 What's up football fans thank you for hanging with us you're watching Fandals Sportsbooks more ways to win I'm your host Lisa Kearney inviting you inside of the Fandals Sportsbook here at the Meadowlands one of my favorite places to be it is week 13 a team's are gearing up for the final few weeks of the season here and we've got some awesome matchups for us ahead right now and of course you know how we do we're betting them our NFL experts are breaking down the biggest games of the week handing out best bets and giving you our best value DFS plays of the week as well it is go time so make sure you download the Fandals Sportsbook app sign up for your new account and plug in the promo code more ways 1000 to get your risk-free bet up to 1000 bucks all right time to get things off with the eight and three Buccaneers headed to Atlanta to take on the five and six Falcons here we go guys let's get into this match I'm very excited about an NFC South show down here Falcons still surprisingly in the playoff on a win over Brady's Bucks of course would help that Tampa Bay came from behind a beat Indie last week thanks to a huge game from Leonard Fornette who had 131 total yards four touchdowns 44.1 fantasy points for me but no one cares about that including that game winner with 20 seconds to go meanwhile Falcons running back Cordero Patterson coming up a career high 16 attempts 108 rushing yards in Atlanta's win in Jacksonville Bucks are an 11 point road favorite right now Dave and Ed it's a big number Dave Weaver can Tampa Bay cover that number I love how you're trying to sell this as a good game this is not a good game Lisa this is gonna be an absolute blowout boy I mean Matt Ryan it's just not very good anymore Ed five interceptions the last three games with one touchdown I have no life so I researched let's find some streaks where Matt Ryan has had five interceptions over three games the last five times that's happened he's 0 and 5 against the spread in the next game the Falcons have beaten only last place in second last place team when they played division leaders they've lost by an average of 29 points this is an absolute blowout Tampa by 30 now let's talk about turnovers here for just a second because they are largely random one of the big reasons why the box for Matt Ryan well I mean they're not entirely random but they're random enough and I think they're random here when we talk about Tampa Bay they won over the Colts because of takeaways it wasn't necessarily because Tom Brady was having a phenomenal performance Leonard Fornette certainly padded the stats but this Bucks offense had a lot of short fields and a lot of additional possessions that's why they beat the Colts to me Atlanta is probably due for a cleaner game and Tampa Bay is still having some problems as far as protecting the ball and having longer fields and to me this spread is just too big offensively they have a lot of injuries you know that's going to be a problem as well so to me I think the spreads just too big I think Atlanta covers it I was waiting for a regression to the mean type situation thank you Ed but I did find this to be interesting and our betters I think I will appreciate this the Bucks own a league worst one in five against the spread record on the road this season Atlanta enters this game with a league worst oh and for home ATS record so I mean pick your poison Cole Wright our NFL expert joining us now from Chicago for the right take on this matchup Cole which team do you have winning and by how many points well some bragging rights on the line in the NFC South and I have decided with my guide Dave over there sorry about that Ed but Atlanta they're the NFL's version of iron pyrite because they've been fooling people all season long in the thing that they're a halfway decent team you know they have five wins of course but all five of those wins have come versus teams with a sub 500 record and then there's Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers now just six games left to play for the defending Super Bowl champions and just a one of those games is versus a team with a winning record and that's next week versus the Buffalo Bills so this week I see Tom Brady in the game going out there cross the T's dot and eyes on a Sunday as usual and to be honest with you I don't really see them lose the game for the entire rest of the season I think the box win easily in this one 34 to 13 guys I mean the win is not it's not the problem at all here guys if you roll with Brady and the box and give those points a winning $50 bet means they're going to collect more than $95 this is the Fandall sportsbook app you know how we roll all right you guys moving on now from the NFC South to the AFC North you're in a huge rivalry between the eight and three Ravens at Pittsburgh taking on those five five and one Steelers Pittsburgh coming off in that embarrassing 41 to 10 loss in Cincinnati where the defense gave up 198 rushing yards meanwhile the Ravens have the best record in the AFC they're coming off that ugly 16 10 win on Sunday night still a win quarterback Lamar Jackson threw four picks in that game and get this