 So I almost forgot about one more crazy right-wing talking point on Tucker Carlson and other right-wing pundits And that is that it's 1984 in Australia, man. They're using the US military there. They're destroying people's freedoms right That's not what's going on in Australia like in New South Wales It's a center-right politician Gladys Björklund who reluctantly locked down much of the state in reaction to the coronavirus Australia's had about one-fifty per capita the number of deaths that the United States has had and I'm not saying that's primarily because of their Lockdowns and their social policy All right, but I don't think it's crazy to believe that their their lockdowns and other COVID related policies have had some effect in Reducing fatalities, but Australia's not turning into a George Orwell 1984 dystopian nightmare They're making what seem to be reasonable decisions to reduce the spread of COVID until more of the population gets vaccinated I'm not saying the the Public policy lockdown positions are the best I'm not saying that they're necessarily right I'm just saying that from somebody doesn't know very much that it just seems to me that the decisions they're making in Australia to reduce the spread of COVID seem prudent All right, they may be wrong, but I don't think it's because the politicians there are trying to install some 1984 dystopia All right in New South Wales. It's a center-right government. The national government is a center-right government This is not some left-wing Leninist Marxist socialist Communist totalitarian dystopia And so another crazy stupid Right-wing talking point and then another crazy stupid conspiracy talking point by someone who I normally respect Michael Tracy Who's going on that because universities are taking all the steps that they can To reduce their liability for the spread of COVID among their their populations All right Because they're trying to use contact tracing etc Then Then they're just going to keep control of people's lives forever They're never going to relinquish that control of students lives because because university administrators They're just closet totalitarians and they're just going to seize this control of students lives And they're never going to give it up and same with the politicians with their lockdowns in Australia and in Europe and in America Once they get this control over people and and and get a taste for taking away the people's rights And people will never get back their right to freedom of assembly freedom to party All right People will never get back their rights to freedom to peaceably, you know gather and worship The guard of their their understanding and I think this is bogus all right, so Our university administrators just secretly yearning to control all the intimate personal choices of students. No, that's exhausting Hey, it's it's stupid to think that they want that kind of exhausting level of control Also with that level of intrusion and control. There are also liabilities to it It's not just something that can diminish your legal liability for COVID transmission, but they're going to be done other liabilities All right, so this is how it is in life You take a step to reduce your liabilities in one area and you open up liabilities in another area so no governments are not going to just take away speech rights and assembly rights and religious rights and universities are not going to interminably Minutely govern the lives of students going forward because now they've got a taste of controlling people's lives and man They're just going to do this forever. It's just going to be 1984 dystopia and you know things have never been worse It's just a it's just an absolute nightmare and and people with power. They're never going to give it up They're just going to keep they're just going to keep they're just going to keep their thumb on us, man We're never going to be able to get back to church and the synagogue and the freedom of assembly and life as we know It will never return right? I think it's another really stupid right wing talking point that comes from people like Tucker Carlson It often has quite intelligent things to say Everyone will get COVID trying to prevent this is futile. All right So many things to say to that So if we're talking about COVID-19, which I believe we are It would obviously be better for People to get it later rather than earlier because we're getting better and better treatments all the time It's better to get it when you're vaccinated Because you have a tend to have a less severe reaction to COVID So when we know more about COVID-19 you develop better treatment So yeah, it's better to get it later rather than earlier So I have no idea if everyone will get it but To try to reduce death rates from a contagious epidemic seems to me Common sense. Yeah, you take steps to reduce death rates That doesn't mean you take every single step that you can possibly think of that might possibly reduce death rates You have to use good judgments. Some steps are going to do more harm than good So while they may make an infinitesimal reduction to a COVID death rates they may increase death rates in other areas such as people needing