 The final event of the PGA tour regular season is coming up this weekend. It is the Windham championship out at sedge field Well, they were set will set the field of 125 for the FedEx Cup playoffs Which means we got some guys scrambling trying to make that cut we got guys Trying to solidify their position for the playoffs whole lot on the line and not the worst field either this week Let's dive on and get you set for the Windham championship may PGA DFS perspective Welcome on into the heat check fantasy podcast powered by Number fire that's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire comm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire comm Joined here as always by Brandon Gadoula He is the senior managing editor of number fire comm Brandon the FedEx Cup playoffs almost here one more event left How you doing today? I'm good. I'm gonna go back about a minute and a half But you said the guys will be scrambling to make the FedEx Cup playoffs I thought it was really good golf joke that I didn't want to go. I noticed I don't know if it was on purpose or not, but I mean scrambling doesn't matter this event So I actually don't know if we want to go that far well, I Just I noticed that Jim and I want your hard work to be noted. It was not intentional So I wish you had noticed One thing I have noticed is Tony Finau Taking just a blowtorch to Mother Earth the past couple of weeks We've been talking about him a lot in current form. I have not bet him the past two weeks though. So Does it matter? It's like a if a tree falls in a forest does anyone hear it or it doesn't make a noise like If we talk about Tony Fina, but then don't bet him does it actually matter? Or in the case of Tony Finau like if it's not This particular field that that is like loaded it doesn't count and if it's like anything resembling Yeah, Tony Finau gets it Xander gets it they just their wins somehow don't don't matter as much but yeah, I Couple I guess probably a couple months ago at this point I looked into stabilization rates of strokes gain data and sort of one we can buy into samples and it's it's Effectively 12 rounds for the ball striking stats and about 24 rounds for the short game stats and so I've been adding that in to The spreadsheets just to try to see like who's super recent form can we maybe think is a little bit stable and For weeks Tony Finau had been popping and it just didn't quite come through and then I'm like alright look maybe this is just a sign that that it's It's never a must to play or bet Tony Finau and You know it's two guys who have I mean Tony Finau has a lot of fans, but you know, we both love Tony Finau We've played him so many times in DFS bet him and Missing missing out is Unfortunate, but congratulations to Tony. We can still be happy If there's a list of guys or we can be happy even we don't financially benefit from them doing well Finau firmly on that list But we're here this week talk about Wyndham championship and Finau is being graceful by not entering this week to give someone else a chance So good on Tony a very humanitarian of him to do that So let's break down who is here for this week. What if he retired right now? Just go out off of two straight wins. I Mean it's kind of a baller move What's the person I've been like the past couple weeks like how long could he go off of like these the past two weeks alone? Like it would he be okay for a bit? He's got a large family. So I don't know So Tony Finau needs this Literally doing this to support his family good for you Tony please stay in the fields We need you for sure no Tony this week though But it is a decent field because again, this is the final event before the FedEx Cup playoffs began They are at Sedgefield Country Club the Ross course for this week in a 7,131 yards and a par 70 There are 156 golfers in the field and the top Top 65 plus ties make the cut after the first two rounds and again It's not a couple for the FedEx Cup playoffs golfers outside the top 125 need to Make up ground and I'm not gonna say that s word again They need to make up ground this week to get into the top 125 to make the FedEx Cup playoffs golfers at the bottom end of the top 125 may also Need to to have a good outing to make sure they make it for this week as well So Brandon, we know what to expect here at Sedgefield. What does the data tell us about this course? Yes, you've seen this course since 2008 It's one of the shorter courses we have on tour very accuracy friendly but also kind of You know, sometimes there are courses where accuracy is elevated. Sometimes it actually matters This week it matters a decent amount because you'll just be losing strokes naturally on the field if you're in bad spots, so You know, it is what it is. But honestly, you know these past few weeks I've tried, you know over the well over the years I've tried not to over complicate the key stats. I'm looking for and over the past few weeks It's really been that case. It's like can you You know still gain some strokes off the tee or maybe you're you're really good with accuracy But you can gain strokes with your irons and basically make your birdie putts so overlooking things like scrambling overlooking things like Strokes gained around the green but also not necessarily Prioritizing driving distance a ton. It's kind of been similar these past three weeks at least for me and so I can go on all these different tangents look at like proximity from specific ranges, but One thing that's worth noting is there are a lot of par fours that are like between roughly four hundred and four fifty You can look at strokes gained or par four scoring from those distances. I I never know I Haven't tested it. I can't imagine that that is super predictive because we don't know some guys could have really good putting luck on those holes Not all 440 yard par fours are made the same So, you know, it's something you can look into but honestly for me What we know is and for the past five years the Winx four has been 21 under or better Like you're gonna have to be in that range last year was 15 under huge playoff that Kevin Kisner won In my hope or a number fire I have a list of the best guy the guys with the best course form The past winners. I'm just gonna reel off the past winners and you kind of get like who wins here Past past winners who are in this field Kevin Kisner Jim Herman JT post and see who Kim Davis love the third Camilo, Vajagas web Simpson Ryan Moore. It's like Those guys hit fairways basically they're not just the winners. It's not like a situation where it's like Oh, those guys happen to win like it's actually that's that is legitimized by guys who didn't win to finish Well, yeah, so, you know, honestly what I'm getting at is I'm looking for stroke scene approach is always number one stat Most predictive of anything I'm looking at stroke scene off the tee, but as as what I'm doing now is saying that there's an emphasis on driving accuracy. So Basically just not looking for Dude, you knew get necessarily stroke scheme putting on Bermuda greens and birdie or better, right? That's about it So what's your best route for looking at accuracy? Are you looking at? Like fairways games, are you looking at good drives game? What route are you taking to encapsulate that if you're not someone who knows like let's say there's someone listening Who's not like I have no idea who the like the most accurate golfers are what route are you taking to quantify that for your life? Yeah, so the the one thing The one example I bring up a lot Whenever we're looking at a course where accuracy matters is you don't want to sort by fairway Percentage hit because there's a lot more to golf than just that whereas whenever distance matters You can kind of get away with looking at just the longest hitters So for me for example, and I know probably not everyone like waits their own stuff or anything like that But just in your head like usually I have strokes game off the tee waited in about 20% of my stats model I bumped that down whenever accuracy matters To about 10% and then fairways gained Up to about 10% from zero because I don't normally factor it in unless it's super important so I'm still looking at strokes in off the tee about as heavy as Fairways gained but I want to make sure that the golfers who because there's some golfers who are super accurate and gain strokes off the tee by Hitting so many fairways, but also not being prohibitively