 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network Super Bowl 57 week is Finally here We are less than one week from the game Which means it is time to break down this game as in depth as we possibly can throughout this week four separate shows breaking down Super Bowl 57 beginning here today. We're gonna have Joe Strauss-Gian and we're gonna have Joe on because I Know my weaknesses as a better. I am not creative I do not understand exotic markets at all. So Joe does we're gonna Joe on pick his brain around all the weird fun Props you can bet for this year's game and get you set for Super Bowl 57 This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire comm My name is Jim Sannis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire comm joined here as mentioned by Joe Ostrowski Check him out on Twitter at Joe Ostrowski and find him live this week on Beck QL daily From Glendale, Arizona broadcasting not too far from the stadium Joe Appreciate the time for today. How you doing? Fantastic, it's a little chilly here right now at the moment Jim. It's only 61 degrees and sunny I was hoping for 70 it looks like oh the right wait Friday 76. Oh, it's looking good Well, you know, I'm in Chicago. So yeah, I Reached that point in the winter. I'm like, all right. Why do I live here again? I hate this you've dealt with that in the past when you were over at Northwestern like once you get to January February like is there any end in sight? But the problem is Joe I Experienced this last year Fandall had their World Fantasy football championship in Scottsdale And I was in Syracuse at the time and because I was going from Syracuse in December to Scottsdale I didn't check the weather. I was like, hey, you know, it's the desert. It's gonna be warm It's me warmer than Syracuse. I'm just gonna pack some shorts and stuff. I forgot that it's a desert and Didn't account for how cold the nights get so One of my like coldest experiences of my life was in Scottsdale that weekend because I didn't pack accordingly So did you at least like pack appropriate things for desert nights or are you as dumb as I am I? Did not probably not as much as they should have they kind of hit me When I was checking in about how long I'm here. It's just like, all right, we've got you for five nights I was like, oh crap. I'm really here five nights. Yeah, I it was a bit alarming when We left 530 a.m. Local time to go over to the sportsbook to do the show. It's like, oh, I need my coat I'm like, but I didn't really plan for this But thankfully I brought like I brought pairs of jeans and hoodies unlike you I had to like try to buy a fandal hoodie and they ran out like they they sold out because it was so cold And it's like genius marketing obviously, but like I'm the idiot who like didn't get there in time So I just froze and I like they had like two concerts one was Nelly the other one was someone I don't know some other person after that and I left I went to Nelly I I suffered through that to watch Nelly because I'm a millennial But like, you know, I couldn't stick for the second one because I just I just I flopped it man, you know Nice where the St. Louis it takes in I Was fine. It's a good time. I definitely enjoyed that So we're gonna talk to Joe about all the weird markets You can bet for Super Bowl 57 because like I said, this is not my strength and we've got four or five days talk about this game So I wanted to talk to Joe get his thoughts on the exotic markets for this for this week We'll talk some Anthem stuff will talk halftime, but also, you know, like MVP markets and stuff like that We'll dive into that and get Joe's thoughts on those in just one second But first you're a minor to make sure you're subscribed to covering this spread wherever you get your podcasts as mentioned for separate Super Bowl 57 shows this week Jay-Jay Zachary since Maro Pamela Maldonado on Wednesday Ryan Williams Thursday all breaking down various aspects of this game getting their thoughts and how to bet this game and where to find value at Fandals sportsbook and elsewhere. We'll put those up on On the covering the spread podcast feed and on the Fandal YouTube page after the fact So make sure you're subscribed wherever you get your podcasts Get a piece of ten million dollars in bonus bets with Fandals kick of destiny All you have to do is bet five dollars on Super Bowl 57 And if Gronk kicks a field goal live during the game, you'll get a piece of ten million dollars in bonus bets It doesn't matter if you knew to Fandal or already have an account Gronk kick you in It's as simple as that so don't miss out on the kick of destiny on Fandal America's number one sportsbook Just place any five dollar bet on the Super Bowl get a piece of ten million dollars in bonus bets Then tune in live during the game to see Gronk's kick of destiny make every moment more fandal Official sportsbook partner of the NFL must be 21 plus in select States Minimum five dollar wager required award may vary minimum five dollars projected max twenty dollars Bonus award issued is non-lethrable bonus bets that expired seven days All participants are eligible for bonus award Restricts and applies see full terms at fandal.com slash sportsbook gambling problem call 1 800 gambler Or visit fandal.com slash RG in Arizona one hundred next step protects an acceptify 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 