 Everybody welcome digital asset news today. We're just doing a live stream right after that exciting world cup Congratulations, Argentina. I gotta tell you when I was taking a look at that game I couldn't imagine the amount of stress someone would feel Kicking that game winning goal. So hats off of those guys But today what I want to talk to you about now that we're all done with the world cup Congratulations on stuff. Let's get back to what we do best. We're just talking about Crypto digital assets and more specifically how things are going to work out as far as an ROI for 2023 2024 and 2025 so what I want to quickly talk about is the monthly ROI from 2010 to present you're gonna break it down using the four-year cycles also the question Comes in which is a valid question is what if I just wait to DCA? What if I just wait for a little bit of time until it's more safe? And I gotta tell you it's not a bad idea taking a look at the data Also, take a look at micro DCA vid and then lastly we'll do Q&A for here for about 10 minutes And then what I want to try to do do a little something different is I want to jump over to Twitter spaces and Have people talk directly to me and ask me questions So we'll still do a little Q&A here, but I'm gonna go right to Twitter spaces see if I can do it correctly So first things first let's talk about the monthly ROI and if we take a look at it Nice little image here from Ben's website in the cryptiverse again steal as much as I possibly can within reasonable amounts and We can find this a lot of places and really what it comes down to is this is all broken down in two years and For us to understand what the message is here just a quick review. We talked about this in-depth yesterday as far as The four-year cycles and the first cycle always starts when 2012 with a Bitcoin happening Then we had an all-time high a dip and a reset 2016 another having happens every four years. This is cycle two having all-time high dip reset then 2020 another having all-time high dip and a reset and now we're 2022 I'm just gonna say that the bottom was 15,742 for Bitcoin might go to lower I don't know we've got what week and a half or something like that. So who knows it's crypto could go to 10 bucks I have no idea and of course cycle four is yet to be determined So we're taking a look at today is just how things are broken down as far as the returns Based upon months and when I try to do is I mean, we're looking at these things a little red little green Too fantastic here when I want to take a look at Specifically is just how this all breaks down by the years for the four-year cycle So the year after the all-time high Which again if we go back the all-time highs were 20 years of 2013 2017 2021 If we take a look a year for the all-time high the red months the months that were negative We're quite a bit and I think we can all remember that I mean We're living it right now and so far in 2022 we've got eight months out of you that are just negative Those are what I call the dip years 2018 was even worse. So if you think that like this is a bad Cycle it's not really what really makes it worse is the problems that the centralized exchanges did to us The rug pulls that would happen on DeFi The just the outright scams and lies and everything else, but mostly from centralized players. Let's be honest But in 2018 we still had nine months that were in the red and someone were deep red. I'll remind you 2018 November we saw a negative 37% and For us so far even what this bad is FTX block fi Voyager Celsius has been We didn't do too bad in June negative 38% as compared to 2018 37% November So I mean just just take stock of that about what's happening 2014. There was also eight months of red now Let's move forward Let's take a look at the all-time high the all-time high years, which again we're 2013 17 and 20 21 You would expect and you would be correct that there's a lot more Green months. However What was interesting to me? Was that in 2013 there was eight months of green massively positive? 2013 you had you had rates of 57% in January 176% in March Look at this one 453% in November of 2013. Those are monstrous and I mean just massive monstrous months, right? 2017 not too bad. There was a lot more percentages weren't as high but they had ten solid green months and for us We're actually all teetering. We were teetering on six and six. We had six green months, which were pretty good and of course we had six of Red and that was just the all-time high years now Let's take it back for the having years and the reason why we're talking about this and we're trying to see What historically could be? Positive time frames moving forward now just because this has happened in the past doesn't mean it's going to happen again But we can't know where we're going until we know where we've been So for the having years again Bitcoin has had a having in 2012 16 and 20 It was pretty good. I mean look at this You had eight months of green in 2020 2016 and 8 and 2012 you had 10 So if you start to think about it, you're like, well, when should I dollar cost average? Maybe Some of these months are pretty good for doing those things maybe taking profits we'll get to that But then here's the rub and this is where it all comes down to the reset years Which is two years