 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network One final slate of regular season games coming up in the NFL with week number 18 It just around the corner and some big big games coming up We're gonna break those down with Ryan Williams who's back with us for today to break down his favorite bats across week 18 at Fandall sportsbook this is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm join here once again by Ryan Williams Check him out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan has been out for the past couple weeks because Ryan you and your wife had a baby. So first of all Congratulations, that's fantastic. How you doing today? Oh Man, I'm I'm doing all right. You know, we pushed the the time back of the recording for me and the new dad Like to get some rest. So I was appreciative of you doing that Jim. It's been it's been great though I mean, there's no words that can be described I'm trying to think back of all the people who you know give advice But they say make people's advice because you got to figure it out for yourself And you know, it is it is surreal because you just think about how your life changes Instantly and it does like you just you think about them all the time You can't everything you do is about them like my wife and I we literally have just been the sole focus of them And I just can't imagine life before The the child I can only imagine that it gets, you know, they start to become fleeting memories the longer The more the kid gets older. So We we're just been, you know hanging out at home Luckily, I've had the opportunity to be home with my wife. So that's that's been great. We've been tagged team in it and Just, you know, it's every day's an adventure. So we just going forward from here, man That's awesome. Well, happy for both of you. That is fantastic. I saw pictures of your son on Christmas. He looked great Just really cute pictures. So I mean, if we get if we get to still talk to you but also get like baby content on twitter You know, I feel like everybody kind of wins. Obviously, I you know, I want you to get sleep and stuff like that But uh, you know, I feel like there are no losers in the situation at all Absolutely not. No, and he only has, you know, the option to represent Chicago sports teams here in the state of Wisconsin So, uh, we've already got him set up with that and it's it's it's been fun to see all the all the gifts and stuff He's been getting around around, uh This time and knowing that his birthday is three days before Christmas. It will probably even only get That fact as we get as we get Seal out to the next year get him a Justin Fields jersey as the bears lock up their post season birth for 2023 You know, that's you can buy that now. I don't know if you can plan for how big he'll be by then But you can plan out how the fields jersey already locked down for next Christmas Yeah, we actually have a 12 month onesie, uh for the kid that his uh, his great aunt and uncle brought over To, you know represent represent fields, uh next year. So a lot of fun things happening there I mean, you know the bears We'll see what they could be playing for a real half draft pick here and maybe they try and parlay that into something big Who knows but yeah, we would be exciting to see him get some help and Uh, have my son be able to wear that with pride next year. Absolutely. Well, congratulations to you Congratulations to your wife as well. I'm very happy for both of you and excited to have you Um, just, you know, live in your best lives and happy to have you selfishly back on the air as well We're going to break down week 18 and dig into those lines here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you are subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast We have our and our uh ncw championship Preview up with ed fang breaking down tcu versus georgia. We talked about ed's thoughts on the spread necking There's been some movement there. We talked about total player props and much more find that by searching for covering the spread Wherever you get your podcast and while you're there if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well Looking to get more out of the NFL this season. Well, now is the perfect time to download fandall America's number one sportsbook because new customers get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 That's free bets back if your first bet doesn't win just download the fandall sportsbook app It is safe secure and super easy to use then you can bet on everything from the money line to touchdown scores to yardage Plus fandall even lets you combine your bets for a chance at a bigger payout with a same game parlay So don't miss the chance to get your no sweat first bet up to $1,000 in free bets when you join fandall make every moment more with fandall an official sports betting partner of the nfl Must be 21 plus and president select states first online real money wager only Refund issued is non-withdrawable free bets that expire in 14 days Restrictions apply state terms at sportsbook dot fandall dot com gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandall dot com slash rg in arizona 1 800 next step or tax next step to 5 3 3 4 2 In connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in indiana 1 809 with it in kansas and wyoming 1805 222 400 or in kansas ks gambling health dot com in louisiana 