7 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Indiana 1809 with it in Kansas and Wyoming one hundred five two two forty seven hundred or ks gambling health calm Louisiana is one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in the Maryland MD gambling health org in West Virginia one eight hundred gambler net and in New York One eight seven seven eight hope and wire text hope and why Joe I can tell you're a pro because you took the time as I was Doing the disclaimer to take off your credentials. You knew you had the full two or so minutes or whatever to take a comfy And I appreciated it I just want to let you know that I I saw the pro in you coming out right there Well, I well I saw myself in the video. I'm like you look like an idiot. Why is this thing still around your neck? So I see that off you saw idiot I saw pro continent professional Joe Straski showing up in in the flesh right there In that moment for sure you can tell you posted a show for a sportsbook before I get it I mean the reality is that I was just sitting here thinking they that one Jim Sonness has gotten too big time For me like with with the impressive open He's got all the reads and the sponsorships. You're doing all these shows every week having great guests, right? Williams Pam Aldenado It's it's too much for me. It's a little too much for me to handle So it's getting a little hot and bothered so I had to take a seat a lot The this is why you're the more professional than me if I were thinking I would have I would have gotten a reunion between you and Ryan because You and you know that you've worked together. I should have thought about that and I didn't I dropped the ball Well, I guess I'll have my show tomorrow sounds okay I love that I love it Okay, so let's dive in here and talk about the chiefs and the Eagles Super Bowl 57 as we pull up the odds here over at Fandall Sportsbook and Joe Obviously we're gonna talk about the intricate props in a second but the way you view the overall game is going to play a role in how you view the prop market too because you can kind of make take those assumptions and Relay them into the prop market as well. So when you look at this game overall What's your view of cheese versus Eagles? Sure, and to your point you could like one specific angle and think yeah Oh, there's a prop that fits that or you can find six or seven props that fit any specific angle If you don't like the price on a particular one First off, I think I know it's not the biggest move because we're not talking about going through key numbers But it is certainly notable to me that the odds makers came out and Almost all of them in agreement and they said the chiefs are the better team Once we got our Super Bowl matchup and then the early betters in the first 15 minutes meaning the sharper betters They came in and said no you guys are wrong. The Eagles are the better team. They should be favored We're gonna bet it now since it's a Super Bowl and in many cases. They're allowing 20k per bet A pop there they kept betting it until they made the Eagles the favorite I find that fascinating that they've lined up on different sides and over the past week I've heard a number of bookmakers come out and say not say hey We're lining up with the chiefs. They came out and said we were wrong. We hung a bad number Because there is so much respect for the betting market. So I think that's fascinating another really interesting angle I don't know how you feel about this now. I'll give you a pick on the game, but do I have a This the strong opinion that I do on some of these props No, and it's one of those events where you have over a thousand options you Literally have over a thousand options that if you don't have a strong opinion, you think it's a complete coin toss You don't have to bet the side. You really don't there are a number of ways that you can attack this The health and the amount of information that we get this week will be interesting on both quarterbacks And of course the chiefs receivers with juju and hard men in Tony and what what happens there The most interesting aspect That I find in these in these games in these seasons that these two teams have put together Let's look at the biggest strength for the chiefs. We all know what it is that the guy on Thursday That's gonna be named the NFL MVP. You got Pat Mahomes and then you have an Eagles defense that has a fantastic resume But they haven't faced good quarterbacks this year Like I'm sorry some Eagles fans are sick of saying it like oh, you're not giving them enough credit No, you didn't plenty of credit But this is also part of the story that they had one of the easiest paths that we've ever seen to a Super Bowl and in a one-armed man in Purdy and Josh Johnson out there and before that it was Daniel Jones And it and really if we want to go back over the last three months It wasn't just those quarterbacks that they faced. We're talking about Webb and Dalton And Dak who led the league in an interceptions this year and Justin Fields and Daniel Jones again and Tannehill before getting injured He did face Rogers, but also Matt Ryan Heineke mills those are all the quarterbacks. They've gone against for the last three months So you have a chief strength and a really good Eagles defense, but they haven't faced quality quarterback play And then you have the biggest strength of the Eagles