elective surgery, etc and That there has been a lot of really bad messaging by public health authorities like England was was Prioritizing people washing their hands as a way to reduce the spread of COVID up until July of 2021 Where we knew by last May that washing your hands was not a Primo benefit in trying to reduce COVID COVID is something that is Transmitted primarily through the air not not on surfaces of not people not people washing their hands All this is in the context of a virus that is basically an inconvenience as we have over 700,000 Americans now dead and you're telling me this is a virus that is an inconvenience at 700,000 Americans are dead So we have about the approximate the same number of people who died on 9-11 dying every day Over the past year and a half and that's just an inconvenience Maybe I'm overly sensitive, but I don't think 700,000 deaths of my fellow Americans with an average Loss of life of 16 years per death according to one academic study another academic study put it in 10 years But I don't see 700,000 people losing on average 10 to 16 years of life to me That's not an inconvenience to me. That's a little more serious than an inconvenience How many people have died of COVID in? 2021 at least 150,000 so again 150,000 dead with Potential loss of life years of between 10 and 16 per death. Yeah, that seems to me to be To be a little more than an inconvenience Funny how none of everyone's favorite Wignette East celebs seem to have caught the COVID one or have no idea if that's true This is complexity from your one 16th Chinese genes Chad Chad said committing suicide by testing positive for COVID does not equal a COVID death. So There are two components to a death certificate and industrialized nations tend to be fairly rigorous with their death certificates imperfect right and not perfect they make mistakes and But there is the proximate cause the direct cause and it's never covered. All right The COVID does not directly cause people COVID creates a condition which in some people causes organ failure Right, so organ failure will be the proximate cause and then the underlying cause may be COVID along with other Factors so when you had this meme spreading. Oh any six percent of COVID deaths are solely covered or the rest of other factors. Nobody dies Approximately from COVID or from AIDS. It's just that things like AIDS in COVID create conditions that lead to organ failure Whereby then people die Open borders will replace the people who died from From COVID well forgive me I care more about my fellow Americans than I care about other people So 700,000 dead fellow Americans is concerning to me even if they can be replaced by Open borders immigration policy. How many died without co-morbidities? Well Not many You know why? Because if you don't die from some infectious disease when you're young in all likelihood, you're walking around with the co-morbidity Right. It used to be most people died of infectious disease Infancy childhood youth. All right. So people were dropping dead at age one age, you know age seven right when we stopped dropping dead very early on from infectious disease thanks to developments in sanitation and Other public health developments, then people die from long-running diseases like heart disease and cancer right, so Most people I would suspect over age 40 are walking around with some kind of co-morbidity So That does if someone's walking around with type 2 diabetes for 40 years and then they catch COVID and die 13 days later Yeah, I think it's fair to say Approximately they died of COVID right, so almost I Didn't know the basic facts, but it would not surprise me if 50% of the population over 40 has a co-morbidity All right, so you're walking around with a co-morbidity for 30 years and you catch COVID and die within two weeks Yeah, I think it's fair to say you died of COVID. You didn't die of the co-morbidity Which you were walking around with for 20 30 40 50 years. I don't think that's an absurd point So Eliot's claims that week after week the death rate is zero in San Francisco. So let's have a look San Francisco 2021 and so well Elliot are you embarrassed how often you say things that just blatantly false Don't you just any part of you feel at least like slightly sheepish or ashamed of that So September 29 five people died of COVID in San Francisco Seven-day average was three So you're just just Google San Francisco COVID-desk 2021 Right you you all the time you just recklessly say things that are just completely bogus and Like you said, oh, I remember another Elliot classic here was viruses only ever mutate to be less severe Not true. It's just completely wrong Right sometimes they mutate to be less severe. Sometimes it mutate to be more severe Do you ever do you ever like do you ever feel any? Oh? Maybe I should do a little more research before I start making the these proclamations Just Google San Francisco COVID-desk 2021 so There haven't been many I mean there aren't that many people in San Francisco. What the San Francisco? Look San Francisco County, right? How many people live in San Francisco County? so Just scanning through deaths in in San Francisco Looks like you know