short So that I hope that sort of answers it because yeah, it's it's always when I start a plan It's like okay, who are the most accurate drivers because we're gonna have a big advantage That isn't necessarily the route you want to go. Yeah, I have good drives gains in mind just because I want guys who can Not penalize themselves when it matters like he isn't spraying it If they need to put on the fairway they can or if they have the irons to make up for it They can do that too. So that's right I'm taking but I think there are a couple ways to do it and Accuracy does matter more this week than it does for pretty much any other course And good drives game can be found on the pga tour stats website. It's just if you miss a fairway But still hit the greener regulation that's considered a good drive. So or you hit the fairway. So exactly So we'll break down golfers who fit that mold who have done well here in the past current form And our favorite options any salary tier and more in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast If you got this pga podcast every week mlb DFS podcasts every weekday USC NASCAR and NFL About a month away Brandon before we have two shows per week Monday and Thursday our wrap-up and our preview show Not that far too down the road. Not too far down the road So make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast This baseball season turned case in the cash and big hits into big wins with the annual sports book right now New customers can step into the plate with a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 With great promotions every day a safe and secure app and the ability to get paid fast There is no better place to bet america's pastime than on america's number one sports book Download the fandal sports book app and sign it today to get started with your no sweat first bet up to $1,000 Must be 21 plus and president in select states first online real money wager only Refund issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after a streak Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook.fandewald.com gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandewald.com slash rg in arizona 1-800 next step or text next up to 5334 2 in connecticut 1-888-789-7777 Or visit ccpg.org slash chat in louisiana 1-877-770 stop in new york 1-877-8 hope and wire Text open y and tennessee call the red line at 1-800-899-7799 in y oming 1-800-522-4700 or in west virginia 1-800 gambler dot net let's dig into the course history here at this event and it's going to be the names You expect if it's a an event where emphasizing accuracy and the one guy who tends to get the biggest boost there Is web simpson and web not surprisingly tears it up here brandon. What have you seen with web in the past at setfield? Yeah, uh winner here back in 2011 Overall since 2017 he's gained an average of 3.02 strokes per round on the field for some context like Pete john rom over the past few years has been like a plus 2.4 like plus 2.3 so like web at setfield has been like Like tiger woods basically against like the the rest of the field um and That's just obviously led to great results. Um, despite the the win coming way back in 2011 which isn't even in that sample um since 2009 uh, sorry since Since 2009 he's gone top 10 Or he's 10 for 13 with top 11s that the 11 kept tripping me up because I knew there's 11 in there So basically effectively top 10 and 10 of 13. Just just keep it simple there. Um, one missed cut the form Uh includes three missed cuts and four starts before getting right back on track at the rocket mortgage So, um, he was someone I was tracking for a good bit Earlier this year kind of cooled off, but made the cut last week at a course that's somewhat similar to what we'll get this week. So We have that going for us now Overall the recent stats do have web ranked 37th over the past three months in data golf's true strokes gained Not necessarily what you're looking for from what might be the chalk play of the week He opened up as the favorite on vandal sports book no longer is Um, the salary is elevated for him on vandal, but uh, he's 31st in strokes gained T-degree 67th and putting so he's not necessarily on a complete upward trend I was almost going to do the uh, the hand signal, but I didn't want to do it incorrectly Because I don't know my my bearings on on camera No, no, that's down. Yeah. I got okay. Yeah, so you made fun of me a couple weeks ago for getting that I wasn't the one doing it. I can make fun of you if it's not me doing it But what I'm what I'm kind of getting at is like web dominates here Um, regardless of what form he's in he's in not as good form as he was sort of trending toward earlier this year But you know, definitely not bad by any means. So I have a really hard time going away from web simpson in terms of dfs I thought he was overvalued um at 15 to 1 where he opened on vandal sports book A little bit more palatable at 21 to 1 which is where I think he is now But either way web is like someone we have to talk about and figure out what we're doing with so What are your thoughts on web? Yes, I think that the concern around the chalk might be lessened by the fact that he lengthened and looking at initial fan share tags He's not super super high like he's fourth, but like that's not high enough where I'd be like super worried Is sung j number one? No, he's third Um, he's up there. I think that for me The concern is more about the form than it is about the roster rate And I can duplicate what web does best and what makes them so good at this course via other guys in Better form at a similar salary a.k.a. Shane Lowry um Like I can I can just do that and I'd rather just do that personally so web totally fine, um, you know, I'm not like cocking people out of him, but I'm not I don't think I think there's a Significant significant chance. I just don't use him this week because the salary is very high. The form is not ideal There are other guys I like more. I think that's enough factors where I can just say If he wins cool. If not, I'm you know, I Would be in line to benefit Well, I mean I'm with you. I think he's still a good play. Um, let's get ahead to head bet here um I'm about to talk about the hen dog Russell Henley. Would you give me a henley versus web head to head? No, because I will never turn on Russell Henley Ever well see, but you wouldn't be turning on him because I always want our head to head So like wouldn't you be guaranteeing that the hen dog would do well? No, I I will not root against Russell Henley. Okay. Give me someone else for web then. Who do you want? Corey Connors? um I would I could probably do I could do connors or are you gonna yell at me because the salary is different No Because I don't care. Uh connors is better I don't need to take the I don't need to rub it in the face that you're getting 600 dollars with the salary more than I am Um, just connors is better. So give me Corey Connors The only issue with Corey Connors that is sourced right by Russell Henley's Let's talk about Russell Henley because he's also doing well. It's not the only issue What? It's not the only issue What's the other issue with connors? What's your beef with him? I'm gonna call him Corey proers because there are no cons. There are no cons with Corey connors. All right. All right Corey proers. All right proers. It's a home game for web. I'm surprised you like just throwing that out the window, but Yeah, I only consider narratives when I want to and when they fit my priors. This one doesn't so I'm good Russell Henley Very good here recently. He's been top two or top 10 not too Top 10 each of the past two years at Sedgefield Last year Henley finished seventh despite not having his irons be fully on and Russell Henley is like iron god the year before that Henley pretty steady all around finished ninth there Henley leads this field and approached the past 50 rounds. He ranks third and birdies are better gained He should get a boost here from the course. So I like Henley a lot this week at 10 9 What about you? It sounds like you do like him again Yeah, uh, love Russell Henley. Um it's Obviously based on what you said, but one thing that does jump out Is that He's on Bermuda greens and he has three career PGA tour wins. All of those were on Bermuda greens. Um, I'm not saying like guaranteed win this week anything like that, but He was third last week and strokes gained teeter