is Is I they're strong everywhere. I mean the roster is so deep What howie-rosman has put together just awesome to make another Super Bowl run But I think we'd all agree that the rushing offense including Hertz is a strength of that team and can the Kansas City Defense has played is faced only one top ten rushing offense according to DVOA and that was San Francisco So I look at the strengths of each of these offenses and the defense is well somewhat impressive To a lesser extent Kansas City, but they haven't been in this position So I understand why there's been a lot of play on the over early on this week Yes before a play I'm probably not going to bet it But I would pick I do pick Kansas City But as we already mentioned, I'm gonna be more focused on some of the other ways to bend the game So is part of your hesitancy on the cheese We're like is is is part of that because you respect the market like the bookmakers do Where we saw that sharp money come in and on the Eagles and that tells you that hey these people who are investing lots of money and betting right-of-hitch which is generally a sign of like, you know How tuned in you are and stuff like that. Does that hesitancy make you or does that? Information make you more hesitant to bet the cheese and go into other markets with this game a Little bit. Yeah, but more of it. I is the health. Yeah, the health of these quarterbacks We saw hurts the shoulder is still not a hundred percent from when he was injured playing Chicago And he ended up missing a couple of games He's still hobbled and then my homes the interesting thing about my homes is For him to come back off the high ankle that we all know was not a high ankle that they were playing up that a little bit but How is he at the end of that game? If they if the chiefs had another series, how would my homes have looked he was telling the chick like he Was shoved out about play. Yeah, right. Yes. He was when he was shoved out about Do you think he could have gone out there for another series? Probably but what would he have looked like he would look like that next game where he's hopping on one foot Yeah, probably I agree with it. So we really we really don't know now. I Had also add that once we get to Sunday That's gonna be a little over three weeks from the injury right and for your high ankles They usually say four to six weeks. So he should be good But how much did did the game on championship Sunday heard him? So I'd say more about the the health of the quarterbacks is Is on that and then I'll I mean I can't get past the strength of schedule. I'm sorry They took care of business. They squash teams all year But that's the other part where I'm a little hesitant Not so much the Super Bowl experience because we've learned over the years that that just hasn't mattered as much But I'd say it's more about The Eagles not facing high-level offense is all season So part of the hesitation here is around the help the quarterbacks we go to the MVP market over on Fandle and right now you've got Mahomes of plus 130 Hertz of plus 130 as well And if we are skeptical of the health of the quarterbacks that could open a value elsewhere in the market So Joe, do you see anything you like here in the MVP market or you stay away from that one? I was so annoyed last week with the MVP market because I Understand why this was the case. I just strongly disagreed with it and I'll get into that in a second most sports books had Hertz as the favorite and I understand the idea Team that's favored the favorite for the MVP has to be the starting quarterback I get all that. I thought that was more on it and I think the the market is Pretty dead on right now. So the Eagles are favored one and a half But the MVP number is the same for both starting quarterbacks both quarterbacks MVP contenders all season long the reason that I was annoyed is just When we paint a picture of how the MVP is won when you look at the Kansas City side And if they're gonna win the game, how many players can legitimately win the MVP? I think those days when we were growing up watching the NFL where you would see these outlier performances like the other Yesterday Before jumping on the flight I got lost in NFL Network when I was supposed to be packing because they were doing that the half-hour recap the highlights of every Super Bowl Yep, and I was like late 90s to early 2000s I was like these guys are never winning MVP the likes of Dexter Jackson. That's not happening at Larry Brown That's not happening anymore. It's Quarterback two of the last four years We've seen that the number one receiver meaning the volume guy and then once in a while We're gonna see an edge Russia I would think but outside of that it's very very difficult and I was a knowing that Hertz was a favorite because I Think we can tell the story where a number of Eagles win if it's not the quarterback You could go to Davante you could go to AJ Brown. It's been a long time since a running back I think to roll Davis was the last one about 25 years ago But maybe Miles Sanders if he had a crazy good game and then Hassan Reddick has been on the tear What about sweat? Harvick they were third all time in the regular season in sack So one of those past rushers on the Eagles could certainly win I mean I just rattled off, you know, seven eight guys and on the chief side I think it's three. I think it'd be from Holmes