 What's going on and welcome to the NBA DFS Q&A show? My name is Tom Vecchio I'll be here for the next 30 minutes taking your questions about tonight's NBA slate We have a lot going on a lot of great games. We want to be targeting We also have a lot of value on this slate not too many injuries to be worrying about I think we're in a pretty good spot as always this show is every Wednesday at 4 p.m. If you found on the family YouTube twitch Twitter Facebook pages make sure to like follow subscribe all of those platforms Let's hop right in again a lot of high scoring games on tonight's slate that we want to be targeting I think that there are you know three four five six games We want to be focusing in on and then there's some games at the low tier that we can be potentially avoiding that won't have Too much of a fantasy upside This doesn't mean you can't take a player or two from some of these games Of course, you know going to someone like lukidoncic is always a great option But a 217 over under going up against portland is you know far different compared to some of these games in the high 220s or 230s So we want to be focusing in on the right players. There's a lot of value on tonight's slate I'm expecting you know a lot of players or a lot of the key value players to be very very chalky We can touch on some betting lines some bets that I already made Starting off. I took the over on I think it's 13 and a half for goga bataza the Now starting center for the indiana pacers Just a solid roll for him Moving forward it's 12 and a half. I think it's I think 12 and a half. I think uh bismac bianbo is the other player I took I think his might be a 13 and a half for the suns, you know, I like the roles that they have I love the matchups that they both have Given you know, no rudigo bear for the jazz certainly looking to Some of these players so it is 11 and a half I forget maybe I was looking at someone else. I was 13 and a half but the over and both bismac bianbo and goga bataza for those Uh, like in the roles that they had like I said and and charl is just so bad against centers this season that The upside for really anyone on the pacers is going to be immense Green is here saying first one. Let's go. Let's get this bank. Yeah, absolutely. There's this is shaping up to be a good slate Like I said, these games that we want to be targeting tonight charlotte and the at indiana very high over under These two games between the clippers the magic and the nicks and the heat like these are games I'm just Essentially avoiding like when push comes to shove if I can take a player from One game or take a player from one of these games I'm probably leaning towards the player in the other game. Maybe outside of col anthony Great salary on him today coming in $5,300. You know should be a A solid value option, but like outside of him Maybe a few shares of jimmy butler, but those two games and Whereas like the dallas game like these games just don't move the needle when we can be getting games with 228 over unders 230 over unders Especially between Memphis and san antonio two teams in the top seven of the league in all kinds of pace This shapes up for so much back and forth scoring. So that's really where we want to be starting off with things I know a lot of people are going to be trying to pay up for yokich They'll probably be trying to pay up for uh jame tartan again as he had a a massive night the other night Uh, you know, this leaves you in a spot where you're looking for value. This is a this is a spot where You know, we'll see potentially some Cole anthony. He's obviously an easy option to get in there again very affordable 5,300 Cam johnson for phoenix has jumped into the starting lineup. I wrote about him today On the three value articles Three value plays article that I do on number fire dot com every day He's going to be in for plenty minutes. The phoenix rotation is a bit thinned out. No jay crowder No javale McGee no deandre eighton. So they are no uh campaign as well So then they're missing a few of their depth players some of their starters So this pushes cam johnson into the starting line of $5,000 going up against utah is a spot that we always want to be uh looking for some potential upside, you know, not a whole lot of Uh injuries A tentacupo should be playing the major ones would be van vleet fox jared alan I would say are the main three some of these are secondary and role players overall for their teams van vleet and fox are Some players I would have certainly some interest in If they do play especially deer and fox going up against alanta in a game that has a 231 over under so I think that's just a little more impactful for My player allocation, but overall I don't think he's massively important if he's out I think you can continue to look to tyris hallibur and Continue to look for two harrison barns for some of that scoring upside Any love for gogabtase or o shape or set uh dj from facebook is asking Uh So yes, if you're just joining gogabtase, I already took the over on as I mentioned right at the beginning if you're just joining I took the over on his uh points prop, which is sitting at 12 and a half So i'm a big fan of gogabtase. I wrote him up today on number fire for one of the value plays His points pop is uh points prop is sitting at 12 and a half I took the over on that love the consistency for him I also think he makes