after the all-time high so remember so if we had having in 2012 that means that 2013 would be the all-time high 2014 would be the dip in 2015 will be the reset 2015 had only five months in the red, which is not too bad So that would be equivalent 2019 where we had six months in the red Which then will be the equivalent of 2023 because 2023 is around the corner a week and a half roughly or so, right? so I Know people are taking a look at 2023 and being quite awful I am one of those people because I think there is a recession Abroad and people will say the Rob. You don't understand because Bitcoin has never been Through a recession. It has never been through it through a term of quantitative tightening. First of all Quantitative easing and money printing. We don't have forever the quantitative tightening. This is a new to us, too So it's not like that's something out outside of crazy world However, that is true. We've never been through a session. We have never been through a time frame of economic expansion However, I will remind everybody we never went through a global pandemic either and that happened in March 2020 Yes, we did. Yes, it was a bit awful for a little bit of time But we got through it. I think we're gonna get through this one as well Just depends on how long it could take so again the reset year is 2023. We're coming into it But statistically or historically 2019 and 15 It's been not too bad quite honestly However, there are some things in the horizon. Of course, we talk about here the macro events The recession the fed pivots the war in Ukraine the inability for China to to pivot off of uh, there's zero cobit tolerance policy got it However, if we take a look here About what's going on and in the world of of wales. This is whale number three There's a link in the description And this is from bid info charts and you can just see that Whale number three has had a quite a nice career And this is the third largest bitcoin wallet and you can see that there's a lot of buys a lot of buys 17 000 bitcoin on july 20th 25 000 bitcoin again july 20th. That's a lot a couple of sell-offs here and there But mostly green you'll see and a thousand down here a thousand here just taking some profits But I want you to notice something right now november 15th 2000 sold november 18th 1000 sold november 30th 1000 december 7 500 another 1000 another 1000. I don't see many buys Since mid november So if we're taking a look at what whales are doing you can probably expect some more sell-offs Going into it. So that would lead me to my next point What if I just wait to dca and you could and I when I take a look at this data like you know On this channel, I've been talking quite quite a bit about dollar cost averaging, but Taking a look at these historical data points There is something to be said for just waiting to dca. This is what i'm talking about. So let's just say This is from dca-cc.com. Let's just say for example, you're like, you know what rob? I just want to wait until The having years because the having years, you know, there's some pretty good time frames Or there's some pretty good green months there that are a little bit safer for me to take profits And you're right. I mean 20 28 20 16 8 and 10 So if you dollar cost average and I just blanket statement here 100 bucks per week I I I just picked 100 because it's round numbers. So 100 dollars per week There's roughly Quick me if I'm wrong here 52 weeks in a year. So that's about 5000 bucks a year, right? 3200 bucks Sure, so you're putting 5000 dollars per year You're buying 100 dollars of bitcoin every week if you start on january 1st 2020 And then you'll keep doing it till today Just looking down over here I will say you're not doing too bad if you were sold at the at the peak, which you know, hey, good luck But you would have put in almost 10,000 dollars And you would have gotten back 42,000 that's roughly Let me do some quick math about a 4x Which is pretty good. I mean all you had to do is just wait like, you know two years And you quadrupled your money just in bitcoin All you had to do is just go through all this pain right here, which is the boring part with what's everybody's going right now however What if you just said, you know what? A little risk-taker i'm gonna i'm gonna start on 2019 which again would be those Two years after the all-time high Again a little bit choppier you got six months and five months Maybe 20 or there might be the same might be worse not for sure But if you would have done that if you would have said, okay historically i'm gonna i'm gonna gamble in 2019 I'm gonna start You would have had You would have put in 15,000 dollars and had 100,000 just 100 bucks a week If you could afford it You know 100,000 That's roughly six and a half seven x Roughly six and a half seven x which isn't too bad. I mean if you if you think about it I put in 15,000. I got a seven x pretty good What if you're like, you know what? I don't really care I'm gonna do it when I think is the best time which is January 8th 2018 when everything just collapsed and you were underwater forever And you were essentially throwing sand into the ocean So on those months remember 2020 Oops You're looking at more deeper red Eight months nine months eight months if you would have done that You would