 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network I am assuming this is in celebration of our second to Dinger Tuesday of the year But all 30 MLB teams are in action for this Tuesday So a lot of options across the bed slip over a Fandall sportsbook for today We're gonna dive in to the MLB action of Fandall sports But can let you know my favorite bets for a Fandall for today welcome on into covering the spread That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonis. I am a managing editor of digital media for a Fandall research here to break down Tuesdays MLB betting action. Let you know my favorite bets at Fandall sportsbook For today we're talking SGP talk a total talk a money line and much more to get you ready for tonight on the dime The first a reminder coming up later on today on the Fandall research podcast feed We're gonna break down the masters with myself and Brandon Gidula talking favorite bets talking DFS plays Augusta and much more and tomorrow here on covering the spread more betting discussion around the masters will be in your feed So if you want the first edition talking about There bets and DFS plays check that out on the Fandall research podcast feed and Fandall TV plus if you want the full in-depth betting breakdown That'll be tomorrow here on covering the spread Of course, you can find that on the covering the spread podcast feed the Fandall YouTube page and Over on Fandall TV plus make sure you are subscribed to get these shows as they go live each and every weekday Dingers blasts moonshots whatever you call them everyone loves home runs and with Fandall's Dinger Tuesday You can love them even more. 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Dinger Tuesdays are back for another season on America's number one Sportsbook just bet on a player to hit home run and Fandall will give you $5 in bonus bets for every home run hit during that Game as if you needed another reason to love the long ball make every moment more a Fandall official sports betting partner of major league Baseball must be 21 plus and present in select states bonus issue is now a drop of bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat Max bonus $25 per game Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook.fandall.com Fandall is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler over the Fandall comm slash RG Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio North Carolina Pennsylvania Illinois Tennessee Vermont and Virginia call 1 800 next step or text next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in Arizona 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 7 over the CC PG org slash chat in Connecticut 1 810 9 with it in Indiana 1 810 5 2 2 4700 for the KS gambling help back home in Kansas 1 877 770 stop in Louisiana visit MD gambling help of Oregon, Maryland 100 gambler net in West Virginia 1 810 5 2 2 4700 Wyoming hope this year for the gambling helpline ma.org or Call you under 3 2 7 50 50 for 24 7 support in Massachusetts or call 1 8 7 7 open Y or text open Y in New York Let's dig into this Tuesday MLB betting auction over a Fandall sports But can it is Dinger Tuesday as mentioned during that read there? And I talked already on the solo shot about my favorite bets for Dinger Tuesday for tonight If you want full thoughts on not just today's slate You can get all my favorite props each day over on the Fandall research podcast feed by listening to the solo shot So talked about that there, but there is also another bet in that game that I like So I think we can do a same-game parlay at Fandall sports book for these two bets The Dinger Tuesday bet I liked the most was Matt Olson plus 3 20 to hit over on a Fandall sports book And I'm also showing value on the braids money line Currently at minus 1 90 perilous together at Fandall sports book the same game parlay is plus 374 The rational be an Olson is he's facing Adrian Houser who does let up a lot of hard contact good overall picture I think but Does let up our contact does let up five balls Specifically to lefties Matt Olson is among the best power hitting lefties in all the baseball plus 3 20 to me is a pretty good number Of course if that Olson goes deep that's going to increase the odds that the Mets win this game And I show value on that leg individually. That's minus 190 for the Mets The braids are pitching or minus 190 against the Mets. I should say braids running We know the Lopez who is Rebecoming a starter this year, which is a little scary because pitched pretty well in the bullpen But that he was in the bullpen for a reason back in the day Now the first half of Lopez did go well went six innings and allowed just one run But it was a revenge game against the White Sox So grain assault there given that the offense not that great for the White Sox With that said he's facing the Mets here Which is still a plus matchup frame as he tries to get his sea legs back underneath him as a start of the Mets Have a 93 WRC plus against righties on their current active roster since the start of last year now That active roster did put up a lot of runs in last night's game they won that one eight to seven and it's possible they Continue to outperform expectation to least based on my numbers going forward It's also possible that we're now the Lopez does struggle, but if we look at this matchup My model shows value in the Braves in general Despite the fact