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in mariland md gambling health dot orc in new york 1 8 7 7 8 hope and wire text open y Or in west virginia go to 1 800 gambler net now right before we talk about the big games for week 18 I want to talk about some of the lesser games. We got some teams locked into their seats, which means they do something to play for next week, but not this week and Likely gonna rest starters. That's the bucks the giants potentially the chargers as well in the afternoon window on sunday And when I put backups in for the giants and the bucks My numbers still show value in betting them The bucks are currently We have this plus four right now plus four and a half against atlanta And then the giants are plus 14 two touchdown underdogs against the eagles So even when I put in backups to those teams i'm seeing value So what would you do in my situation where you have value on the bucks and giants? But you're kind of wondering you might be under accounting for the for the backups being in here How would you handle a spot like that if you were in that situation? Yeah, I mean it it is a slippery slope right and that's what we love about week 18 As it's presented itself and even more so I feel like this year just with all the scenarios that are going on with these teams But I think you you you look at it from a historical approach You look at it from what the slate is giving you and so for these two teams for example Let's let's break them down. So the bucks really, you know, they handled business last week Was the brady mike evans week and we know what all that meant for them and they've locked it up but they had been reeling leading up to this point and Brady's come out and said that they they need to play in this game Todd bulls has come out and said that the starters need to play in this game And I don't expect that they'll play the full game But we've seen historically like with Brady with the patriots in these types of situations that he wants to go out there and still play So you could get them for a half and a half might be enough to to make an impact Where you know where things stand especially the way that they were firing on cylinders on offense Last week I would imagine, you know, brady wants to go out there and get multiple scores In in this game. So that that really is the one that makes me worry about taking an underdog in the situation when you know the team who's Favored is actually still playing Getting into the playoffs now with the eagles and giant situation You have a team where you have a situation where the giants really don't need to play In this game like at all if they if they end up winning this game I think the likelihood of them getting the eagles again in the playoffs is very is very hot So depending on how things work out So that's where things become interesting and on the eagle side of things They need to win this game to lock up the number one seed. So I mean 14 points We talk about that being a lot But we've seen this eagles team go out and throttle teams before Especially with Jalen Hertz being back You've got to like the chances of them trying to you know make some noise here as they take on a division rival So this is where it gets fun and interesting jim because There's so many scenarios and caveats and things that you pay attention to and Who's playing in the noon slot who's playing in 325? I know we'll talk about it later later with the lions But that whole thing is just so interesting to me Bengals and bills on the slam Casey is playing on on saturday, you know, there's just so many different scenarios and like the biggest The biggest thing that I think is important to tell people is that We don't know like you know to go into these games and think that oh, we know exactly how this is going to play out Oh, these starters are going to rest like outside of the Texans and the bears who like Really are playing for a high draft draft pick and we know lovey smith has the propensity to Do everything that he can to tank like that game's kind of ugly Texans and cults So like yeah, you want to take but that's like the least bet on game right now like if we just Scenarios because nobody wants to pick that everybody wants to pick these high profile matchups But there's so many things that can go awry. So I I I tend to err on the side of caution With people just to say that like To take chances on some of these things that are outliers is is fun to do in this week Because there are so many scenarios where people are going to feel pretty confident that they think they know what will happen And it is the nfl any given sunday, right and things could happen So uh, that's what makes it a fun week for me to be betting on things Yeah, it's it's fascinating for sure across the board I want to go back to the bucks here quickly because you mentioned the likelihood that the starters start but then don't finish and the full game spread I think is accounting for I think it's saying that they're going to play the entire game the backups because Atlanta is not That great So a four and a half point spread to me implies they think the starters are not going to play at all The first half spread is plus two and a half on tampa bay Maybe you could take the kind of logic you were talking about where you think, okay Brady starts the game might not finish and I think that's accurate because they've already said