 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot. My name is Tom Vecchio with a loaded 14 game MLB DFS slate tonight It locks at 7 0 5 as always This is one of the many shows on the fainting podcast network You can find that anywhere whether it's iTunes SoundCloud Stitcher Google play make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe You could follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom before we hop into things listen up soccer fans This season fainting when captain Morgan are teaming up to give you a one-of-a-kind soccer contest Introducing the captain Morgan soccer pick-up a weekly fantasy contest That's entirely free to play the contest is simple all you have to do is make quick predictions for Saturday's games this soccer season And you'll earn points for each correct pick and compete for your chance to win up to $3,000 in prizes every single week So head over to fainting and enter the captain Morgan soccer pick-up today must be 21 plus 2 Participate for more details visit handle.com or download the fainting fancy app eligibility restrictions applied and don't forget to make your game day That much more delicious and sub in the captain All right, so jumping into this 14 at game MLB slate tonight again lock is set for 705 we do have course field on this slate In terms of weather on tonight's slate, we are pretty clear in terms of rain We do have a few spots with a bit of wind at ball the rays at Baltimore We see some wind blowing out about 10 miles per hour Which is obviously a bit of a boost to the bats there and what is already a good hitters park We have some potentially some strong wind also in Colorado a Stadium that is already fantastic for hitters. I don't know how much more of a boost those hitters need But we do have some potentially strong wind there. That's about it when it comes to weather this entire week Really we have been free of any real rain issues, which is good to see of course We'll circle back on the weather for the on the 4 p.m. At Q&A show Which you can find right here on the fable YouTube twitch and Facebook page Make sure to give those a like and follow so you know when we go live All right, so jumping into the pitching on tonight's slate Obviously a number of different options due to the fact that there are 14 games and right from the jump I will say that a lot of the pitchers on tonight's slate are they're good There's no one that's in a truly phenomenal spot Corbin burns comes in as the most expensive pitching option on tonight's slate sitting at $11,000 and without a doubt We can say that Corbin burns is the best pitcher on tonight's slate He's coming in with a phenomenal 36 strikeout rate this season a 4.7 walk rate is absolutely phenomenal A 50.6 ground ball rate. He's coming in with a 2.49 Sierra and a 2.19 x fit Which is absolutely unbelievable only allowing a 2.9 percent barrel rate. Absolutely phenomenal stats from him He is at home, which is a slight hitterspark and he is going up against the San Francisco Giants Which are a dangerous offense this year. They are either one or two in the league when it comes to the most home run So without a doubt Corbin burns is the best pitcher on tonight's slate He is just in a slightly tougher match up than we ideally like to see him Be it. I'm not saying I'm not going to be having some exposure to Corbin burns I certainly want to do but $11,000 against a tougher offense like San Francisco He has a few pros and cons going for him And that's ultimately what we can say about a lot of the pitchers on tonight's slate Hermand Marquez for Colorado is $9,900. He's pitching at home in Coors field and paying $10,000 for a pitcher in Coors field Can be a little bit too expensive for You know someone like myself and a lot of people out there, especially when we see Hermand Marquez coming out with a 25 strikeout rate. Generally, that's a little bit lower than You know a strikeout rate a little bit lower than what I'd like to see for a pitcher that is $10,000 We like to see him pushing close to or above 30% when we're paying it that much of our salary for You know a pitcher that's that expensive Now we have to combine that with the fact that he's at home in Coors field, which of course presents plenty of Now if he is going up against Miami, which is an easier matchup There's no doubt about it. But again, there's extra wind in Coors field So again another pitcher with a few pros and cons going for him We go to someone like Chris Bassett who is kind of shaping up to be one of my favorite pitchers on tonight's slate because he has a good combination of Park factor matchup salary all these sorts of things now $9,800 for Chris Bassett with a 24.9 strikeout rate again is slightly expensive So a minor con going against him, but he does have a solid 3.80 Sierra this year a 3.91 Except he's allowing mostly ground balls sitting at 42.9 percent and mostly medium contact at 56 percent medium contact with a very low 27.7 Hard contact rate only allowing 7.2 percent barrel rate this year He is going up against the texas rangers, which we know are a Vastly vastly depleted offense, especially after some of the trades that they made they're coming out They 24 strikeout rate this season versus righties with their active roster. That is 13th in the league We look to their iso versus righties with their active roster It's sitting at 141, which is 26th in the league and then we look to their wrc plus Which is sitting at 79 versus