that I view Adrian Houser as being the better pitcher than we know the Lopez other factors Strongly favor the Braves the relief options favor the Braves the hitting favors the Braves as well So even though I think Houser is a better pitcher and my model thinks that too It does still show value in the Braves money line at minus 190 Now I mentioned before there is a correlation between The home run for Olson and the money line for the Braves Vandal knows that if you were to pair these two bets together kind of Independent each other it'd be about plus five seventy as the the odds and we're getting a plus three seventy four So you are paying a pretty heavy tax in order to pair these two bets together But again, that's there for a reason because they do correlate. Well, Olson hits a home run the odds of Braves When this game in general go up and I already have in this being pretty big favorites to this game to begin with So I think it's a worthwhile tax personally I think the same game probably a plus three seventy four does make a lot of sense And that's where I'll go for the first bet for tonight is Olson home run plus Braves money line But that is plus three seventy four That fan dual sportsbook for tonight The second bet that I have value on for day also relates to a bet We discussed over on the solo shot Olson was the primary Dinger Tuesday bet for me today But the other one that I should value in was Lane Thomas Lane Thomas playing in the nationals versus Giants game Thomas right now plus six thirty two good deep in this game this one I'm going to play individually but I think I want to go with the over in this game between the nationals and the Giants over is minus one fifteen it is a poor park for hitting and You have to take that into account But my model does and it still shows value in the over here over eight runs again minus one fifteen I'm in the process of developing a Run total model right now and that run total model has the scheme at eight point five nine runs It's not a big gap But it does help we get a push on an over and again It's harder for a game to land an even number of runs because if it's a four four tie or whatever It goes extras and they got to break that tie at some point so Couple advantages working in our favor when it comes to this total setting at exactly eight runs versus eight and a half The starters here have their flaws Josiah Gray starting for the nationals and we've got Kyle Harrison starting for the Giants both those starters let up walks and let up hard contact and fly balls Josiah Gray 13 earned runs across two starts Kyle Harrison Walks a lot of guys let's up hard contact and fly balls He does get strikeouts to compensate for that's not a bad picture But there's issues there and the the Giants bullpen is pretty good But the nationals is not and that's defense is pretty rough as well So there are a lot of factors pushing us towards the over here despite the fact It's not the world's best offense is not the world's best part now The Giants pretty good against righties 108 WRC plus on their current active roster since the start of last year. So That's that's a plus there too that total I mentioned of 8.59 Does account for the fact this park is below average and for a lot of park this time of year You have to adjust for a temperature as well because they will be at a lower temperature now than their baseline across the entire year But for San Francisco, that's not the case because it's 60 degrees for tonight And that's actually about average when it comes to Expectations for a San Francisco as you get into the summer months as well so I think what we'll see in this game is a lot of base runners with the potential for Crooked numbers via long balls because of the two pitchers in this game You could decide to lump in the Thomas from a home run if you wanted to again I like that bed individually and these bets do play well together because again We need seven more runs. We were to pair them together if you go With the over in plus 6 30 that's plus 8 54 for a same game probably a fan of sports But I don't mind that personally but prefer to play them straight up given that the Thomas from Ron is plus 6 30 It's a pretty good number to begin with and the fact that it is still San Francisco So if I hit the Thomas bet, I'd like to hit the entire bet and win that bet So personally, I'll play these straight over eight runs for nationals and giants and stick with Lane Thomas as The the home run bet over on the solo shop But if you want to pair them together you can definitely do so just on my personal preference for tonight The final bet where I'm showing value for today is in this twins versus Dodgers game and right now in faddle sportsbook the twins money line is plus 160 and I think that's a pretty good number Given the fact the twins are not a bad offense and they are at home for this game now granted They're facing a very stout Dodgers team So got a downgrade for that Tyler Glass now starting for the Dodgers looked really good as most recent star So there is a reason that the market is a bit lower on the twins I just think it's a bit too low right now the implied odds at faddle sportsbook for the Twins right now thirty eight point five percent my model has them at forty three percent and when you account for home field That's going to tell you that hey the Dodgers are a lot better team in this specific matchup than the