You know, it's kind of like the oj since then if I did it if we were to sit the starters We would go playing gabbert and kyle trash hypothetically like sure. You haven't put any thought into this. Okay, buddy fair um That's but my numbers have gathered in for the entire game. So I could be Maybe overselling them because maybe trash is a downgrade from gabber. I don't know but I think that I think the plus two and a half first half might be the proper way to handle that based on You know, agreeing with what you were saying, but I still think overall there there's value in the box It's just I don't know. It's hard to say no and with the giants like I agree with you Like the eagles have a lot of motivation to win this game I my respect for tarot taylor is what's giving me like some interest still in them But um, I think that I'd agree to read that the eagles just kind of too much motivation To really have a lot of interest there, but the box one to me does Grab my attention for sure Let's take into a game where motivation is not question at all That is he titans at the jaguars right now The jags are six point favorites that fan dual sports book total is 39 and a half and the titans starting josh dobs in this game over mleek willis And I think that makes sense. Willis struggled couldn't really run their typical offense with him dobs They were willing to throw with him which he wasn't great in that thursday game last week But they were willing to throw which is important So how does the dobs situation alter your view of the titans versus jags here at the spread at six points It it doesn't alter my view Let's see. What am I trying to say here? I mean, so the biggest thing here is that What's Derek Henry doing like yeah, is Derek Henry going out there and playing because that's that's where the tennessee titans thing rides on I think it was interesting to see How the team rallied behind dobs last week Like you could tell that the titans energy was just a lot different than in mleek willis willis games And dobs hasn't really looked at greater ahead a chance to I guess when he was with bitsburg But he went out there, you know against the Dallas defense and was able to hold his own Accordingly and now we have a jaguars team that is at home But they they've never been in this position before where they're playing, you know for playoff lives Especially under this young regime Doug peterson's going to coach them up But we got mike rabble on the other side and mike rabble as an underdog like that's what we're going to take advantage of All the time and you probably can hear my son in the background. I think he tends to agree with me That you know, we we love getting tennessee titans when they are in an underdog situation They're actually playing for something here too I mean they got a lot of pride on the table and this is the division that they've been able to have handedly over the course of time in the afc south so I still See Dude, but this is a lot to me for mike rabble coach team. So i'm just going to take the points With tennessee granted that derrick henry is uh fully healthy and ready to go Yeah, he was full in practice tuesday. She so he should be fully good to go It seems like they were kind of wink wink nod nod or uh when they sat him last week It seems like they were like, okay, we're gonna rest this guy for next week, which makes sense And that essentially means that the key members in the titans not just henry, but also Every key player on their defense like jeff rickson has had an ankle injury all year And he was able to rest up last week that should matter quite a bit Especially because the titans were super super banged up the week before that game. So They are rested. That's a good thing mike rabble tremendous coach I agree with you hardily and that is Concerning for me because i like the jags a lot in this game and I happen at the jags minus six But those factors are Legitimately concerning because I do respect mike rabble a lot, but My numbers have been high in the jags all year. I look back at um, I can like check and see In which games my numbers are showing value on them and it's been Pretty often That the numbers have been high in the jags But the the reason i'm reassuring that because that can say okay, your numbers are too high On the jags you should pedal back a bit maybe adjust things to to make that better But in the games where my numbers have shown Value on the jags money line, which they do again this week It's been nine separate games the jags are eight and one Straight up in those games and they've been underdogs in all but uh two of them Well, they closed as being underdogs in in all but One of them, but that was the jets game where they got there was weird money on the jets laid So I feel like the model actually doesn't have a pretty good read on this jags team So I actually am okay Lay in the six here as concerning as that is given, you know, the factors you mentioned that I agree with with Vrable with um The defense being healthy with henry being healthy So I don't feel great about it, but I do like the jags here My else my numbers also show value on the over at 39 and a half I've not taken that yet Uh, because I don't have as much faith in my totals model as I do in other stuff But um, that number does seem a little bit low for me as well Yeah, and this is a fun one too for us jim because we had been talking