 Tonight is one of extremes in daily fantasy baseball because there's a pitcher with a salary that is very very high Who I want to use and I want to use a lot of our second guy is also pretty high salary Our third pitcher is I believe the lowest salary to guy on the entire slate So we're either swimming in the deep end or we're going all the way to the bottom And it's going to be I think a pretty fun one for tonight We have a lot of fun ways you can play things different roster construction you can go with we're going to break it down Let you know Which players are focusing on which guys on the extremes? I'm talking about and get you ready for a Tuesday night in MLB DFS. Welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonna I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire here to break down Tuesdays 10 a game main slate with Lockstep for 7 0 5 p.m. Eastern for today weather notes for this slate There is a slight chance of rain in Minneapolis for the twins and Padres They should be able to play but we're checking back on later for that and then some mild weather in Wrigley today for the Cubs and the Cardinals same as last night where it is chilly Not quite as windy this time with the winds in at just five miles per hour versus Around nine miles per hour last night So downgrade bats. They're just not quite as drastically as you would have for last night. We'll dive in and break down The pitching options the fun way to play the slate and the stacks and much more But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast Eat wherever you get your podcast later on today branding a duel and I breaking down this week's PGA tour event The AT&T Byron Nelson letting you know our top golfers any salary tier roster construction and much more To get you ready for this week's event to get that in all of our podcasts as they go live to search for the number fire Daily fantasy podcast eat wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe And if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating the NBA playoffs are in full swing And you can get in on the action right from first tip with Fanuel right now all customers can get a no-sweat Same-game parlay every weekend when you bet the NBA playoffs That's right. 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Hey Zeus Lazardo is 95 Lucas Geolito 93 with Louie Varland Nick Pavetta Eric Lauer Clark Schmidt Andrew Heaney and Jack Flaherty as the others at $8,000 or higher now based on that list you probably could guess who the high salary guy is that's gonna be show Hey, Otani, he's facing the Astros tonight We could have had reservations in the past about that honestly with Otani I might have still done it, but I'm not gonna have those right now Otani is the top guy on this slate We knew the Astros would struggle a bit coming into this year while they waited to get healthier But it's just so little power and it's kind of shocking how rough they've bent that department this year They have an 82 WRC plus against righties with a 116 ISO. They are doing nothing there But they also have about a league average strikeout rage. So In every key category, they are right now a plus matchup or at least a neutral matchup for righties for the time being And it's not as if Otani needs that because he faced a much tougher Cardinals team last time now And he did let up some runs in that game, but also 13 strikeouts We're up to 13 starts now on Otani Leaning more heavily on his slider or his cutter depending on which he feels at night in that 13 start sample He has a 35 percent strikeout rate That is the best number on the slate by seven percentage points in each guys most relevant sample Otani is walking a couple too many guys, but no real hard contact issues And honestly, if you were having hard contact issues here, would it matter that much against the Astros? I think we had the full green light here to go high on Otani. So once again, Shohei Otani is the top guy of the night I do think there is a safe Decently high upside alternative in the upper range as well. So talk about him now then we'll get to the value play It's an alternative with a good floor. I think he has a path to a ceiling and that's Logan Webb I like him plenty here at 10-5 if you want to pivot away from Otani Webb is at home facing the Nationals and they are one of the few teams in baseball with less power than the Astros They're ISO against righties on the current active roster this year is 099 with a 76 WRC plus The one downside is that they don't strike out They have a 20 percent strikeout rate versus righties, which is four percentage points lower than the Astros that Otani gets and Webb himself not as big of a strikeout guys of Tani He has been getting more this year than he was last year. He has a 27 percent strikeout rate across seven stars It's up from 21 percent last year Weirdly, he's been doing that while throwing more sinkers and fewer sliders Usually that combination leads to fewer strikeouts So this might not stick and his swinging striker is almost identical to last year But even if the strikeouts do fall Webb is a very good real-world pitcher and that's why the floor is so high here And he can access that ceiling if the strikeouts come which they may so Webb is not purely just a pivot off Otani I think that he is also one Who is viable in general? I would prefer Otani 10 times out of 10 But Webb is at least solid on his own merit as well So Tani is the highest sourced guy. I mentioned earlier. There is a lower sourced guy I feel good about and typically if you're a regular listener, you know I don't tend to go towards the super low value plays because Values are values for a reason