Kelsey or Chris Jones and that that's the list for me So what I did is Championship Sunday that morning. I was like look I I did have a lot of conviction that it was going to be the Eagles and the Chiefs in the Super Bowl So I bet on that Sunday morning Kelsey at 28 Davante at 50 and Chris Jones at 125 So I do think there is some value in the market and you know when Nick Foles was the Super Bowl winning quarterback He was four to one I don't know that we're ever going to see something like that and that's clearly not the case here Like then there would be value on the quarterback But I just don't see it and it's a coin toss game or plus 130 on both sides I would take a look at some of the players that I just mentioned Kelsey Davante Chris Jones You think AJ Brown's gonna have his first big performance in the playoffs. We have not seen yet He would be worth a look too because those receivers I think voters are understanding how much how much more impactful they now are in games And they're giving them an a legitimate chance at winning this award And I think the gap between Davante Smith and AJ Brown is the most important part there like it shouldn't be that big No, AJ Brown 18 to one diva Davante Smith 31 to one you look at their market shares Even if you include week one Then pretty even I know that AJ Brown is at the edge Justifiably, but like you're talking about a one game sample is AJ Brown actually Twice as likely to win as Davante Smith Probably not you could say AJ Brown is overvalued based on that but you can also say that Davante Smith is undervalued I think that there are two separate ways of doing that potentially I think that the point about like can you Realistically tell yourself a story where this guy is MVP That's that's the process you have to undergo before you can actually bet something like this I think that's an important thing to mention here for sure. I Think we have learned in recent years Jim and this is something that I would have argued against As recently as four years ago But I think what we have learned is even if you have the idea of a receiver being the MVP Oh, well if they do get two touchdowns in a hundred yards, somebody's throwing it, right? Well Brady didn't get it over Edelman, right, right? So last year Stafford was it was a great story and Cooper Cup ends up getting it over Matthew Stafford So we are learning that that these receivers even if you have a great quarterback You know I use great loosely with Stafford there But even if you have a really good a great quarterback, it doesn't mean it's automatically going to go to the quarterback It could go to that receiver. Yeah for sure I was thinking back you're talking about the running back stuff and it's been 25 years or whatever I was thinking back to the Chiefs first win Damian Williams should have won it and did not and I like Isaiah Pacheco at 50 to 1 this week But that is in my mind Williams having that monster game and not winning it that that's that's present that thought It's it's present. I've got I've got one for you too, which is why okay We'll talk about Pacheco in a few minutes, but this is why I'm when people bring up running back I'm like shut up you're wasting your money because I had James white when he scored three touchdowns including the game-winning touchdown for the Patriots You know and it still ended up going to Brady. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I I don't blame you there So you mentioned Pacheco. There are a lot of other props here available We got some like weird ones like with the on-field product by Fandall has a Lot of different stuff available for don't bet the coin toss I'm just gonna say that like don't bet the coin toss save your money. Don't pay the 2% holds idiot tax on that one, but yeah, I know I know what else you got as far as like on-field stuff or props for Super 57 I've got a bunch, but as long as you got you have the specials on the screen right now so I want to jump to that and I understand why it has long odds, but I've I Talked about this one on the show last week and it is so damn tempting and I understand why the odds are long Pacheco 50 plus receiving yards and a touchdown can be rushing more received. That's still 14 to 1 there, right? There it is. I see it All right Look, he had a he was involved in the pass game last week. He's not a big Pass catching running back that's been proven throughout the year I believe the highest number of targets. He was getting was three, but last week It was six. He caught five of them. He was certainly involved. You never know week-to-week. It's gonna be rushing or receiving. I Couldn't resist Jim at 14 to 1 yeah at 14 to 1 For a game that is projected to have a number of touchdowns and I just need 50 plus receiving yards, which he hit last week right Maybe some dump-offs pressure from this Eagles front at 14 to 1. I just couldn't pass up and I understand I understand that that it could end up being a McKinnon game And it was last year. He led the playoffs all the playoffs in rushing yards but Yeah, it was Pacheco last time he was getting all the usage and I couldn't help myself. What do you think? I think that's fair because you mentioned the six targets that was double his previous high His snap rate was the highest it's been since McKinnon had a big game against the Broncos Well, that seemed to shift things a lot The only