 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, November 4th I'm chief meteorologist John Huntsworth for Longmont Public Media We have a last quarter moon coming out of the full moon on Halloween Sunday, November 8th Taking a look at drought conditions last week. We had pretty severe Drought about the worst drought you can get over the western slopes up in the Central Mountains and out on the Plains We got the snow and rain last week and that took a little notch out Along the front range and down in the southern part of the state. It's not much We need a lot more water consistently than that Looking nationally the long-term drought is kind of expanding Arizona four corners area out into West Texas and New Mexico Looking back just seven days Missing our last storm four Collins, Longmont Denver Colorado Springs high and dry a little bit of rain down You know the Oklahoma Panhandle area So the pattern that we have is we're back to the ridge The middle part of this week here, so we have temperatures reaching and exceeding record levels We almost broke 80 which would have been the first for the month, but They did stay in the upper 70s with this really strong rage It just keeps coming back air flows coming out of the West and then curving down into the Plains Behind this departing trough. That's what gave us clouds on Tuesday and a little bit of high Based rain that evaporated long before it reached the ground Looking at that moisture. We can see the Front time being swept along with that a little bit of topical moisture down south a little bit of Pacific moisture up north But it's not much right now the smoke forecast we saw some fires in Central California, but around here things are still very quiet We get a little bit of that smoke just coming around and past but for the most part We are breathing clean air again. It's nice to show this map Okay, looking out the next 10 days our normal high temperature at 57 drops pre dramatically to 52 just the next 10 days The low night normal is 29 dropping to 25 Here's our tremendously above normal temperatures growing here. This still doesn't do justice to it says 70 for Thursday Probably mid 70s up here. So yeah, this is Just doing what it was doing in the summer just a November version of it Then we get a cold front coming in on Saturday That gives us our first chance of showers and then the low kind of rotates around in the West We'll see that in just a moment and just bringing more cold air in and we actually go down to below normal So above to below normal and we stayed down there bottomed out for much of the next week quite chilly See high temperatures in the 30s and 40s It'll be colder on Monday than the ensemble showing another chance of rain there another chance of rain later in the week So this is good. This is good to get some cool air and moisture. We don't want anything to reignite up in the mountains So the pattern we're seeing for Monday for that big cool down is this big kind of sloppy trough plowing into the mountains and it kind of Hangs out here for a while. So we're not going to see a lot of change. This is tropical system Ada Doing a little scare on Florida there. It's going to try to stay under the ridge and you can see these kind of Easterly winds to the north of it. So I might loop back in take a look at that and see it coming off of Central America Heading over Cuba being to the Florida Keys And I'm probably going a little bit back to the Northwest into the Gulf, but it remains Pretty weak. That's tropical storm Strengths at this point on into Monday next week So take a look at the animation here. Here comes our trough for Friday into Saturday digging down to California and the Utah another lobe of it kind of rotating around here and then that starts to move in on Monday And there comes Tuesday the trough is starting to reconnect and move out Wednesday and then Wednesday noon here comes Thursday another trough comes in It's keeping its energy a little further north, but it's enough to give us that third batch of showers And we go on into Saturday the 14th middle of the month We got another trough under the ridge traveling past the state to the south So yeah, we're gonna get a little more activity and things to watch Unfortunately, there's not a lot of moisture. So if you take a look at the Future radar so to speak I see that the lobe comes in on Saturday Here's our first batch of showers from snow in the mountains That departs pretty quickly that second lobe forms and we get a little bit of showers in the mountain passing by on Monday into Tuesday Things dry out until that third passing system to the north brings a little bit of shower activity out, but it's not a big storm in any of these waves at this time Temperatures definitely drop though. You can see the above normal Pinks and reds right now going into the end of the week in a Saturday. Here comes the cold down the west coast Flooding straight east really strong cold front punching down on Monday And the whole states under Abnormally below I've been abnormally low temperatures going on to Wednesday next week Some really cold are up here in Canada than that spreads down for the Thursday Friday period and into Next weekend. So we're cooling down and we're gonna stay cold for a while So the next 10 days the amount of liquid precipitation that the GFS gives us along I-25 is pretty meager It's in the 500th of an inch to a quarter inch area You can see some great mountain in the western slope rains and we'll take that looking at snow They kind of robbed the lower elevations of snow Thinking that the temperatures may be too warm down at 5,000 feet or so But the mountains get some significant snow up here That's up to a foot in spots in the front range western slopes in the southern Rockies. So good news there Look at the next seven days. There's our abnormal heat going into Saturday We begin the cool down Saturday into Sunday Then the bottom drops out with 20s possibly as the high we may even see single digits It's a low. We'll see showers coming in Saturday night and then Maybe some snow rain mix through this time period We'll see a low that kind of cuts off like that as I said before can change How it interacts with our area and give us a lot colder and even tap more moisture than it looks like in some Model run so it could could be something more significant maybe more Snow here, but so I have to take a look at the Longmont leader For frequent weather updates to keep an eye on this system as it moves in and pattern changes This has been the weather forecast for Longmont and northeastern Colorado chief meteorologist John Insworth. Keep looking up