green at the rock and mortgage classic just didn't putt well We know that he has the ability to lead a field in teeter green But now he's on the surface where he can actually putt his best. So Henley at 10 9 is definitely a key target um Name i'm interested in just because we're we're talking in this range between web and henley. Um I think All five of those names web simpson sungjae and billy horschel quarry connors russell henley Very very playable. Um I Honestly might have conners just last because of how much I like henley sungjae and horschel and web just being at the course where he can probably like finished top 15 without his best stuff so I don't know. I guess we'll get into roster construction later, but i'm having a hard time at the top because We got to make a decision on xalatoris who we'll talk about. Um, we both love sheen larry and then things get kind of weird So it's a really intriguing week. I think this is a good tier though and a tier I'd like to be in So I think that my Ideal approach will be like probably larry plus one guy in this range We'll talk about conners later because I'm confused why you're off him, but we'll get to that I'm not off of him But whenever I whenever I looked at the field, I said, okay xalatoris not the best course fit But we know what his upside is sheen larry Perfect course fit probably would be the outright favorite if he was putting better currently I think he's the best play in the field web Obviously doesn't have his best stuff, but it also isn't terrible right now and is playing like web It says field is basically one of the biggest locks that there is in terms of course fit Sungjae has great form here Great course fit billy horschel great course fit Henley great course fit conners like I have to rank someone at the bottom right doesn't speak conners But it can be shouldn't be let's talk about ryan armor because It's an accuracy course brandon, which means ryan armor is a Locked to be discussed, but he's $7,800. Is that low enough for you to bite on ryan armor for this week? I mean that's pretty low and you mentioned the two that like the two stud lineup If you play someone like a ryan armor this week You can probably get in three and that's intriguing because i'm having a hard time narrowing it down as I just talked about Um, but yeah armor comes to mind when we talk about accuracy courses He leads the field and driving accuracy for the season 121st in distance The irons are fine short games a bit of a question usually, but he has four top 25s here in the past Five years missed the cut last year but hard to argue with otherwise He's 46 years old We talked last week and the week before about certain golfers like they're they're long-term samples Probably not going to look as good as what their Peak is at a certain course because they're playing courses that don't really fit What their skill set is anymore and I mean armor You know being as old as he is but still hitting all these fairways I think that there's some potential here still the reasons that's put him 96th and true strokes gained over the past three months He's around 70th and t-degree and a ball striking which is not what you want but roughly field average is okay whenever you anticipate a boost for that and I don't usually break into the 7 000 range but With the top of the field being Honestly pretty deep and then there's a steep drop off I think between henley and scott stallings Maybe adam scott, I guess There's not anyone i'm like itching to play so I think that Dipping down to someone like ryan armor or if you can find someone else on like the low low 8 000s to get back up and get Three of the the tier that we love I think there's potential there and i'm intrigued by that so any thoughts for you on armor or trying to find One a low salary play to build around your like key lineup your your main lineup so I guess what I'd rather do is Go into the mid 8 000 range. I think the mid 8 000 range is pretty good this week there are a couple guys I like there and armor Even at the courses where accuracy is not as important hasn't had upside Like he's probably gonna make the cut he'll probably be fine, but You would probably have this number like what are his top 25 odds in your model? Like I don't know if you actually have that cut off, but like 25 specifically, but I'd have like t10 Almost zero right? You're very low gym Second you're throwing all these different numbers out at me. Give me his t10 3% About 8% for top 20 13 percent for top 30. Yeah, that's not high enough for me. Um Like what about uh, jj spawn? What are his top 10 odds? Yeah, I mean they're gonna be good because my model likes spawn 11 top 10, but we're talking about a $700 difference and I'm talking Right, but that's what I'm saying is I'd rather I'd rather take A ding so like you're gonna have if you use one guy at 78 Your average remaining salary. I'll pull this up is 10 440 You're not getting every 1 e1 there. You're gonna need a second low sour guy at some point so let's go with jj spawn And let's go with matthew me smith who is at 86 if I use both those guys together I'm at 10 7 2 4 or 2 5 for four remaining slots. I'd rather go with Two guys in the mid 8,000 range or a guy in the mid 8,000 range and a guy High 8,000 range then one guy at 78 because I don't think armor has enough upside to justify it I think I'd rather take that route to achieve a somewhat similar goal Okay I don't I don't I don't disagree. I'm not saying Ryan armor is a lock. I'm not saying Ryan armor is I'm gonna find himself on the first page of the leaderboard, but Um, if you're looking for a golfer in the low 7,000 or the sorry the the 7,000 range, which we don't typically ever look at Um armor this week. I think has a bit more appeal than than most Historically That's fair. That could be an accurate statement that I can still not want to use and I think that's our map right now Let's talk about denny mccarthy. He's 9800 dollars, but 3200 to win or 32 to 1 to win A bit of a mismatch there between odds and salary Part of that is likely the course fit something mccarthy has Shown here in the past mccarthy has finished in the top 40 in all four trips to sedgfield The most recent two were both top 15s mccarthy has actually had good irons at sedgfield He's had uh, he's actually gained an approach in all four events the putting not surprisingly was stellar as well mccarthy Showing upside recently. He has three top tens in his past five events Mr. Cudney other two that's kind of the denny mccarthy experience. Um, so Where do you settle in on denny mccarthy at 9800 dollars? He is a player pick for me the hardest problem will be getting to him salary wise because I'm really tinkering with my lineups Which we usually start to do during the show and really see how we want to play it because we pick the The golfers throughout that that appeal to us and then we really think about like roster construction as we talk about stuff and yeah I think I want to get three of the the guys from i'll say adam scott and above, but it's more realistic, uh to be Uh russel henley and above I think I can get three of those in a lineup and still feel solid and with It's no surprise. We both love sheen lauri Um, I love sung jm And we both love russel henley. So if I use those three to start I have 86 67 left for three golfers I can make that work And that might be my my core strategy for the week So I don't think it's realistic that'll get to mccarthy, but it's nothing because of him It's just the Sort of the upside at the top that I want access to I could see myself being in this range for cash games because There I'll probably be a bit less top heavy. So if I go like a Lauri henley spawn start that leaves me 9600 per golfer left for the final three If I'm looking for a cash game, I'm probably going to be in that range more often So I'm more likely to use mccarthy in a cash game due to roster construction than I am for a tournament because of what you discuss For tournaments, I'd rather be top heavy But for cash games, I might be in that range and he'd be a consideration for me in there because of The tools he brings to the table for this kind of course Let's dive into current form right now and talk about will zalatoris because you mentioned zalatoris is not necessarily like a Course fit for this week in terms of you know as much as a guy like lauri would be or a guy like sung jay But he's also a really good