about this like since the summer Uh, I remember, you know talking about the jaguar's one of the division at fan at fanfest here in chicago Um, I can't say here in chicago anymore, but yes in chicago So, yeah, this is this is one of those ones where like, you know I think from just an overall fan standpoint like this is going to be a great one to kind of watch and pay its attention to And you know, I know from a dfs standpoint, this is going to be a fun one as well to get after But but yeah, I mean, you know, this is this is really going to show a lot From what the jaguars have on the other side of things and then, you know Knowing what they did a couple weeks ago to this team as well Where they were able to just throttle them in tennessee and now they're at home They got it, you know hold their own to be able to make the playoffs So we'll see if they can if they can do that Yeah, I I would love to see trevor lorenz versus jesson herbert in the first round So pulling for the jacks in that perspective too, but we'll see how things play out here Now the two you mentioned the the jags divisional odds We talked about that both in at fan fest and here on covering the spread of one But we talked about, you know, taking the jags when the afc south We also talked Bengals when the afc north now that may be locked up by the time we get this kickoff between the ravens and the Bengals, uh, Bengals seven point favorites total is 41 and a half It would be locked up if they decide not to play the remainder of that bill's Bengals game because that would make it where The Bengals are up a game and a half on the ravens right now and they couldn't make that up so they decide not to play that game that Bengals will clinch the afc north but Still a lot of line because the two seed in the afc I think is very valuable if we assume the chiefs win on saturday night The Bengals what I believe still have a shot at the two seed. I miscalculated that this morning So my bad, but it does seem like they have a chance at the two seed and the two seed means you are at home for the second game and You know, you're avoiding playing against either Lamar Jackson or jesson herber in the first round So there's a lot of incentive to get that two seed in the afc So I think that they will push in this game doesn't seem like we're going to see Lamar Jackson here though so Can tyler huntley keep this game close and cover almost a touchdown spread against the Bengals Jim this is this is a tough one for me because tyler huntley, you know, I don't Compared to what we saw from him last year And maybe it was just because he was that spark that we hadn't seen before But it seemed like that, you know the system seemed in place to where like tyler huntley could come in and fill in for Lamar Jackson It'd be no problem. Uh, that has not been the case this year They have not been able to get things going like I mean hollywood brown I'm not gonna equate him to being you know the offensive savior that they would need But it's clear that they are missing weapons on the offensive side of the ball granted that jk Dobbins has come back off the entry and looked fantastic Um, but tyler huntley just is not in rhythm with the pass catchers at all And this is the bingles defense that is not one that you want to be you know trying to Test the waters against like they are going to come out here willing to fire I do like the bingles side of things just is where things stand At this point in time, uh with everything that has transpired over the past couple of days I think that a lot of people you know might try and talk themselves into a narrative where the ravens have You know a shy here, but if the bingles are coming in here playing for something like I'm taking the bingles, uh 10 times out of 10, uh, they they just have everything going for them There's still some injuries that the ravens are dealing with on defense as well So, uh, it just makes it tough to really buy into What the ravens are doing at this point Yeah, my numbers agree with you, uh because I had the bingles favor by 10.4 in one model and 8.97 in the other If I assume that there's no lomar jackson here Um, and I agree with that So I think the bingles are the right side here the reason I've not taken them yet Is because I worry that if the bills get up on the patriots We can see the bingles rest guys because if the bills win the bingles can't get the two seed That's the only situation in which I worry about it. So I think that they are the right side And um, I think that the seven is appropriate and probably a little bit light if I'm being fully honest But there is a scenario where the bills pull ahead from the patriots. We could see The bingles pull back on things a bit now. I don't think that'll happen I think the patriots can keep things close enough to where the bingles will push for all four quarters but that is at least a little bit in my mind where It could be a bit of a concern But I agree with you where this bingles offense is shredding right now Ever since they changed up their scheme back in week five like they've been phenomenal I mean they're struggling week five against this very same ravens team with this current scheme But since then unreal stuff, uh, even especially once I've had jimar chase healthy and stuff like that So I think the bingles are the right way to go here. I've not bet that personally But I do think there