 How's it going foreachers, it's yours truly dapple willies. Guys, as you can see, I'm quite excited to be back on YouTube because I've absolutely missed you guys any time I take some time off. You know, I have time to reflect on everything and once I drop on back here, I feel very refreshed and it's time for us to go again. Now guys, I have two pairs, two pairs lining up pretty nicely that I wanna share with you guys. For those guys who are joining me for the first time, like I said, my name is dapple willies and this segment of my YouTube channel is called Trader Talk. Now in this segment, I like to come and showcase my trading analysis. Okay, what I'm looking at, the trades I'm potentially going to be placing and hopefully you guys can place them as well so that you can make money alongside my humble self. So like I said, once again, this is Trader Talk and I'm gonna be jumping into my charts very soon. Two pairs that I wanna share with you guys. Zero USD and AUD USD. Now you guys know I've been in AUD USD for quite a while now. I've been holding onto that trade because my strategy says hold. And guess what guys? It looks like we're about to drop maybe another 700 pips. Once we break out current support which is looking quite heavy at the moment, we're about to drop 700 pips. So in total, I should be looking at about at least 1,200 pips on AUD USD. You see, this is the power of the top-down analysis. This is the power of when your strategy tells you, do this, you do it, close your laptop and go and do all the things and allow the market work for you. The top-down analysis, like I've been analyzing for the last three weeks here, told me your dApps AUD USD is gonna drop. And I jumped into the trade. Yes, it took a longer time than I expected but because I have so much confidence in my analysis and the top-down analysis and all the stuff that I teach on the Forex Mastery program, I held onto my trade. And guys, from what I can see right now, the market is looking very heavy and it looks like we're about to drop for another 700 pips. That's a lot of pips. And the euro is about to drop another 250 pips. So guys, in total, that's a lot of serious pips. Guys, and thanks, all of this is thanks to what the top-down analysis because we're able to anticipate thousands of pips into the future. We spot the trades, we trade them, close our laptop with peace of mind, go spend time with our family, go shopping while the market makes money for us while we sleep. The top-down analysis equates true freedom and I'll keep speaking about it, I'll keep preaching about it. And I mean, most of you guys are on the Forex Mastery program anyways. So you know exactly what I'm talking about. For those of you guys who haven't grabbed the Forex Mastery program that has the top-down analysis included inside it, the link to grab the program is in the description. As always, you see it right there or it's gonna be around here somewhere. So guys, once again, without any further ado, I'm gonna jump into my chat so that you can see what I'm saying. You can see that, yes indeed, this top-down analysis is the way to what to go. Once again, my name is Dapo Willis. Thank you for joining me. Now let's jump into my screen. Love you guys very much. Let's go. How's it going, beautiful traders? Welcome inside of my screen, yours truly once again. It's my face, the face you love to see when it comes to Forex. Now guys, obviously as you can see, I've got my charts ready to go. I've got AUD-USD in front of me which is looking very heavy. So we're looking about a potential 300-pip drop. Then another 200-pip drop which should take us to about 500 potential pips. But I've already been able to bag as we speak about 500 pips from the top. And I'm gonna be speaking about the Euro which is about to drop another 250 pips. But before I jump into the chart, so do anything of that, you know what to do, do it right now. If you haven't already subscribed to the YouTube channel, I encourage you to do that. You have five seconds to do that now so that you do not miss out on fantastic charging opportunities like this one, okay? So I give you five seconds to subscribe. Five, four, three, oh shit. Two, one, subscribe to thing. And don't forget to smash the bell icon so that you get notifications when I post these videos. Now let me just put my phone on don't disturb so that we can jump into this. So first thing I'm going to surgically dissect is AUD-USD. Now I'm gonna quickly do a recap on AUD-USD because it's been a while since I've been on the charts in front of you. It's been a while since I've been in front of you guys on YouTube, right? Obviously bringing down the chart. So it's very simple. Top-down analysis states that we must always analyze from a higher timeframe down. Monthly timeframe has been pointing downward since, you know, like I've been telling you guys, I'm only gonna flow in the direction or trend in the direction of the trend. And for every time we jump back up, I've kind of like stayed aside from AUD-USD because I've always known. So the major trees I have taken have been the swings to the downside. Pullbacks you can see have been very choppy. Pullbacks are always choppy because it's going against the flow of the river. But look, for every time we come down, you know, it's always an easier flow. And then we pulled back pretty significantly here. Although I did spot this pullback and I did make