like little bit of uncertainty that I have is Clyde Edwards you layer Activated from my art today. I don't think he'll have a role. I I feel pretty okay saying that that CEH will not have a role this game but There's always a possibility like it's a 5% chance which lowers the odds hits by a little bit at least So I think that that weighs in my mind I think that his red zone Pacheco's red zone rolls better than perception got about 27% red zone share On the game the CEH out are limited like I said six targets they get him pretty creative targets and like This is part of my thought process with Pacheco in the conference championship was okay McKinnon is awful when they're in shotgun. He can't run I mean most most running backs are worse in shotgun McKinnon success rates like 24 percent Whereas Pacheco gets worse in shotgun his success rate goes like 47 percent, but it's like it's still very good So if they need more shotgun heavy with my home's banged up then that benefits Pacheco snap rate the concern I have is CEH being back my home's healthier now Which means they could go under center more if they want to so I'm on board with Pacheco very broadly I took What was it? I think I took his receiving yardage proper like 15 and a half and give us the just the receiving yardage prop I think that this is because these two actually correlate together because if he busts off a long reception that could lead to a touchdown Which case you could check both in one place. I actually think that's an interesting number for sure Don't you the total yards is getting out of control. Yeah, I was considering it, but we're at 68 and a half 70 some places Yeah, yeah, it feels like you're getting some security, but not not really when the numbers that high I think the running back usage on both sides is Fascinating yeah, because you have Pacheco Is he gonna be get the majority of the work again and then on the eagle side the gain well number is probably gone You know it feels like it like okay great. You did you perform given more opportunity? That's wonderful. Yeah, we were up by four touchdowns So is what we expect to be a tightly contested game is gain Well, even going to get those sorts of opportunities. So the running back usage on both sides very interesting I'll go through a few other few other props. I have I'm the KC side Travis Kelsey and if we get any bad news with those receivers the receiving yards prop is probably gonna jump We're at 78 and a half right now And that just happened to be the exact number he had in the AFC championship game of 78 But if we look over the last couple of years I'm not trying to be game log guy here, but look I mean who else does my home's trust right now and over the last couple of years even when Tyreek was there We're looking at most recent games 98 95 96 108 133 118 109 I mean he's going to trust Kelsey and if you want an any time touchdown It's near even money depending where you look. So I don't think that's a problem First touchdown for chiefs games. I believe it was Kelsey in nine out of 19 games If you're looking for some better odds there, so I like the Kelsey over on the yardage over 78 and a half I think tight ends are interesting the Goddard number is bumping up and I think for good reason 49 and a half he he's gone over his receiving prop and 10 of 14 games You can attack this to defense over the middle. They gave up the second most Touchdown to the air over the middle in the NFL Goddard props I like son reddick has been on a tear man, and he's gonna be opposite Wiley who has Was the most penalized offensive tackle this year Okay, and we've got cheffers roughing this game who loves to throw flags I I just think reddick I was too shocked at some of these props Jim Because if you go well reddick have more sacks and Chris Jones, I know you look at me like oh boy I don't know that's gonna be tough. I'd put them fairly close, but the numbers plus 190 on reddick to get more Reddick against Frank Clark. It's plus 125 So I I think reddick I mentioned him as possible a long shot MVP Like I could see that one getting home my E.P. Paul Aspen on BQL daily He bet reddick at the start of the playoffs 250 to 1 I really wish I had that A couple others that I'm looking at as we roll through the props you know both these offense offense is one of the Biggest narratives we always get is when Andy Reed has extra time to prepare and there's a reason we bring it up I mean on the script. They're always fantastic off the buy now facing a better defense I I understand that but you also have a an Eagles team that always gets off the fast starts number one all year long It's scoring in the first half at over 18 points per game In fact, these are these two teams are one and two in the NFL and first half points So will a team score in the first six minutes is plus money and that surprised me I know typically get slower starts with Super Bowls, but I saw in that plus 115 plus 120 range some sort of score I I could see that so I was looking at that and and again like you can correlate these all sorts of ways You can do team totals in the first quarter in the first half or game totals all sorts of stuff But those are the props that jump out to me early in the week. Yeah, the scoring prop. I believe first six minutes That's interesting because it's so hard to generate a score that quickly And that's why you always see first