an average of about two a day over But over the past Three months four months, so it's not a huge death rate, but it's not zero When do you come up with this stuff my friend? Where do you come up with this stuff? Luke is projecting now. Yes. I'm projecting what happens when you Google San Francisco COVID-desk 2021. Yes. This is what happens when you project truth 15 days to stop the spread Okay, so guess what in March of 2020 Public health experts and politicians echoing their talking points We're not as knowledgeable about COVID as we are now. They were imperfect and frequently Flawed I am being gay right now because I think I Think it's ridiculous Elliot that you you pronounce things that are just completely bogus and you don't Where's the Where's where's your reaction to that your reaction is to say I'm gay Right. I didn't know if I was saying things that were completely bogus and it was pointed out to me I get oh I was wrong. I should I should have investigated that I should have been more careful. I should I should learn from this but You're posting that People aren't dying of COVID in San Francisco and there's just no basis for it Elliot says if we are serious about reducing death rates, we've outlaw junk food. We are not serious Really? So is that even viable like how many countries have outlawed junk food first? Well, so it's a ridiculous non viable public policy second Let's say we implemented junk food restrictions like what would be the result in life expectancy Like if let's say we outlawed Coca-Cola, do you think that people on average would live, you know, six months longer? Do the division? Okay Elliot black statement week after week the death rate is zero in San Francisco just completely false Like many other things that my friend Elliot black says just completely false and When I point out to him, this is completely false. Elliot responds do the division do the division do the division Locking down a society is viable what we have had lockdowns and Guess what lockdowns have been a part of social policy for thousands of years Social distancing has been used as public health social policy for thousands of years It's in the Torah you take certain people with contagious diseases and you send them outside the camp. So yeah, it is a viable policy It's being used in the Western world. I'm not sure. It's always the best policy in a particular situation. Oh So limiting junk food is not viable. You didn't talk about limiting junk food Elliot you are so slippery and you feel no shame about being so slippery You didn't talk here initially about limiting junk food You said if we were serious about reducing death rates, we'd outlaw junk food now You're changing it to oh if we limit junk food, right? There's no viable way to outlaw junk food now Many societies have tried limiting junk food So Michael Bloomberg in New York City wanted to reduce the size of you know callers that could be distributed so how many average years of life you think could be saved if if Certain limitations on junk food were implemented So I suspect it wouldn't be that dramatic. Ah That's a good point. You're being very uncharitable in your interpretation of comments pecked on my phone So yeah, so the medium in which people write comments is going to affect The comments obviously typing on a keyboard is a lot easier to be precise than pecking on a phone So so Elliot I will say that is a good point America is no longer America inside America says I am well parts are and parts are Bless American than they used to be so the the percentage of the population that's foreign-born is really high in American cities But it's a fairly low in American rural areas The Confederates won after all left right middle or want to secede how why not or make it stronger? It's not going to be a secession. It's not going to be an American civil war Texas is not going to secede California is not going to secede the United States will be the dominant country in the 21st century just like it was in the 20th century and by the way China which I Think will collapse within 10 years the situation there is awful like it just keeps getting worse like much of the country has is out of power and and In their demographics they missed like they they thought they had a hundred and twenty more million people than they do and those people who they thought they had were young people who they don't have so It used to be like last week We thought the Chinese population would have by 2100 and then it changed. Oh, no, it's gonna have to 2070 Now it appears like China's population is gonna have by 2050 But China is done as a major power right is it's just headed for for collapse So China's population projected to fall by half within 30 years And in 30 years Will there be a right wing backlash? So speaking of backlash I'm reading this terrific book on Iraq to start a war call on how the Bush administration took America into Iraq by Robert Draper a terrific book and it mentions that Saddam's administration had some plan to assassinate President Bush and his family and it was like it was a vague plan. They didn't put much effort into it and The Bush family as a result like never forgot that Saddam Trying