hundred dollars you consume something you get to consume a hundred dollars in the present time with that money if you save If you decide to forego consumption Everybody wants to consume everything right now. Why not? Okay? The only reason you don't consume everything right now is Because of the idea that if you decide to save you can consume more in the future Okay, so that's where interest rates come from you either consume now or You save and if you save you are rewarded for not consuming now for going consumption and saving in the future That needs a positive interest rate when you start having a foregoing consumption to Consume less in the future. It doesn't make sense. It defies everything. So keep that in mind Keep the 30 year in mind. Okay, and tell yourself. Hey, things seem attractive right now But guess what if you take things out of the financial crisis Doesn't seem so attractive at all. It seems like we're at some actually still Relatively low yields when you look at where we've been in different eras of this economy. Okay, we'll leave it at that for sure now Staying with yields. Okay, we talk about the ten-year treasury but here's where CDs sit this morning. Okay, we talk about the ladders all the time The five-year ladder right now. These are for FDIC insured Bank CDs non-callable. Okay, you see the yields. We're dealing with man now There's two sides of this story number one. Well, you got a lot of cash on the sidelines, man Right, you really the Fed and this is what the argument was for so long said. Hey, we are at Such low interest rates the economy is doing so well What happens if we really have some problems in the economy the Fed's gonna have no room To increase the spigot lower interest rates get cash back into the economy while they have that now We have some problems in this economy folks You're gonna have plenty of people that have money parked in cash Whether it's CDs money markets, etc. And they're doing it because you can have a five-year ladder right now That is pushing five and a quarter percent for five years and you see the numbers, right the one year in the two year Yeah, you're talking about five point five five five point three five even a three year is still above five percent Your four years pushing four point eight five and a five-year CD right now is yielding you 4.75 percent so, you know if you're anywhere on the spectrum of retirement, man You know you got a million bucks in retirement you're pulling 50 grand risk-free not touching your capital right now with where we are in this market Might make sense to have some of your portfolio in that you decide how much I am not a financial planner, man, you know conduct Contact your financial planner for that expert advice, but I don't think a lot of people realize When they see those numbers how high you can lock them in because CD rates are above where treasuries are okay so you're pushing five point one two percent right now and Meanwhile you get the market six point three percent off the highs that we were just at about what two months ago on June 25th So be careful in this market as we go forward folks and make sure that you have the duration to protect yourself We're fine. The economy is fine But on a shorter term basis you need that money over the next five or ten years, man Remember how long it takes sometimes this economy to get it back, man, right? I mean the the dot-com bubble is nothing like we got going on right now, but boy it took Seven years to get back to where we were and then it took Another seven years to get back to where we were so you took 15 years to get back to where we were at the highs Okay, and that's cherry picking highs. I get it, but that's 15 years, man With the levels we're dealing right now in yields I don't even want to tell you how much you can make risk-free if you got to write out a ten-year Consolidation in this market and boy you look at that market like that and yeah You might need a little bit of room to digest all the gains We've had from 600 and change all the way up to 4500 and change in this market not screaming death You know I'm not screaming it but make sure you protect yourself. I keep talking about it But it's very important nonetheless. All right, let's jump around to what else we got going on And let's see we have we'll talk a little bit of interest rates Lagarde in the ECB They're talking about it as well, man shouldn't be surprising shouldn't be headlines, but nonetheless it is Lagarde repeats the ECB rates to stay restrictive as long as needed. Well, who else thinks are they not gonna stay Restrictive as long as needed, right? She's still talking about 2% as well But I think this market is coming to grips with the fact that hey the R star might not be 2% going forward We remain determined to ensure that inflation returns to our 2% medium target in a timely manner. She said Monday in Brussels They raised their key policy rate to 4% this month a level most economists and investors reckon will be the peak in more than a year-long campaign So they think they've peaked out probably gonna try and keep it there for some time the way we are the same deal But we'll see how we go from there All right, some interesting charts from the journal out here in an article Now they're talking about That America has a long-term labor crisis. Okay, not exactly sure that's what's in these charts But it is interesting nonetheless some of the charts and what they illustrate here labor force participation rate for people age 65 plus with no disabilities That's quite a drop-off You're still talking about almost one out of four workers the age 65 plus are working, okay Probably have feelings on one way or the other on that COVID probably a reset in a lot of people's minds man, you know life is precious You never know how long you have folks and there are probably a lot of people in there number one whether they had 401k money They had money in the market right you accelerated from 3200 to 4,500 and change your house Probably went up depending where you are 30 to 40 percent potentially all of a sudden you didn't have to work like you Had to okay, so that's illustrated in a labor force participation rate now The quality of life when you're that age, etc gets better and better It would make sense as people begin to live longer and longer that maybe they were able to work at the age of 65 More so than they were previously Nonetheless, that's not going back to where we were folks people had a reset people in that age group We're able to lock in some of