 Over to our mam is the Steve Rhodes as we do each and every Monday at 20 past the hour and don't forget folks Steve has an outstanding show here every trading day One to two Easton stand-to-time also a great newsletter mastering probability now It's very easy to get Steve's newsletter folks come over to our website at TFNN We can see mastering probably you go to newsletters You see mastering probability right on the right-hand side top row you can get mastering probability for one month for $149 you get it for six months for $155 which is the savings of $199 at 22% and you can get it for one year for $1195 Which is a savings of $593 of 33% now they all come with a 30-day money-back guarantee Steve not only has a great newsletter when you get his newsletter folks Okay, you're gonna get a huge amount of information over there You got a lot of good archives over there if you want to understand how to ride that market check it out 30-day money-back guarantee great deal Steve Rhodes. What's going on? Well big-time celebration here in Florida Tom as you know all three of our NFL teams are in the playoffs That's pretty wild isn't it? I know I saw that stat last night after One yeah, right, right. I don't know if that's ever happy boy. Why does it go to the Lions? They really you know, I'm originally from Detroit It's been a tough road, but you know, they really did look they really did look good this year I enjoy watching last night's game. Yeah out there as well. So we'll see, you know What's gonna be cool is next Monday you guys have the Monday night game. I know Tampa and the Cowboys So, you know, that's gonna be a tough game Going against Buffalo that's gonna be a tough game for Miami and Jackson will going against the Chargers That's that's not gonna be an easy game either. So we'll see what happens But it is great to get all four all three Florida teams into the playoffs out there Everyone's coming to Florida. We got all the winning teams So I was with somebody last night was thinking of moving down. He's from the Northeast He said there's something like 12,000 people a day Moving to the state. It's brilliant. Yeah. No, it's a monster number. Yeah, right. All right We started we started figuring that out said that that didn't seem right, but but hey come on down, right? We get come on totally. Yeah So hey, I thought we would do here beginning of the year, okay So we've got some different cycle type patterns that we can take a look at and one of the tools that I use It's a provided by the folks over at season X They've done a really tremendous job of being able to put together the all of the historical data So that you can take a look at it over time to see what kind of seasonal patterns might be in play and it gives you a Lot of flexibility. So I used to do all this work on spreadsheets by hand and it took pretty much forever You know trying to line up, you know the the month of January and 1923 to 19 to 2022 as an example You're not so easy to do so these guys have got it done the this chart here that we're looking at We are now in the third year of a presidential cycle And it has a cyclical pattern if we take a look at the red lines folks as we take a look at some of these charts Those represent where we're at today just so you can see so if the if this is the undercurrent here The third year of a presidential term We should be expecting a sideways move for a little bit out here We can see it sort of tops nothing significant to the downside a little bit like the consolidation that we have been in What this does though tell us is that the low for the year could possibly be in so if the market follows this cycle That's what its message to you and I is If we take a look at the Dow and just go back over the last 126 years so this takes us back to 1897 again the red line on the left-hand side shows us exactly where we're at So this is just the normal Doesn't matter whether it's a presidential cycle just simply all the data since for the last 126 years And what is the average price movement? Well, it turns out that today And an average basis would be a top price would move down into the middle of January Maybe the end of next week or so then move higher than one more move down to about the end of February And then it takes off and again in this case here This is indicating that we that the low for the year Could be in for the Dow. There's another cyclical pattern Tom that you and I can take a look at and this shows us so we're entering 2023 and what we can do with all this data as we go back and just take a look at years at end in threes to see What kind of cyclical pattern it has? Here this suggests that we should see a now just take a look at the Dow in these charts here This and the reason I've done that folks is because I have more data to be able to utilize So for years ending in three much more data than if I looked at the S&P 500 Third year of presidential cycle much more data in the Dow than I have inside the S&P 500 But here inside the Dow would suggest that actually we would see the market top out about now And then move lower into February and then take off that would be the end of the the bottom of the 2023 in this case here is suggesting towards the end of February. So that's for years that are ending in three Now you and I know we listen to the talk shows or driving around listening to the channels and so forth and Economists continue to debate whether the US is in a recession or not So if there's a debate, we're not sure, you know, how do I figure out what the market might be doing? Well, there's an issue. There's a fact out there that is not disputable and that fact is that inflation is outpacing GDP Otherwise known as stagflation now there's employment data that goes along with that But if we take a look at stagflationary periods in here, I've got this charted out This data here is from the World Bank I believe is where I got that from maybe was up from a Fred St. Louis Fred site out there and here What we can see is that this is inflation outpacing GDP and it lasts from 1973 to 1983 Okay, so we've got some data here. Although it's for a short period of time ten years But in and that's over the the entire period of the of the Dow out here If we take a look at that ten-year period of time Here's what its cyclical pattern looks like and what this tells us Tom is that price really continues to move higher We fluctuate up and down but it continues to move higher into about the middle of May And then the market just simply moves lower So we are in or we appear to be in a stagflationary period of time out there So that's a really good chart to take a look at so missing from the Dow's historical price movement that we just took a look at Out there is the doom and gloom, you know, that's discussed on television So why because we just took a look at a third year of a presidential cycle That looks like markets are the Dow moves higher the regular seasonal cycle pattern You're sending in three and then even an average price movement during a stagflation So if we go take a look at the charts, so that's what the cycles are the way that I take a look at those cycles Tom if it's a cycle higher cycle low I'm looking for some type of confirmation on pattern recognition tools. Yes. Well here These are the weekly charts This is the weekly chart for the Dow on the left the Dow equity future contract in the right and what they did was they both Formed what I referred to as rogement to indicator bottom patterns This is on a weekly chart that we're taking a look at here's the weekly chart for the Dow going back to 2009 and with those blue arrows are Identifying rogement to indicator bottoms and we can see that each time these formed here on a weekly basis They've identified Significant bottoms so we just took a look at in that cyclical pattern has to me at least as me saying hmm Maybe we have put in a significant bottom We can go back before March of 2009 and the next rogement to indicator bottom pattern that forms was in 2002 Well that identified a pretty significant bottom in the market So folks would like to learn this Tom as you mentioned earlier They simply can subscribe to mastering probability They can go right to the ultimate reversal patterns out there and it's a one-hour workshop And they will learn exactly how the rogement to indicator pattern and tool does lastly This is just a quick chart a weekly scan that Subscribers get access to it shows all the weekly rogement to indicator bottom patterns that are out here for these instruments Just a small little snippet of what mastering probability could fight for Steve But let me ask you so that we're only in the second week of you know 2023 So if the Dow takes out the lows you're saying of 2023 That's saying that are we talking the October lows We're talking about the January lows January loves. Okay. Yeah, get over to TFN and folks. Well, thanks, man