quarterbacks who threw four picks or more had lost 41 straight before Baltimore's win week 13 now the Steelers getting four and a half at home no respect pony you're in Pittsburgh and you follow both of these teams very closely which side are you backing pony I'm gonna go with the Steelers this is Pittsburgh Super Bowl this is a referendum on Mike Tomlin's team specifically like Tomlin's defense bruised and battered as you pointed out Lisa but historically they do a very good job against Lamar Jackson two games against the Steelers his passer rating in those games is a robust 56 he is terrible against this team so much on the line for the Steelers their season really at critical mass and for that reason Baltimore can win Dave but they very rarely win big it's usually a field goal or less that's why I'm riding with the Steelers it's surprising that Lamar Jackson has only started against the Steelers twice in his career last year he missed the game for COVID two years ago he was sat in week 17 when they were 14 and two so in those two games he's 32 for 56 that's 50 57 percent completion rate with five interceptions he has not been good against the Steelers and the Steelers have covered six straight as a home underdog these are the spots where they feel disrespected like you said there's a lot on the line here for Pittsburgh I'm with you pony all right guys let's get a bit deeper on these Ravens and Steelers for that we dig in on those next-gen stats to get an analytical perspective on this matchup as we know the NFL analyzes the location speed and acceleration of every player on every play then creates these various data sets that we get to tap into so got to get Ed in here your analytics guy Ed give us a next-gen staff that you're using to pick this Raven Steelers game well Lisa the most impactful connection by far for Ben Rathlisberger this season has been with tight end Wunderken Pat Friarmuth in all likelihood second place will have to step up though and that's Deontay Johnson here is his route chart from week 12 nine catches for 95 yards sounds good but an expected completion percentage over expected of negative 5.4 percent that's more of a concern here should have been more given all those yards and catches especially considering that his target share among all receivers was more than a third Bengals pressed him a lot more than 40 percent of the time knowing that's where Steelers want the ball to go to Johnson still amass 42 yards in those situations Ravens should have a good game plan to limit Johnson but Baltimore has its own offensive concerns simply put I think the spread is too big here I'm leaning Steelers so it's a clean sweep but the under for me is the play that I like the most pick whichever way you want to go thank you Ed awesome next level info from next-gen stats if you want to tell Ed hey do you like the Steelers to bounce back this week take those points a winning $50 bet means you're going to collect more than $95 and hey a reminder here you can make your first bet on the app risk-free just sign up now for a new Fandals fourth book account using promo code more ways 1000 you're going to get a risk-free bet up to $1000 again that promo code more ways 1000 time now for our DFS download of course that means a chance to win millions in prizes for free Fandals does it every single week I literally sit up here and say this every week Fandals hooked you up for free just head to Fandals dot com sign up for weekly DFS contest get your friends your fam your co-workers compete each week for free to sign up set your roster play and win of course our job here a more ways to win is to help you score as many points as possible so fandal editor in chief JJ Zachary's and joins us now in house with his best values for week 13 hey JJ hey Lisa if you look at this slate this week there's a lot of value at the running back position and all three of my values this week are running backs let's start with Antonio Gibson there aren't many games on this main slate that project to be high scoring but Vegas and Washington have an overunder of 49 and a half points that's not that bad Washington's been focused on running the ball more over their last three games and it's not that they've been winning because a positive game script that's a good thing for Antonio Gibson but over the team's last three Gibson's average 24 rush attempts per game and in week 12 he saw a 20.6% target share which is his highest mark by far since week one at $6,200 he's an insane value next there's Jamal Williams it sounds like Deandre Swift will be sidelined this week that means Jamal Williams is set to have a lot more work in that backfield without Swift for a lot of last week's game Williams saw 79% of Detroit's running back rushes and he had an impressive 20% target share if he comes close to hitting that in week 13 he should pay off against a Vikings defense that ranks 13th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to the running back position and then finally James Conner without Chase Edmonds over the last few weeks James Conner seen at least a 13% target share in every single game that he's played that's