golfer. Uh, so let's talk about zalatoris's current form what we're doing with him for this week Yeah, so Uh, zalatoris over the past three months according to data golf has the best current form Among this field does set up was one of the worst course fits or at least one of the golfers whose strengths won't help him as much as it normally does um, he just he nukes it off the tee, but he's not hyper accurate and I'm looking for Putting conversion and like zalatoris can go low. We know that whenever he's on he can just basically look like the best golfer on the planet Um, but you're never banking on zalatoris to have the putter locked in Unless you're like watching him to see if he's like doing arm lock stuff, but that's not that's not i'm not but i'm not uh Yeah, i'm not i'm not saying that he's doing that. I just I think some people don't like it. Um, but 29th year last year with a good putter so going against everything that I said But missed the cut in 2018 when he putted horribly on these greens when he was 12 years old He's just If you look at the golfers with at least four events over the past three months He is easily number one in true strokes gained. He's at a 2.00 according to data golf's true strokes game query Definitely pull that up. It's a great tool to compare stuff over different timeframes, but erin wise is second at 1.67 Taylor pendrith is actually pretty close, but he's done it in three events. That's why I made that cut off The ball striking we know is phenomenal But he's not necessarily going to benefit from the distance he gets He was t20 last week at a somewhat similar setup while gaining from ball striking losing with the short game Gained a little bit With the accuracy though, which is something that I always try to point out to like Longer golfers can club down and try to hit fairways Shorter golfers can't just hit longer whenever they need to so You know longer hitters as we saw with tony finnell I would say both of those courses weren't lean more accuracy than distance and he went out and won both of them, but you know Like there's a case to be made for zalatoris, especially if people are overlooking him I just have a hard time getting there over someone like sheen lauri. So what are your thoughts on zalatoris this week? Yeah, I also just don't know people who actually overlook him like I think that in theory they might But I also like looking at initial fan share tags stuff like that. I don't Not sure if that's actually gonna happen, which is kind of a bummer because I think that if it were like A field where you could guarantee me is zalatoris would be on 10 of rosters I'd probably be pretty interested, but I don't think that's gonna happen so I think for me, it's more so just like I have to prioritize at some point I like lauri a lot more And I like guys like henlia lock conners who are a tier below them in terms of salary so I don't I don't want like I think I'm more likely to use zalatoris than I am to use web because of just the upside I think is sick and the form is really good, but He's not a lock to be on my rosters and I wouldn't be shocked if he isn't But I'm a receptor to him. I just don't think he's a priority for me this week You're smiling why I just like always makes me very nervous. I well, I I know that web's current form is not like Immaculate, but you keep saying like At least I feel like I've heard the upside criticism for web um a few times and like We don't just look at finishing positions and say like this is what this guy's going to do or anything But if again, if you want upside at a particular course, it's like web at sedge field is Just like crazy So I think that'll be okay. Um, I'm not saying that definitively like I prefer web to zalatoris It's such a degree that I would never consider uh zalatoris, but like I think that And maybe i'm wrong, but It's not like web is playing at the ryan armor level Sure, but when is the last time off the top of your head that that web had a top five? You could ask me that about When is the last time you could ask me that about anybody and just tell me tell me I don't know how long ago has he been for how long has he been completely healthy? I don't know, but it was a silny open last year 2021 like That's a that's a hot second man. That's a that's all that's 18 months Without a top five I'm okay questioning his upside when that's the case personally I think that's fair if he comes out and finishes top five this week, which Could happen Oh, well It's like you onto next week. He finished he finished seventh here finished seventh here last year Which is not a top five so it doesn't count for jim here Correct He only top five in the five isn't that the top five g's and the five events leading in he was gaining 1.8 strokes Per event t-degree then 1.8 now 2.6. Oh man, but not to bank that up and he's definitely finishing top five now my kids Okay I'm just saying It's like at some point you got to do it man. Like I don't know He was seventh When he lost strokes in both short game stats here, maybe don't lose Maybe don't lose strokes short game. Oh, yeah, you want you want someone who can never lose strokes with the short game It's will's out Taurus. That's right, man. I didn't say I didn't say straight up. I said for upside Sure, will's out Taurus is better upside I like I'm not arguing that will's out Taurus has much better win odds in my model I just think that we're discrediting web He's not discrediting. I'm saying that that I like the other guys more It is a it is immensely hard to model someone like web In a week like this because you don't know How much to bump him up? That's why I don't really bump guys because it's You can't do it for everyone And then it's just sort of then it turns into a subjective process But yeah, if I if I do my normal process Zalatoris is like twice as likely to win. It's basically 2.5 percent versus 5 percent but We're talking like DFS here as well and the the floor for web I think is a lot higher than the the current form suggests So you said the f-word and it it's my skin crawls. What form? There we go. We got a new banner For the for youtube ignore the floor floor is irrelevant I'm just gonna flash this up whenever you say that f-word And there is a banner on the lower part of youtube that says ignore the floor I'm gonna flash that whenever you say the f-word according according to the explicit tag On apple podcast because you said that f-word Listen to how bad this form is for web. Uh miss the cut at the u.s. Open. I don't care about that I want freaking upside No Let me talk about scott stallings And not talk about floor. So scott stallings. We were both in on him last week came through the top 10 upside He is 10,100. No, no, no, no, no. No, no, no, no. That's not that's not upside That's not top five scott stallings never finished top five in his life. Uh, that was his third straight top 10 He was fourth. Is that right? Fourth at the charles schwaab. I'm sorry. What Fourth is that better than fifth? I get back to me on that interns who don't exist. Look this up for us Um, the form is very good The problem is that stallings is not a course fit because He's 21st and distance gained the past 50 rounds by 104th in fairways gained He is 103rd in good drivescape, but stallings is a great permutative putter his approach is nice He's playing great golf overall. Is that enough for you to overcome the concerns around course fit for scott stallings at 10 1 Yeah, I love uh stallings if you look at the um the recent like stabilized quote-unquote Recent stats. He is second in the field Behind just jt poston. So like basically if we can bank on the the super short form stuff He is really popping there. He's tight. Well, I guess he's tied with sung jm. And by the way, I love sung j If that's not clear, I'd really want to make that known. Um But yeah, stallings for me definitely someone I like at that salary. I don't necessarily know How often I'll be there, but he is dominant on bermuda greens too. I want to throw that in there. So um, if I'm going the two stud routes stallings, uh, he was My brain basically went lorry in stallings to to start my lineups. Um, if I'm going that route In that tier stallings is definitely going to be someone I want exposure to Yes, I mentioned cash game bill before potentially leading me to that high 9 000 range I think my preferred route would be to get to stallings at 10 1 Um, I prefer more McCarthy. I