 This is covering the spread part of the fan dual podcast network It is the final light of hockey before the all-star break So we got to talk some NHL tonight with Tom Vecchio and also break down a juicy Nine a game slate in the NBA getting you set for should be a fun Wednesday night here on covering the spread This is covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm joined here as mentioned Tom Vecchio check him out on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom and Tom. Happy all-star almost break to you a nice little Slight break for you. I guess the couple fewer things in your docket. How you doing today? I'm doing great Yeah, football is winding down. It's the NHL all-star break. It's basically only one sport at least until next Monday I'm ready to go and then you get the NBA all-star break pretty faster to that So right yeah, I live in the life the next couple weeks Yeah, and then you know baseball be here before you know it and then it's the playoffs for the sports So it is busy, but I mean you can always fill in with NASCAR. It's okay fill the gaps that way We've got the clash coming up Sunday. You can watch at the Coliseum. It's on it's on Sunday prime time You know, we need to watch last of us right away. You can watch that Monday night, you know Let's we'll just uh, let's watch some NASCAR instead if there's a good bet I'll bet on it and then look at the outcome after I won't watch it if I'm beyond this define good I've made bets. I don't know if they're good We'll figure out that once Fandal post odds for the the clash we'll talk about here on the show probably tomorrow if I had to Guess but we'll talk about that at some point because I've got to dump it somewhere So we'll do that here on the show at some point. We will not bore you with that for today We're a talk NBA and a show with Tom and just to get you said for tonight But first a reminder to make sure you are subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast We broke down the AT&T pebble beach pro-am with Brandon Gadoula yesterday the time-stand for that is in the description over on The podcast feed wherever you get that if you want to skip ahead past NBA stuff from last night and jump ahead to the pebble beach breakdown from Brandon also talked about my read on Super Bowl 57 on Monday so both those shows are now posted get those by searching for recovering the spread wherever you get your podcast Hit subscribe and if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well this year The only app you need for your Fandal Super Bowl or for your Super Bowl party. Good reading is Fandal America's number one sportsbook download Fandal now so you can bet Super Bowl 57 when they know sweat first bet You'll get up to $3,000 back and bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win Fandal lets you bet on everything from the money line to point spreads to who will score a touchdown and all in that That is safe secure and super easy to use best of all you can get paid your winnings instantly So join Fandal to claim your no sweat first bet today on Super Bowl 57 Make every moment more with Fandal official sportsbook partner on the NFL must be 21 plus than president select states first online a real money Wage only $10 deposit required refund issue is not with reliable bonus bets that expire in 14 days Restricts and applies default terms at fandal.com slash sportsbook gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandal.com slash RG in Arizona 1 800 next step protection acceptify 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Indiana 1809 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 20 105 2 2 40 zone 100 or in Kansas KS gambling health comm Louisiana is 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in Maryland MD gambling health org in New York 1 8 7 7 8 hopin wire text open Y and in West Virginia go to 1 800 gambler dot net Let's take a look here at the NBA for Wednesday night got a couple of nationally televised games tonight on ESPN Trying to follow up Nick's Lakers, which was a lot of fun last night We got the Nets and the Celtics and then the Hawks and the Suns any bets you like in those two games specifically here Tom Yeah, starting off. Let's go to Jason Tatum over nine and a half rebounds. That's at plus 102 right now He's been, you know, I want to say borderline MVP. He started off the year as a true MVP candidate and you know Yolkic Luke and then obviously indeed lately of all kind of pushed past him Tatum is still having an awesome year No doubt about it. So over nine and a half rebounds this thing of plus 102 He's been over this mark in four of his last five games and not only, you know over this mark He's going over in a big way, right where we're he's up at 14 14 and 19 rebounds So it like and granted he has a couple games in there where he's right at nine. He's at six and some of them but the Nets still missing a little bit size with Kevin Iran He's not out there and we do have Rob Williams for the Celtics listed as questionable He didn't start the year. He's actually been dealing with these knee injuries dating back to last year So to see him miss tonight's game Wouldn't be a surprise. I'm expecting him to play but the thing is ultimately They're still not putting Rob Williams out there for like a heavy set of