on top of a running back rush share that's hovered the 70% range we know he sees goal line work in that offense he scored 12 times in the ground this year yet he's still only $7,300 Chicago is not an easy matchup but we're buying volume in fantasy football and James Conner should see that there you have it head to Fandle.com and sign up for free DFS competitions right now and each week of this NFL season thank you JJ use JJ's information for a chance to win millions in prizes of course follow our guru as well at late round QB on Twitter and Insta hit up his podcast as well the late round podcast on Apple podcast. Let's get back to our game previews now because we have to talk Cardinals and Bears facing off in the Windy City this weekend at 9 and 2 Arizona has the best record in the NFC quarterback Kyla Murray by the way expected to be back for this game he has missed the last three with a sprained left ankle see how mobile he can be here as for the Bears sitting at four and seven quarterback Justin feels also dealing with an injury miss last week with the cracked ribs but he is also expected to start on Sunday the Bears are getting seven and a half points at home. Cole you're in Chicago so I definitely want to get your perspective here but pony I'm gonna start with you give me your pick for this game. Well I like the Bears because I know Cole this is a really this is the Cole Bowl this is his team where he lives and the team has been riding all year the Cardinals but look I like I like Chicago in this spot and here's why we don't know how Kyla Murray is going to respond from an injury you know he's never come back in season from an ailment and played his first two seasons he played all 16 games and if you track the Cardinals this year at least lately when they're supposed to lose and they're an underdog they win with Colt McCoy when they've been a big favorite they haven't brought the goods like when they lost that home and got blown out by Carolina so I'm gonna take Chicago to keep it close here the lines too big Bears plus seven and a half. Well pony I wish I could I like the Bears like you do but I really don't I do like the way your beard's coming in though looking pretty sharp and now they say all wins look the same in the books well that Thanksgiving Day win for the Bears not so much however it did give Bears fans just a little sliver of hope when it comes to Andy Dalton filling in for Justin Fields we know Justin Fields looks like he could get the start with those cracked ribs but either way if Andy Dalton is in there he gives the Bears somewhat of a chance to go out there and win a ball game and I spoke to David Montgomery a little bit earlier in the week and he told me that all he's trying to do right now is do all the little things that put the Bears in good position to win a ball game but that said despite the litany of injuries Kyler Murray he's coming back and even if Kyler Murray isn't all seems go the way Colt McCoy has gone out there and played at two in one he has Arizona out there balling and they're getting no respect right about now we'll talk about that a little bit later but I have to side with the Arizona Cardinals in this one twenty seven twenty one I see them getting their tenth one of the season I love the confidence there cool thank you now let's turn it up and get to prime time and we're starting with a Sunday night match up featuring two AFC West rivals here we got the six and five Broncos they're in Kansas City taken on my seven and four Chiefs Denver has one three of four and can move now into first place in the division if they can pull off this road win arrowhead of tough place to play the Broncos success has been largely because of their defense which is giving up only about eighteen points per game that is third best in the league of course this Chiefs offense will certainly test that unit especially coming in well rested off of the buy Kansas City has one four in a row features the number two total offense in the league Denver getting nine and a half points here in this game and which side are you backing well Lisa when you look at these two offenses I think it's important to sort of take away strip away the volatility and just look at overall skill set and I think when you do that you'll see that yes the Chiefs are the better football team here and certainly is a better offense but it's not that much better EPA per pass without turnovers when you strip away those yeah Kansas City's fourth best in football but Denver middle of the pack fifteenth of point two one you can also look at both quarterbacks both passers when they are not under pressure which is also a stable metric EPA per pass Kansas City is seventh best but Denver is fourteenth best to me these offenses yeah Kansas City is better but they're not that much better that's a really big spread to expect I think Denver can cover I think the problem for Denver is that nobody moves to change more than Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs twenty five and a half first downs this year per game Lisa was talking about their defense being good but their offense actually this year as