righties, which is 29th in the league This is also a game in oakland, which is a fantastic pitchers park So of all these top pitchers on tonight's slate Bassett is the cheapest only by $100 compared to hermon marquez But the park factor is so much more in favor for chris bassett combined with the fact that he's going up against a weak offense in texas This is not to say that miami isn't a weak offense It's just that the park factor is just so so much more in the favor of the marlins because they're at course field any Hitter or a group of hitters our team could have a good game at course field Now much of the same can be said for You know adam wainwright who I think is slightly expensive Going up against kansas city. Although the matchup is fine for adam wainwright. He is $9700 And when we look back over his past few starts He's only broken 40 thing two points one time and again. Do we want to be paying up? Uh, you know $9700 for a picture like adam wainwright who has a 22.9 percent strikeout rate Something that can potentially limit his overall upside, especially when kansas city has a 21.7 percent strikeout rate versus righties Which is the fourth lowest in the league. They're really not striking out a whole lot versus righty. So Adam wainwright. I think is in a fine spot tonight I just think he's a little bit too expensive given the entire context of the slate and listen the list goes on and on We could say the same thing for alec minoa for toronto who we know Has a strong strikeout rate this season again a smaller sample size because the blue jays called him up this year He is sitting at 29.2 percent which is no doubt very strong But he is going up against the boston bretsox. Yes an offense that has been struggling as of late But they still have plenty of power again, we can make pros and cons for A lot of the pitchers above $8,000 tonight, but ultimately i'm going to be leaning towards chris bassett It's probably my overall option on tonight's slate Do the combination of everything his salary the park factor the matchup all of these things is having him Really pushing towards the top. I will still have plenty of shares of corbin burns due to that phenomenal 36 strikeout rate this season And that's ultimately where I want to be going for The majority of my pitching it's going to be bassett and burns as my two top pitchers We'll circle back to pitching as we get to the final three things on tonight's slate But overall a lot of good pitchers on tonight's slate No one is truly standing out to be the number one overall option without a doubt I think we can make a case for a lot of different pitchers So those are the pitchers on tonight's slate as we flip to the hitting options on tonight's slate Of course, there are a number of different routes you can go. We do of course field on this slate Not going to be talking about the hitters there because I think that's a bit of a given We do see the astros as one of the as the top overall team in terms of implied run run total tonight sitting at 5.54 They you know a bit of a dud from them last night But I'll still be willing to go back to them tonight not don't want to talk about them specifically tonight But just want to note that they are one of the top projected offenses and will still be very popular on tonight's slate But the team I am very interested in rostering tonight. That would be the oakland athletics They are at home They're going up against Mike Fulton ebbage this season Mike Fulton ebbage is allowing 2.39 home runs per nine to righties with an 18 strikeout rate He's allowing 2.66 home runs per nine to lefties with a 14.3 strikeout rate We we flip to his batted ball profile and it's absolutely terrible Allowing a 39.7 fly ball rate to righties along with a 35.9 percent hard contact rate to righties He's allowing a 48.8 percent fly ball rate to lefties and a 41.5 percent hard contact rate to lefties These are absolutely terrible numbers For a pitcher and we have seen him Be burned by that and especially some of these recent games In his most recent start against Seattle, it wasn't too bad for him But going back against detroit toronto oakland and seattle he allowed three four three and two home runs Now we can look back even further and to see that he's allowed at least one home run in seven plus starts So this is absolutely a pitcher We want to be targeting for that potential home run upside We look to the oakland athletic, uh, the oakland athletics bats and we know that there's plenty of power In this lineup for both lefties and righties starting off matt olson is up at the top and despite uh him Looking solid in some of these recent games and his salary being a bit expensive This is absolutely a player that I want to be going to uh on tonight's later And ultimately is going to be one of my favorite overall options He comes in with a 244 iso this season, which is absolutely fantastic Seth ground is not far behind with a 239 iso Ramon lariano with a 208 iso and shawn murphy even with a 202 iso Of course, there are other options a little bit further down the line jid lorry not too bad with a 180 iso this season Matt chavin leads the way with a 50.9 fly ball rate this season versus right-handed pitching is absolutely phenomenal Seth brown again, not too far behind with a 49 fly ball rate The list goes on and on whether it be olson lorry even take some shots with Mitch moreland in a solid righty lefty matchup We look to the hard contact rate for a lot of