and I need points But I think we get an exception for tonight and Brandon fought fought salary is $5,800 And I'm willing to give him a run here today Fought made his debut last week and it didn't go very well He let up seven earned runs in four and two-thirds innings He let up four home runs in that game I came against Texas. They were a good team a good offense with a lot of power, but they're not a juggernaut offensively So that's a concern to see fought struggle so much there But his numbers in triple-a were really nice He made 10 starts there last year and five this year His swinging strike rates were 16.7% and 14.4% respectively Didn't walk many guys and he converted those swinging strikes into strikeouts It is possible fought was letting up a lot of hard contact down there Based on his first star in the majors that would be the big issue here But the strikeouts were there the power issue the issue with hard contact is less concerning in this specific matchup He's facing the Marlins who have an 83 WRC plus against righties a 30% fly ball rates and above average strikeout rate too So it might be dumb given how bad that first star went It's possible thought is just not ready yet, but his salary is fifty eight hundred dollars You can use any hitter you want if you go 58 so as you know, this is not my typical approach But I think for tonight thought actually does have upside. We're not sacrificing that by going down low We can get access to high upside batters by using him So I think tonight is a good time to have some fun Check out Brandon fought see how it goes and if it doesn't go well, you know We're on to the next slate, but I think it's at least worth a sniff when you're not going otani for tonight So top-pitching options for today show. Hey, I'm Tony Logan Whether to pivot in the top range and then Brandon fought as the lower salary guy who actually does have some viability for today Let's go now to the stacks and talk about what's Attractive there and part of the reason why I fought to me stands out is I actually don't mind some high salary Batters for tonight Specifically on the Dodgers and I think they are the top stack here the Dodgers have not lit up lefties so far this year They have just a 93 WRC plus so it's not been their forte by any means. I think they could improve that tonight I like them quite a bit as a stack They're facing Eric Lauer and we've talked quite a bit about Lauer this year He's throwing a lot of cutters and his velocity is down. He's still gotten strikeouts, which is good, but His contact profile is pretty rough across it starts Lauer's led up a 45% hard hit race with a 46% fly ball rates His 4.4 ERA is fine, but his expected ERA is 5.87 I think there is implosion potential in Those batted ball numbers Even the Tigers touched up flower for four runs in Milwaukee, which is where this game is tonight So the Dodgers have not done great against lefties yet But I think they could here so the good it's a good stack for upside We can probably get to them tonight. Maybe not with Otani But I still think the Dodgers worth consideration, especially if you have web or fought as your top pitcher they've been pretty aggressive with batting Chris Taylor high in the order against lefties and past couple games versus lefties Taylor's hit fifth and fourth and He doesn't tend to leave early for pinch hitters. He hits lefties really well still I think Taylor is a lot of upside so $3,000 for him very fair number think that makes a lot of sense and Chris Taylor one of the more reasonably salary Dodgers So if you can't get to the Dodgers stack with Otani, I wouldn't mind tossing in Taylor as a one-off To get some upside exposure to this offense Patrick Corbin facing the Giants tonight. He threw a gem last time out He held the Cubs to just two runs across seven innings He had six strikeouts and no walks and he has been getting better of late So this is good. This is fun to see cuz Corbin. It's not a rough go You don't want to see that happen forever. I still think we want to stack the Giants against him tonight despite that good start last week Looking at Corbin's pitches in that game his pitch mix and his velocity were pretty similar to before He did get more whiffs which is a positive for him But the bad at ball data was still rough of the 18 balls in play Corbin allowed there ten of them were hard Hits so that part of the issue for Corbin is not cured He's letting up a 46% hard hit rate so far this year the Giants definitely not flawless against lefties where they strike out a ton and That's plus what Corbin did last week means this stack is not a lock But no stacks are locks locks do not exist in sports betting in general or daily fantasy in general so locks don't exist but This Giants offense has some lefty bangers the larger sample on Corbin is not great So I will go here even with some legitimate concerns given how well Corbin pitched last week given the Giants do strike out a lot I still think they're worth a look for tonight I do think Wilmer Flores is viable here within these stacks and with some pinch hit risk He's left for a pinch hitter twice this year and both were in the eighth inning Both of them were recent which is not worthy But they also came after he'd had four played appearances already before leaving that game So it is a risk especially with some of their guys being back now But I still think it's worth it for Flores. He it's lefties. Well, he's not devoid of risk But it comes with some upside for sure where you're not just getting maybe a solo home run I think there is some potential for more on top of that So Flores to me a quality option for tonight within the Giants stacks