obviously a very solid value play for not spending up for Yolk itch it makes a clear option to just drop down at the at the center position and take a player like gogabtase Take a player like bismac biombo. So yes, I'm all over gogabtase today Whether it's in dfs or betting like the volume shot is going to be there for him with braggern out What's the bonus out with turn around their line up is thin down So we want to be going to him for some consistent scoring That's a spot that I know I'll be looking So yes all over gogabtase I think you can be going to him as well in the mid tier at center bismac biombo Like I said is up a little bit higher at 60 was a 6,800 6,300 for biombo. So I'm certainly looking there in the mid tier I also like yaka pearl tonight. He's a little more expensive at $7,800 But he's you know below the top tier of yokich and and nerkich nerkich has been playing very very well as a late for portland Uh this game overall though against dallas like I said one of the games I am Not super excited about 217 over under dallas plays so slow portland Also, not the fastest team in the league. They're playing down in pace. So yeah, I have a little bit of interest in use of nerkich I have a little bit of interest in Going to luka donch is just because I don't think he's going to be super popular given the other options We have on the slate but outside of those players like I'm not going to too many options in that game not going to too many options in the Clippers magic game outside of colanthony not too many options in the nix heat game I mean we could remove these three games from the slate and we'd still be dealing with a great seven game slate with like Plenty of high upside plays I do expect yokich and hardened to be You know super popular as you would expect like these are players that legitimately have triple double potential On any single night, especially hardened with no durant and no card urebing in the lineup yokich can do it on literally any single night It does mean you will need to find a bit of value. So if you're looking for value There's certainly some strong options colanthony is always going to be rating out high, especially just due to his salary only being 5300 Jordan Clarkson not a super deep value plays $5,600. I prefer cam johnson at 5 000 going to kessler edwards again at 4 000 You're actually blocked from playing a patad goga pataze if you're going with yokich But I look a little bit further down I'm a fan of uh keldon johnson tonight. Simply just want to get some extra exposure to this game Uh between the grizzlies and san antonio get two teams in the top seven the league of offensive pace is a spot that I would be looking Uh grim on youtube is saying uh dorian finney smith ben mackamore cam johnson or joe engels Out of that group, I would take I would take cam johnson and joe engel like as you can see cam johnson Uh player I already have like cam johnson is one of the players I wrote up today On number fire for one of the three value plays I would take him and joe engels ahead of both finney smith and ben mackamore. Uh, I would go with Both of them like nine nine and a half times out of 10 ahead of dorian finney smith and mackamore DJ is asking so no brishette. Uh, oh shaber sets. Uh, it's not that I don't like him tonight I think he's certainly a fine option is uh Small forward I think he's fine. I just there are like a few more options I'd be targeting slightly ahead of him. So I he was in my player pool in terms of the first run of Uh run through I did in the optimizer. I don't think it was a super high percentage So I will have some exposure to him. Uh, I just don't know how much yet. It does depend on Like if scottie barns does play for toronto that might impact it because I might just Shift some of the the salary down to gary trend at small forward and I I prefer trend over O'chaber said especially at 5 000 So I will have some exposure to him. It's just depending on how much I I also will like gary trend a lot Especially if we see van vleet and scottie barns out again We saw him take a ton of shots last night I think he fits well into a lot of lineup builds If you were building one lineup, would you play with play bianbo or patate? Green on youtube is asking. I would say it comes down ultimately to who else you are prioritizing Because they're slightly different in salaries. Not not a vast difference patate at 55 and bianbo's at 63 So it's not a massive gap If push comes to shove, I would take I would take a go to patate for Very minor reasons again. We're kind of splitting hairs here But the matchup against charlotte is awesome, right? They're allowing the third most fated points per game opposing center saying 57.26 We also see indiana Playing up and pace a big margin going up against charlotte. They're 19th league charlotte is sitting at second Now this is not to say that utah isn't uh, excuse me that bianbo isn't in a good spot going up against utah It's a slight pace down spot for phoenix. So that's a slight negative for him But there's no root to go bare on the utah side. So that's a positive for him so minor minor differences overall between them but ultimately i'm going to side with the game that has a higher over under so Very very minor differences for green is asking uh between bianbo and goga patate I would take goga patate very very slightly ahead again We're splitting hairs here