these hitters and it's much of the same Shaping up to be a phenomenal spot for the oakland athletics going up against mike fulton evich A picture that is simply allowing way way too many home runs This is ultimately where we want to be going for some home run upside Uh on tonight's late to start things off We can then flip to the uh tampa bay raise as another potential spot for some home runs They're going against john means who looked like a solid pitcher earlier this season He then went on the i-l he came back and has since been struggling We also see some wind as i mentioned earlier at the beginning some wind blowing out in baltimore about 10 miles per hour We'll get an update on that at the 4 p.m Q&A but baltimore has already was already a good hitters parking out with some wind blowing out boost the bats even more We look to the splits for john means this season He is a left-handed pitcher and he comes in allowing 1.93 home runs per nine this season to right-handed hitters He does have a solid 25 strikeout rate a low 4 walk rate But we've certainly seen him struggle in some of these recent games and his 50 fly ball rate allowed to right-handed hitters Is certainly something that can potentially end bats and especially with that extra wind in baltimore So the combination of him allowing too many home runs to begin with The higher fly ball rate and the wind is something that we potentially want to be taking advantage of and we look back at his recent game log And he has really been struggling even before he went on the i-l when it came to home runs allowed 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 home runs allowed in his recent set of recent set of start So this is nothing new for john means despite flashing a higher strikeout potential in some of those starts We do know that the potential downside for him is also very high We look to someone like mike zuninu for the Tampa Bay raise the catcher who does come in with a very high 29.8 percent strikeout rate versus lefties, but he has a massive 473 iso in this split against left-handed pitching with a 217 WRC plus is absolutely crazy We can move a little bit further down the line with wander franca with the 286 iso randy aros arena with a 253 iso Taking some shots even with brandon law at 158 because if he's not going to be popular against John means due to being a lefty lefty matchup if they run john means out of the game We'll then get some potential upside going up against the baltimore orio's orio's bullpen Which is absolutely not something that we need to be afraid of The fly ball rate on some of these hitters is absolutely phenomenal mike zuninu 59 percent fly ball rate against lefties austin meadows 50.5 percent fly ball rate lau even in a lefty lefty split Is up there at 46.9 and randy aros arena is at 41 percent So the fly ball potential from tampa bay in the matchup against john means who's allowing No over 50 percent fly ball rate to to a righties In a park like baltimore with extra wind tonight can shape up to be a phenomenal hitting environment So the raise with their 5.40 implied run total tonight are absolutely a team I want to be targeting for that home run potential We look to some of the salaries on the Tampa Bay hitters and overall they're not super super expensive austin meadows randy aros arena branded lau and of course Nelson cruise who has recently added to their team of course plenty of righty lefty splits in his favor So the rays tonight offer a bit of everything that we need. They have power upside. They're not overly expensive They have a positive park shift. They have a high implied run total Yes, they might be a little bit chalky But this is a team that we know has plenty of power and has been known to explode for 10 plus runs at times So the Tampa Bay rays are shaping up to be One of my favorite options outside of course field tonight I think we can of course be going to the hitters at course field But Oakland and and Tampa Bay are really looking to be solid hitting options on tonight's slate Now the final stack that I want to pay attention to On the solo shot will be the San Diego Padres Now, of course, they are without Fernando Tatis, which potentially lowers their power upside overall But there still are other options in their lineup. We can be going to they are at home They're going up against Caleb smith for the arizona diamond backs This is absolutely a picture we can be looking to attack We look to Caleb smith's splits this season and we see him allowing 1.37 home runs per nine to lefties 1.64 home runs per nine to righties this season He has a 13.7 walk rate versus righties and an 8 walk rate against lefties certainly struggling there Allowing a 47 fly ball rate to lefties in a 51 fly ball rate to right-handed hitters this season Fly ball potential or the downside of fly ball potential against the lineup like the Padres Is not something that you want to be messing around with again No Tatis, but we still have plenty of options in this lineup We can be going to let off of course by Manny Machado a player that we can be trusting in all formats with a 225 iso this season Even look to add in some shares of Tommy fan Trent Grisham and Eric Eric Cosmer. Yes, again another hitter in a lefty lefty matchup But I'm not going to be too worried about the diamond backs bullpen if we do see Caleb smith run out of the game early You can even filter in some shares of will Myers austinola Drake jake Cronenworth whoever it