quarter totals being super super low and stuff like that, but I Think that's kind of accounted for a plus 118. It's a very high hold market Here yeah, that's always important to keep in mind But I don't mind that given the things you outlined as far as the way these two teams operate early in games Yeah, there's it's it's gonna be interesting like if this if it starts slow Yeah, I wonder what how close we are gonna get to that total, right? It's yeah, it's gonna be fascinating I want one of the more popular bets and I didn't give it out because it's just juice so heavily to the second half you have two teams that start quickly but One of my favorite bets I do most years, but now I see the juice is gone is which half will be higher scoring If you bet the second half you also get overtime, but I mostly see that juiced at minus 130 now it used to be even money and then it was a then it was a really good bet especially if you have a team chasing something like that, but There'll be a lot of interesting things about this also we hurts has not trailed in a game since November, you know What happens if he's down double digits to my home? Right, yeah, we haven't seen them have to push for four quarters in a long time And I think that's an important thing to remember too. So a lot interesting ways to play that one I think the the The erratic props are very interesting because if you want to bet the MVP like you said, I think that's that's probably I think the value is gone there. I think that you want to look for the sack markets Like you mentioned I think those are if you want action on It's on reddit. I think those be the preferred ways for me to go it would be the sack numbers You talk about the sack versus numbers I think those be my preferred route for doing that especially given It's it's him versus a lot of chiefs guys and the chiefs guys are facing a really really tough offensive line Which is a tough match for them. Hmm. All right, Joe. Let's open it up school yard nonsense if you are looking for halftime props you are looking for Anthem props things that I'm gonna leave on you Joe because I don't know so when you're looking at the full plethora of things You've got to your disposal disposal here. We're also using value for betting this game All right. All right, just tell me when when you want me to shut up. So Chris Stapleton Two minutes five seconds I'm very annoyed today because I kind of set the scene and I explained to you how the security Everywhere and it's hard to get close to the stadium. Yeah, so my my dream gym was oh my god I'm gonna be broadcasting all week all week from right outside the stadium. It's right next door I'm going to be able to hear On Thursday, this is all along con you took, you know, you were like, hey back you well send me to the Super Bowl. I Yeah, I think we should be there on radio row when in actuality is because you wanted to scout out soundcheck That's that's true, right? Yeah radio rows over in Phoenix the stadiums in Glendale Well, we don't need those other people they can have me to roll all themselves It's a dome. Am I gonna be able to hear it? I don't know And it's good. I'm I'm on edge about this. I don't know if I'm going to be able to hear the rehearsal So we'll see Stapleton is set at two minutes and five seconds The number has not moved over the past week. It is juiced to the over right now Everybody who I know is a Chris Stapleton fan and that I keep asking. They're like over over over I'm like, well, you know, what is he really gonna make it about him? You know, he might think hey It's it's it's about the country. It's about the game. Like it's not about me. They're like trust me I've seen him in concerts so many times over over over. Well, the last time we saw over 205 Was a couple years ago when it went to 17. I was looking in the last 13 the the only The amount of times that we've seen it go gone over two minutes of five seconds is three out of the last 13 years So don't just think oh well, he's gonna drag it out. He's gonna do a solo whatever with this guitar I don't know that's really long But everybody I talked to that that for fans of Stapleton that watch him Like he's going over that number. So I don't know I'll check after the rehearsal Hopefully I can hear and I got to find a way to get to get right to get over there and and hear that But I don't know so what else is going on with that? Oh, there's a bet on on the hat Like my first thought without knowing much about him was oh black But but black was the the big underdog It was any other color is in big favorite I believe minus 600 and then if you do a quick Google images search, you're gonna see oh, yeah Every picture is in brown. He's wearing a brown hat all the time. So that's probably gonna be the same So you understand why that's the favorite. Okay, who's shown first? during the anthem During the anthem who's gonna be shown first? Travis Kelsey Jason Kelsey Travis Kelsey is the favorite big-mouth guy, you know, everybody knows who he is bigger star fine. That makes sense Split screen is 10 to 1 Jim. There we go. There we go Split screen Travis and Jayce Kelsey. Also, this is the Andy Reid bowl. It is pretty close And which head coach is shown first? Why would they show Siriani before they show Andy Reid that wouldn't make any sense to me Reads minus 130. I don't think that's that bad. It's a little bit of