twins are But we're getting compensated for that with where the market is at right now The twins are starting to leave Arland who had some better underlying numbers than his results last year They three point seven seven skill interactive era versus a four point six three era right now That's explainable you're not going to expect his skill interactive era to be in line with his era because he led up a lot of hard contact That's a skill and it's an issue. That's why it's expected the array is five four point five eight but it does seem like Varland's trying to combat that because He's adding in a curve ball this year. He's also using a sinker a tiny bit like three percent in his first start I'm not sure if that'll translate But he did get some ground balls in his first start this year the results still were not very good But the biggest issue for Varland was hard contact last year the bad at ball numbers of the plate discipline numbers are pretty good And if you can get the bad at ball numbers to be a little bit better He could ascend from being a below average starter to being okay as a starter And if you get an okay starter at home with a plus 160 money line for an offense that can hit the ball pretty well I think that's pretty tough to turn down So even with Varland being projected as a below average starter by my numbers I do still show value in the twins money line again and currently plus 160 Have a dual sportsbook. So I think the twins are good value here 43% to win by my numbers and I do agree with what the model is saying here So we'll take the twins as home underdogs against the Dodgers plus 160 the number on that right now over at Fandall sportsbook Didn't want to run through briefly the other bets recommended over on the solo shot this morning Just in case you don't get time to listen to both these shows. I understand that that's definitely reasonable Wanted to at least talk about the other ones in case you can't get to that show as well So talked about the Olson home run a plus 320 the Lane Thomas home run a plus 630 Other bets I like for today were a couple of strikeout unders a sunny gray Pitching for the Cardinals making his first start this year skipping a rehab start to make this one He's gonna go 65 pitches according to their manager And he's still a four and a half strikeouts at Fandall sportsbook under his minus 134 that has been creeping down It was minus 130 earlier on I something there's value in the under based on the fact that gray Will go just 65 pitches for this game for tonight again that comes to the manager This is not like conjecture, but he skipped his rehab starts They said okay will allow you to start this one instead and they're gonna restrict into 65 pitches So sunny gray under four and a half strikeouts minus 134 that is right now over at Fandall sportsbook Other one that I talked about over on the other show was Patrick Sandoval's under on strikeouts Right now the under for Sandoval at five and a half strikeouts is plus 102 This one's creeping against me was minus 102 earlier on today now to plus 102 But the thought process and being under on Sandoval is that he's throwing through fewer sliders right now Not as highest to strikeout pitch but still a pitch that does generate some whiffs So coming back on the slider instead throwing a couple more forcing fastballs And that's not a trade-off you want if you're looking purely at strikeouts He's also facing a raised team that is pretty good against lefties a 130 WRC plus for them against lefties since the start of last year Strikeout rate better than average for them against lefties to a 21.6% So it's a tough matchup for Sandoval. He's throwing fewer sliders than he was before letting up a Lot of walks as well and facing a tough team So I like the under on Sandoval five and a half at plus 102 So to recap all the recommendations across the entirety today Olson home run plus 320 Compare that with the Braves money line a minus 190 for a same game probably a plus 374 Like Lane Thomas to hit a home run at plus 630 also like the over in that game at eight runs minus 115 For the Nationals and the Giants sunny grander four and a strikeouts minus 134 Patrick Sandoval under four or five and a strikeouts at plus 102 and then the twins money line Plus 160 as they take on the Dodgers for today. Hopefully that's enough as you Take in a very fun slate for today as mentioned We're talking about home run props strikeout props total base props and stuff like that every weekday Over on the solo shot in addition to talking DFS if you want Strikeout props and home run props every single day check out the solo shot on the fan dual research podcast feed hit subscribe There but also find the solo shot on a fan dual TV plus That's all we had that here for today and covering the spread again back tomorrow talking about the Masters with Brandon Gadoula make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcasts to get that one as it goes live Tomorrow full in-depth breakdown of betting for Augusta If you have any questions for me, I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis You can also find Fandall research on Twitter at Fandall research want to thank you all for tuning in for today Good luck with your dinger bets on Dinger Tuesday Enjoy the baseball and we'll talk to you once again tomorrow to preview the Masters This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network