far as first downs is better than last year there were twenty four point eight actually the twenty five point five is the best since Peyton Manning Broncos back in 2013 so they're moving the ball and that's a problem for the Broncos because the Broncos are good when they can control the time of possession they're seventh in the league time of possession but when they don't control time of possession they're one in four and I think with the Chiefs moving the chains and staying on the field it's gonna be a long game for the Broncos also Lisa the Chiefs are coming off the buy the last three years Andy Reid has put up 38 points a game in those games after the buy so a lot of offense expected here from the Chiefs maybe take that over all right you guys despite that Broncos defense now to the bright lights on Monday night with first place in the AFC East on the line we got the eight and four Patriots headed to Buffalo to take on the seven and four bills New England right now the hottest team in the league winning six straight games their defense has been the key especially specifically winning the turnover battle you look here the pass force five at fumbles last week against the Titans they have 25 total takeaways that's second most in the league as for the bills they're coming off a blowout win over the Saints on Thanksgiving day but they're three and three and three in their last six games where they've been hot and cold alternating blowout wins with very bad losses despite that the bills are two and a half point home favorites in this matchup Dave I'm always saying which team are we going to get here this week from those bills it's an interesting match up which team do you like I like the Patriots you know they're undefeated on the road believe it or not they have not lost their five and oh the bills got smacked at home against the Steelers they got smacked at home against the Colts they have not been reliable at home and when you take a look at what's happening next week the Patriots are on a buy and the bills are going to be playing Tampa in Tampa on a short week I think this is a great spot for the Patriots to come in and get the way they're going to be playing again Pony the day after Christmas so with the win here the Patriots really positioned themselves nicely to win this division yeah I think Buffalo I was stunned by this line I thought New England deserved to be favored based on how the bills fared at home against the Colts and the way New England's play but then I thought about a little bit more I'm going to give this game to Bill's mafia I think the fans believe it or not are going to have a huge effect on this game why because it's Mac Jones really for the first time going into a hostile environment the Patriots road wins they've touched on them Lisa have come in place is like Houston lowest attendance in the league Carolina Atlanta the LA Chargers where opposing fans come in and take over their stadium every week that will not happen in Buffalo in prime time I think that's a unique situation for a rookie quarterback and because of that I give the edge to Buffalo all right let's see where Ed gives the edge here on these of matchups ahead and you use next instats to pick the Raven Steelers game earlier in the show now I want you to dig into your bag of tricks there give us three bets based on that next level data that you think are very good value on the Fandle Sportsbook app for week 13 what stands out to you here well Lisa let's picture this the Colts did not have a dynamite day from Jonathan Taylor they had to pass to keep up with Tampa Bay and yet Carson Wentz nearly pulled off the upset here's his past chart from week 12 here is where and when he was most effective on intermediate throws from 10 to 19 air yards total EPA was eight that's solid when the Bucks only employed a four man rush went to ZPA was 10 that's also good when Colts receivers ran out routes meaning they broke to the sideline went to ZPA was 4.9 that is good lastly when Wentz was in rhythm meaning he had two and a half to four seconds from snap to throw that EPA was 2.7 under those conditions and with an effective RPO game Wentz can be effective and I expect that he will be able to cover a large number against the Texans next Vikings running back Dalvin Cook is out so Alexander Madison is in taking over the starting reins just like he did the last time the Vikings face the Lions I'd say it worked out well for him that was his week five chart in that previous meeting 113 rushing yards and 25 carries but his dozen rushing yards over expected was one of the higher marks of the week Madison was also heady where he carried the rock going to the strong side more than 70% of the time and the Vikings were smart with when to employ him only having them run into a stack box of eight defenders or more just 8% of the time Detroit has actually had decent success containing other rushers but not Madison and I expect a repeat performance and the Vikings covering finally the Rams maybe loses three straight after starting the season 7 to 1 but Cooper Cup has been no less effective here is his route chart from week 12 against