those gains to a certain degree and I imagine that's changed forever to that degree Being out of that workforce just not happening as much life has changed We'll talk about some of those other charts We'll take a look at some of those labor numbers from the journal when we get back folks We got the S&P's negative by 14 markets in the red. Stay tuned. We'll talk some labor. We'll be right back You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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Basic entry and exit techniques and more if that wasn't enough of a reason to attend Teddy will also be answering all questions live if you're serious about making money in this market head over to the front page of Tfnn.com today to sign up for Teddy's live stream Tfnn educating investors This program is brought to you by Vista Gold traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ So we get the markets in negative territory with the SMPs off by about eight points You catch a little bit of a lift on the open there, but still negative by eight We have the NASDAQ 100 negative by 12 they catch a little bit of a lift as well Interesting Disney no reprieve whatsoever Disney basically flat to the penny right now at 81 26 Netflix catching a positive bid Up by 1.5 percent right now you jump over Warner Brothers discovery Actually down 1.5 percent right now paramount down eight tenths percent right now So no reprieve just yet for the streamers As they potentially got a deal for the writers apple shares flat this morning We jump around to some of the fang stocks quickly checking in you got microsoft basically flat as well We jump over to tesla shares off 1.4 percent right now We keep our eye on some of the automakers for it off about four tenths percent right now gm shares off six tenths percent right now Excuse me and we jump back to some of those charts on labor You often hear elon talk about it right talking about the birth rate declining birth rates across the board um always an interesting one man and you know We are in such a small sliver of time folks Okay, you think about the human lifespan 80 years over how long we've all been here the life of the planet right We're in this household. We're big into dinosaurs right now dinosaurs 65 million years ago If you talk about some of those things that the new telescope is reaching Light years right a billion light years away whatever it is all this just mammoth stuff I mean look at these trends right the u.s. Birth rate per thousand people Now there's a lot written here whether you talk about the 60s the 70s 80s you got birth control You got women going into the workforce. Okay dramatic changes on the family friends I was born in 1980 at a time when the birth rate was pushing about 16. That is 16 births per a 1000 people We're at 11 now um And the trend is not your friend when you talk about that man and you know, you talk japan's been talking about it For some time. I think they're at I pulled up japan. This is just a Quick chart not even sure i'm getting it macro macro trends net. Uh, i'm not familiar with that internet destination, but nonetheless You back up japan you see the spike high of 1973 at 19 boy, they're sitting at seven Okay, but the trend continues going to be interesting to see how that shapes thing now That's just the birth rate that they're talking about and that can cause some serious problems as we've seen with japan Right where what do you have then you have an aging older population That does not have the expanding younger younger population to drive the workforce to i mean social security For example, right? All everything that plays out in a business uh business in a program like that Labor force participation rate And here's the thing, okay It shouldn't you know, ideally you would want to get to a point that less people have to work and be slaves to The workforce, okay So I don't have a problem with the labor force participation participation rate going down Because in general you want society to get better. Maybe you have generational wealth or more friends that's passed over But nonetheless declining across the board, okay? And then the last one average it and it might be average hourly earnings That should be going up. You could probably make the case. It's going up. I'd love to see that one um right next to where Uh c-suite employees have going up and then you have filling the void. This is the biggest case for immigration Okay, um if we didn't have immigration folks, we would be in a big problem That's one of the big things that actually helps us versus many countries having immigration to bring workers in They can fill those voids especially on the lower echelon of pay Number of foreign bond workers in the u.s workforce quite the drop-off during coven We're now about two million over that number Uh immigration always gets political as it should and I think we all agree that the politicians have to do something Unfortunately the devil's in the details as always, but I thought some of those charts interesting The one most interesting I think is that birth rate one because boy that is a trend man You keep dropping from there and it happens in every industrialization nation I've seen elan and listen. I give elan a lot of grief. I wouldn't trust him with uh My cash for two seconds because it seems like he only cares about himself and he is brilliant And he has done many things great for civilization. Okay talking about pushing whether it's Electric vehicles whether it's pushing the space frontier with space x etc But it also seems like he'll burn anybody in two seconds if he feels like it talking about putting out numbers on twitter Distorting the reality of where their company is going to be etc But what he talks about is and it's right industrialized nations if your nation starts making it man people get money They get flexibility. They get freedom Yeah, they stop they stop popping out babies at the same number man. Okay, that's what happens and across the board It's happening and it is a threat on a longer term basis man elan thinks big picture Okay, and he's not looking at 10 years. He's not looking at 20 He's saying what happens when three or 400 years goes by in a heartbeat because that is a heartbeat in the terms of the time that Our world or our countries, you know, that is a heartbeat Of a moment in terms of what time really encapsulates. You can't even understand time Uh Yeah, these trends are mammoth when you look at over a period of 40 to 60 years Getting more than cut in