is value in the bingles minus seven in this game against the ravens Let's finish things up up in your neck of the woods now and talk about the alliance at the packers Packers are four and a half point favorites total is 49 and a half and Packers know they need a win to get in now the lions need help because the seahawks game Happens before this that is a 425 p.m. Eastern kick 325 p.m. Central Which means it'll probably end about 45 minutes or so before kickoff on Sunday night now That could eliminate the lions But does that worry you at all if you're interested in backing the lions in this game or are you on the packers regardless? No, it it it actually and I can say this uh with confidence because I am here in wisconsin and get to listen to Sports radio and all the all the fans that that talk about this game They do not want the lions coming into lambo in a situation where It seemingly feels like they have nothing to play for and the public perception will be that the packers will roll They want everybody to feel like the lions still have a chance And so if seahawks loses then all the pressures on detroit to come into lambo and really win this game So that they can get in I think the fear for green bay is that you get a lions team Who everybody's watching this 325 thing with seahawks. They're at home against the rams now the rams have actually Done pretty decently um big bay against peak arrow I think it's five and one in the past six games or something like that so against the spread It's it's an interesting matchup But um i digress because if seattle goes in there and holds face now the lions can come in and they can kind of just They can play loose like there's no pressure on jared goff there like we know his road home splits are not great So I think all the pressure is on detroit if seattle is able to handle business and and win that game It becomes a lot more fun. Um if if uh seattle loses so or If seattle wins if seattle wins and detroit needs to you know, they still need kid They don't have to play for anything but they are playing for you know, not Having the packers be in the playoffs and they are playing for you know, the dan cambell pride That we saw in hard knocks and this this is not a dude that I think we can expect to go out there And be sitting players just because they don't have a chance to get into the playoffs like they're trying to build Something going into next year Where you know if they were we people love them in the industry coming into this year Like if they go out there and they can handle business or at least make it a competitive game I can't imagine what it's going to be like for for detroit for detroit books uh when we head into 2023 season so All that being said this is one where I don't want to jump the gun here because this could really be interesting to take If seattle wins the game like if seattle wins the game This line starts changing and then you take the packers even at a more favorable spot here and more so than uh Then four and a half and now we're you know, we could be cooking way gas there when everybody's trying to hammer in on the packers Um because how can they lose at home to the detroit line to have nothing to really play for so? It it I do like the spot. I also am interested in taking the under in this game It's 49 and a half and that kind of seems like a lot Based on all the emotions that could be going into this game as well That's one that I'd be willing to take sooner rather than later But yeah, it's going to be a weight approach weight up and see approach for me With the lions here because there are interesting things that can happen after the 325 slot It's under 49 and a half correct Under 49 and a half. Yeah, my numbers show the same thing As you and I was concerned about that because the lions defense stinks And the packers, you know, they lit it up last week, but They scored twice on either defensive or special teams touchdowns They they hate snapping the ball before there are like 0.5 seconds left in the play clock Like they run that thing down all the way Which is that's a big part of why my numbers actually have the total for this game at like 46. I think It's a lot lower than where it's currently at So I agree that the under is very in play for this game And I also want to you know, echo what you said with regards to everything with the motivation I don't think the lions are going to pack it in if they if they can make the playoffs in this game Because of the day Campbell's this is their playoff game Yeah, if the seahawks lose this is their playoff game or the seahawks win This is their playoff game And I think the day cam will pitch it that way They're not going to know until right before kickoff if they have a shot to advance or not Which means they're going to play their starters. We know that for sure I feel like four and a half is a lot and I think the thought process you're saying is correct where You hold off to bet this one until after the seahawks game under the assumption it gets to I don't think you get to a touchdown, but it might get to like six and a half at that point But I think that the reason why I'm willing to take it now is there's a chance that seattle does not win That's that's a possibility and If that were to happen We'd probably see moving the other way So I'm okay locking it in now and kind of you know Assuming the markets are properly counting