minutes So when he knee bodies out there Tatum like being the best player on the team He's kind of shown this year that he's willing to do a little bit more than just be the score He's he notices that like the team needs some size He has to be out there rebounding and that's showing with these huge rebounding games So absolutely love over nine and a half tonight Now Tatum is nine and a half a Fandal Spock plus 102 some other spots haven't eight and a half But it's a minus 142 So you're paying a heavy toll. I'm assuming you prefer the nine and a half number there, right? Especially this game has a 226 and a half over unders actually one of the I think it's the lowest on tonight's slate Which isn't a surprise the nets have stepped up on defense a lot least a lot recently It's just a good defensive team So to see a slower paced a lot of miss shots, which means more rebounds type of game is always on the table So I'm definitely shooting for nine and a half at plus one of two Okay, you can get that a Fandal sportsbook as mentioned anything else in these national TV games Tom for you or no the Hawks sons, you know a part of me wants to It's I would either take the under in this game or completely stay away The Suns are a pretty heavy under team specifically at home They're 11 and 16 to the over at home So and they've been good on defense and they defended home court Well, yes, they have for a few years the Hawks are you know on a road trip Trey young sure probably be back in line tonight. It's kind of just take the under or stay away It's not something I'm super comfortable with so I don't have any player props for this game It's really not super enticing. I do have three other plays across the league, which I think are much better games I mean, we got seven games, man. So let's light her up What else do you got here across the NBA tonight? So just to like show that the disparity of why I'm like not super high on this game Hawks Suns is 229 and a half. We compare that to Kings Spurs, which is about 244 or Warriors Timberwolves, which is at 238 So we're just looking at a much higher scoring expectation. First of all, love the Kings minus eight against the Spurs I think there's a bounce back game for the Kings. They didn't win the other night I'll just take them straight up minus eight. They're 27 at 21 against and one against the spread this year It's one of the top five in the league the Spurs not good this year not good against the spread at 23 and 8 So very clear bounce back spot for the Kings who have surprised a lot of people this year. That's number one Number two would be Steph Curry over 29 and a half points and minus one of six He's been over this mark in three straight over in four of six and again this game against the Timberwolves has a 238 Over under which is the second highest on the slate behind this 240 Very high on the slate excuse me behind 244 239 Both teams are in the top ten in the league when it comes off into pace both teams don't play defense Both teams like to score the ball So it's basically everything you want for Curry. We also see The Timberwolves not great against the three porters. So it sets up to be an absolute phenomenal game from a fancy perspective from a betting perspective from just a fan perspective and then finally Going to my guy out green singoon again Houston Rockets Center over 30 and a half points rebounds assist combined a minus 115 both Jalen Green and Kevin Porter the two primary usage players for the Rockets are out tonight and He is that third usage player So he is now number one on their team and he sees a slight increase in offensive usage extra production per minute more rebounds assist You know touches on the ball etc when those players are off the court and he's also going up against okc Who are allowing 42 combined points rebounds assist per game to opposing centers? So I think there's enough leeway there with that extra usage in what is really a soft matchup So again, that one was the PRA for singoon over 38 and a half at minus 111, correct Yeah, I sort of 115 a few minutes ago did move. Okay. Yeah, it's at 111 right now at fangirls sportsbook on the over there That is again in the Rockets Thunder game for sangoon and then Steph Curry 29 and a half that's still minus 106 of fangirls sportsbook within the Warriors Timberwolves game Kings minus eight if you were looking at those Tom and trying to decide, you know Maybe I don't want a super full car tonight. Maybe we're just looking to you know, put in a couple bets Which one do you feel the best about it in that group? Well, Tatum's my number one. Yeah, okay. Okay. Tatum would be number one St. Goon would definitely be last. Okay, like that and then it's kind of a toss up. Do you expect the Kings to bounce back? I Think they do so I would take Tatum Kings Curry singoon in that order. That's the order you gave them That's the order they're in. It's a beautiful symmetry. Love that Tom All right, so that's a fun nine game slate across the NBA and for tonight One one thing I'll note is because we are we are coming up to the trade deadline. Yes for which is eight days away It's next Thursday the 9th. So this is the time of year where NBA is actually very specific when it comes to or very unique when it comes to injuries and injury reporting So this is it's not