Finally I talked last night about how hard it is mentally to stack the Yankees because they just lack juice right now That's still a case but as we saw last night the ace bullpen is a nightmare and With the ace still in town. I think we want to go to the Yankees once again They're facing Drew Usinski this time he's been pitching in Acadia the past couple years and just two starts back in the big leagues for Usinski and Hasn't been great yet. He has more walks and strikeouts He's gotten some ground balls, but not a ton and that's about it Also, not as many ground balls that thought he'd get when he came back here to the States And hasn't helped him that much because in the two starts Usinski has a seven point seven one era his skill interactive era is six point six two with a six point nine to expect the Aray now you will get a boost tonight facing the Yankees. That's not a Terrifying line up by any means, but I don't think that boost he'll get will be enough to Negate the issues he's had and again, even if he is good We can still get points against that bullpen Which is what happened last night where JP Sears pitched Well, the bullpen did not instill allowed the Yankee stacks to come through so even in their Hyper depleted states. I still think we should stack the Yankees again tonight against Rusinski and the ace bullpen We have to make sure we're doing so with guys of the upside and that's not super easy right now I think one out is using guys with speed so Anthony Volpe labor Torres. They both steal bases Torres can go deep against righties to Anthony Rizzo at least puts the ball in the air against righties You know hasn't been the most powerful guy so far this year, but does put in the air then a Jake Bowers plays He was at least playing great in triple a His underlying numbers in the major so far in a small sampler pretty good So it's not inspiring But it's enough for us to be okay that Willie Calhoun to a lower sour guy, but You don't feel great about stacking the Yankees, but I still think it's at least worthwhile Given how bad how wretched how hideous that ace bullpen is at the moment Things to watch for tonight. I could see the weather in Chicago pushing you toward Jameson Tyone, especially because it is Lower temperature very low total Tyone is favorite in this game. I'd be wearing a pitch count though He went 42 pitches last week and that was his first start off the IL He came back and kind of a rush because I didn't have anybody to start So he came back with no rehab start which to me says he's building back up still I Tyone projected for 60 pitches tonight and he may exceed that But I don't think it's enough to justify using the Tyone A guy who will not be on my radar for DFS for tonight The White Sox are pretty similar to the Yankees where they have a great situation I just don't really want to stack them right now They're facing Jordan Lyles who's really struggling with fly balls at the moment getting minimal strikeouts So within White Sox actually to be some a bit selective But they're a fine spot to go for one offs and such given their matchup here with Lyles and the Royals Finally, I've talked about stacking against Nick Pivetta earlier on this year and he has improved He's been using more curveballs recently. It's helped Cut back on my hard contact a bit But it's still a 44 percent of hard hit rates across his four starts with more curveballs He stays in the braves tonight who have a lot of power. I think they'd be a pretty decent stack So I don't think the braves behind the top three at least so behind the Dodgers behind the Giants behind the Yankees I think they're in the same tier as the White Sox for very different reasons where we're wary about them with the matchup We're about the White Sox to the quality hitting So kind of whichever way you want to play that they're both those teams of consideration behind our top three Let's finish up here the Dinger calls for this Dinger Tuesday over at Fandall's sportsbook The boring home run call gotta go Mookie Betts facing off with a guy letting up a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact Mookie since coming back has been hitting the ball pretty well I don't mind Will Smith here either in terms of his outlook in this game So I'm gonna go Mookie whenever I pick will Smith He tends to the 60s a catcher But we'll go Mookie Betts as the first home run call for today his odds of Angel sportsbook plus 350 They're not super long by any means Chris Taylor's plus 520. Maybe that's more fun But Mookie Betts the official fun home run call for today Are for the the more boring one I should say for the fun one Let's go one more Flores again facing off at the lefty and Patrick Corwin Let's up a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact Flores does tend to stand for the entire game. He's plus 520 at Fandall sportsbook JD Davis is plus 560 We talked about him last night. I think both those guys make a lot of sense So got a couple options here between Mookie Betts and Chris Taylor if you want to go a bit longer there And then one more Flores or JD Davis within the Giants for tonight That's all we got here for this Tuesday slate of MLB DFS again As I mentioned, we are back later on today breaking down some PGA DFS for the AT&T Byron Nelson get that in the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe If you like what you hear leave us a five-star rating as well If you've got any questions for me, I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S back with you once again tomorrow to break down Wednesday sleep We'll talk to you all then and good luck tonight This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network