 If you like good baseball tonight is a fun night to play some MLB DFS because we have a lot of what I would call Electric pitchers on tonight's slate. It's not just Joe. Hey, Ohtani Ohtani Obviously number one from a an intrigue perspective from an interest perspective as he should be But it's also Aaron Nola who was just off this Disgusting start last week least Garcia facing Baltimore. I like Joe Musgrove a lot I find it to be pretty electric Dylan sees is fun to watch So from a baseball watching perspective tonight is going to be a lot of fun But that also does translate to DFS because I love slates where I've got choices that pitcher. I've got that for today I've got some good stacks I want to use both in the high salary range and the low salary range, so it's gonna be a fun night Let's dive on in and get you set welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire.com. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire.com here to break down Wednesday's nine game main slate with lock set for 705 four to night. There are a couple of weather notes here Several of them are rain related. Unfortunately that Cleveland rain out last night was maddening Uh, thankfully that came down on the main slate for today But we do have wind blowing out in New York for the Yankees and the angels. It's at a 10 miles per hour Temperature there is 92 degrees So really good hitting conditions upgrade hitters for the Yankees and the angels Which is unfortunate because Shohei Otani is pitching Although he does benefit as a hitter too. So I guess it's a some give and take there for sure We have similar conditions in philadelphia so upgrade hitters for the marlins and the fillies There is a chance of rain in buffalo for the blue jays and the mariners. It looks like the rain Should be out of there by first pitch So check back on that later, but I'd expect they're good to go and boston rain is present during the game Check back on that one later too to make sure it's not too heavy for the red sox and the royals And finally rain is possible in Cincinnati for the pod rays in the reds If I were ranking these games in terms of concern right now I would say Cincinnati is number one and then boston to Buffalo three as far as which cities may have the most annoying weather from a uh from a dfs perspective So check back with kevin roth of rotor grinders this afternoon to see what he says about them But at least based on my initial read here. It looks like Cincinnati is the one that's most concerning followed by boston and buffalo Hey soccer fans this season fan duel and captain morgan are teaming up to give you a one of the con soccer contest Introducing captain morgan's soccer pick them a weekly fantasy contest that is entirely free to play The contest is simple. All you have to do is make quick predictions for saturday games this soccer season You'll earn points for each correct pick and compete for a chance to win up to three thousand dollars in prizes every single week Head over to fan duel and enter the captain morgan's soccer pick them today must be 21 plus to participate For more details as a fan duel dot com or download the fan duel fantasy app Eligibility restrictions apply and don't forget to make your game day more delicious and sub in the captain Pitching preview for this wednesday main slate Aaron nola is the highest salary pitcher on fan duel checking in at 11 000 dollars followed by louis garcia at 10 5 chris bassett is 90 hundred dollars show hey otani is 9500 dollars and we have joe musgrove steven mats coming off the covet iow dylan sees and max freed as the others eight thousand dollars are higher for today and Nola and garcia the two highest salary guys in this slate I'm gonna pull them above otani I will say that otani at 9500 dollars is enticing The reason I wind up being lower on him is because both nola and garcia are in tremendous matchups at home Whereas otani isn't a tough matchup on the road So I will rank those two higher But I would say otani to me deserves to be number three for tonight and worthy of exposure Despite the fact it is a really rough spot. Nola number one for me. He was absolutely Disgusting last time out. He faced his 22 batters But got 12 strikeouts if it had been like a full nine inning game, you know pitch count would have been high Maybe we're talking like a a really special game there But now nola is back at home and facing the marlins And I think we need nola at the top of our list for tonight The reason that start last week was interesting is because it came on the road typically erin nola Has struggled there if we look at him since the start of last year on the road His era is 4.90 with a 27 strike area The strike area is still very high But it's not quite as high as the 34 mark. Yes at home with a 2.49 era that is A big gap and it's big in the areas we care about specifically strikeout rates strikeouts can deviate home versus road We see that with nola So there aren't a ton of pitchers who I actively bump up a lot when they're at home Bump down on the road Nola is one of those guys and that big met start last week did come on the road Which bodes well for him tonight as he goes back home He also does have a plus match up here facing the marlins a 91 WRC plus versus righties with a 25 strikeout rate and an 8 walk rate All three of those numbers really good for the upside of opposing pitchers And nola has upside to begin with again He had nine or 12 strikeouts last week against the mets other games this year