the odds that seattle wins this game Because I think we're over accounted for motivation in this spot So I want the lions plus four and a half and I'm okay taking that now Because there is a shot that the the seahawks win and because I think the books are kind of already assuming the lions have nothing to play for in this game So it it'll probably move like you said, but it might not move too much So I'm going to take the lions right now plus four and a half um I got to be honest One of my models said the lion should be favored in this game, which seems aggressive Seems a little aggressive. That's a little aggressive. But you know it make listen, you know Being here in seeing what's transpired over the course of time. I mean this team was dead to rights at foreign aid Um, it's it's an incredible story. You know, however you feel about the packers or erin rogers or what everything like that like You know what they've been able to accomplish In the short period of time Knowing that they're backs against the wall and they had no room for error at all and to be able to be in the spot At home. No, no less. Uh, it's really incredible But this the way this lions team is playing I mean and I get it But the first game was at Detroit But that game what I mean, I'm telling you that that defense was hungry to get after that guy and you know Aaron jones has been a little bit banged up christian watson is banged up like You know, if it comes down to jared goff like jared goff needs to be able to be trusted here On the road to be able to handle business and if they can get, you know, a mon rod going Kirk cousins wasn't able to do that with jesson jefferson last week But you know, they got weapons dj chark, you know, the running backs look great This is not jamal. You know jamal williams returns to the lambo type of narrative situation you got going on here Um The the lions are being ruled out and and dead to rights just off of the fact that they are playing in lambo Like if this was a neutral site, um, I think we would be treating this a little bit differently And I think that there's still some merit to think that they're not just gonna Roll over and be dead just because the packers, you know Embarrassed the vikings last week. Like this is a totally different team that were that we're accustomed to betting on over the years and so Um, I I do think that this game is going to be interesting and I'm actually happy that it did get flexed Um, as opposed to, you know, people feeling like seattle being a 325 window puts a disadvantage But I still think that there's a lot of fun that can be had even with seattle winning that game Like oh, yeah, so I think that this was the right move to flex this game It's going to be fun to have it on primetime The only bummer of this is that I like all three of these teams like how can you root against? You know smith, I can't how can you really can stand Campbell? I can't the packers super fun story with like how dead they were and now they're coming back I wish all three could make it So like, you know, if we could bump bump nudge nudge the bucks or the anyone someone else out of the playoffs I'd prefer that but honestly, it's been fun. I'm excited like you said for this game No matter what happens with the seattle game. I think it's going to be a delight, but We'll see how things go on sunday night up in the lambo Okay, where else you see in value across week 18 ryan? Oh, let's pull up the card here. Um, you know, the one game that I've been looking at Is the dimver and chargers game? Um, now, you know, I kind of I think I might have alluded to On a previous part with you that I might be done betting the broncos I might be back in on them, you know, mine is going to have here Depending on what's going on with the chargers and and what they do Or do not have to play for, you know This is a team where especially knowing that they're going into the playoffs So the first time under the herbert regime like if they if they really don't need to play for anything here Like they could just be like, you know what like we don't need to Exert ourselves at mile high we can just you know do what we need to do and and let it let it be what it is and The dimver broncos for you know, at least with the coaching change seems like they're playing for pride at At least compared to how they were able to hold up things last week against kansas city. So Two and a half there is a favorable number for me also elsewhere Where was I pulling at here the carolina panthers saint's game Carolina getting three and a half. I think that that's that's interesting as well I'm keen on that And it's been tough for me to Bet the raiders at all this year with everything that's been going on with them But the the chiefs getting seven or more points like they have not They've struggled to cover these numbers um historically and especially when we're talking about nine and a half I mean how how many times have we sat on this five and you know talking about the chiefs being favored by You know 10 or more points and uh, they they've been in letdown situations as a raiders game at home You love what we saw from gerrard stidham last week, you know a disciple of the mcgano's offense from the new england days And so you know getting nine and a half points there Is an is an interesting feat as they you know try and play for you know what they're building on for