do like him a lot and I think that's where I'd want to go So for that bill defense, well, I think that bill does fit for tournaments too because stallings actually has that at top five within the past 18 years But like I think that that works for both formats just prefer for cash games over tournaments Yeah, Jim Herman Speaking of upside getting the win. I mean, let me just throw out like Random winners and random like top twos and say this guy now has upside or doesn't I mean, they've won. They've got win juice That's what i'm saying Let's talk about brian harman also in the same range as stallings and I think that that's interesting because again, I might be here more than I thought initially What do you see with harman here at 10 2? Um, obviously some strong results of late, but hasn't played since the open So it's kind of a little bit of different form, but uh t 34th pga T 43 at the u.s. Open t 6 at the open. So really showed up in the majors Um, I guess none of those are upside though, uh, because they weren't inside the top five ta the travelers basically a missed cut there, um, so He should be a good course fit based on what his traits are, but the results haven't necessarily been there for him at sedge field cut last year 27th before that um, or sorry Missed the cut last year uh 27th before that Uh six before that so I mean it's it's possible like it's just maybe in theory a better fit overall for him um, because again, none of those are top fives so I don't I don't know. Um, if harman's just toast he's had two in 2022 the calendar year But at sedge field If my if my date is right imagine looking at course history ever not that it's an entire segment on our show or anything Oh, he had a third back in 2013 Well upside got win juice But that doesn't count for a web who's actually won here and has basically been like top five Has he actually won can you prove that to me? Um, but yeah for harman missed cut last year 27th sixth missed cut For three straight years before that then the third and then a missed cut So like when I was kind of getting that I realized I just spread off like the missed cut 27th sixth and said like his form Hasn't always great here. Um, but it before that it was not particularly great Yeah, um I think harman is in play for sure definitely okay with him here. I tend to I'd prefer stallings over him, but I don't think it's a big gap personally. What does he read on those two versus each other specifically? um So I have Better win odds for harman Just the better long term player, but the short term stuff definitely does favor stallings I think I lean stallings um Even though that might be The wrong play both are good putters both are good on bermuda. It's kind of a coin flip there Yeah, um, their real separator is stallings irons being much better, but harman being more accurate. So I probably lean stallings overall there though, but it's a lean not a definitive and I think I agree with that as well Let's talk about callum taran. Uh, taran has been tearing off some good finishes recently and Not all of them have come against saw fields. Uh, the biggest one was us open The irons were on there. He finished 31st, which is pretty good relative to the the guys who were there Since then taran has finished, uh cut 6th at the john deere cut 22nd and then 7th at the 3m open 20th last week Taran's done that mostly via a really nice play on approach Short game hasn't been that bad either, but accuracy is not a strength for him He's a 31 year old who has been surging here. We're typically skeptical of guys in that age range who pop So once you're going to count taran at $800 this week Okay, over the past three years How many top fives Does taran have let me give him zero No, no, he don't don't sell him short. He's got one at the port of rica open Uh Two last year on the corn fairy tour. Wow and one In 2020 on the corn fairy tour. So um just T5 juice Taran it up Um, so he's actually one of the guys who if I do the recent form at stabilization cutoffs He's at a 1.89 strokes gained which is pretty sick. Um Not accurate at all in his pg tour sample Really getting a lot of luck with the putting though. Um 90th percentile lag putting 16th percentile Money arrange putting where he's actually sort of able to make them. So I think that he might be someone who's Even though the the stabilization numbers kind of say that we can trust it. I'm a little skeptical Yeah, uh, but at the salary of 8 800. I'm not like out on him by any means so He's interesting. He'd be kind of in the conversation But I I wouldn't want to go too hard there for taran this week So a consideration for you is a value play but not a priority, correct? Not a top guy in that range Correct. I'd agree with that assessment as well. He's not in my player picks for the the low salary range But I thought about him and just didn't just like a couple guys more than him So one guy worth looking at there. Let's dig into what the bookmakers are saying for this week We're some jm the favorite at fangirl sports book He is 15 to 1 that he got shane lowery and wills on torus 17 to 1 Billy Horschel is a 19 with web at 21 See who kim is 22 to 1 followed by cori connors and russell. How many at 24 to 1 You get to add and scott then and brian harman right at the top group here both at 31 to 1 So odds are super flat up top brian And what does that tell you about the optimal way to construct rosters for this week? Yeah, at a hard time. I was trying to do some prep early this weekend And look ahead and try to figure out like where the odds would would sort of land And I saw web sitting as the favorite to open He's since lengthened But it's been there's been a lot of shifting around I I'm not saying I'm surprised that that sung jay is is now The favorite I think the one thing that really does stand out to me is that she and lowery is probably not going to be as popular As he deserves to be which I love But yeah, overall it's been hard to get a read and so we talked about what was it like six seven golfer. I don't know from the From adam scott who I'll throw in there. He's at the bottom of the eight guy tier, but Um eight golfers there who I would gladly play any of this week um So i'm probably going to be much more receptive to letting Popularity dictate where I ultimately wind up aside from the fact that lowery and sung jay are sort of the standouts for me overall so It's been it's been hard to get a good read on like who's going to be popular I thought everyone would love web, but jim just Put the final nail on the coffin on web simpson. So I don't know. Um, I don't know. What does this mean to you? I think to me It says that Kind of what you touched on initially that lowery will be laura rosted than he should be that's actually my biggest takeaway from this and So we talked a lot about Okay, what range do you want to build around this week? I might just build around lowery specifically And just make him like a focal point play and if he busts he busts whatever onto next week I think that's kind of my biggest takeaway personally After that it means I can dip down. So I think they're like I'm gonna have A lot of very similar lineups this week to start with lowery Then go down to either conners or henley and then sometimes I'll get back up there the other one for the third golfer But I'll also have like I think that that's the way I want to play things so building around lowery because I think he'll be under rostored and then Peppering that second range with my second slash potentially third golfer as well I think that's my biggest takeaway honestly is that lowery Is a focal point this week Do you like conners more than horschel? Yes I think conners for me is either is 1a or 1b depending where I put henley Hmm Compared to horschel compared to web. I don't I think that like Horschel is closer than web personally Web might be last for me Um in this range. I understand the case for putting web last. Um, uh, sorry. I forgot sung j Sung j is above horschel for me too Yeah, it's a good range. Yeah I should have mentioned sung j is being like the second guy Have sung j sung j is probably number two. I think that it's it's uh It's the word irresponsible not to talk about how good web has been and being sure not to like Not to write him off despite his form Because this form is not like yeah atrocious. Yeah So Yeah, that's right. I agree with that. Uh, which golfers I agree that it's fair to