the Packers everyone knows LA wants to get Cup the ball Green Bay's defense has played well and yet Cup still finished with a positive 2.1% expected completion of Mark Cup was open 30% of the time well below his usual rate for the season but once he hauled in a pass his yards after catch over expected was 20 using his speed and shiftiness to finish with the 6th highest mark for the week the Rams are schedule dependent they can slaughter the seller dwellers of the league with Cup Odell Beckham and company and I am leading a lot of points against the Jaguars. I mean that team is so stacked they are so loaded at I'm with you awesome stuff as always take that information use it to place your bets right now on the Fandals sportsbook app you can place a wager on the bets that we just talked about the ones that Ed just highlighted or hundreds of others just keep scrolling it's all available for you right now time to speed things up and hit our betting markets rapid fire style it's one of my favorite segments guys I can't stand in efficiency we're shouting out your local teams as we rip through the rest of the week 13 slate and guys I give you the game you have 10 seconds or less to give me your pick Dave let's start with the four and seven giants at the five and seven dolphins in New York upset the Eagles last week at home the G men getting four and a half in Miami yeah how about those Giants forcing four turnovers to red zone interceptions able to win that game Miami has only given up 11 and a half points on average their last four games so my play in this game is the under I think the Giants keep it close so Giants to the ender Pony six and five Chargers in Cincinnati taken on the seven and four Bengals both teams would make the playoffs if the season ended today Bengals giving three last time the Bengals scored 41 points against a divisional team they came back the next week and lost to the Jets Lisa so for that reason I think the Chargers under the radar here take them to go to Cincinnati cover and went outright that's fair Cole Washington beat the Seahawks on money and I football to win their third straight the Raiders coming off the thrilling overtime win in Dallas on Thanksgiving Washington here a two and a half point road dog how do you play it well Lisa I wish I could tell you that the football team looks sharp versus Seattle but plain and simple they did and you they didn't look like a very solid team out there from front to back but they did get the win but in the other point you look at Las Vegas what are they doing right now well they're right in the mix when it comes to that division race just a game behind Kansas City and their knee deep in that playoff mix so you know what I'm gonna go with the Raiders in this one they're trying to move above 500 at the Roomba 28 to 14 that AFC West is a tight, tight division and the Jets ended a three game losing streak with a win in Houston last week this week New York is hot home here hosting the Eagles Jets are getting seven at MetLife I'm gonna borrow a line from my BFF Dave Weaver and say that the Eagles should not be seven point favorites to anybody even the Jets the past defense for Philadelphia is really suspect I think Zach Wilson can throw a lot of deep balls and keep this game close I think the Jets cover here I also didn't know we just became best friends awesome stuff guys all right I'll be joining you in LA next week hey the Jets will be right here at the Meadowlands on Sunday just across the parking lot from where I'm standing right now in the Fandals sportsbook that means the party is going down here at the Fandals sportsbook at the Meadowlands Fandals sportsbook opens seven days a week we're showing you the inside view here come watch wager win with your favorite teams your favorite players the sportsbook is located across the parking lot from MetLife Stadium and it is so easy to get to on game day just hop the free round trip shuttle from Lot G and if you don't have a parking pass it's all good head to Reds restaurant in Carl's set catch the $10 shuttle to MetLife and then head to Lot G for that free ride right here to the Fandals sportsbook as I always say mass transit of course available as well Sunday is going to be absolutely hot in so get your friends come out for an awesome time here at the Meadowlands in the Fandals sportsbook and wager win have fun with us NFL NBA whatever NHL whatever games you like to wager on we got him here for you time now to give some underdogs a little as we pivot here and bring Cole back in Cole you've been rocking these moneyline moneymakers all season including piggy picking the big moneyline upset of the Broncos beating the Chargers last week so fist bump yes here we are in week 13 give us a couple underdogs that you think will win outright this week what do you think hit that Denver point total right in the head last week as well Lisa don't forget about that one but either way how about the Dolphins there are 500 team at home and the New York Giants will they stake on the road but Danny Dimes he is expected to play is dealing with that next strain but either way if he's not ready Mike