some money, but I was obviously using some counter-trend strategies to do that. But no, we suddenly made some good money here, but I always prefer to trade in the direction of the trend. And then we did this pullback and then we started to drop again to the downside. Now this is my style of trading. I like to trade in the direction of the trend because I'm trading in the direction of less friction. Once there's less friction, there's less manipulation, there's less choppiness, things just flow a lot easier. You're not in profit one day and then the next day, you know, the market is taking away from you. No, when you're trading direction of the trend, if you're on profit, it just keeps going. But if you're going against the trend, you start to see, you know, up and down a lot more choppy movement and that is very bad for your mental health when it comes to trading. So monthly timeframe is telling me lower. As you can see, my key levels have been plotted pretty nicely. So what has happened to AUD-USD was, you have to understand that AUD-USD, one leg to the down, we had this pullback, we're about to drop and come into 0.600 with his hair. However, the market stopped just 128 pips shy of fat. Round this is, 0.600 is a round number. So I was expecting this guy to come complete here, which came here, that didn't happen. So what happened was the market came shy of hair and pushed back into this key level. You have to understand that there are two components of the top-down analysis. It's your flow of the river, which is overall trend and these major levels, as you can see. Once again, if you want to learn how to plot these key levels, you want to understand what I'm saying better. Get the forex mastery program. All the information is on there. I don't have time to explain into how I plot this and how I plot that. There's no time for that. I expect most of you guys who are watching this to be part of the forex mastery program so that you understand what I'm saying. Once again, if you want to grab the program, the link is in the description down below. So key levels plotted here is so simple. You have to understand that once the market moved from zone to zone, like I keep telling you guys, this zone, test this zone, come here. This zone, test this zone, blah, blah, blah. So we came shy of this zone. The marketing wasn't obviously having it. And then we push back into this major zone and we start to see bearish candlestick formation and we start pointing to the downside. So what this simply means is obviously the monthly timeframe is already bearish. This guy is rejecting it to the downside. It's common sense. This is a downward play. Monthly is saying downwards. We have key level resistance rejecting it. We have monthly bearish engulfing candle and we have space to the downside that we haven't already completed. So these three, four, these are, it's pretty much the evidence, right? So I have these four things that are very, very strong in terms of conviction. It's telling me your dabs, monthly is saying downwards. Monthly, key level bearish. Monthly candle bearish engulfing candle. We have space to the downside. You don't need any more information than that. That's all you pretty much need for you to form a trading bias. So down with the monthly timeframe, so then what you do is come to weekly timeframe. Now, I have personally been shot since here, okay? Because I use my simple counter-trend line break strategy for ex-martry students. You know how my strategy goes. So entry was here, been shot in this bad boy. We came here. This market wants to come all the way down here. Like I keep telling you guys, if the market is gonna drop a significant amount of pips, it doesn't just fall off the sky. We would come and play around. The market was mess around. Now, when we pulled back, we had this nice pullback. It's, we pulled back into here, and then, so that's where you come to the daily timeframe. Now, I had shot positions inside here. So as you can see, when we pull back, now, quick one. The market doesn't just go from zone to zone in a straight line. It would drop, consolidate, drop, consolidate, drop, consolidate, drop, consolidate. Now, these consolidations give us an opportunity to add even more trades. I'm shot somewhere around here. But because of the fact that I knew it wasn't gonna drop all the way down, for every consolidation I see, the market presents to me, I see it as an opportunity to add more selling positions. It's just like, I have a 1,000-pip gap, and I know the market is gonna drop to 700 pips. I'll add more position, drops to 400 pips. I'll add more position. So this way, at the end of the day, you probably bag like 2,000 pips from a 1,000-pip move from one single pair. I've spoken about this over and over and over again. I keep talking about it, right? You don't need more than one pair. You just need one pair that's about to have a massive move and then you just stack up along the way. This is the simplest and easiest and safest way to flip your account, while still keeping your risk low. Okay, for each of these trades, 3% risk. Once the market goes in my favor, before I get into another trade, that's my previous trade. My stop-loss is I move past break-even to ensure that that first trade is risk-free, transfer the risk to the next trade, and that's exactly how my risk at every giving time is always 3%. Never more than 3% on a single