half. Okay, so Interesting nonetheless as we go forward. All right. What else we got up here Well, you know, we'll talk about we'll talk a little bit of options folks We got a man teddy keg stat. We got a webinar this wednesday coming up Understanding and capitalizing on time with calendar stock option spreads. I put the word understanding on there I'm looking forward to understanding it myself folks. Teddy is going to be doing a 60 minute webinar This will be wednesday from four till five eastern time. This is a standalone product. Okay, you're not signing up for his newsletter You're not signing up for a recurring subscription the cost for this one time 60 minute live webinar is 97 dollars Calendar spreads is what he'll be talking about And he's going to go through it for an hour folks And this is one of this is one of the strategies that not that I struggle with But I do struggle with it a little bit just wrapping my brain fully around Two different time horizons. Okay, and this is a brief example up here of what your profit loss looks like Your peg in a point in time that your max profit is going to give you that you go further To price you're actually losing money. You go less. You're losing money Um, it's not as simple as a simple buying a call spread where you're looking for the price to go up Or maybe you're buying a put spread you're looking for the price to go down Maybe you're selling a call spread you're trying to absorb premium On the upside because you think the stock might just stay where it is or go lower, right? Calendar a little bit different a little bit more complex Teddy is big into options. He's already done one webinar talking about options But he's looking forward to this one check it out sign up space is limited folks So reserve your space there is a potential we can sell out in these because the room Only really facilitates a certain number of people if we get to that level So check it out. That'll be wednesday at four o'clock It'll be archives. You can watch it as many times as you'd like if you can't check it out all live We'll talk to teddy Right around this time on wednesday morning as we always do 40 past the hour as well And then he'll be in there live right after my dad's show four till 5 p.m. Eastern time Can you believe that wednesday is september 27th? That's a I can't believe we're coming into october man Halloween right around the corner. All right, this one's interesting from the journal just in terms of the type of money How about the type of money that they got to pay for all these yachts and bills that they're holding Assets taken from sanctioned russian billionaires are costly to maintain How about 28 grand a week to keep mold out of some of these ships, man? We all know that Uh Votes can be expensive But did you know that just 28 grand a week for some of these ships in terms of make sure they're maintained and make Sure all that moisture on the sea isn't giving you mold. Uh, there it is the alpha narrow Yeah 28 grand a week 120 million dollar yacht the size of a football field It's been sitting idly. No, yeah 270 foot mega yacht Um one of the russian oligarchs magnet sanctioned by the us We'll go over some of these numbers man because you talk about some numbers different stratosphere of wealth They're talking about stay tuned folks. We've got markets in negative territory. Oh nasdaq screen. We'll be right back The gold report As a precious metal gold is still king It continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the london otc market The us futures market and the shanghai gold exchange the gold report tom obrien publishes his weekly gold report every monday morning for subscribers Consisting of coverage of the xa u hui gdx the dollar bonds the south african rand As well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy sell recommendations The gold report New subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk subscribe To tom obrien's gold report newsletter now at tfnn.com You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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You get the s&p's only down by three nasdaq 100 you're off by 10 dow off by 78 russell sneaks into the positive there 1796 your solid 16 points on the russell from where we were trading this morning Crude back under 90 bucks at 89 84. You got the gold contract flat at 1945 this morning We check in on notes and bonds Pretty much at the lows. You did make it to 10806 10806 We're trading at 10809 right now in the 10 year. We talked about the 30 year with some context, man We're sitting at 115 14. You were as low as 1504 right now yields higher dollar index Probably backed off a bit. Yeah backed off, but barely man. We just almost hit 106 dollar strength across the board All right, what do we got else? What excuse me? What else do we have pulled up? How about amazon? They're getting into the ai game shouldn't be surprising invest up to four billion dollars in Anthropic as ai arms race escalates the deal includes a broad partnership I bet they wish they had invested 10 billion dollars in Open ai because that is paying dividends from microsoft shares But nonetheless they're putting four billion dollars into anthropic the latest big startup investment by the tech giants Jockeying for an edge in the ai arms race and this is going to go forever, man. You know, that's the one thing to be careful of folks It's not going to be over until it's over amazon up 1.3 percent Not sure if that's uh having anything to do with that deal. I doubt it amazon just catching a bit as we got these stocks trading A little bit higher nasdaq and the positive rustle in the positive s and p's get back more than 20 points We were at 43 38 when I started this program off and the s and p's just jumped 23 points right now But as I mentioned coming into that next meeting folks put it on your charts 4200 to 4150 is where i'm looking for some price action. That's the area consolidation We had for some time and potentially that's where you get a little bit of a floor It was a ceiling an area of resistance could turn into an area of support But boy, uh, the day is young the week is young I appreciate you tuning in to start off the trading week folks. Stay tuned. We got our man basil chap. He's coming up next. We got our man Steve rhodes coming up. We got uh, excuse me larry pezzavento fast market tom o brian My dad live from three till four markets in positive territory. You gotta love it folks. Stay tuned Basil's coming up next. Have a great monday everybody