between some of these players It also offers a slight amount of savings, which is always nice when you're trying to pay up for one or two more stars so going to him is probably my favorite option at the center position in the mid tier value-ish tier and that obviously opens up a lot if you're not paying up for Yoakish, which means i'm going to be prioritizing getting to murray or morant one of those two options is like this is a pretty you know common build that i've been seeing in in some of the Some of the run-throughs in in the optimizer where i'm targeting. Yoakish. I'm targeting harden murray morant That's kind of like top four uh studs on tonight's slate and then it's filtering a lot of this value and Where wherever else you decide to go if you want to spend down a little bit further at one of the positions Small forward you want to get to you know kessler edwards for brooklyn We know he's gonna be out there playing a ton of minutes. It opens up a little more salary taking an extra thousand dollars like $7,000 per player remaining at Power forward to kind of do whatever you want is certainly a great option so Yoakish murray morant harden are definitely my top four stars on tonight's slate And then again a lot of value at small forward a lot of value at the guard positions Grimm is asking would you consider stacking mccullum and simons on portland tonight? Or would you go to a combination of connelly and brunson? Uh, so mccullum and anthony simons. Like I said, this game is not a spot that i'm Targeting too many players. I wouldn't mind taking one of them I certainly wouldn't be taking both. That's just not something i'm doing with this game as I don't know if you joined a Little bit late, but as I said at the beginning like I have interest in luka I have interest in in nerk itch Maybe a little bit interest in one of simons or mccullum, but i'm not going to be overloading Options from this game. It is a 217 over under we have portland playing down in pace to dallas and dallas They are one of the top five or top three in the league in defensive efficiency since christmas And they were holding teams to under 40 percent in whatever that street They had was like x like eight or 10 games in a row like their defense has really really improved. So i'm not taking Probably more than one player from this game at in any of my lineup So I would lean towards connelly and brunson that would mitigate and brunson would be your one player from that game so Like I said this game New york at miami and los angeles at orlando just not games i'm targeting a lot of players from I think it's fine to go to colanthony. I think it's fine if you want to go To a mere coffee where you want to go to jimmy butler or whoever it might be Take a few shares of them. Don't be overloading Uh too many players from this match up brunson or divan chenzo. I would take jail in brunson Uh, just straight up one for one. I would take jail in brunson Uh green is asking can you play mury marance? Hardin in the same lineup. I that's totally fine You would have to find you probably wouldn't be able to pay up for yokich at that point Murray marance hardin. Yeah, you're honestly looking for a lot of value at that point, you know under five thousand per player But it's doable. I'm kessler edwards is what he's four thousand if you wanted to go to go batata at 55 like That's doable five thousand per player with four spots remaining. You're getting I mean Murray and hardin have very clear triple double upside murray has been I want to say unbelievable this year Just filling up a stat sheet every single night. I love all their usage all their production specifically marant and murray there That game environment is phenomenal um Moran could go for 40 plus murray could have a triple double hardin is always close to a triple double like that's that's an Your that's what like they could all go for 60 70 points tonight That's like a 180 points right there 190 points combined for those three easily So I'm totally on board that like I said those three plus yokich are my top four studs on tonight's late mixing mixing matching them Throughout my lineups to load up on them, you know drop off hard in it put in yokich and then You know just the inverse and then adding yokich and then move remove murray find more value, etc So that's how I kind of know roll with things when it comes to nba dfs. I have a tight group of Stars that I like I have a slightly larger group of value plays that I like and then You know throw them into the optimizer control the exposures don't overexpose myself to too many lower scoring games Uh, maybe I have to boost players up because I want a little more exposure to them Whether it's a value play whether it's a star play uh those types of situations because You don't want to be you know putting yourself in a bad spot when controlling your player pool keeping a tight player pool You know don't uh, you can't play everyone on the slate as they say So that's how I roll with uh nba dfs kind of keep things pretty centered centered around players that have high upside Good game environments high usage seeing extra minutes like all those sorts of things keep it pretty simple and nba dfs I will say I do have interest in trey young's Three-point prop tonight. I think that's one of the other ones I was looking at I took potate It's a Bismarck beyond bow over Uh, I think that's I think