the future Maybe that's not with stidham necessarily But they still have a lot of pieces there um that are buying in the defense has been Somewhat somewhat better um comparatively is what we know the raiders defense as and this this chiefs team just has Mailed it in on situations like this when they're favored by so much and especially on the road here So i'm willing to look at the raiders nine and a half Yeah, uh, nat ty so the athletic has described the chiefs is playing with their food at times when they're like, you know They know they're gonna win so they kind of like you know dig around a little bit. Um, that's definitely happened for poor Um, the one I wanted to ask you about where i'm showing value elsewhere is actually in the dolphin's game I have scowler tomson is starting in my model And even when I have scowler tomson starting this game, I have the dolphin's favorite by 1.87 over the jets I kind of just think that Yeah, I know I think our opinion of mike white is a bit too inflated That's kind of what it comes down to here and mike mcdaniel is still I think a very smart coach I think that he can coach up this team and position themselves well For the situation obviously the last week, you know, they didn't um Didn't play great against new england, but they had a defensive touchdown They let up they they could have they you know, they had a shot to win that game I know that at the end they didn't uh, they had that late garbage touchdown and stuff like that But like I think they were at least competitive in that game Which was encouraging to me given that bridge water left in tomson was still something so The dolphin's money line right now is even money at vandal sportsbook Uh, if I have the dolphin's favorite I am okay taking that because they have motivation the jets do not it seems like this is kind of being accounted for as if the jets are the team the actual motivation so if i'm getting a money line value on a team where I've already accounted for the backup being in and they have motivation while the opponent is not I feel like I should take that so I like the dolphin's even money any thoughts for you on that one Yeah, this one's kind of it's been a stay away from me And just because the scholar tomson thing like because you're smart ryan You're you're the intelligent one here You know, you knew better than to bet on the jets and dolphins week 18 with a backup quarterback on balls third string quarterback on Bullsides third string. Yeah, if it was teddy b, you know, I think I I could talk about your revenge game Yeah, teddy covers, right? So uh That would be interesting. But yeah, I mean the way that this jets defense plays I mean they could make they can make a In a long day for scholar tomson I know we're looking at like the patriots being last week and how you know Stout their defense has been and what they've been able to accomplish But they weren't really prepared to play scholar tomson and now we have you know Scouting report and the jets have been preparing for that. So um, that's what worries me from the Miami side now It is still interesting because you know, we do have King pieces like on the offense aside from Miami like the running backs have looked great as of late You still got hill you still got waddle. So they they can put up a slash play Against anybody if scholar tomson can get them the ball But I do think that this jet city is still kind of you know there and can make life miserable So it's that from that standpoint. It's just been a stay away from me. Yeah, I don't enjoy betting against jet defense That's uh, it's a very fair for sure But uh, we'll see how things play out in week number 18 That's all we got here for this week on covering the spread for the full NFL preview But we're back once again tomorrow Tom Vecchio was swinging by a breakdown. Is there a player props across week 18 gonna be uh A dicey one there for sure with all the stuff up in the air If we thought it was dicey for betting sides and totals player props gonna be dicey too as well That'll be up on the covering the spread podcast tomorrow and over on the fandal youtube page Make sure you are subscribed wherever you prefer to consume your content big. Thank you to ryan Williams ryan is great to have you back here on the show Have fun. Good luck with you with trying to make your son be not nocturnal and looking forward to talking to you again next week Yeah, I look forward to it and shout out to Tom Vecchio holding it down You know, it's great to be able to hear him. I mean he wax poetic You know last week, so hopefully people are you know getting getting after his action because Tom Tom is you know He's he's a one. He's he's all good in my book and he he was holding it down So appreciate him. But yeah, thanks for the shout out Jim Can't wait to get the little guy in a in a fan duel onesie here soon and uh, maybe have him make a guest appearance Probably next year. We'll see I needed lots on lions game So if you you know when he's up ask him and let me know and uh, just relay that to me. We can do that privately You can't let the good info out. Exactly. Yeah, absolutely All right, check out ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w i'm on twitter at jim sanis j i m s a n n Yes, we are back with you once again tomorrow breaking down props week 18 This has been covering the spread right here on the fan duel podcast network