to try to kill them. So probably a major psychological motivation for George W. Bush getting a war in Iraq in 2003 was that in 1991 or so was it 1993 Saddam's administration had some vague vague plan to assassinate HW Bush. Well, every action has a reaction. So So, yeah, there's always gonna be a backlash every time you try to do anything. They'll always be a backlash to it Let's try you try to change your relationship with your mother It's gonna be a backlash to that you try to change your relationship to your boss. There's gonna be a backlash Everything there's a backlash. So the Saddam regime had some vague plan of Assassinating HW Bush and some other Bush family members and as a result In part that probably played a role in the psychological motivation for George W to invade Iraq in 2003 So, yeah, will there be a right wing backlash next year? Yes And Then there'll be a left wing backlash to that and then there'll be a right wing backlash to that Then there'll be a left wing backlash to that. Oh, so will Republicans win back the House of Representatives? I'd say 50% chance or they went back to the Senate or 40 45 percent Chance for that But they'll always be a backlash that's why Your behavior and rhetoric are so important because much of the time we have no idea the consequences of what we say and do And when we call us like I was just a total jerk last week I just got all I read and haughty and self-righteous and uppity and used my rhetorical abilities and my eloquence to put someone down who can't hurt me and I was completely in the wrong. The other person was in the right I made an abject apology and whenever so well, I made like three more object apologies to the same woman And I think it's important for me to make these abject apologies apologies when I'm just a total ass Because it makes me less likely to behave that way in the future particularly towards that that person So, yeah for I was a total jerk I saw it, you know, I've made abject apologies to try to reduce the the backlash But for every every action there's a reaction Luke is doing that Gordon Chang China will collapse porn Well, either China will collapse either China's in deep trouble or it's not so I didn't know Gordon Chang the only things I know about Gordon Chang or what half Galician tells me about Gordon Chang Oh, you did an old video where you made a rabbi's daughter cry when you're invited over so this was at an at a synagogue where they were very nice and And they would often invite me over to meals and I was invited to to a meal of someone who became a well-known rabbi who was Had Larry King praise one of his box And so he was an outreach rabbi and And as he was talking I think over the shabbat table I was making the point that Judaism and Christianity have different emphases And so in Judaism the emphasis is more on law and righteousness and in Christianity. It's more on things like faith and and love and motives And every time I would make these points he would like get angry and try to argue You know, there's no area where Christianity has more emphasis than Judaism Judaism says so much about humility and Judaism says so much about love and And every time I I'd mentioned like a contrast of difference in emphasis He would like come back. No, that's absolutely not true And I guess we started pushing back, you know, as he would become more firm I would you know push back and then I guess his daughter started crying and other people Were kind of appalled at my attitude. So I I was supposed to have taken a much more subversive subservient Approach or maybe I shouldn't have just challenged a rabbi in front of his family or I didn't even think of myself as challenging I just thought I could bring from my in a great breadth of experience growing up as a christian converting to Judaism bring like something interesting to the shabbat table discussion and I guess the the discussion just got heated and the daughter started crying. So I've not always been particularly astute with with understanding The consequences of of my own actions I made a very nice you Shiva girl cry once when I challenged her about Torah from my inside So Orthodox Jews do not like to talk About the divine origins of the Torah. They don't like to be challenged on who read the Torah They will try to escape that that question. Look, it's already happening. It's in from notifications happening fast legal parts Sanctuary cities are mesh do not pay taxes the free state of New Hampshire and yet There's not going to be formal succession and yet. There's not going to be a civil war And yet remember all those awful things that were going to happen when Trump lost the election Trump supporters are going to be purged. They're going to put into re-education camps. They'll get to be mass firings It was going to be massive retaliation against Trump supporters hasn't happened right Trump supporters are just fine Life for them. It is just fine under Joe Biden. There have been no definitive setbacks On average for Trump supporters in the United States of America So all these hysterical right-wing points are just bogus Tears in the chicken soup a Shabbat dinner would look forward Wow Good point. Bye. Bye