might be we also see a good spread of salaries on this team Yes, Manny Machado and Cronenworth are expensive at four thousand thirty seven hundred dollars But dropping down a bit further to take someone like will Myers at 2400 or austinola at 2100 Provides a bit of salary relief We can use on this slate considering there are other expensive stacks that we absolutely want to be paying up for So the three main hitting stacks that i'm going to be targeting tonight outside of course field will be the athletics The Tampa Bay Rays and the San Diego Padres I think that they are all in phenomenal spots, of course we could circle back on some other teams at the 4 p.m Q&A show because of course there are A number a number of other teams in good spots The Yankees are still at home. We could be looking there. We're actually looking to the Cleveland Indians The Cincinnati Reds There are a number of teams that we should be focusing in on tonight Now the final three things on tonight's slate want to take a look at Again, there are a number of pitching options on the slate that all have a few positives and negatives going for them I think we can make a case for a number of different pitchers, whether it be Awade Miley, whether it be Zach Brinkie, whoever might be I'm interested in Kyle molar the left-hander from the Atlanta Braves. He comes in at 7700 dollars tonight This is his first year in the majors He only has a 29.2 any sample size. So of course we have to take that with a bit of brain of salt He is flashing a 27 strikeout rate so far in his major league career, which is good He does have a 12.3% walk rate Presenting a bit of a downside or potential downside from him He's only allowing a 5.5 percent barrel rate, which is interesting the 48.6 percent fly ball rate is a bit concerning But he does have a 58.9 percent medium contact rate So if you can keep the ball down flash that high high strikeout potential while limiting the walks it can You know prove to be a good balance of point per dollar value while providing some upside He's going against the Washington nationals certainly a team with a depleted lineup And he's only 7700 dollars So if the high strikeout potential is going to be there against a weaker national's lineup This is a picture that I'll have some interest in Considering he's only 7700 dollars allowing lineup construction to be that much easier when we're looking to pay up from some pay up for some expensive Stacks on a loaded 14 games late. Of course, there are a number of other pictures I can touch on at the 4 p.m. Q&A show I assume we'll have a pretty diverse spread of options Once we get some confirmed starting lineup seeing what the teams are actually going to be rolling out there So Kyle molar is the other picture. I want to take a look at tonight As we get there. I also wouldn't hate taking a shot on the Cincinnati Reds against tonight We know we saw some upside for them Another team that can circle back on tonight for that potential Home run upside. I think again still at home. We can be looking there for another stack. I also wouldn't hate taking a shot on We'll come back on the marlins. I want to take a shot on there the Milwaukee Brewers at home I have a little bit of interest in depending on what they do with their lineup And then potentially the Baltimore Orioles going up against Ryan Yalburro The Orioles have you know a bit of home run upside in their lineup Specifically with right-handed haters like Trey Mancini, Ryan Mountcastle and Austin Hayes I wouldn't hate going to them as a three-man stack going up against Yalburro Who's allowing 1.42 home runs per nine this season So the raise in Orioles that could be shaping up to be a bit of a game stack Especially due to the fact that we're seeing the extra wind blow there Blow out in Baltimore So there are plenty of options on this slate and it really covers a wide range of options Expensive stacks some mid stacks some hopefully under the radar stacks that we can be finding of course We have Coors field on the slate providing plenty of home run upside Of course in that match up We'll circle back on plenty of pictures because a lot of them are again very close on tonight's slate I assume a lot of people have questions. I can answer those At the 4 p.m Q&A show Just differentiating between a lot of them because a lot of them are close in salary A lot of them are again having a few positives and negatives going for them and it can be tough to differentiate So we'll circle back on that and then finally the home run call the first home run call for tonight That's gonna be Matt Olson. I touched on him In this match up going up against Mike Fulton average massive fly ball numbers from Matt Olson Great hard contact from him as well and Mike Fulton average Simply allowing way too many home runs and way too much hard contact to both lefties and righties this season The potential home run upside for The athletics night is fantastic. So Matt Olson will be my top home run call on tonight's slate Just phenomenal splits going up against Mike Fulton average All right, so I will be back at 4 p.m Here on the feindle youtube twitch and facebook page to take your questions As always you can find this podcast along with many others on the feindle podcast networking find it on iTunes SoundCloud stitch your google play make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe You can follow me on twitter at dfs underscore tom until next time. Good luck in your contests