talk about him It's not that do you agree that his form is not atrocious I don't think it's atrocious. I just think the other guy's a better form and have and do you think that Do you think it's disingenuous to say that web simpson no longer has any form of upside? Well, I didn't say no longer. I said he has not shown there's a difference Yes, okay There's a difference There's a difference and so and to be clear you now rank everyone based on top five results Yes, only finishes nothing else nothing else matters. We're gonna go to the Puerto Rico open and I will not use anybody in the field No one worthy of my rockers. That's that's how it's gonna go. Yeah, just telling you now If it's word championship, I will use everyone once that's how it's gonna go Uh, which golfers odds have shifted most notably since things opened So this will be a longer segment than usual But I think it's noteworthy because it plays into the fact that like I don't think there's a consensus And I think that we can get a lot of leverage from that if we're willing to You know keep our Our eyes and ears open to see who people aren't really talking about that's not to say Listen for who isn't being talked about and just play them Like you want to make sure that there's just a case to be made for those guys, but Sung Jae im shortened from 18 to 15. He's now the favorite seawool kim 32 to 22 one of the bigger moves toward the top that I've seen Russell Henley 29 to 24 Adam Scott a short one, but uh, 33 to 31. You like to see that movement Brian Harman 40 to 31 Taylor pendrith 45 to 41 christian bezadenhote who I like But probably won't talk about just because of whereas salary falls 55 to 46 Keith Mitchell. I like a lot 60 to 48 Cameron champ 90 to 75 So those guys have the the most notable odds that have shortened And what about the those who have lengthened So even though this is small, I think it's noteworthy Shane Lowry wills alatoris 16 to 17 probably just because people are betting Sung Jae instead web 15 to 21 because people realize that he no longer will ever Never once ever again finished top five Westy dustin earth. Sorry. We're the west web. Dustin. Oh gosh Kevin Kisner teal hatton 29 234 and 35 respectively Justin rose 42 to 50 Kevin Stroman, Brendan Todd 55 to 70 and 75 respectively Cades Lea big 165 to 90 And then Harris English Jonathan Vegas from like the 70 range to 90 So, you know, it's not just certain golfers getting back down. It's some guys kind of getting like Just neglected. Um, so I think it's pretty interesting this week So see what Kim is not a guy we discussed in the course history section But could have three straight top fives He is very high on fan share in terms of buzz He's in that same tier as stallings and Harman What is your read on seabook him this week at 10 three? Yeah, I mean former winner here Definitely don't mind him some of the better form Of anyone in the field at this particular course and you know, realistically someone who Uh Does enough usually to go low whenever things are clicking. He's accurate doesn't really struggle anywhere particular um, we can maybe point out like so he doesn't like He's like a red flag level anywhere, but the two things that are his worst attributes are The irons in the putting and those are the most important for me this week He generally gains a lot of strokes around the green, which is not necessarily what you're going to do um Like consistently horrible putting from within five feet It's I don't I'm not like out on seabook him not gonna Bermuda So like it's just a combination of things that I think there is like I understand why he's being sure talked about but You got to kind of at a certain point say like that's enough negatives to go to someone else I agree. Uh, which lower salary golfers have odd to stand out to you Um, so if I look at golfers with salaries of 9 000 or lower on fando, we have chez rebe Your boy uh 65 to one He's always been your boy. I'm fine with him, but I Spend a second ct pond. That's your place ian polter who is no longer relevant to my life So I guess might as well be chez Uh ct pond karen champ 75 uh calum taren 80 joel daemon I'll take i'll take joel daemon. Uh, he's he can be my boy 85 to one matthew neismith kh lee 90 to one erin rye 100 to one same as jj spawn and uh, they decidedly not canadian nicardy Uh, also decidedly not a great week last week. I'm pretty sure did we like ruin him? With the semi midwest homecoming narrative. Did we uh, I don't do narratives Okay, sorry did I Okay, I figured it out. I figured it out. No, I figured it out homecoming is bad narrative because he wanted to spend time with his family Not a long drive from detroit to north brook, so I think that was it. They ruined it That's why I can't use web. It's a homecoming narrative. There we go Oh, yeah, that makes that's that's what it was. Yeah, definitely wants to spend time with the family He's gonna miss cut intentionally Definitely for hardy. It wasn't the 1.87 or 1.78 strokes lost with approach per round wasn't it? Why do you think that his approach is bad? He wanted to go home. He's approaching home I'm saying uh weather for this week. There is a slight wind edge for golfers seeing off early thursday, but Winds are steady during the day friday. There's a chance of rain in the afternoon So I would check back on the timing of that weather for friday afternoon on wednesday As it could impact things It's most likely to impact those with an earlier tee time on thursday But don't really know definitively on that one yet slight chance of rain saturday too But overall pretty calm for this week not a ton of wind So just check back on the weather on wednesday night. Let's dive into our player picks here for the windem championship Brandon, who are you building around this week on fan duo? Shane Lowry. We are a Shane Lowry podcast now I think that there's a lot that's uncertain At the top of the field for us. It's very clearly Shane Lowry He just has a big edge on the rest of the field over the past six months in the past year Like he does what i'm looking for he's accurate enough. He's got great irons. He's a really good putter He is inside the top 30 in fedex cup points, which is something that you can look at I'm sure people will probably overvalue that because Look, you don't know if golfers are going to play better or worse if they're trying to like You know Make the cut I looked into it Couldn't really tell any specific like trends one way or the other On terms of the fedex cup points and trying to qualify last minute But he doesn't need the points, but then again every point matters, especially for that tour championship And I think that she and Lowry would be the clear favorite if he didn't lose strokes from putting in four straight events If his then that Bumps up his finishes that bumps up the perception bumps up Or I guess bumps down the win odds. I never I never know, but we all know what I'm talking about there So I think I think Lowry would be the You know not saying like eight to one ten to one anything like that But he he should probably be the favorite here. Um, and I think Lowry's a great player I agree for the same reasons. I think that again A building block for me this week and potentially like my highest exposure player despite being a super high salary guy I think that he's worth that and Probably not going to be as popular as he should so Shane Lowry to me a priority to build around this week Who else you like here in this upper range? Um, okay, so I had web I think web is still a great play But realistically if I'm being 100 honest, I'm going to go with some gm more frequently than I go with web In my own lineups Sung Jae is the only golfer this week Inside the top 35 if you look at full season ranks within the field in driving accuracy stroke scheme approach and stroke scheme putting He has the finishes here We know that at his peak he is quite good and I mentioned the stabilization cutoff points. He's at a 2.03 Trailing only jt post in which I think will eventually trail down. So if you want to talk like best super recent form and Upside and long-term form and all that stuff some gm Is definitely a standout. So I still I'm not backtracking off of web I think he you can't really make a case against web because I think that the missed cuts are Uh facetious because he's barely missed the cuts in those events the underlying data is fine He's returning to a course where