 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network Pretty fun week number nine and thus far with some big games living up to their hype And we get to finish things off on Monday with maybe not the most thrilling game But there are pretty fun players within that game I think we can kind of get excited about that at least watching some breeze hall watching some Justin Herbert Austin Eckler Garrett Wilson I can get behind that for sure We're gonna break down this Monday night game between the Chargers and the Jets by talking to Ryan Williams and getting his reading his favorite Prop bets over a Fandall sportsbook. That's this covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research Joined here as mentioned by Ryan Williams check them out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscored W Ryan We got Chargers and Jets coming up for tonight. How you doing today? I'm doing good Jim. I'm doing I'm doing good. We got Monday night We had a Monday night fun one under 40 on the total, which I know that we'll talk about But yeah, once again Chargers on prime time This seems to always happen to us to get the repeat repeat offenders as we just did the Sunday night break down Last week with them and now we get them on Monday night. So let's hope that Justin Herbert is well rested traveling to the East Coast And can provide us some magic for us on the charges. I've been talking about the Chargers for a while Playoff hopes and I think this game would pretty much be you know Pretty much be a nice thing on the cake for disaster when for them out in the AFC Definitely, and I hoping it's not because I did lay the points I did lay the three of the Chargers earlier on this week So I need them to not disappoint tonight for once just for once in your life Chargers Don't make me sad, you know, I know it's a lot to ask but we'll we'll at least put it on the university they can you help me out here a bit and I think that like if you're talking about from a playoff perspective, they just got to win it You know, I think that's where they're at right now So huge game here for the Chargers, but no Josh Palmer in this game as he is now on IR So we'll talk about the implications of that We'll talk about Breece Hall Garrett Wilson and much more here in just one second A first-day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast You can find us on Apple podcast Spotify. You name it you can find us there If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on Apple podcast Ryan back with me once again tomorrow to take a look at futures markets and dig into week ten a bit as well Score early this NFL season with FanDuel America's number one sportsbook right now new customers get $150 and bonus beds with any winning $5 money line bet That's a hundred and fifty bucks if your team wins if you've been thinking about joining FanDuel There is no better time to get in on the action The app is so easy to use there's a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more So visit FanDuel and kick off the NFL season FanDuel official partner of the NFL must be 21 plus and president select states FanDuel is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas dark casino LLC First online real money wager only five dollar pregame money line wage required Ten dollar first deposit required bonus issued is non-moderable bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat C terms at sportsbook.fanDuel.com gambling problem call 1 800 gambler or visit fanDuel.com slash rg in colorado Iowa michigan new jersey, ohio pennsylvania illinois kentucky tennessee in virginia call 1 800 next step Or text next step to five three three four two in arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven Or visit ccpg.org slash chat connecticut 1809 and with it in indiana one eight hundred five two two 4700 visit case gambling health.com in kansas one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in louisiana Visit md gambling health at orga maryland's one 800 gambler.net in west virginia 1805 224 700 in wyoming hope is here with the gambling helpline ma.org or call you hundred three two seven 50 50 for 24 seven support of massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight open live or text open lie in new york Let's dig in now ryan to the chargers at the jets are right now at fanDuel sportsbook The chargers are three and a half point favorites the three and a half is minus 105 And the total is at 39 and a half for the over at minus 115 now this total or the spread open at three But it sends the length and out to three and a half ryan. Do you think that movement is fair toward the chargers here? Yeah, I mean, I guess not fair towards the chargers Fair towards the jet side. I didn't know that joshua palma was worth a half a point, but I guess, you know, here we are um Yeah, three was definitely feeling like a pretty pretty nice number to get On on the chargers earlier on the week by going into the weekend It's been been three and a half for for a little bit of time here I believe since friday night um was the last time that I was looking at lines And I could have sworn that I saw it at three and a half definitely by saturday it was and so when we're talking about three and a half with the jets at home Listen hard to trust Zach wilson uh in in and matchups like this, but this is probably one of the better matchups like on paper um That going against an opposing defense and if he can just you know Keep it keep us head on straight and lean on his weapons Like love getting the jets here at three and a half the chargers We know are a team that likes to get out early with a lead and to be able to control that We just saw