pair. Never, okay? This is exactly how you go ahead to risk 3%. Have you had somebody risking 3% to make almost 45% return on investment? By the time I'm done with this, probably 50%. Easy, easy. Cause I've got about three trades inside here. I've got one trade here. Before we get here, we're gonna have more trading opportunities to jump in as well. So, yeah, it's as simple as that. Identify the big moves on higher timeframes and then come to lower timeframes to trade them. Anyway, long story short, inside here for about three different trades, I've been posting, if you can check, the previous three episodes I've been on this because this guy has been in this range for how long? Let me calculate the weeks. One, two, three, four, one, two, three, four, one, two. So this is two months and since March, I've been short in here. This is 24th of May, I've been short. This market since March. And because of the fact that I believe so strongly in my top-down analysis and how to trade, because I believe so strongly in my top-down analysis and the ideology of what it brings to me, I stick to my guns. I ain't going anywhere. I have nowhere else to go. This is my strategy and I'm gonna live by, okay? In good times and bad times, okay? So what most people call bad times is stop losses. I don't really get stopped out. I'm right nine out of 10 times. My strike rate is 95%. You get what I mean. Sometimes we have situations whereby the market is taking a longer period for it to hit its target, which is normal and natural, but this is where a lot of traders tend to lose faith and lose confidence in their strategy. But because it has worked for me so many times and made me so freaking rich, I ain't going anywhere. Just imagine for how many months, two months, my trade that I placed here, okay? Calm down, jump up. My stop losses was above the supply zone pretty nicely, right? The market will calm down, give me profit, come back up, calm down, give me profit, come back up, pay close to my stop loss area, start jumping down again. Do you know how long this took for this to happen? This took weeks in all of this. I closed my computer and I just went and go have fun. And guess what, guys? We have tested this place for the third time. We have this, so we're currently underneath. And I say to you guys, see, this is a golden rule when it comes to trading, right? If you're trading in a particular direction and the market is looking like it wants to pull back or whatever thing it is doing, keep your supply levels or your demand levels, just keep your levels intact, don't delete them. You start to realize that the market will play around it. Allow the market play around it. I always say to myself, and in this case of AUD-US and I want you guys to learn from this, I said, provided we stay below this supply zone, AUD-USD is bearish. We picked it the first time, picked it here, picked it here, we tried to do a stop loss run. We came down here to the bottom. We rallied all the way to the imagine I made all this profit, still didn't close my trade. I watched my trade go back into negative and almost get to my stop loss. I did not shake because I had big plans for AUD-USD, which is, as you can see, is down here, okay? So this is ultimate belief. I believe so much in the top-down analysis. It is my bread and butter and I'm not gonna deviate from it. I've been doing this for as long as I've been trading and I encourage you guys, if you don't have a strategy that you believe in so much, get the Forex Mastery Program, get the top-down analysis so that you have something that you can potentially hold on to. Now, without any further ado, AUD-USD, you had it here first on DapSea Radio. 0.62088 is the next level target for AUD-USD. It's an absolute no-brainer. I don't see any reason why we shouldn't come down here. Once we break this, the market is heavy. It's gonna break. It's heavy. It's not like here where we jumped all the way to Nana. This guy is freaking heavy, except some news or some crazy thing happened. This guy is heavy. Next level target, 0.62088. If we can break that, 0.600. And if I calculate, I've got three positions in here, one position in here. If I calculate everything together, that's a lot of pips. That's gonna be a lot of freaking pips. Maybe three K pips on AUD-USD alone. That's gonna be, I don't think I might need, if this trade gets to this green bar, I might not need to trade again for the rest of the year. I'll be good. Okay, so this is the power of one trade, one pair, multiple trades. One pair with big potential, multiple trades. And then stick to one. And I know AUD-USD inside out like the back of my hand, so I feel like I've mastered the pair to a certain extent, right? Next pair, Euro-USD. And this is the reason why I strongly believe that AUD-USD is gonna drop. The Euro, on the other hand, is one pair that made me very, like it broke my heart last time because I'll tell you what happened. So first of all, we must always come to the monthly timeframe just to see what exactly is happening. You guys can see that I want bearish, bearish, bearish. So I jumped on this wave all the way to the downs. I made so much money. I had been, like most of what, since the beginning of 2022 was a fantastic trading year for me last year. It's one of my best trading years so far. The year before that, you can see all this choppy movement was consolidation, blah, blah, blah. But once we