going to be surprised to see the players intentionally get sat by teams And or to see their minutes start to get limited So as you know, you're starting to read these reports from woj from shamshirani from any of these, you know reporters that like oh this player's name is popping up in terms of You know his interest in in teams because this team's gonna be a seller like you can either a start taking unders on those players And because they're not gonna be playing me and even or they're gonna be playing less and even if they don't play you know, that's avoid that whatever and then The other thing is you can start taking overs on their teammates Because if they're not going to be playing as much that gives the potential for their teammates to see more who are not in trade rumors So this it's and I would say monitor the news Especially if you're you're betting on teams and you say, okay, I like this team I'll send a player gets ruled out and that number changes dramatically especially because teams are targeting good players to trade for So it could be key players from kind of weak-ish teams that are looking to sell Which teams are you flagging specifically as being not no fly zones? But but but I would say teams of particular interest where you may be looking at Unders on guys who are the trade blog or overs on correlated teammates and stuff like that so Bojan Bogdanovich on the Detroit Pistons his name is kind of popped up a little bit You know good veteran player can certainly shoot a lot of threes he's probably He's probably the best player on the Pistons right now because Marvin Bagley and Kate Cunningham are both out So he's a he's a player that's been popping up would not be surprised to see him be traded and like a line tonight for the spurs is at You know, they're plus six if he gets ruled out tonight I wouldn't be surprised this theoretically if you were to get ruled Yeah, not injured, but I could see that line jump to eight or nine, right? You know and he's probably since he's their best player it just lowers their scoring expectation overall So the Pistons are probably pretty key for me Someone from the Raptors is gonna get traded. That's a big big team So they've been ruling out. Oh, gee noobie. He's not too much of a surprise to get traded a lot of teams are targeting him I don't think that you're gonna trade Fred Van Bleyke, but these are two key starters And then potentially always Gary Trent could be moved so we're talking about three of their five starters of players that have popped up and trade rumors and If they were to get ruled out or traded in any of these games that line would plummet You know in against them So the the Raptors I think are a very very key team leading up to the next eight days in the trade deadline And let's say you want to be low on someone like let's go back to that by Donovitch again Let's say you want to be low on him He's not a big like non point scoring guy in terms of like a PRA bet But are you primarily looking at PRA bets because it gives you more routes to an under there because okay? He goes off for 23 points which would get him over 22 and a half which is prop I mean he doesn't do a whole lot elsewhere due to the reduced minutes Is that the primary route you're going to baiting guys are potentially wary of here or how you doing that? Yeah, it it obviously comes out to a per player basis. He can be a very Effective score. He doesn't always do a whole lot when it comes to rebending an assist So I think right he could get there on points, but still hit the under on PRA That's that's a good way to put it and then, you know Siddiq Bay or Alec Burke's those are players that could theoretically benefit from scoring if he were to be out Okay, I think it's obviously there's obviously permutations for every team and every iteration But it just kind of keep that in mind when you're betting on on players or teams having a flag in your mind like okay I am into this player there in this Let me double check to make sure I actually feel comfortable with this kind of going through that process to making sure you feel good there Okay, now we also have an interesting one in the NHL side because this is the final night for the all-star break just two teams in action Or two games in action for tonight But Tom when you're looking at the NHL side of things with the all-star break looming in the NBA will sometimes see guys get scale back Because you know, they're about to go the all-star break and stuff like that Does that happen in the NHL too where he may see guys get reduced ice time with the break? Or did they play more given that they have a rest coming up? How does that work in the NHL or is there no impact at all? There's really no impact at all and specifically because of these two matchups tonight. I really don't see that happening You know players are out there. It's it's a little bit tougher in NHL where it's like in the NBA You could have a bench just take I know player off the bench and he can play 30 minutes right where like in the NHL No one can skate for 30 minutes like even on the low end like the fourth line guys are still gonna see like nine Yeah, 10 12 minutes and you sure maybe the top line center doesn't see 22 minutes Maybe sees 19, but that's not really a massive massive change So I I don't really factor