 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday November 2nd 2022. I'm chief meteorologist John is worth for a long month public media Apologize for not being here last week. We took a fall break went to a hotel and did not have sufficient internet And today I couldn't get the audio words. This is like take four for today's Wow For the moon Tuesday November 8th will be our super full moon that it's large It's really full because it's going through the earth's shadow I have here that the first bit of the eclipse starts at 1 o 2 a.m. It is in the deepest part of the umbra kind of dark red color at 359 in the morning and then it ends at 648 a.m. So I'm not sure if I'm opening up the observatory as a school day and I Have to go teach all day. So I don't know but we'll see but yeah If you do peek out or drive out early in the morning, you should still see a bite of the moon in the west Sun is pretty active with some large sunspots. These are easier many times larger than the size of the earth For drought. We have a worsening of the drought up here Oh, I'll have to explain audio None of the microphone things work even after the choppy audio. I'm having to use the laptop audio Apologize to crazy times So drug conditions here get a little worse in the northern part of the state Long man is now in moderate drought and I've normally dry conditions are kind of increasing in the northern front range South central part of the state is still okay Nationally much of the center of the nation. I got a little drier So yeah, we do need to start getting a progression of winter and fall storms to bring rain You can see how low precipitation did fall some places go over half an inch in the mountains We had these showers that I got to longmont Denver south of Denver. There's some snow where we were near the springs We actually got about an inch or two to snow build up on the grass For convection we have a chance of some plundered storm activity out here at the Utah Colorado border on Wednesday It's about the same on Thursday, but we have the front coming through on Thursday kicking out some severe weather from the Texas Panhandle up into central Kansas and Friday a pretty good chance of stuff happening down around Dallas and Houston And San Antonio like that up to Oklahoma City. Yes, we do get a second increase in severe weather chances in the fall We did the surface map here comes our front right to down across the west mixed rain and snow showers higher elevation snows are already beginning in Colorado for Thursday It's at its peak. I have you snow here I really have you snow possible in the southern mountains and with some rain snow mix probably rain showers in the day as the front passes around one Presentation chances really pick up on Thursday and becoming snow in the evenings as the temperatures get down to the 20s Friday a little bit left in the mountains and southeast of part of the state and we have the severe weather Heavy rains possible in Texas as smoke goes. We have a little bit of fire activity in the Pacific Northwest and down to Alabama and Georgia so nothing near here and no smoke Steer Thursday expected so nice clear air Unnormal high temperatures are dropping from 58 to 54 temperatures 30 down to 26 are expected low So we're now getting into Every night should be pretty darn cold pretty hard freeze. So we are fueling that here's our really good chance of precipitation for about 12 hours maybe 18 hours or so from 1 o'clock Thursday through the early morning hours of Friday Some models are slowing this system down a little bit. So that could give us a little better chance for some Snow, but I'm not too excited about it. Here's our trough digging in the Water vapors headlight image from Tuesday and Wednesday the trough has gotten further down as more lift out ahead of the trough We're starting to get some high clouds here in the Front range as the moisture goes over the mountains So the highlights for the maps to come as Thursday night Friday midnight Trough is really approaching coming in with a strong Southwest jet over the southeast half of the state And with that it's about the maximum precipitation a little bit coming off in the northeast This is really gonna hit the western slopes in the higher elevations more than the plains Eastern Plains are probably gonna be dry Sunday we are in the regime that will kind of dominate the rest of the week a Southwest flow a lot pretty strong as these troughs pass by the north. They're gonna create some precipitation on the western side of the state But stuff just won't make it over to the eastern plains. So let's take a look at this in motion as we go from Wednesday into Thursday, look at that deep trough coming through. This is the jet that's Kicking off the severe weather is that really sharpens Falls apart and goes up in Canada. We are in our Southwest flow Here comes the next trough that looks promising. It looks like I should do the same thing But it does brush the state but stays to the northwest of us Another low kind of rotates around and this ridge in the east just isn't gonna let it move on There's another trough coming in next weekend So weekend after next so there's a hint of a weekend storm man. Let's take a look at these cold fronts coming in This is temperature anomaly at the surface and there's the front sweeping down Another push in the whole state is good and cold Friday then downslope winds warming up to the east of the Rockies for another cold front comes down on Monday Briefly six hours or so. We have colder than normal air on the plains Wands up right it back up. Another cold front comes into the west And it starts to slip over down the east side of the Rockies again Then next weekend much bigger push of cold may be a more significant storm whole nation then cools down Not gonna show much of the Perceptible water forecast map you can see is this low intensifies in the cold front comes out this big Whole moisture from the Gulf feeling all those thunderstorms You have some Pacific moisture coming in on a weekend in the beginning next week, but it's dorm business is strong after doing anything with it So let's watch for snow and rain here is moving on Thursday Largely on the western side Eastern plains stay mostly dry There's our big thunderstorms firing in Texas, Oklahoma And the low goes up into Hudson Bay area and Monday next week System coming down. These are the shortways that are passing down northwest the western slopes get it rain and snow Comes another system in for Thursday western side of the state again Low passes get a glimpse of what might happen next weekend right there And it's kind of snow Mountains and drifting down doesn't look very big. So over the next five days. We have a Little bit of precipitation here and maybe up to a quarter inch of moisture Seems optimistic, but the eastern plains miss it out and mountains get some good precipitation of heavy amounts down here to have 10 to 1 snow ratios that could be 12 to 15 inches of snow the Whether 52 80 snow products have been broken for a few months and didn't really need them until now But they're still not working. So I've got a tropical tidbits for the DFS snow and you can see here long months right about there It's in the two to three inch area for snow. That's possible. I'm not too excited about it I think a half an inch inch and a half is more likely after some rain showers Ground temperatures are warm. It's gonna be on grass and Top of cars and stuff for the next 10 days We don't get anything new on the eastern side of the state, but the mountains do pick up a lot more It's like 2.5 inches of liquid down there. So the southwest is getting some great moisture and look at these snow totals 18 inches 13 tan up here 15 wrong work feather like And nothing new in the Longmont area So we end 70s on Wednesday cold front coming in the afternoon or the cold front comes in around noon on Thursday And brings with it the precipitation 60% chance of rain Thursday afternoon evening and early Friday morning Before dawn mainly whether temperatures in the 20s should allow whatever is falling to happen as snow Wouldn't be worried about roads 25 after that would become really normal Temperatures really close to seasonal normal dry patricotic conditions It's a new month. So we can see what the weather service thinks about temperatures and precipitation For temperatures, I think will be a little above normal chances for precipitation Normal chances of precipitation with above to the West For frequent updates and local news or a lot later moving to leader Don't check those places out. They have some fun poles to look at each a few days as well This has been chief meteorologist John endsworth Keep looking out