He had at least nine against the yankees red sox brewers and cardinals And all four of those came at home, which is where this one will be for today I have not always been into nola so far this year. I love him long term He's tremendous fun guy to root for the strikeout rate this year has been down from last year But it's a peach spot. He's at home good matchup not the worst salary by all means So I do want to be high on air and nola as a result for tonight He will be my number one pitcher on fan dual for today Now garcia is also at home in a plus spot. He's facing the orioles He is a guy whose movement has decreased since the sticky stuff discussion began So that's always noteworthy And garcia despite that has still been effective Now you also put him like nola in a plus spot at home So I think garcia despite being 10 5 deserves to be number two for tonight In those four stars that decreased movement garcia has a 3.84 skill interactive r.a With a 26 strikeout rate He has still gone six plus innings in three out of those four stars And that's even with three of the four matchups being pretty tough ones He faced the blue jays twins and the white sox the white sox game was at home And in that game garcia allowed just one run across seven innings He had eight strikeouts and the white sox despite being better against lefties Above average versus righties as well now garcia back at home good match up here against baltimore They have an 84 wrc plus versus righties with a 25 strikeout rate and 8 walk rates They're pretty similar to miami across the board both in the strikeout and the walk departments But they're a big boost to opposing pitchers once you combine everything that they bring to the table together Garcia good this whole year We've seen him still be good despite the change enforcement of the rules And I think that will continue for tonight as he finally gets a plus match up here So garcia today a very good play to me. It's nola one garcia two otani three If I had to pick a top value that guy would be dillon cease With that said he's well behind those three guys. Uh, and if I don't get to cease for tonight, it's not going to bother me It's not the same as gsclifani a couple nights ago where I was like, I'm not going to use this guy With cease I might Uh, just because I do want to stack the astras. I do want to stack the blue jays And that's not very easy with those guys So I might get to cease but Not actively seeking him out Which is worth noting here for sure cease is at least deserving of consideration He's facing the twins and as we saw with lucas g elito last night The twins can make some noise. They have a 104 w rc plus against righties with still a lot of power The good thing is that cease is getting strikeouts recently The spin rate is down for him and the movement has decreased over his past five starts But he still has a 3.53 skill interactive era in that time His strikeout rate is 27 with a 5 walk rate. So the peripherals on cease are really good It is worth noting. He's had two rough starts in that time Those rough starts came against houston cleveland. The two good offensive he has faced The good starts he has had have come against pittsburgh and then two against Detroit The twins are not houston, but they're also not pittsburgh and detroit in the negative sense They're very much in the middle ground there and that's why I can't get myself to rank cease above The higher salaried options despite the fact that I do want to stack some higher salary teams for today But I also do think that there is a case to be made in his favor for today. So $8,200 I'm not opposed to it at times But I what I want to do is make sure my exposure is moderate with cease keep it limited make sure I'm exposing myself more to otani to nola to garcia and making cease more of a Potential rotation piece and again if I don't get there, that's fine I think that it really is about those top three guys for today, but cease still pretty fun and someone I am open to use it So let's talk about the stacks and it does come down to some high salary teams Now if you're using nola, it might be tough to get to the studs on these teams But with that said, I think that there are enough value plays here where if you pair The jays or the answers of the second lower salaried stack you can make it work So we'll start here with the highest salary teams and then go through some potential value plays later on The jays absolute force against lefties at least I think they will be like their numbers don't necessarily bear this out But I think long term they will Show them to be a disgusting team against lefties a lot of powerful righties in this lineup And it's weirdly kind of like the old school blue jays with josh donalds and joseph attista edwin and carnazione They're kind of like that once again. They're facing a left today in just as sheffield So the jays the number one stack for me sheffield has seen this movement go down recently And he was starting to struggle before that too The decreased movement has not helped reverse that trend because over his past four starts sheffield has a 4.64 skill interactive ERA, that's not a terrible number But the hard hit rate is up to 52 percent. It is 43 percent for the full season So even if it does come down a bit It'll still likely be higher than the league average the fly ball rate for sheffield has gone up in this time as well It's still below average still better than average But it's gone up the results first sheffield have been