were able to break, let me zoom this in so that you guys can understand what I mean. Once we were able to come out of this head, this was a double top. The market wasn't showing what it wanted to do, you know, all that. But once we were able to break this neckline and start heading downwards, and I could see that clearly on the monthly timeframe, as you can see from a monthly timeframe, I can clearly see that once we had broken here, next level target was here. Mind you, this is a monthly timeframe. Between here, between this bar and this bar, it's about a thousand pips. Yeah. So what that means was, once we had broken out here, I was certain of a thousand pips because the next level target was down here. And I also said, if we can take out this level, next level target is gonna be down here. So technically, I projected Euro to drop 2,000 pips. Best believe I was selling, shorting it, eating, caught everything live on my YouTube channel. It was sequential, it was straightforward. It was very much on point. We got here around parity level. So we obviously, parity is 1.00. This pretty much meant that the Euro was equal to the dollar. So 1.00 was parity. We got to parity, and then I started to notice some, the selling action wasn't that strong anymore. Anyways, we came down to obviously test the key level. It has to test the key level, as you can see. Tested the key level pretty nicely. Key levels are very important in your trading. What did we do when we tested the key level? Green, green bars, green bars, green bars. We break this inner trend line. We come, we settle what was known as resistance before. When you break above it, it becomes support. And the Euro looked like it was about to start heading higher. However, I was very skeptical about this, because if I take my, because first of all, this is a leg to the downside. This is a lower low from here, okay? So this is a high. This is a low. This is a lower low from here. If I know the market very well, before we come and put in a full scale reversal to the upside, we must at least see a double bottom. Now, this market, this is not a double bottom. This is a single bottom. So I said, this retracement might probably just be short lived. Maybe we just wanna come up with some technical levels. And as you can see, that is what is happening right now. If I also draw my Fibonacci from swing high to swing low, you can see very, this is known as the Willis zone on a high timeframe. Any time technicals line up like this on a very high timeframe, you need to take it very seriously. Forex mastery students, you know this. They say, no brainer. So major thing, 50 fib is holding. Market is looking downwards, you know? So this is monthly for you on Euro-USD. Now, done with monthly, I wrote all the levels are plotted pretty nicely. We all know that the next level target is obviously, we have, these are the two zones that are guiding this coin price movement, right? I'm currently pointing down. So if anything at all, this is the closest in sight. If we're gonna come down, we're gonna come down here. If we're gonna go up, we're gonna go up here. These are to guide us, right? However, Euro and bearish because overall, this market is bearish. So monthly has said, what has monthly totals? Overall flow is down, overall flow is down. Secondly, we have put into Fibonacci, bearish Fibonacci pointing lower. And as you can see, I can see some bearish candlestick action happening at the moment. Today is the 24th of May. If this market continues like this for the next 30 days, I'll tell you, 31 days in May, 31 days in May, right? So if this candle closes like this, we're heading to the downside. So monthly has already told me what he needs to tell me for the Euro. Then I come to the weekly to see what exactly is happening. Now on the weekly, I can see very clearly that this was the top of the Euro. We tried to break it. It didn't break. This is a double top on the weekly timeframe. ForexMash students, you know that module that I talk about, it's called trend reversals. What is the golden rule for trend reversals? Double top on a what weekly timeframe? I'm not gonna say the rest, but you know, this is a trend reversal. Now, this is a trend reversal. Don't forget, this is a trend. So this double top is reversing this. So this double top is reversing this upward trend. This is a medium term upward trend. The overall trend is still bearish. You can have an upward trend within a downtrend. I'll explain that again. You can have an upward trend within a downtrend. And that is usually known as a retracement. So the market can be trending downward, but medium term trending upwards, usually in a case of a what a retracement. This is what is bringing an end to the retracement. This double top, right? Now, you know, baby peeps one on one, right? Double top, the market must come down to complete at the neckline. So now this double top has held. That means what I can see for free right now is next level target for the euro will be 1.0500. Now between here and here is about a 250-pip drop. So now what I've been able to identify is a 250-pip drop. You see how I've used the higher time frames to identify space of trading opportunity that I can then take advantage of. And then you come to the daily timeframe. Tell you guys, if you don't have a forest mastery program, you're sleeping on a bicycle, man. You're sleeping on the bicycle. Get it, save