Glennon he'll be good to go and that just seems like too much to game plan for the Dolphins I see big blue winning this one 24 17 and remember that story about the guy who continuously bet against Bill Belichick and came out on top well that's because that never happened the Patriots they won sixth straight in the bills they've scuffled over their last few they dropped two of their last four and I'm plain and simple and not a Buffalo believer when you fall to Jacksonville and Andy like that sorry Bill's mafia I have to go into England here 21 to 14 they continue to roll 21 14 you know I'm writing my notes down Cole thank you hey go ahead and tail Cole's upset picks or make any other bet on the Fandals sportsbook app risk-free right now up to 1000 bucks all you got to do is sign up for a Fandals sportsbook account new users get a risk-free bet up to 1000 bucks just by using promo code right there on your screen it's more ways 1000 and of course on this show we like to hook you up our experts are giving you their risk-free bet of the week Dave I'm gonna start with you what is your risk-free bet for 1000 bucks here on week 13 this is called the blowout bonanza I'm taking two teams that are going by at least 20 points number one no team has lost by more than 20 than the Falcons this year I need to Tampa minus 19 and a half and the chiefs to beat the Broncos by 20 points or more three out of the last four so both of those teams chiefs and bucks to win by 20 I get almost 11,000 Wow my altered its spread is a little more modest than that the Seattle Seahawks broke my heart last week and I want them to break my heart again Seahawks minus two and a half thousand dollar risk-free bet for 2800 I feel like I've now got a pile of tickets that our futures plays here in this spot my latest risk-free bet is the Chargers to win the AFC West sorry Lisa at one point I thought Kansas City had the value now I think it's swung in the other direction they're only a game out and at plus 280 you get a great return I feel like they're doing it quiet and sneaky and that yeah I wouldn't be wouldn't be surprised if that happened Pony not mad at you gamblers make sure to sign up for a fan of sportsbook account right now to place your bet even if it's on the Chargers just do your thing remember use the promo code more ways 1000 to get your risk-free bet up to 1000 bucks it's easy it's legal it is live right now take your winnings if you hit and just get your money back in site credit if you don't you get to do it all over again on us all right we've hit some spread in total bets on this show but there are a bunch of other really fun bets on the fandals sportsbook app right now that feature a wide variety of wagers that you can make so guys let's focus on some of those right now I'm gonna give you the bet and then you give me your quick pick Dave you're up first which quarterback will have the most regular season passing yards Tom Brady the favorite at plus 200 Tom Brady is a favorite but he plays Panthers twice and also the bills very good passing defenses that's not a good matchup Herbert has some good games left I'm gonna go with him Pony Steelers over under seven and a half regular season wins sitting there at five five and one I think the over is very enticing at that plus 125 here's why three home games left Baltimore we've talked about the Browns and the Titans without Derek Henry they win those three games which I think they go over okay and Chargers to make the playoffs yes minus 128 no plus one one oh six my favorite quarterback metric EPA CpoE composite Justin Herbert is 12th which is good but that's the worst among all four starting quarterbacks in the division the fourth place team in the West is not making the playoffs I like no Cole which team will finish with the best regular season record you got the Cardinals there the favorite at plus 250 well you know I have to roll with the team that I've been rolling with all season long they're the best team in the league record wise undefeated on the road and I see that continuing versus the Chicago Bears and the world playing in simple they're like Rodney Danger filled the league because no one's talking about them they're getting no respect right about now so I'm gonna put all that respect on their name Arizona okay there it is finally great stuff by you guys and now I 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million dollar holiday spectacular with daily winners so download the Fandall Casino app right now and take advantage of the million dollar holiday spectacular promotion again it's my Fandall and you can find it there on the Fandall Casino app. Hey guys you know what we did hit the game picks the best bets futures and DFS we did cover it all here again check done week 13 is here and you can bet it right now check out all the bets that we talked about on the Fandall sportsbook app new users again be sure to plug in that promo code more ways 1000 to get your risk free bet up to 1000 bucks follow us on Twitter at more ways to win TV and hit me up at least the current on Twitter and Insta and enjoy the games this weekend good luck with your bets