that in at all. I don't think I ever have unless the players actually ruled out He's if he's on the top line, he's gonna be playing 18 minutes a night Yeah music to my ears means we can proceed forward with no with no reservations and talk about the NHL Slate we got the Bruins and the Maple Leafs we got the Hurricanes and the Sabres Let's start off here with the traditional markets Tom anything you like across those two games there Yes, that would be Bruins Leafs over six. That's a minus 104 right now Really interesting matchup. This has been a heated rivalry over in the past five plus years The Bruins are as I've said before they are the best team in the NHL They are coming off a they are right now on a three game losing streak Which is their longest losing streak of the year prior to these past four games They have had not lost more than one game in a row at any point in the season They've not lost two games in a row. They are this dominant this year They are the favorite right now to win the Stanley Cup there. I think they're plus 600 Right now to win the Stanley Cup. I could double check this real quick. It's a 500 now That's 500. I have them back from October at plus 1600 to win the Stanley Cup So I am all in on the Bruins this year. Yep, so It's literally a shock to see them lose multiple games in a row this year That's how good they end the fact that it's been three and the fact that this is one of their biggest rivals There was some stat like two nights ago where it was the first night the Celtics and Bruins lost in the same night It's since like February of last there's some some crazy time last year. Yeah, I saw that I think it was February of 2022. Yeah So and they just hit 10 total losses Like a few days ago and even playing since October, which is unbelievable So I love over six because I expect a bounce back Also, when we look to the Maple Leafs again looking at their goals and expected goals specifically in the last two weeks They're only loving 2.07 goals against per 60 minutes and five you five situations of the last two weeks Which is the ninth best in the league. However, if we look at their expected goals allowed in that same time It's up at 2.90 So they're overproducing by point not almost point nine Which is pretty substantial given the fact of some of the injuries they have they're missing their best player Austin Matthews He's out for a couple weeks and we have the Bruins that clearly need to bounce back And I would expect them to bounce back regardless of who they'd be playing So the the goal scoring potential for the Bruins has been there all season Especially against the defense that has been overproducing So over six minus one of four beat spot that I go and ultimately you get six, you know the game ends four to two It's a push. Yeah minus one of four like you said if Andal sportsbook for the Bruins and the Maple Leafs the over on that total there What about the problem? It's anything you're seeing in that regard. Yeah, that would be going to Brad Marshawn and Boston Bruins for a goal plus 190 he is You know, if you don't if people out there don't follow the NHL Brad Marshawn is like known as the number one pest in the league he is The player that you hate playing against but if he's on your team, you absolutely love your presence. Okay, cool I think he's hilarious. He has these antics. He's a phenomenally skilled player, but he has a lot of antics on the ice I think he's very funny plus 190. He's a player that's on the first forward line He's on the first power play. He takes good volume of shots like he's checking all these boxes He hasn't scored in a couple games and he's going up against this defense, which I'm expecting to regress and We need the Bruins to bounce back and we need the over on the goal total which relates to this That's so it's not just, you know, they could be going up against I would say almost any team and I would still like Marshawn for a goal because You know, their offense has not been playing. Well, they've been on this weird I'm gonna say a weird three game losing streak, which is insane to say, right? But he has all these factors going in going in his favor before we even factor in the matchup against the defense That should be regressing. So Marshawn plus 190 for a goal for a top-line guy at plus 190 is pretty pretty good Yeah, plus 190 for Marchand at Fandall Sportsbook, and you can't you can't parlay these I don't believe they have like SGPs for an HLU. So you can't parlay them together But they do correlate well so you can place the two individually if you hit one you're more likely to hit the other So over six at minus 104 and then Marchand a score plus 190 I do need to take back the Piersinski comp because I hated AJ Piersinski even when he was on the twins So that's not actually totally accurate. He sucked regardless, but so maybe I'll all withdraw that I don't want to put the Piersinski stink on to Brad Marchand No, I certainly get that but you know if you like There's some things about about him. That's interesting like he's out there on the ice And when they you know, he's like licking players faces when they get like what it was Lance Stevenson Okay, he's like a really interesting character. I think he's great even though. He's not on you know the Rangers I think he's hilarious. He's