he's a really good player. Uh, really good player I'm not worried about web. I just I would rather take Honestly the savings with some gm. The other reason not to worry about the miss cuts brandon Ignore the floor but Don't ignore the upside This cuts are fine as long as they're not like super super concerning. You know, yeah I mean his missed that that's what I was going to say before is like And then he then you Cutting me off never Missed the cut at the u.s. Open and according to fantasy national gained 0.8 strokes Honestly probably miss on the cut on the cut line there. Um minus 0.7 to john deere Minus 0.6 at the open. I don't he's not imploding. Yeah, it's the rock of mortgages wasn't great, but like it's It's fine. Like don't yeah, don't panic yet. So you talked about sung j. I'm gonna talk about cori conners I do like sung j though and I want to note that I want to talk about conners when you talk me out of it Conners is not a distance guy. Um, he's not short, but like he's not a distance guy So I think that he does get a boost at a course that requires more precision because conners has that He ranks second in good drives gained in six in the pros the past 50 rounds He's also 17th and birdies are better gained conners has not done well yet in three trips to set shield, but He's in much better form now than he was his most recent trip, which was back in 2020 I think that conners has a good blend of the floor if you want to talk about that But also upside that word. Yeah, sorry to nice off here. I got the beeps go. Yep. There we go I got the ignore the floor back the f words back Um, he has a good blend of that thing but also upside So I like him alive 11 000. Why do you hate cori conners? dog to me I don't I don't dislike cori conners. He just didn't Pop to me compared to the some other some of the other guys I think that if you're looking for a week where you can build up other golfers At weeks where they might like cori conners can contend at all types of courses Some of like billy horse roll should get Relative to his skill level a big boost this week because he's you know accurate and does things well like that, but conners So if if you look at spike weeks spike week results, so an 80th percentile number in terms of adjusted stroke skiing to degree and we're putting Conners has done that in teeter green over the past year 45 percent of the time That's phenomenal. He's done it with the potter 10 percent of the time, which is below what you would expect Billy horse roll for example 36 percent teeter green not as good as conners, but not terrible 50 percent with the potter um, you're looking for guys who can go low um Conners can do that because of the ball striking, but This is the thing that kind of got me off of tony fina these past two weeks He's like you got to make your putts and like you know, I made his putts the underlying data said he shouldn't I will say in your defense like conners is one of the bigger putting regression candidates For the week doesn't necessarily putt it well on bermuda As well as like billy horse roll. So I think I'd rather do like I think horse rolls upside is As good or better as someone like cori conner. So I got to rank someone last But I think you just guarantee cori conners victory by comparing him to tony fina. So cori conners Why bother playing bud? You already won Like it's done. It's a wrap son Yeah, this would feel Of all the guys for me to be off of finally and have him win Conners conners or henley would be the names that i'm definitely in on henley. So Cory conner's gonna win. You heard it here first. Uh mid range. Who do you like there? um Who do I have denny mccarthy like denny mccarthy Um, this is just not a range that come i'm super big on so that's why I had to double check here um mccarthy, you know, again, it's just it He should get relative to his baseline a pretty big boost here because he's accurate one of the best putters on the planet um, just Some of the like you really have to bump up whenever distance. It's not a must. He's finished 36 29th 9th and 15th year the past four years phenomenal bermuda putter Like I'll take that. I like him too. Um, but if I want to say some salary, I like sabash munoz He's kind of similar to conners in that he hasn't popped to said shield in four trips But should benefit from the course as well Munoz ranked 17th in good drives game 15th in approach 26th and birdies are better gained That helps him sit sixth in true strokes gained across the past six months now munoz Hasn't had any top 10 since may so no juice, but Largely played against stellar fields. This is not that as much especially in the mid-range So I think that munoz is under salary to 95. What's your read on sabash munoz this week? um, I'm usually in on munoz just from a balanced stats production profile the one caveat I'll throw in here if we're trying to pump the brakes is that he's um, really struggling uh with the the the money range putting kind of Building his stuff on the on the strength of uh, the lag putting but You know, I don't dislike it. I think I'd rather go Uh, christian bezadenhote. I love I love Keith Mitchell this week. I think he's a great play at 97 um But yeah, he'd be in the conversation. I just don't quite think I'll get there myself I feel like I got to build a lineup just your guys to use against you this week I gotta get conners in there munoz. Well, so our our season long head-to-head Uh contest is coming toward the end. There we have four weeks left um last year I blew it in phenomenal fashion with a xander schroff lay eagle um, so my guy Just cutting me down It would feel quite right if you start a I gotta win one if I win one I win it win a new hat If you in four in a row you win it it would feel pretty fitting if you Just played a lineup of all my guys and They took me down to get me really shake. I mean, I'm not shaking yet, but If I lose this week, I'll be I'll be pretty nervous. No, I don't think you need to be uh, who else is like in the mid-range Mark Hubbard 9,200 86 in the fat X cup standings one of the more accurate players With driver and irons. So I think he's a good fit For sedge field really good putter with underlying data that's there 9th percentile in this field in distance But 64th and fairways gained I think it's a kind of combination that gets you a boost that of course like this 24th 15th and 51st at this event over the past five years. So some of the better form of the setup 9,200 is a range. I'll probably be in quite a bit whether I go two or three studs, um, so I think that hubbard's probably gonna be someone I have more exposure to than the field I like hubbard too 92 is a good number for him. I think that um, love the irons I think everything lines up well. It's all I can too. I'll stop with Kevin Strylman who Has a pair of top tenths this course one of which was last year the ball striking The ball striking was very nice there Strylman has made four straight cuts recently One of them was a runner up at the bar basalt. It is the bar basalt. So it doesn't really matter, but I'd rather he play well at the bar basalt and play like but Strylman makes fairways. He has decent irons. You can putt on Bermuda I think that's not bad for 93 thinking more about it. I might like hubbard more. Um, but what's your read on strylman? But he he popped up as someone whose odds really lengthened, right? I mentioned his name Yeah, 50 to 55 to 70 So I think you'll probably be on a bit of an island there um I was just looking to see like what was going on with the putter there. He doesn't have any good surfaces I think the putting probably Is it trending up long term? I mean he's someone we've Now it's not at all Because he's got that spike we can four percent of his events over the past year, which is not necessarily what you want to see um I think he's fine. I would if we're talking like upside And not a course fit. Give me chris gutter up instead Okay, I think I do like hovered more more. I think about it than Strylman, but I still don't mind strylman. Uh, who do you like as a value plate this week? Uh, oh Got some overlap here jg spawn. Love it 8500. Uh, I think it's a good number for him Probably a little bit low. He is 26 in the fedex cup standing So someone who doesn't necessarily need a big result this week, but if he can finish well um, that's going to help him play deeper into the playoffs and I think that For someone like spawn that