have thought that maybe I would have had a higher return. Well, not really if you had done that in 2018 You would have put in 20,000 dollars And you would have got 145,000 dollars back. You know what that is roughly the same thing It's roughly a seven seven and a half x 7.25 I guess so going from here And just being bored and waiting as opposed to going to here And being bored ready. It's roughly about the same thing. It's just a time frame Of where you want to do things now. Here's the next question. Well, rob that sounds that's uh, that's adorable. That's cute But you know what? I just don't want to take any risks I'm just going to wait till You know the bull market comes back because it's going to come back. I always talk about it bear and bull and you're right So if you just wait till if you're waited till 2021 Would have been so great And I have talked about this many times a lot of other people talk about this too The money is not made in a bull market All your money is made right now in bear markets when everybody is scared out of their minds They don't want to put any money into it. It's super boring. They don't like it Got you So let's just say to this you put a hundred bucks in weekly on january 1st 2021 because that's that was the bull run Sweets everything's going up. It's great. Well, it's true. You would have gone up Here's your investment 100 bucks a week You would have put in 4600 bucks and got back 6,078 if you would have sold the top Let that sink in You would have put in 4600 dollars To get 6,758 and ride all this roller coaster all the way me personally. That's not my spiel. It's not my game So that's what we have And that's just historically what it looks like. So for me personally, I just Talk about this and this is what I continue to do. I don't know Exactly where things are going. There's a lot of smarter people out there than me. Trust me And they'll tell you up and down that this was the bottom or this is the top or this Which you have to do and this is I don't know where it is. I mean Tomorrow we could have I don't know white house could come out and go, you know what we've looked in the crypto and We're going to embrace it and uh You know, we've already got a bill on the table We're going to prove it and looks like we're going to regulate the centralized exchanges And then everything is going to be a commodity, you know, how much do you think that bitcoin would go up at that point? I don't know So if we take a look at this me person, this is what I do. I did a video It's called Micro dca. I don't know where things are going However, I still dca a little bit and I go forward as we start to go down, which I think we will in 2023 Then I will start to dynamically dca, which is increased the amount that I actually put in So when we get to 2025 Maybe even 2026 seven. I don't know That's when we start to take some big profits We're still going to take profits on the way not big profits and that's where we stand So that's it. I just wanted to just bring that to everybody's attention and go from there and that will conclude everything for today for well Crypto so if you like today's video give it a thumbs up consider subscribing We do these things every day mostly mostly like news But on sunday I'd like to get into the charts and just talk about the history about where we're Potentially going but that's it now. What I want to do is roll into the q&a We're just going to do 10 minutes here and while we're doing it. I'm going to create a twitter spaces I'm going to take your questions. You can talk right to me and we'll just do it over there I don't know if I'm I know a lot of people do twitter spaces But I don't know if they've done it like this where we do this here in You know youtube and we take everything over to twitter spaces and you can ask the questions directly to me You can tell me whatever you want to you can say rob Here's a question Why did you always talk about a voyager and how great it was and it collapsed? Answer me that and I will Or you can say rob. What are you DCing right now? Specifically and why whatever so we'll do all that but right now Let's do a little q&a so people don't don't feel like they got You know short change because no some people don't have twitter. So let's just do a little q&a all right bot Rusty bot I wonder how I rack when the market turns I almost went crazy five days ago and we had a one green day. I don't know if I can handle it This is why I'm always complaining to people about taking profits just little profits because it's um It's like muscle memory You know when you When you grease the wheels, it's a little bit easier to do these things. It's like taking baby steps So when you have to sell when the time comes Then you're like, okay. I've done this before with a little bit I can up my game and do it as opposed to never selling anything and going. You know what today's the day 100% I sell Very tough to do I I'm thinking 90% of you can't do it or maybe you can hire And I know that because it was hard for me to do it bill bones is here Meme is here des is here Let's see tesla No, everybody's here What's going on big use here? Uh I've been dcang bitcoin weekly all year and increased my dc of it isn't luna There's a it's not a bad plan actually that's that would be dynamic dcang