rough He has a 5.69 ERA for the full season He let up seven runs the twins in this time He let up four to the tigers as well and the blue jays at least in my eyes are better than both those teams against lefties So I think we need to be high on them here And bank on the fact that we can expect this team to be a force against lefties long term And I think that the big appeal of the blue jays is that Facing a lefty boosts up the peripheral guys like we can use vlad Beshet send me in against anyone But it boosts up the non studs in this lineup lourdes goriel his iso goes up to 169 versus lefties Which means that there is much more upside for him There than versus righties his iso is actually like 140 versus righties, but like It just feels like there's more upside there against lefties I would also give upside boost to randall gritchick tailscar. Hernandez I would not be shocked if we see george springer start to Awaken a bit once they start to face lefties. I'm still not like actively seeking out springer because I do worry about the nature of the injuries that he had that Landed him on the injury list, but you know, he's he's been Fine since coming back. So to me I think you get goriel you get gritchick start there with the value plays and see Which of the studs you can get to while using nola or Garcia for today. I think that can work. I want to try it But both those guys do get boosted up versus lefties and that makes me feel better about this stack as a whole I regret to inform you that the astros are in play once again This is like the 82nd time the past two weeks that they have then featured in stacks but and yeah, it's gonna be tough to get to them with nola and garcia, but We might be able to get there with otani and I think there are some value plays here for the astro We can talk about as well So let's run through them here and then we'll get some value in our next stack They're facing that harvey. So, you know the desire here should be fairly obvious harvey Hasn't really changed much much during the spin rate discussion His peripherals have stayed rough the most relevant sample on harvey will be as past eight starts with more curve balls In that time harvey has a 4.92 skill interactive er a his hard hit rate allowed is up to 44 percent The fly ball right now is right around average of 36 percent And he's letting up or getting a strike out just 17 percent of the time The peripherals for harvey are bad But the results have actually been worse. His er is 11.30 He has let up less than three runs just once and he's let up five plus runs five times in an eight start sample The only positive that harvey has in his favor for today is the park They're likely gonna have the closed roof for today in houston, which means it's cooler than a lot of other spots out east Part of that's wide ranked the jay's higher the jay's scheme is also not super warm But it's humid which is good and it's warm enough for me to bump them Bump them into first and put the astra second on the list for today The one guy here outside of abraham toro is kind of like some salary relief is mild straw He's $2,600 and I very much was not into straw at the beginning part of the stretch I talked him out of the q&a was not into him actively poo pooed him I'm softening on that because over the past two weeks straws hard hit rates up to 39 percent Whereas a season long marcus 26 percent. He does have some stolen base juice as well So I'm open to it. I was not previously I think that straw and toro could help us stack them with nola It will not be an easy task still, but I think it's worthwhile I am open to both those guys now whereas at least the straw. I was not previously so Coming around a mild straw, which does make it easier to stack the the astros, but It'll still require some creativity with your second stack So let's talk about a creative route for stacking the astros and the jays And the talk about the royals here as our third ranked stack They're facing martin pares and it seems like pares has been impacted by the rules enforcement We've got five starts on him with less movement on his fast ball and pares has a 5.68 skill interactive era With a 13 strikeout rate The hard hit rate i does up to 43 percent Which used to be kind of like the calling card for pares back in the day was limiting hard contact That's not working in his favor anymore. His era hasn't blown up. It's it's 5.49 across five starts It's not a big sample. I don't want to look at era, but i'm saying You know the results have not been the worst But I do think that they could inflate here because pares is facing the royals for the second time in his past three starts He was good against in the first time. He allowed just one run on three hits over five innings. That's very good But now the royals have seen him recently We saw a similar situation for pares versus the astros earlier in the stretch I will say the astros and the royals not equivalent But in the first start against houston pares had seven and two thirds shut out innings The second time they chased him after just two innings with six runs allowed So no the royals are not a slam dunk because we did just see him shut them down two weeks ago and That's worth noting if they were a slam dunk. We just take the value and rank them first in the slate But I do think they have upside despite the risk So I want to be high on them here when looking for salary savings The key name to watch with the royals is immanuel rivero. He just got called up from triple