yourself all that stress, all that rubbish they're teaching you guys in signals. They don't work, all those telegram groups don't work. Learn how to do it properly, but you never go hungry again in your life. So from what I can see here, this is the euro, right? We're easily easing ourselves all the way to downside. So in this situation, I would like to use what I like to call the falling knife strategy, which I have been promising to updates and I've updated seeds. Yeah, 22. Mm-mm-mm-mm, girl, I wanna handle you. Bam. So we have that there. That's mapped out. So what I'm gonna do is I'm gonna delete this. I'm going to put my minor level back here. You may say, mm-hmm, mm-hmm. Yeah, so it needs to touch the supplies of which is about here. So what I've done here is I've been able to identify a minor level of resistance because this market is not just gonna drop. We would roll over like so. So I'm done with that. We come over to a four-hour timeframe. Once we come over to the four-hour timeframe, I will be expecting this market to roll over all the way to the downside. Although I'm not going to, I don't have a training opportunity, just yet for the Euro, but I'll be monitoring the Euro and I'll be looking for potential pullbacks into supply regions about here. So this is looking like a decent supply region. So I'm gonna be watching the Euro very carefully. If I come to one-hour timeframe, maybe I can get some better view of what exactly is happening. So I'm gonna be watching this bad boy for a potential pullback into 1.08400. If we get that, ooh, I'll be jumping on this pretty nicely, although the consolidations are very small. So we might not have a significant pullback, but I'll be looking for a pullback on the Euro to jump on this, but I can tell you for free, next level target on the Euro is 1.0500, right? So all I need to do now is look for training opportunity and I'm going to jump into the Euro-USD. If I were you, I wouldn't be in a hurry. This market tends to do this. You act like, yeah, yeah, yeah, I wanna go, I wanna go, I wanna go, then pullback. I wanna go, I wanna go, I wanna pullback, right? So don't be in a hurry. Wait for a pullback that fits your training style and jump in. So you had it here first on DapSea Radio 1.05500, right? I see no reason why we shouldn't get all the way down there. Now, quickly talk about GBP-USD. GBP-USD, the situation was a bit similar. We failed to give it. So what happened was GBP-USD actually quite clever. It came into the supply zone, right? So we've come into the supply zone. So what's happened before I talk about supply zone? This is not a clear higher high, okay? This is not, this cannot equally pass at the third top of the trend line because we tried, it didn't happen. So what happened was the market killed two birds with one stone, gave it third touch of here, a failed higher high, but it also quickly went to touch the supply zone. We've done that. It's tired. Look, this how you know your market is struggling to go somewhere. When you see, look at the amount of candles. Go up, come on, it doesn't wanna go up. It wants to come down. GBP-USD, next level target 1.2, 100. Don't forget this is a head and shoulder pattern that has fun here. If I were you, I would wait for this level to be broken, simple as short. Next level target for this 1.2, 1500. So you got nothing to worry about. In terms of entries and exits, I'm gonna give this market maybe another five, six days. I will be looking for a more refined entry because I'm already short AUD-USD, Euro not yet, GBP-USD not yet. So I'll be looking for a more refined entry in the coming days, but I just wanted to give you guys some heads up that some money, some good money is about to be made. What do I need from GBP-USD? Take this guy out. Come down here. Nice daily candle close. Start looking for a consolidation around here. Drop it. This is where you can freely and easily scale down to your one hour timeframe and look for trading opportunities once we clear here. So you got nothing to worry about. Just wanted to give you guys some heads up once again of what exactly is happening on the Forex market. My trades are still intact, still short AUD-USD. I might be looking to jump into the Euro and GBP-USD as the days unfold. Once again, I love you guys very much. Not touching gold. Gold is so confused. Every other pair is confused. The three majors are popping right now, okay? So guys, thank you for staying to the very end of this video. I love you guys very much. I'll catch you guys in my subsequent videos. See you guys in my other screen. Peace out. Don't forget to get the Forex Mastery Program. Change your life. Bye, see you. All right, thank you guys for staying to the very end of this very lengthy video. It wasn't that lengthy, it was quite short, but obviously I had to spend some time explaining certain things to you guys so that you guys understand what exactly it is. You know, I'm looking at what exactly it is I'm coming from. And I hope you guys were able to gain a lot of knowledge but most importantly, go ahead and get ready for these trades that are about to line up so that you guys could potentially make some good money as well. Once again, my name is Dapo Wins. I love you guys very much. If you haven't already grabbed the program, the link is in the description as always. I'll catch you guys in my subsequent videos. Take it easy and peace out.