that's maybe it I I can't remember but Trey young is over threes is sitting at over three and a half. It's plus 130 So getting some really nice odds on that and we see sacramento A they play super fast very average against three pointers sitting right in the middle of the league game has a 231 over under we know that trey young takes a good volume of threes on a nightly basis And it's three and a half and he's hit eight four six and four in four of his last five games So I love the over on trey young's over three and a half made three pointers tonight. I also wouldn't hate going to 28 Like plus 320 for five plus made threes like those are some big odds Those are some big odds on trey young. He made eight in his most recent game He's made four six four like he's hot right now He went through a little bit of a cold streak there, but I mean seven five like he can hit five three pointers in a game So Plus 300 just dropped down from 320 to 300 But plus 300 for trey young to make five three pointers against sacramento Who got obliterated last night? And are on the second night of a back-to-back in a game with a 230 point over under I think that might be the next spot. I'm going after beyond bow and uh, go go batat say ryan on youtube is asking thoughts on tarence man tonight He's a good option tonight. Certainly a good option I did have a little bit of exposure to him in my first run through of Uh, my the optimizer when I you know set my player pool But again, if i'm having him i'm going to make sure to Limit the number of players not only from his team, but from that game overall Maybe i'll allow man and colanthony just because they're both at great salaries But it would be a a hard cap a maximum of two players from this game So I do like tarence man tonight. That's so to yes But you don't want to be having too many shares of him overall and you don't want to be having too many players from this game So I wouldn't mind taking colanthony tarence man like if you go to This game if we just open this up so we can get Uh man 42 colanthony 8 000 per player remaining you want to take some scamp johnson is five thousand I mean that's a whole lot of value. So yes, I am on board tarence man I'm on board with also colanthony tonight And that's a lot of value in your lineup and you can pay up for murray You can pay up for moran's you want to get up to attend kumpo a lot of options with about 9 000 per player remaining Mamu kelash villi or Dean wade or terry taylor tonight. Uh is if dean wade is going to be in the starting lineup For the cavaliers game is here I mean Mamu kelash villi is like He you think he's going to be in the rotation when the bucks are fully healthy I would I would not uh, I would not be rolling with uh, Sondra Mamu kelash villi tonight dean wade. I pretty sure he should be seeing some good minutes for Cleveland so that's a spot that I would be going like him jumping into starting lineup with larry marketing out and let's see if we have an update on Uh, jared allen if he's gonna be playing Uh questionable roko ruled out So jared allen is still questionable. So Yeah, dean wade should be in there for you know 25 30 ish minutes for cleveland. What about canard and hartinstein? in the same lineup Uh Like the question is How much run are they gonna see again because they're ultimately they're bench players like we saw them start the second half of last night's game Reggie jackson didn't start the second half of last night's game had an awful shooting performance last night Not that I had the over on his 17 and a half points last night or anything when he shot like one of nine from the field Yeah, one of nine from the field. So reggie jackson, uh canard and hartinstein tonight They're okay I wouldn't hate going to those two In the same lineup, but I would not be taking any magic players at that point. I would not be taking three players From that game overall. So two from the game at max. This is what kevin on facebook is asking I would I would be fine with that but then certainly looking to like really load up on those higher scoring games Uh green is saying best 4k power forward tonight 4k power forward. Let's look I mean dean wade is 42. That's fine Wagner not playing a whole ton of minutes on a consistent basis This is pretty this pressure to chua. He was in the starting lineup last night because van vleet and scotty barns were both out last night. So if a chua is in there again 19 let's see if someone's rating out high for a power forward in terms of value So a chua could be in the mix again. That's fine dean wade is 4200 He's 48 hearton steen's rating out. Well rudie gay probably you've seen some minutes Obviously, they're still a little bit shorthanded kelden johnson's too expensive dean wade again Doug McDermott And he's okay. I would lean more towards rudie gay hearton steen dean wade out of that group And then a chua if we do see scotty barns and van vleet ruled out because he should be in for a good amount of minutes Overall this is I would say probably one of the best slates that we've had in a while, you know, one of the slates that we are the healthiest in terms of Star players again a few that we need to be focusing in on Dear and fox. I think it's probably the most interesting for me going up against the Atlanta hawks in a game that has that 231 over under jared Allen would probably be next and then the van vleet and