a he had great power numbers there But he left last night's game with some risk soreness massive massive buzzkill that means that he might not play today I would be upset if if the lineup comes out in the q&a show today I might sob on air if he does not play Because he's 2100 dollars with likely bad sixth has some power facing a lefty If he plays I'll be all all about rivero If not We can still get some value here via hunter doger and michael taylor I would just be very sad so Send the good vibes the prayer circles out to immanuel rivero get him in there for today And hopefully we can utilize him at 2100 dollars. I'll still go to taylor and doger if not, but I really really want a piece of rivero there for 2100 dollars Let's finish up with things to watch for today Not finish up got dinger calls too. Don't forget. I do not fret did not forget for today Things to watch uh chris bassett was pitching well earlier in the year We talked about him as being like a stud here on the solo shot He is in good pitching weather. He has a good matchup today. I will not be going there though It seems like he is negatively impacted by the sticky stuff discussion over his path three starts bass It has a 4.83 skill interactive eray with a 20 strikeout rate and a 10 walk rate Those are more stack worthy numbers than uses geyser pitch I'm not going to stack the rangers because the weather is so bad for hitting But i'm also not going to use bassett. So he's off the map for me It is nola garcia notani with sprinkles of seas when I want to stack the blue jays and the astros together The philly's salaries have come down. So I could see stacking them tonight actually pretty solid they're facing jordan holloway Holloway is coming back up from triple a he had a 22 strikeout right there So he's not overpowering that is similar to what we saw in the big leagues earlier this year Holloway was doing a good job of suppressing hard contact. So again, philly's not a slam dunk But they're low salaried good enough spots good weather for today for hitting So I would if our ranking out value stacks, it would be The royals followed by the phillies and that does mean if we get some bad weather In the boston game We do still have value outlets via the phillies versus holloway for today. Finally if you're looking for one more stack I would check out the padres Again check back on weather with this one too because this is the riskiest weather game on the slate But they're facing vladimir gutierrez. He is still suppressing hard contact to an extent but Starting to let up some dingers The padres scored four runs against gutierrez two starts ago and now that game is in sincenady So they have some value here and I think that they do have some lower salar guys will mires tommy fans pretty low I also like transgression as well despite the fact he did not come through on our home run call last night So between the royals the phillies and the padres There should be enough value to get up to nola for today. And again, we also have straw toro Gouriel gritchick all those guys work out well So we should have enough value to get to the highest salary pictures for today without limiting themselves When it comes to the stacks. All right, let's do dinger picks for today As always one boring pick the chalk one and one fun pick The boring pick will be your don alvarez lefty facing matt harvey not the best Dinger conditions, but still think that alvarez is good enough to overcome that So your don alvarez the boring pick for today. The fun pick will be salar pares It's the pares versus pares matchup as he's facing martin pares. So I'll go salar pares or pares Should we do a double don call? Sure, why not over over one and a half home runs for salar pares for today against martin pares? We'll see if he's in there Hopefully he is obviously with a catcher yet You never know for sure If he's not in there we'll give an update Later on today in the q&a show for who will take his place in the dinger call It'd probably be randall gritchick if I can't go pares So if there's no pares, we'll go gritchick as the home run call for today But as mentioned we can talk more dingers today on the the q&a show That is on the fandall youtube twitch facebook and twitter pages at 4 p.m Make sure you are subscribed there. Make sure you stick around at 4 30 erin dolin will swing by and break down tonight's mba game Should be a pretty fun one three two series there So she'll break that down at 4 30. I am on air with the mlb dfs q&a at 4 p.m Today make sure you are subscribed on your platform of choice search for fandall on youtube twitch facebook or twitter Hit subscribe there and get your questions in later on today Also, make sure to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast because our pga breakdown For this week is already posted with myself and brandon gadulla Talking about the rocket mortgage classic talk about whether bryce and can repeat uh for this week at detroit golf club roster construction good good amount of value plays this week and more find that by searching for the number fire Daily fantasy podcast feed on apple podcast spotify stitcher google podcast or wherever you get your podcasts If you have questions for me. I am on twitter at gymsonus j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big. Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today Good luck to you tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow. This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network