out there like licking guys faces He's always like pushing them after the play a little bit more than he probably should be He doesn't get called for penalties, but it's all part of like getting under the opposing team skin I mean yeah licking licking their faces would do that. That's accurate really good at it He's really good at it. He's good at the licking or good at getting under people's skin to clarify the ladder and the former impact Okay, he's gonna pull, you know, he's a he's a well-rounded talented guy I am disturbed like it. You meant I mentioned last of us earlier on Watching that show makes me not want to think about face licking because I bothered behind all getouts. So I'm gonna pass on that part But the Marchand one plus 190 and the Bruins over six the Bruins Maple East over six I think that makes a lot of sense. All right, so hope that sends us off to the all-star We're gonna get no one more. Yeah, the other game Ross miss Dallin the defender for the Buffalo Sabres over two and a half shots. Okay plus 106 Expecting a high-paced matchup in this one two teams that like to push the pace on offense Two teams that are very good on offense to teams that take some shots Dallin is having the best year of his career He's I would say it's kind of a borderline stinky candidate for the North Trophy, which is the best defender in the league He's been over this mark in four straight games. He's on the first power play, you know Basically everything that we want we do see the Keynes on the second night of a back-to-back with travel for them Which is always good, which means they'll probably be starting Auntie Ranta and net tonight. So it was Frederick Anderson last night, you know, everything going in the Sabres Everything going in the Sabres favorite the Keynes are the clearly the better team, but Dallin is in a good spot tonight Yeah, that's in the the hurricane Sabres game again The shop market Ross miss Dallin over two and a half is plus 106 over at Fandall Sportsbook So pretty good card. I think first head across the NBA and NHL It's not bad. This game does have a six and a half over unders again That half half go higher than the Bruins leaf So, you know expecting some more goals in this one compared to the other one So get those shots on that. I think you're gonna have a fun night Nine NBA games to NHL games final one. Do you watch the NBA or the NHL also a game or is that not a Honestly the skills competition on Friday night is more I used to love the skills like the Shot yeah Competition skating competitions are sick. They should put those in the NFL Pro Bowl a skating competition I'd watch that. I'm pretty sure you can bet on those markets as well in some some spots I don't know if they're about But yeah, yeah, y'all start there here right now or you can bet on the This is for Saturday's games for the the individual matches between the divisions Obviously do two games. Well, they do like the West will play the West And then the East will play the East and the winners of each play But it is it's three on three. It's not five on five. Oh Time rules and oh wow, that's even cooler. Okay, frankly, I would take I'll just throw this out there I would just take the Metropolitan Division at plus 330 no time for the longest odds to win I understand why they are the longest odds because The other divisions I think just objectively have better forwards when you look at the Atlantic and especially when you look at the Pacific with Conor McDavid out there, but the Metro Division also objectively has the two best goalies with Igor Shisterkin and Elise Rokin so Push comes to shove. I would I would take the goalies when you know, if you have Jack Hughes and Our timey Panera now there they can match up with basically anyone in the league. Okay Well, that is Metropolitan team to win the NHL all-star tournament a plus 330 at Vanduul Sportsbook. I love it You know Tom going above and beyond what is asked of him to give you hopefully good bets here for this Anything else for you Tom for a close-up shot for today? No, that's it I think we're in for a pretty awesome night You know have a lull for a few days, and then we're we'll be on the path to the Super Bowl. Yeah, I am excited for that already It's gonna be a blast all next week breaking down Super Bowl 57 But also hopefully a blast tonight across the NBA and NHL that is Tom Evacchio check him out on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom check out all of his prop work over at numberfire.com as well And the daily ISO is daily fantasy basketball podcast on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Tom Thank you for the time as always and good luck to you tonight. Yeah. Thanks for having me. All righty again Check out Tom on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom We'll be back once again tomorrow with Austin sway. I'm gonna talk about some NBA bets And also UFC in case you need to fill that hockey size and if NFL size void in your heart for this weekend We'll talk about some UFC as well get that by subscribing to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J. I. M. S. A. N. N. E. S. You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast We'll talk to you all once again tomorrow. Good luck tonight. This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network