 Hey guys it's Nate aka The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. It's Monday. You know what that means. Market Outlook time for this week. Team of the Season, Community and EFL Team of the Season. I want to start off by saying I want you guys to be aware of this. Team of the Season, Community got cards go out of packs Friday 6pm. Team of the Season, EFL are in packs through the weekend. So if you want any of these EFL cards for your team or you want to buy any of them like Calvin Phillips, Mateus, Pirea, any of those guys. If it's a usable player, they're going to get hit with even more supply and even more lighting rounds this coming weekend. So that's something that you definitely want to keep in mind because that means a lot more supply for these cards. That's like seriously a ton of supply is going to be dropped to the market for these cards because they're going to be in packs for 10 days. They're going to get hit with so many different sets of lighting rounds. It's going to be crazy. But a lot of people want this card because he's cracked. They say he's really, really good at game medium, high work rates. They say he's really good. So maybe if you guys have tried to report back to me, but he doesn't fit my team. I'm not going to use him, but he looks really dope. But I also want to take a look at these card prices from tonight. We had squad battle rewards Sunday night when I'm recording this and a lot of these cards have dropped a lot like, you know, 15, 20% on some of these cards in the last hour or so. Casamiros, these guys have been falling all day. And I think a lot of people bought into these cards tonight for a possible rebound into the day or into the week. And you know what, to be honest, I don't know how much of a fan I am on these cards. I'm going to weigh the positives and negatives with you guys. If you bought, you can kind of think through the cards that you bought. And also, if they're still low, because right now when you're watching this video, if you're watching it early, right after it goes live, you're probably going to see some of these cards still at low prices. Because a lot of times what happens is a lot of stuff at squad battle rewards stays kind of low because people in the UK wake up and they open their rewards. They open their rewards in the morning when they wake up. So that's why right now you might see some of these prices that's still low. You might be wondering, are these cards still viable? Are they? Oh, investable. I missed the Casamiro 120. That's a 10K undercut right there. Would have been nice. Anyway, Casamiro right now is like 135,000 coins. This is one way to tell if a card is going to be flippable, right? Let's also talk about why are people going to be buying these cards? There is a lot of demand for these cards. They're a team of the season, right? They got some big boosts. There's a lot of people on the game right now just playing FIFA. There's going to be some demand mid-week that are just people trying out these cards and playing with them, right? There's just going to be some kind of demand for that. Is there enough though to make these cards rise back up a decent amount? That's the thing. The drop has to be big enough for the lower amount of demand since we're not in weak and weak to kind of cover that, right? So, I don't know if I'm a huge fan of investing in these cards tonight because I still think it's a possibility that we get a guaranteed team of the season, SBC, for the league, right? Now, nothing has been put into the pack code yet. That's one thing that we're seriously watching for and we need to see before we can actually know if that is coming or not. Because if that SBC is not coming, which is usually when we see the lowest prices on the new team of the season cards, because of the panic selling and that whole thing, if that SBC is not coming, then we might have witnessed the lowest time for these cards tonight. So, if you want to try one of these cards, maybe go out and give it a shot. I don't know if they're going to get hit that much with supply at rewards because I don't know how many people are going to save their rewards and how many people are going to open because, of course, the Premier League team of the season Hype is going to start to build. And if it's not a Premier League card, which some people think that the Premier League cards like Felipe Anderson and Joe Gomez could possibly get into Premier League Tots, I don't know how I feel about that. Last year, they didn't do any Premier League cards in both. So, I would think they would stay by that this year again. So, I don't think I would see Felipe Anderson, Zaha, Gomez, or any other Prem guys in Prem Tots. Just my feeling, of course, is not ever guaranteed. We don't know yet, but that's my feeling. But you might not see the Prem guys rise up as much because there would be some people who think they could get into Prem Tots so they won't. We saw this last year, they didn't rise up as much. But these cards could rise a little bit throughout the week if we don't get a guaranteed Tots SBC. If you want to try to buy a couple of these cards because you want to try to flip them, this is what I would say. And this is what I look at all the time when I'm trying to do like a quick overnight flip. Yago is like 130 right now on the market, right? So, for us to make profit on Tiago for buying at 130,000 coins, we need to sell in the upper 140s to like make much, right? How much tax do we have here? We've got about 7.5k tax at 150. So, if