actually matters. I know the fedex cup playoffs are not number one priority for everyone But you think someone like spawn would love to to sort of keep that going um 82nd percent how iron play 85th percent how accuracy and birdie numbers. I think it's like a good Good combo here. Yeah, you talked about spawn last week I think in current form or of course history one or the other and I wasn't convinced but he finished eighth last week He's 8500. I think that's he's got a good profile 19th and good drives gained 12th and approach or 21st and approach 34th and birdies are better gains Um, very neutral in brimuto. I can take that for sure. Um, he's 85 so I think that spawn is my favorite value plate any number this week and He'll be in our head to head just I feel okay saying that to you I just I think I find no reason not to use him. I like him a lot. Who else do you like his value play this week? Yeah, I think spawn Lowry and maybe stallings could give us a 3v3 Potentially this week. Yeah It's close. I think unless I want to deviate just to like Get myself a better shot, but I don't know Yeah, although I mean at a certain point Maybe if you if 3v3 is only a sample of 3 which is more variance more variance is probably better for me because in a Straight up head to head. You're probably gonna have the edge. So I should probably Reduce or increase the variance have fewer golfers involved And that would mean locking in as many guys as you as possible Yeah um, I had ryan armor here, but I I think armor's more of a like Point play that is a little more viable than than normal. I think erin rye makes some sense here He's 89th in the facts cup standing. So this would be a good A good week for him to to build some momentum Really, I mean good recent form on the pga tour with an all-around game. I will point out that the irons have been struggling um In recent events hasn't played since the open just kind of didn't play well The open championship and the Scottish open, but I think that's probably why he's a full on value play Probably at his peak could be up in the like low 9000 range. I think we're getting some value here on him at 85 Yeah, I looked into him okay with him as well My second guy is matthew niece mith not typically a big birdie maker We do need guys to go low this week But the hope for me is that a shorter course will better allow him to contend for birdies He ranks eighth and good drives gained 14th and approach For me it is also his least bad putting surface, which is a good thing Niece mith's past two events have been bad Even with the irons, which is not what you want to see but He was putting up decent showing before that so i'm okay within the 86 much prefer spawn I'd rather get back up to the Hubbard strilman range rather than having two guys down here But I think niece mith works if I need to like Jam in three true-truths does think that could work. What's your idea matthew's niece mith this week? um someone i'm usually like looking into but I will say uh in his defense your defense, uh worst worst lag putter in the field Or sorry second worst lag putter in the field above Uh, Adam shank Oh, okay But he's above average in terms of that sort of money range putting so I think that kind of works should have some putting regression come his way eventually so Interesting not a lock but then again in the value range No, it's like never a lock anywhere not even lowery like no one's a lock ever but Yep, exactly. Okay. Win picks for this week How far am I behind you in terms of units for this segment just because they're usually I don't want to care about that Yeah, I don't want to care because I just want to give out guys who are like good Good relative to their odds however, there are three or four guys I like this week So i'm okay letting it dictate there because I don't think any of them are bad bets their current numbers well, I So, um, the the the unit differential here is 19.5. Okay, cool. Perfect. That works um I'm still positive for the year, right? Yes, barely or we hanging on nine and a half. Okay. That's fine. I'll take that just outright that works. Okay. Um Who are you going with this week? Shane Lowry for sure. Yeah um and It's between Sung Jae and Henley I'll go Henley because Sung Jae shortened Yeah, I was going to go Connors and Henley. I'll lop off Henley because I don't want to overlap with you. So I'll go Connors Um, this is not because I don't want to overlap in general. It's just because I need to play game theory at this point in the year Um, so I'll go Connors at 24 to 1 Be really funny if I pick web. I'm not going to but it'd be really funny. Um consideration set for me is Honestly, Munoz at 50 is in the consideration set for me. Um I think that's a decent number for him Um, if you if you want someone who can go low Munoz has that in his back pocket. Yeah, he's it up. I'm considering between Zalatoris And Munoz So you said 5% for Zalatoris To win um and The implied odds 17 to 1 are 5.6 percent Let's just a good Munoz. I don't know it's more fun I'm going to go to Munoz and Connors this week. Connors 24 to 1 Munoz 50 to 1 you have Shane Lowry 17 to 1 Henley at 24 I said I was considering 3 to 4 guys before Lowry and Henley were both guys. I was I like both those picks personally I think they're good. I was worried you were going to take Sung Jae because you don't have to I know I don't need to go big, but I just don't I don't know if Sung Jae's a value at 15 to 1 He's not that far off Yeah, but I might be lower on him than you are maybe relative to betting odds I could see that but yeah Yeah, okay, so Any final words of wisdom from you brandy before we send off the good people the good listeners to fill off their lineup Fill out their lineups this week um pull up, you know whatever your stats provider of choices and See the last time a guy finished top five and then ranked them by that If they haven't done it within the past 18 months Ignore do they even exist? Ignore strokes gained approach to green trends ignore all that just look at the top five numbers Doesn't matter what event it's been in what tour what tour Yes Yeah, like if they played the foursome at their home course and they finished fourth. That's the top five, baby I'm sure web's done that a few times at uh set fuel, but um proof to to to give out something actionable, uh, there's a lot of Differentiation you can have at the top of the field. Um, we talked a lot about Shane Lowry And then henley and probably sungji it was like third for us combined Like in terms of consensus about uh ranking there, but we know zala torus could could do some damage here um Billy Horschel like you have options. So be open to to being a little bit different this week Yep, I think that is wise wisdom as well That is all that we have here for this week We'll be back once again next week to preview the fedex cup playoffs break him down from a dfs Perspective and get you set for what should be a fun week of some golf Make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Wherever you get your podcast and while you're there if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well Uh, brandon people have questions for you on twitter. Where can they find you there? I'm at gadu la 13 gd. ULA 13. I do have a question for you. I guess I can tweet it at you but Will's out tourists went to wait for us. That's in north carolina. Is this a home game for him? And if so, is it is it worse now for him? Is will zala torus come across as a guy who made friends in college? I think he does but I want to make sure I want to get a read on that. He seems very likable It's not a patrick reed situation. Okay a low-key likable guy like he's not getting kicked off the team or anything like that Anything. Okay, cool. So uh bat. That's that's a downgrade because he's probably friends in the area and probably let's spend down with him so sorry Good thing I didn't pick him. Wow Dodge to bullet there by picking the second best golfer in the field or not picking the second best golfer in the field Man, we'll have fun with your friends over the weekends. Um, and we'll be on you again when you're not Near your college buddies. I'm on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast Big thank you to everyone for tuning in for this week. Good luck to you Dear pga tfs lineups enjoy the gulf. We'll talk to you once again next week. This has been heat check fantasy podcast powered by number fire