juice, but it's the Andy Reid Bowl one of the big narratives, okay? You know tied in with the anthem. I find it interesting. There's no value here, but I just it's a talking point Will a scoring drive Be less than the length of the national anthem. Yes. Yes is minus 300 Now I do think it's gonna happen whether we're talking about you don't think that we'll have a scoring drive less than two minutes Well Feel go end of first half or end of the game. I mean you can be like a yeah And like you think of a turnover like in you know, plus territory stuff like that 300's a lot though. It is. No, I'm not the know. Let's know You think no, would you bet no? I so if I'm thinking about it Well, if it's minus 300 that probably means like given the the whole knees markets It's probably like plus 150 because they hate us But 250 I give it thought I doubt I really doubt it's there based on the whole these markets, but I would consider it for 250 Gatorade, I mean we're still so far a number of days away from the game almost a full week And I feel like the value's gone on Gatorade because the favorite was plus 350 plus 400 and I'll tell you Which one's for good reason, but now you look at the Gatorade and it's like okay orange is where are we? Yeah, okay, I'll tell you why yellow green Yellow slash green slash lime is the favorite at plus 150 The reason being that uh, the Eagles just celebrated with that and they're the favorite in the game Now at the chief slash Super Bowl They they dumped and you read with orange and that's why that's the second favorite a plus 250 But like a week or so ago both of these were in the three to one four to one range So I mean These are the only color combos that people are even talking about because they've seen it Maybe we should go off the board. I was talking about this. I'm back. You'll do it Are we sure that whatever they have on the sideline is in all of those Gatorade containers because I would think that Different players have different preferences on the flavors And I would think they have like every flavor and they're just marked and it's kind of random Which one they grab? I don't know. I don't know. I just so take advantage of the variants basically I might go long shot. I I always think purple gets disrespected. I drink purple Gatorade Maybe that's why I feel that way. I just don't understand why people hate grape so much It's always the long shot. Maybe there's a little bit of value In that market now. I know you you throw it to me. You want me to talk about these exotics? It basically is what you're saying if you don't want to say it So you want joe's drowsy to come out here and say that does he have action on rihanna exposed butt cheek Does he have action on rihanna rihanna nip? It's out there jim. These are things we can bet on Okay um, I'm I'm not going to mess around we haven't it's tough because She hasn't performed on a tour in so long. Yeah, we don't know any kind of a set list. What's rihanna going to do gear? Yeah, um, and she's got her own I think she's got her own clothing line and makeup and all this stuff She could do anything. So I'm not messing around with Eyeshadow lipstick Hair color staying away from that stuff not doing exposed this or that What are the house rules on exposed butt cheek like what percentage like how would you really want me to read this? I don't if it's actually there. No, I desperately do not There are it is there. There are rules. There's rules on cleavage And but you know in the end far too many house rules tabs have passed Whatever many years where I just like I don't I don't want it anymore. I'm just done. Okay. Okay Here's what is interesting. So at number of songs Yeah I saw this last week at 10 and a half Jim we're eight and a half now. Oh Is there a set list out there? That's what it makes me think that we're down to eight and a half I would think just how quickly they they go through these songs playing 30 seconds to a minute That that would go over but I I find that to be interesting right now the favorite for first song Is don't stop the music which I kind of understand that's minus 160 I would rather bet that as a last song at plus 200 But when I see one of her many hits being minus 160 makes me think somebody knows something Um, but I I do think there's More value on this is what you came for, you know featuring Calvin Harris, you know all about that plus 400 That's pretty good. She's got to start with a song that everybody knows. So you think diamonds umbrella Those are in the five to one six to one range. So uh, so that's that's where I'm looking there But don't stop the music I understand it's get you get you moving minus 160 God when she's got so many chart hoppers when you see one at minus money Six days out. It makes you think that somebody got work Yeah, I I have a Terrible process when it comes to because we do like a prop betting contest at our Super Bowl party each year and like I'll look at the markets if the markets don't tell me what I should pick I will go to their Spotify and just see like, okay, which songs do I recognize? So I'm bad at this Don't stop the music would not be my first My first thought there So I guess I'm surprised like I kind of in line in line where if it's minus 160 It says probably what you need to know Probably but don't you think that's a good song to end with? Kind of yeah based on the actual lyrics, you