that on the sunday matchup against the bears and then somehow some way Second half of games this team tends to let up on the gas or they tend, you know It's druckle and I and it has not changed since kellen moore has been there. So maybe it is brandon staley. I don't know but You're not being able to figure it out um from the second half standpoint So if the jets are able to keep this game close if they're able to lean on their defense lean on the run game Um, I think that we could have situations where the jet So this is to cover For if not go for the win uh late in the fourth quarter. So I do like the three and a half here I also do like the the under on this gym Uh primetime games this year have been hitting at the under, you know an incredible rate I believe I have a 28 primetime games that we've had 21 of them have hit on the under You know, that's an absolutely incredible number 39 and a half does feel low. But again, this is an island game. This is the chargers traveling to the east coast Defense on the jet side and then, you know, the chargers are we think of them as this prolific Offense that's just able to put up points But that's just not really the case like they they compile yardage like they are the compiler team They get, you know, between the 20s, they're able to make all this magic happen And then they're bringing in camera and dicker to be able to kick uh field go So, you know, it can the chargers put up points? Sure because they have still us neckler keen and allen and justin herbert They have pieces but it would not surprise me to see this game, you know end up like 21 to 17 and just missing the cut on hitting that over there For for these teams. So, uh, love the under love the jets and we'll see what happens The plus three and a half on the jet side is minus 115. The under is minus 105 for ryan bear I do like the over here personally, it's at minus 115 So you are paying a tax to bet the over here But and I think that It's explained away by the fact that I have the chargers favored by more than three and a half, you know Overs correlate with laying the points and I think that when you got the three and a half over 39 and a half I've got the chargers favored by like six actually based on my model That's when the in the one model I should check the other one because it's the other model I created specifically to downgrade the chargers two years ago Because they were annoying me with their like laid-down magic and it's like they were the worst. I guess in that one It's it's a tighter spread. So, um, you know, it's it's still I still feel good about having laid the three when that was available at three and a half It's probably not really something I'd want to recommend now But I do feel good about the three I got earlier on this week as far as a total go goes Again, it's kind of mostly just because I have the the spread larger that does correlate towards overs So it's not like I'm foaming at the mouth to bet the over on this this game given there's no josh palmer It's another downgrade for the chargers offense. They already lost mike williams I think jaylen geighton is back tonight. Uh, he practiced in full not only this week But also most of last week as well So he's gotten in five full practices now probably should be back from that acl So I think guiding me back that might help them But honestly, it's just like I don't feel great about the over but I do I I did take it at 39 and a half. So It's a weird game. I don't feel super confident in my read of it I feel good about the three but the rest of it is is pretty confusing for me with where it stands right now I think it's you know, make sense where we're on opposing sides of this one I think it's it's one of those right where you could talk yourself into both sides very easily Just because it's kind of a weird game overall Oh, definitely. Definitely. This is this is one where, you know, we would be slam dunking the chargers if they were at full strength I would be right there and locked up with you. Um, but you know, the the jets have found Some magic as of late and so we'll see if they're able to keep it rolling here As we move along going into week 10 And that magic you mentioned has been leaning on brace hall and Garrett Wilson So let's talk about the player props on the jet side of things We know that those two guys ryan are gonna get the ball. So you look at the jets props Anything stand out to you for today? Yeah, I mean, you know your wilson's number at 68 and a half He's you know, the wilson of wilson connection has been strong As a late to be able to get this guy going I do find it interesting that they did go apparently allegedly go out and try and get the Adams uh to to join the to join the group here. Um, and so, you know, does that put Very much confidence in the other pieces on this team outside of Garrett Wilson Maybe maybe not. I do love brace hall's number as well too at 21 and a half This guy has been so heavily involved in in both the rushing attack and the passing game If if the charges are going to come out and get pressure With that front line and so, you know at 21 and a half that seems like a reasonable number But I think this is a number That he can hit on that side when we're talking about the receptions number two I mean, I do have interest in over five and a half on Garrett wilson At plus money there plus 110 is I think where I saw last He just is, you know, the the main cog in this offense And there's so much better when they can find ways to get him involved Again favorable matchup for the quarterback favorite matchup for the wide receivers here So if we can get him going there, I do find that interesting This does