we're buying at 133, we have 7.5k tax. We can make 10k a card-ish if we sold at 150. Now, Tiago for most of the day today was actually a little bit below 150. And how much supply do we have here? Wow, man. That's a lot of supply. For 130,000 coin card, we have 11 pages of supply. I know he's really hyped up. I know that, I get that. But to make this flip worth it, I feel like I'd want to see less supply. Now, position change, maybe you could do some of that. Chemistry style trading with these does work, absolutely. Only on the cards that really need the chem style though, and I'll talk about that in a second. One guy that I'm looking at that could be overnight flippable because, you know, and this is what I say. I say this all the time, boys. This is like my new quote, right? If it rose once, it'll rise again, right? This Mateus Pereia, the last two nights, a Brazilian center-attack in mid with pretty cracked stats. This guy has risen from the nighttime price into the UK morning because people just want to try out these cards, right? They want to try them out. This guy's stats look pretty insane. So people are buying up these cards and they're trying them and we're seeing a price increase. Now, that was during Weekend League where there's extra demand. So that's something to consider. That one went up in there at 200K. That's kind of like my buy price for this card. If I see one at 200K flat, I'm kind of pulling the trigger there. But the reason why I like this card is because of his supply ban. If we go to like 230K, which is if we bought him at 200K flat, I would love to get 230 out of him. And that honestly doesn't even look that impossible. Only five pages of supply in all the overnights are like 210, 215, 230. So I know there may not be a ton of hype for this card, but people used it in the past couple of days. Again, if I see this card at like 200K flat, I might just have to try to flip it or 230 in the morning because a lot of people are getting a look at this card and trying it out, it looks like. So that's kind of how you can gauge if a card is going to be flippable or not. Let's look at one more. Fernandinho. I'm seeing a lot of people use Fernandinho. In weekend league teams, I've played him multiple times this weekend. He's like 230K at the moment right now. 233, 232, or Fernandinho. How much supply do we have at 250? Now we have 10K tax here. So this is a bit of more of an issue with the tax side of things. So we'd actually probably need to sell at like 260 to really make profit on this. We bought at 230. I mean, we could technically get a sale at 250, but that would not be a lot of profit after tax. It'd be like maybe 7, 8K a card-ish. And look how many pages we have here. We have got seven. We have got eight. We've got nine. Nine pages of supply, basically at 250K with plenty of overnights there. I'm not really sure I'm a fan of the man. I really am not sure that I'm a fan of that 230. Maybe if you see 220 though, this guy's got a bit of extra hype just because he's Brazilian and he's in the Premier League. So I don't know, man. I'm just not feeling it that much with these cards because they have so much supply, but also part of me is saying, yo, Nate, these guys have a lot of demand. They're a new team of season cards. They're really good stat upgrades and they're just so cheap. So part of me does think that they could rise a little bit into this week, but that all depends on what the content is that EA drops. And that's a big question mark that we never actually know the answer to until it happens and until it comes. Again, if you want to take more of a safer route, a lot of people are trying these cards and when they try them, they use a good camp style on them, right? Fernandinho tells for 230 right now. 252 with the shadow. 240 that's not really flippable. Not getting Insta-Bot either, but if that was listed at 230, I would snipe that up and I would list it at 250 or 249 because that is a type of trading that you can do with these cards. I did it last night overnight. PK, I bought at 275 with the shadow. Sold at 300K. I bought both of these at 140. Sold at 163, 169 with shadows. This about at 810. And then all these brands, I think I bought all these at like 220 to 225. Last night, he got really low for a bit. I sold them at 250. So that's why, you know, that's another part of me that's like, yo, maybe these cards are actually flippable. So, you know, if a guy like a Casamiro or a PK or a Godine, some of these defenders that really need the shadow camp style because they only have 70s pace, a lot of these guys are going to be good to shadow trade with, right? So just what you can do is you can sit and try to snipe the card on low bin. And then if it has a shadow on it, then you know, like, it's an absolute buy because it probably sells for a decent amount more. But do your research first. Make sure you know the card actually sells for a bit more with that camp style. So that's, that's the biggest thing that's going on with the market right now. Also with squad battle reward supply, Mateus, or not Mateus prayer. Some of these 86 raideds drop back to like, they drop down like 1,000 coins or so and you actually were able to get a few of them on bid or even cheaper. 