pretty good. I like that When tax having yeah, it's not gonna happen the government needs those taxes look they gave us a bunch of money In the stimmy checks. They need that money back That's why they're gonna try to pass some more tax incentives and it'll be awful. That's just how it is Let's see 18 So at minute 25, we'll shoot on over to uh twitter spaces And where else are we? CZ thinks 99 can't do it CZ thinks 99 can't self custody. That's what he thinks Which is A pretty good way to say keep all your crypto on my exchange Well, brian, do you feel steve earlick should be prosecuted? Also, why is he been hiding lastly? I think voyager would totally worth something again I'll start with the first one. You think voyager told me worth something again Maybe but extremely doubtful Whoever's gonna buy voyager. I mean you might get somebody like finance if finance buys voyager They just want the customers. They don't want the app That that goes away. There's another one in x Index i and x if they buy it they want to keep the The app going and then of course the vjx token will stay and that's even niff So highly probability vjx is now worthless. I don't know why people are trading it, but it is what it is I don't really care about that trading traders traders traders trade And I'll answer the first one steve relic should be prosecuted. No, I don't think steve earlick specifically should be prosecuted I don't think that he did something malicious Such as I mean it was malicious and it was a pretty dumb idea to loan out $640 million uncollateralized in three hours capital Okay, you got me on that one. However This wasn't Something where you're transferring funds co-mingling buying property For your friends and family that were funds from actual customers and going Oh, I didn't know I couldn't do that So there's a big difference between What say a steve has done And even what an alexa schinsky has done to what a sam bachman fridt has done And that's for for the lawyers to figure out. Let's see Just got kind of in the money in green. Well, haven't we all Rhonda paul says is there any advantage dc every day verse weekly by wooker monthly? Let's be a good show to see which one works out best Um, there is a problem with DCing every day and that is that you have to pay those fees every single day So if you're on coinbase like I am if you buy every single day You incur a charge every single day that you do that. However, there's um I was on I think it's called coinbase one. I think it's 29 99 a month or $39 a month And it waves all the fees up to $10,000 So that allows me to dca bitcoin every day and also to dca Some layer one solutions every week and that's it So weekly buy with care monthly. I'm not for sure. I think it would be interesting to see but Again, we do it like weekly or even monthly. It just depends on the time frame, right? I mean numbers go up, right? But Not all the time numbers will go up, but it all depends on how much So like what was the high this month 20,000 something? uh, and of course the low was All november it was 15 seven So if you would have hit 15 seven and that was your buy day great chances are you didn't hit that So let's see Uh, let's roll Okay, sounds like a plan Morning rob and dca weekly yeah The bear market always feels long. It doesn't matter. This is what this is what causes people to capitulate. It's not the price action it's the boredom So jane chow says the fed find the inflation that the fed created Well, that's true. I mean once you print a bunch of money, that's what happens All the pain coming in the next depression never forget to let the misdirect inflation was purposely orchestrated Orchestrated very well Joey, that's a little dark. I can't say that Uh, I always buy in bite-sized pieces How much how much would beardies how much would svf pay for beardies rope on itself? That's a good question Probably for probably the entire amount of beardies eos eos holdings Let's see Argentina Yeah, me too. Okay. So that's it 23 minutes. I think we've gone long enough for the q&a. So look what i'm gonna do now For everybody leaves. Let's do uh, let's figure this out So i'm gonna create this because twitter spaces is weird You can't do it on desktop that I know of correct me if i'm wrong but to create a twitter spaces You have to do on your phone for some stupid reason And what i'm gonna do So you can you know on twitter spaces you can actually talk right to me like not text but talk Like here q&a after today's video, which was what was today's video title? Crypto set to explode Thousand x gains. No, that's not that was it son of a gun so I'm gonna start this now see how this works out and Okay, cool cool. All I'm gonna do right now is uh, I'm gonna drop this into the chats Everybody click on that you go to twitter spaces and talk to me My mic is off Hold on everybody I'm just bringing everybody over from youtube. We'll start the twitter spaces in a second hold tight Let's see And then I also want to take over here Let me go Twitter spaces q&a. Oh, this ought to be fun Hey Everybody that's it hope to chat with you live and I'll see you in a bit So thanks for stopping by if you got to take off take off. You've been here 25 minutes That's it for this round. See everybody on twitter. Thanks so much for stopping by adios