 So a little bit of a forewarning before I start talking here if you are in a good mood currently Click out of the video. Don't watch it because this is definitely going to spoil your mood But if you're just kind of already feeling meh, then stick around because this is very very important news so let's talk about climate change and How the situation looks even more grim than we had previously expected because back in 2018 We all kind of had this wake-up call when we saw that the IPCC gave us 12 years to act in order to Avert catastrophic levels of climate change now predictably right-wingers accused them of being too alarmist Well, it turns out there's a new study that purports that actually the IPCC wasn't being too alarmist They were actually being too conservative if we don't take massive action It's highly likely that humans go extinct by 2050 2050 I think when a lot of people talked about the prospect of human beings going extinct in the event the planet became uninhabitable You know, we always pictured 2100 2150 and that's even if human beings were to go extinct because you know climate change isn't necessarily a Death sentence for human beings per se it is for a lot of species, but maybe human beings can figure out some way to still survive after climate change just destroys our environment But what this new study shows based on a model is That it's highly likely that we could go extinct by 2050 All right, so let's dig into this as Nafiz Ahmad of vice reports the analysis published by the breakthrough National Center for Climate Restoration a think tank in Melbourne, Australia Describes climate change as a near to mid-term existential threat to human civilization and sets out a plausible scenario of Where business as usual could lead over the next 30 years the paper argues that the potentially Extremely serious outcomes of climate-related security threats are often far more probable than conventionally assumed But almost impossible to quantify because they fall outside the human experience of the last Thousand years on our current trajectory the report warns Planetary and human systems are reaching a point of no return by mid century in which the prospect of a largely Uninhabitable earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order The only way to avoid the risks of this scenario is what the report describes as a kin in scale to the world war two Emergency mobilization But this time focused on rapidly building out a zero emissions industrial system to set and train the restoration of a safe Climate the scenario warns that our current trajectory will likely lock in at least three degrees Celsius of global Heating which in turn could trigger further amplifying feedbacks Unleashing further warming this would drive the accelerating collapse of key ecosystems including coral reef systems the Amazon rainforest and in the Arctic the results would be Devastating some 1 billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions and 2 billion would face scarcity of water Supplies agriculture would collapse in the subtropics and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide The internal cohesion of nation-states like the United States and China would unravel Wow That is a lot to take in so just take a moment let it marinate and We'll kind of talk about some of these implications because I think that what this is saying here in that you know, they're they're looking post climate catastrophe Because what other reports like the IPCC say is that look if we don't prevent a two-degree Celsius increase in global temperatures that will lead to climate Catastrophe, but they stop there right but to be clear what this study is doing is it is taking this a step further they crafted a model that is able to predict what would happen after Climate catastrophe happens. How would that impact governments? How would that impact? international stability and Because there would be so many swift changes Governments wouldn't be able to adapt there'd be mass hysteria mass chaos and that's why they're saying their Prediction is a lot more grim than the others now. Let me just be clear about one thing They're not purporting that human extinction is a certainty by 2050 but what they are saying here is In their scenario that they constructed based on current projections and what they can't anticipate Well, if we take into account a plausible worst-case scenario something that could Possibly come to fruition then this is what could happen. It could lead to extinction in the near to mid term so Let's just be Extra clear here. This is not saying the world's ending and we have 30 years or 31 years, you know, so Do what you can now. This is not what that is saying okay, this is based on a model and We haven't really heard from other scientists because usually when these types of studies come out I like to hear from the rest of the scientific community so we can you know just kind of gauge How accurate they think this is looking at the methodology and whatnot, but I mean is this believable Yeah, I think it's believable. This is no longer of future generations This is now gonna affect us like when we're older in a very serious way because even if the worst-case scenario Doesn't come to fruition Well, what if you know extinction of human beings happens in the mid range? We're still gonna in the mid term range, we're still gonna see Civilization unfold in a really disgusting apocalyptic way and you know if countries can't adapt then of course They're not going to know how to deal with mass migration They're not gonna know how to deal with political instability on Global levels. It's just gonna be pure fucking chaos So I still haven't really processed this study again I want to hear from other Scientists about the plausibility of this model because I can't assess this model and say that this is incredibly accurate Right like the the IPCC what they say generally speaking you can accept because these are global Scientists that are coming together and they're producing these studies, but this is you know one study and It's just one thing to consider but basically the takeaway and the reason why I'm sharing this with you is because once again I think it needs to be made very clear that we have to get our shit together There's nothing else I can say about this. We need to get our shit together. Otherwise. We are totally fucked Not just as a planet, but as a species We're the dinosaurs right now, but the difference is we see an asteroid zooming across the sky But we actually know that it's coming and we have the capability To take action and stop it It's just a matter of will we or won't we? We're playing chicken with the apocalypse and That's a game that I don't want to play