17K for Raketich. What are people bidding him at? Yeah, 16,000 coins on bid, which isn't terrible, man. And that's kind of the lowest that these guys got in the past couple of days because fodder is starting to go up, which, you know, for me, it's kind of like an L. I maybe should try to get some cards on bid tonight but I have not stocked my club with high raideds. I've only really got informs in my club and I think we're going to get more SBCs this week in FIFA. I feel like we're going to get more player SBCs. They're dropping. Interestingly enough, the first couple player SBCs that we have gotten beside the Cardian Watkins the last two days, we got a player moments Gretzger SBC for the hashtag we kick Corona charity initiative. And then we also got La Port, right? And I think a lot of people this week are going to end up doing this La Porte card. So I'm looking at maybe some like left backs in the Prem, right backs in the Prem as like an investment, like a link investment for it. Like we could see rise up a bit. But then that's also a tricky situation because La Porte is not that good of a card. I mean, it's okay for a free card. But like this Kyle Walker, man, I bought this guy like three. I'm trying to get this Walker in form three, like three twenties for that one. But am I seeing that the center back Kyle Walker is 330,000 coins as well. That's pretty cheap, man. That's pretty cheap for this card. He was 380, 390 this weekend. And this is the next thing I want to talk about is the out of packs Premier League stuff that could rise this next week and why I've already purchased some of it. I've already bought some cards that were getting low in the Weekend League sell-off because they're lower tier special cards that I don't think are going to get panic sold as much on Friday before Prem Team of the Season. And I think some of these out of pack specials might even rise up in price a little bit because again, not a ton going on mid-week. And I don't know if people are going to start panic selling these types of cards because they think Prem Tots are going to be affordable, but they're definitely not going to be affordable. I bought this son tonight at 550 and 560. There's one at 569, which is still really cheap. He was 630 this weekend. This is what I want you guys to focus on. If you still see some cards that are really low in out of packs, especially like a shape shifter, again, I really like the shape shifters. This Alexander Arnold, this Kante, a low tier. And why I'm mentioning low tier is because I think more of the high tier stuff like a Richarlison or maybe somebody like another Premier League OP player that's a lot, maybe a Team of the Year card. I think you might see more panic selling on those cards actually on Friday morning before the promo. And I think you'll see less panic selling on the lower tier cards because those cards will probably rise a little bit up during the week this week just because the lower tier, more casual user base is going to see the prices and they're going to want to buy them, right? So Sterling at 223 is honestly pretty low. Why Naldum today? I looked at him, possibly getting him under like a 280. Again, I talked about the Vardy today. Other cards that I bought in the Prem are just kind of low tier, right? Like I was looking at Ake center-back card. That's why I was interested in that Kyle Walker center-back because if you think about some of the cards that might be in Team of the Season for the Prem, what center-backs are we going to get that are going to be low value, right? We have Soyeon Chu possibility. You know, we've got possibly the Joe Gomez re-release Van Dyke and who else, bro? I think there's one more that I can't remember right now that I was thinking of that I thought could possibly get a Team of the Season card from the Prem. But they have to throw in a couple center-backs. I just don't know who's going to... You know, Prem's center-backs are always an issue. That's why I kind of like this Kyle Walker. You know, 332,000 coins. If we take a quick look at this guy, he was what price during the weekend? Kyle Walker 87 rated center-back, which is a rare position in this game already. Yeah, man, he's 330. Like this is legit buy price. I should probably be buying both of these right now. Yesterday, he fluctuated between 352 and 395, and he was 335 at his absolute lowest. And even on Saturday, man, I don't even think this guy got this low. So I'm going to go ahead and pick up both of these Kyle Walkers right here at 330K because I think this card could rebound really well. And you might be saying, yo, Nate, why are you investing this early? What did we learn from the panic selling and from the weekend league sell-off that happened before Team of the Season most consistent? The lowest prices on the out-of-pack special cards was actually the week before. It was actually the weekend league sell-off and the panic selling before the promo. So right now we have weekend league sell-off and some of these prices, again, are lower than what they were Friday morning before the panic. And Kyle Walker, this is lower than what he was before Team of the Season most consistent when we had that market crash. He was like 340K then. Now he's 330. So that's why I'm kind of looking into some of these cards and that's why I bought some of these today, just because they got so low, and I think that this might have been their absolute lowest point for some of these out-of-packs Premier League meta special cards. So just get on the market if you see any more low cards like this. Again, stick to prem this whole week whether we do like the panic that we look for on the morning on Friday is going to be all Premier League related because that's the stuff that's going to fly in the next week or so after next week's rewards and stuff too. That's