probably end up being a allen lizard trying to step up Will make him any other props outside of the receptions at two and a half Just because of uh, you know, the the way that I see passing Volume being at an event being at an uptick here for the jets and his number there is minus 113 So do like getting to the receiver options, uh, all across the board when it comes to receptions against his charges defense Yeah, for sure. I think that that makes a lot of sense here, uh, especially, you know I think that given how concentrated it can be that's pretty pretty helpful there The one prop I like on the jet side I want to ask you about that ryan is a rushing prop, but it's not on brace hall It is on zack wilson zack wilson's rushing yardage prop is a 12 and a half right now over his minus 113 and He's been a lot more willing to run recently, which he should honestly like if you're a bad thrower run the ball more We saw this not to say that daniel jones a bad throw at the football but like he's not the most efficient guy and last year the giants leaned on his legs a bit more and zack wilson has gone over this number in all but two games so far this year one of those games didn't start Who is the urin rogers game? But outside of that he's had six rushing yards 36 one 14 26 15 25 So in the games where they've had the quote-unquote let it rip approach for zack wilson He's gone over it in all four games. So I think that if i'm betting one prop honestly ryan fit this entire game I'm probably taking the zack wilson over 12 and a half for rushing yards I'm not worried about neil downs at the end honestly like that's not going to bother me with this team so like I think the 12 and a half makes a lot of sense just because He's realizing that his athleticism is an asset and using it to his advantage and honestly he should be doing that So I think that's actually my favorite prop on the board today. Any thoughts on that one for you? Yeah, I mean it definitely is an interesting one and just going back was looking at these teams Who who he was getting hitting those numbers against you know giants denver, uh, casey Dallas and you know some of these teams like, you know, they're bringing pressure, you know and at an immense rate It does concern me that you know The way that I kind of see it playing out jim is is how you know, what what did the jets merit now? If it's a close game, I'm not sure I have to take this as as much because I don't know Break it off. I also don't know if the dump offs are great But I could see him getting that one play that gets him about, you know, eight nine ten yards On that one play and then you just kind of need one more Magic things happen. It does always concern me when guys are not known for their rushing ability across the board I kind of think of that as fools goad almost but yeah, I think that that definitely is an interesting prop to think if you know Bosa and mac are going to get in there Catholic You definitely do need that that is a key to to rushing over his recorder back city pressure because it scrambles They're not going to see a lot of design runs recorder back this skinny It is pressures leading to this number, but the jets offensive line can let up a lot of pressure to a lot of bad teams So I think that's kind of my hope here is that jets offensive line continue to struggle a bit Now let's talk about the chargers side here. Austin neckler Finally looked like in self last week, but now chargers don't have josh palmer Again, I think jailing guidance good to go for this game anything else stand out to you on the chargers side of things Yeah, I mean This is austin neckler back into the fold loved work that he was able to get last week against the bears I believe a season high and and touches there Austin neckler coming back it looks like they've you know slowly, but surely beginning He can be the lead cog in this Without josh palmer being out like I don't know what's going on here jim with the with the numbers But I definitely when you sent the rundown to me I was expecting Not to be able to talk about austin neckler because his prop lines were going to be so high We just talked about this not too long ago last week actually with jamir gibbs. Remember this when the offense was kind of You know Decimated a little bit for the offense and we're like there's no way jamir gibbs can hit this close to 100 number on rushing and receiving And so i'm like austin neckler's gotta be in the 90s. No, he's not he's rushing and receiving prop comes in at 84 and a half It's identical to the number of breeze hall This is just a missed number in my opinion when you're talking about austin neckler Absolutely love the receiving prop, but i'm gonna go also i'm sorry rushing and receiving prop I'm also gonna go to his just plain receiving profit 33 and a half You know without josh palmer being out there Keenan allen right there quitton johnson, you know, I i've seen people be out on this guy rookie receiver He's been a project. He's gonna come along But right now it's the lead of getting austin neckler involved and especially with the way the jets play defense They're going to be able to have so many opportunities to just find him In space and so i absolutely love that love getting four and a half receptions at minus 106 The numbers for me for austin neckler just seem like they should be higher in what we think of this Defensive matchup being all the other numbers, you know kind of feel right like, you know Keenan allen can pop off at any time In the games that I do expect there to be kind of like a low total I'm more apt to like lean on his receptions prop which actually, you know, shout out to them minus 122 on the