know, like yeah a little bit Yeah, yeah, I don't know and this is what you came for Isn't that a good opener? Yeah, I think so. I think that's great Plus 400 I think it's even better now if it's plus 400. It sounds fantastic to me. You know, I think that's perfect Yeah What else is what else is uh novelty some of the stuff I haven't seen much commercial stuff posted yet. Yeah Do they have a betting lineup for if Gronk will make the kick of destiny yet? Um, they might have Vanduul, but I don't know if they can't legally Yeah He's so can you explain that I I've seen the ads I've heard the ads heard on the show Yeah, what exactly is going to happen with Gronk? He's going to kick a 25-yard field goal during the game live Like they're going to cut to him like in the commercial break And he's going to kick a 25-yard field goal if he makes it they give out 10 million In total bets or total like free bets and like that to everyone who plays a five-dollar wager on the game so like Basically the betting market would be Will Gronk make a 25-yard field goal in like in the commercial I think he probably will I think yes, he's practiced. Do you think he's practiced? I've seen the commercial you think so. It's in commercials of him practicing. Come on. Come on. Of course. He's practiced And like but it's also wrong So he comes off as being unserious, but I think he cares secretly secretly So I think he actually I think he's actually been practicing I respect him as an athlete He's had some time off to get healthier. I if I'm if I'm setting markets here, joe. I'm putting yes at 25 yards I'll do minus 175 Whoa Yeah, I'm gonna be Give me you watching these extra points this year Maybe one minus 135 is a little bit I'm just you know, I think that Does he get a tee? I'd have to send me a tee or some or some holders and like that. Um, so If you want plus 175 that's 36% for him to miss actually that's probably really good odds for you This is why I'm not a bookmaker joe They need to show they need to show the video or the picture of andy reed from the punt pass and kick competition When he's 13 and you know, he's like six feet taller than everyone else Yeah, why isn't any like if he weren't in this I I'd recruit him to kick it like that that'd be great Oh, you know, he would take a tumble, right? You know, he'd make it though He'd fall but he'd still make it. He's andy reed man. He'd make it. I I would make andy reed minus 350, you know, again, this is why I'm not a bookmaker He's minus 350 Gronk is minus 175 me for yes 65 to one Yes to make it 65 to one Um, and I would bet against myself. I would happily happily bet against myself for that. I can't do it. So I can't get lift Yeah, we'll be your number. Well, if you're bookmaking for joe astraski making a 25-yard field goal What's your number? Oh, here's here's the other thing The reality is those guys are on tv all the time. Yeah, we would be shaking We'd be so nervous. Yeah Immediately like I 268 million people watching me try to kick a field goal I can't do it. Like we just tried to do one for like the fan dual social team at one of like the events in denver and I Biffed it. Like that was for like three people. So no, um, I'm I'm toast. No, thanks Now we've done that we set our own markets for field goals any other things you're seeing value on for this game, joe I think that covers it now that you let everyone know you you would poop yourself It's not a hypothetical. It's it's it's a definitive. Um, I I can say for sure this has happened So we'll have we'll work. Well, I'll tell john shear and a fandal sportsbook to get markets up on that next year Super Bowl 58 We'll have a brownout market available on fandal sports That is a joe astraski checking out on twitter at joe astraski and his very serious show Betql daily every weekday 9 to noon eastern over in glendale, uh from The betmgm sportsbook joe. I appreciate you swinging by for today. Good luck to you with your bets for super bowl 57 and uh, enjoy arizona Thanks for having me jim. Uh, best of luck to everyone out there Because uh, I'm not gonna have football for a while. So you're breaking down. What are the other leagues? That's forgot That's no, no, no the other football. We got three football. I'm not watching those joe I'm not doing okay. Good. Remember when we were doing that the pandemic like that was the whole thing I did play by play for madness joe. I remember vividly. It was awful Did you really? Yeah It was bad. It was real bad for fandal It was bad man. Those are dark times not just dark He's the the the pandemic it was dark for other reasons too and i'm not gonna revisit that so We're staying away. We're talking to ask our instead Believe me next week. We'll be in it fully. Yeah. Yeah Try try doing a nightly Four hours solo show from your basement with no sports on a sports radio station. That's fun We're past that time joe. You survived. They survived. You're at super bowl this week. You're thriving. You're thriving You've got the proper attire. You're not pooping yourself on live tv. You're great. You know, you're doing great You're thriving. Uh, check out joe on twitter at joe astraski. I am on twitter at jim sanis j i m s a n n e s back again tomorrow JJ Zacharyson breaking down player props for this game getting his read on those We'll talk to you all that this has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network