the stuff that's going to fly the most. So that's what I'll be looking for this week if you want to make coins this week team of season cards are going to be fun to trade with. They're going to fluctuate a lot and we're going to have to stay on top of them because if they do drop a guaranteed team of season SBC that's going to make life really interesting really freaking quick on these cards because that's going to be a lot of panic selling possibility for a bounce back and then that will be like the lowest time for those cards which is what I was really really looking for with these cards anyway for like an absolute buy time on them. I was really looking for that time frame. I don't know if we're actually going to get that SBC or not. So that's kind of a to be determined but that's going to be fun for this game too. So I hope EA puts it out. Hopefully we get upgrade packs today. Other stuff that we could see and put this week well first again I'll stick to the trading what you could do to trade this week. You can absolutely flip rare special cards whether they're prem whether it's not prem perfect example in point tonight nine goal and I got this at 355 and if you look at his graph look at his graph man I love flipping this card because he fluctuates like a madman very usable card 364 right now what did he do yesterday right? I saw his lowest was 355 and he got up to 380 at one point. I got one at 355 I listed at 380 it literally sold the second hour after that if it's a meta card it's going to fluctuate it's out of packs that's the way you can make coins this week with the price fluctuations trading with the chem styles like we talked about on the new promo cards and then just looking for panic selling man every single time an SBC comes out that is like replacing another item in foot right? So this Gretzger came out today center mids in the Bundesliga where panic sold that's why you saw me with a Palacios on my my transfer list this guy was like 160k this weekend bro and he dropped down to the 140s and 130s he's actually up now wow man he's up to 150 so that is a nice little bit of a rise on him he was down in the 130s which I got mine at today so that's a nice bit of a rebound already but sometimes when you see new SBCs like that you see panic or link investments you know that's always what happens with those new cards so watch out for new SBCs this week I feel like we're going to get a decent amount of player SBCs and hopefully again I really really hope that they change their minds on the league upgrade SBCs EA sports please give us those for more than 24 hours please I'm begging and then again the most interesting thing this week too is going to be weekend league rewards if you guys play weekend league that's going to be interesting but I think for the market in general more SBCs this week means fodder is going to probably rise I don't really like investing in fodder right now to be honest with you unless you're getting on open bids and you're getting some decent prices fodder never really dropped low enough like for me like I guess it could have but there's so many people have invested in fodder right now if there's one SBC that comes out that a lot of people want to do or a repeatable SBC maybe even you see some people start to panic sell some of this fodder if they need coins to do something I don't know and you might see fodder drop a little bit if we get lackluster SBCs and people get tired of holding fodder we'll see what happens this week but I would expect play SBCs I would expect some sort of upgrade packs from EA and then just more building hype about prem team this season this upcoming weekend other than that there could be some UCL stuff that happens this week too like a UCL market matchup because I think this was supposed to be a UCL week so if you guys bought by UCL rares that could be a move this week and all week I would expect little you know I call them dink and dunk pack supply SBCs 25k pack here one of them tradable maybe the next day 35k pack tradable that's going to hurt the prices for these for these team of the season cards it's going to bring supply on the market they're going to drop and then they might rebound a little bit after that just depends on the card but that'll cause some market movements this week as well really not sure what to expect this week in terms of just team of season content except more SBCs and just it's team this season but what else do we have to do without upgrade packs man so I really hope to get the upgrade packs that'll be fun I've got the team this season counter ready to go boys it's right here I've got the counter ready to go I need to pack some I want to take a shot of packing a few of these so that I can actually use that freaking counter that's what it's made to do right so that's the market outlook for this week boys I think that we're going to be looking on Friday for a major major major point of panic and we'll be talking about all that later this week but Premier League is the way to go this week because again if we're buying something that we're going to sell it's going to be booming later in the week after Prem Team this season does come out that's the biggest point of this week honestly is the end of the week that's the most hype period that we're going to be looking for so if you guys enjoyed this market outlook video today smash the thumbs up on it comment down below if you have any questions and subscribe to the channel if you're new it's been Nate the Foot Accountant catch you guys later peace out