six and a half That feels right But i'm not, you know not really thinking about them from an anytime touchdown standpoint not really thinking about the other guys here No donald parham lines. That's very interesting. Um as he's been named for himself But uh, but yeah, it's all austin neckler for me tonight for the chargers We do have a parham yardage one 15 and a half But like it's kind of like how long will donald parham's two touchdowns be he's gonna have two touchdowns Like we know that but like is the combined yardage on those going to be 15 and a half probably not Um, so I get why the number is up. I know ever it's You know, he's banged up and we have no josh palmer So it could open up more for parham, but like it's two touchdowns I think will probably be a total of like nine yards So I don't feel any inclination towards parham and the yardage numbers because I know the touchdowns be pretty short For him any other props you like across night's game ryan whether it be touchdown props or anything else We also have quick or i'm sorry not quintuplets. I have austin neckler at Plus 380 to have the first reception on the chargers. Um, we were looking at receiving props there Which which is which is interesting obviously came in i'm gonna be in the favorite there at plus 190 But plus 380 um three to nearly four to one odds on austin neckler. They're catch the first pass there Definitely love getting some action there. Um when we're talking about other props in this game I mean, yeah, let's look at donald parham at plus 430 to score in any time touchdown I mean, you know, he's definitely getting looks in the red zone. He definitely just feels like a reliable target Um, it went in the red zone more reliable than jerald ever jerald ever does definitely Been a guide to be able to carve out a role in between the 20s But when they get into, you know paid her territory, it seems like donald parham always finds himself there So definitely love getting some action on him and then jim. We got to do it again Uh primetime interceptions. I mean these have just been hitting at an absolutely insane insane rate Especially when we're talking about the road quarterbacks. Let's go. Justin herbert to throw an interception That's plus 104. Um, he's he's got, you know, fewer weapons to be able to throw to this defense is opportunistic Um could take advantage. So love getting that action there as well Uh herbert is plus 104. I'm gonna click zack wilson. Just curious. Let's see what it is minus 158 I thought it might be higher actually so minus 158 not that bad I thought it might be because I think garoppolo last week was like minus 180 to throw a pick and he did Obviously, but like I kind of like might get zack wilson that uh, a longer or shorter number that but uh, the the herbert One of plus 104 does make a lot of sense. I agree with you on parham. Like when I was looking at uh, like I will often go in like thinking, okay I think I might one inch have one action on a certain guy and then I'll pull up the odds and see if I can justify it And I thought going in I'd be on jailing geighton But he's plus 340 whereas parham is plus 430 and it's a touchdown prop where like that's where parham lives He is not allowed to catch the ball outside of the red zone. Like that's just not how he operates So when you can get parham at longer odds and geighton at Plus 430 and 340 for geighton. I think you got to do it. So I think that parham makes a lot of sense there I think you can look at parham for like first touchdown score You know two plus touchdowns is probably aggressive given how low this total is but you know, I mean you could Check it out 50 to 1. I wouldn't do it personally, but you know if you want to have some fun You could do that again Not recommending it not doing it myself, but I think it's worth looking at so I agree the orion that that parham is kind of a guy with the Most enticing any time touchdown actually I think eclair at minus 105 is pretty interesting as well Especially given that I like the over a bit. I like the charter side I think that those do work pretty well eclair minus 105 also one that does grab my attention Love that love that as well fun stuff here fun stuff in and under that i'm that i'm projecting Right, you know, let's have some fun unders can be fun too It was not fun to sweat the patriots commanders under yet last night for me Did not enjoy that but hey, you know the money spends the same regardless That is all that we have here for today On the monday night football preview, but as mentioned fried is back with us once again tomorrow talks in futures We can keep on talking rathans because they keep on going nuts You know your bangles ryan you were talking about buying low and their playoff odds and stuff like that That's looking pretty good. So we'll talk the futures market tomorrow to check in on that and talk about awesome other stuff And I'll take a look forward to week number 10 as well But that's it for today here on covering the spread or mighty You can find us on the covering the spread podcast feed a faddle youtube page and faddle tv plus as well ryan appreciates you As always good luck to you tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow morning All right, you can find right. Thanks so much You can find ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w i'm on twitter at jim sonny's You can also find me on threads at jim dot son as you can follow faddle research on twitter at faddle research I want to thank you all for tuning in forward today. Good luck to you with your bets and we'll talk to you once again tomorrow This has been covering the spread right here on the faddle podcast network