scotty barns news Impacts the value potentially on the on the trunner raptors. So overall it's a it's a healthy slate, which is good to see Overall on a slate. I think they're going to see a lot of high scoring games again not focusing in on these two games In heavy capacities, we want to be focusing on just a few value plays from this game from those two games and then Maybe taking a you know some shots on luca or nerk itch or McCullum. It's not going to be multiple options from this game Or those two games we want to be focusing on the kings and hawks Memphis and sacramento Denver brooklyn Charlotte and indiana like these games are all amazing when it comes to fantasy production charlotte plays so fast They don't play defense Memphis and San Antonio Six and seven in league when it comes to offensive pace. They both play fast. San Antonio does not play defense Uh for that 4k question, what about pj. Tucker? I mean, that's that's a little bit of a stretch for me. I'll be honest. So pj. Tucker is Just generally a player. I don't go to too often And we have to factor in the game Just does not have a great game environment going up against the nicks the 203 over under I think you we can find better options Overall gape vincent gape. I would have more interest in gape vincent than I do pj. Tucker in this game overall Just because it's going to be a higher usage rate for for gape vincent Simply on youtube is asking. So I would go to gape vincent over pj. Tucker If you like if you have the perfect lineup and pj. Tucker is the the player that fits in there Like you shouldn't just massively change your whole lineup like ultimately like he's fine but like pj. Tucker and tony snell and Like some of these other like really like secondary tertiary options on teams are not players that I go to too often Just because they're not high usage players They're not going to be seeing you know a massive upside like Gary harris justice wins like some of these players. I just don't go to too often Because they just don't have high upside like and they're not even a ball hander They're not a primary shooter on their team Like that kind of stuff is like you're hoping pj. Tucker hits down, you know, what two maybe three threes So that's it. You got one more question. Yeah drop it in that's fine Uh Yeah, pj. Tucker's a little bit of a stretch for me on tonight's night. I'll be honest I would certainly lean towards dean wade or Who else was that power forward? Like I said, heart and scenes fine if you're there Routigate it might end up being my favorite option at 4100 or it's going to be precious to chew at 37 3800 rivius Yeah, 3700 depending if he's in the starting line of pn So power forward I you should certainly be looking for value at small forward and power forward tonight looking to spend up at center for Yoke itch looking to spend up murray Moran's heart in tonight Lucanard or keldon johnson. So I like keldon johnson's man. I actually wrote him up already today on number fire for the three value plays Uh value plays was keldon johnson goga batatze and cam johnson So i'm big on keldon johnson like personally like I like his game just in terms of like real life basketball Fills up the stat sheet can get it done always adds in, you know, some steals and blocks every now and then but Point on a point per minute basis. He's always efficient. He's gonna be out there for plenty of minutes He has the trust of great popovich, which is uh always important Uh, it's a high scoring game. Totally on board keldon johnson and 5300 dollars Uh, so he's a player. I know I'm gonna be targeting. I already wrote him up today He will be in my player allocation Love the salary. Love the game environment. Uh, et cetera, et cetera. So all those are checks every box for me, essentially I assume he'll be under one fan two point per minute, which is Generally where he is. It's gonna be I think he's at 0.96 I want to say he's at 0.96 or 0.95 Fan two points per minute when they're among this starting five if I remember correctly, let's see 0.95 0.96 0.95 for keldon johnson and the second highest usage rate. So I think his production is I think his salary doesn't reflect his potential production, especially in this game environment against Memphis with a 228, right? Yeah, 228 over under. So I'm all over keldon johnson tonight How high are you on toroy brown in iodosumo? I would be higher on the dosumo. He's been crushing it for the bulls A player I've gone to somewhat frequently for some player props as well But just the volume of minutes is insane High not just like oh, he's gonna play 30 minutes like he's gonna play high 30 minutes every single night He's taking a good amount of shots I would take dosumo over toroy brown if I had to choose between them But I do ultimately think toroy brown is a fine option on tonight's sleep With the guard rotation for the bulls just thinned out with no caruso and no lanza ball He's out there for a ton of minutes and as The old saying for mba dfs goes minutes equals money Get those players that are just playing high minutes in your lineups You will secure a high floor And then of course they have the opportunity to push for a higher ceiling because they're playing so many minutes So dosumo is absolutely a player. I would go to I would take him ahead of toroy brown So tonight's late again shaping up to be a good one not too many injuries. We need to be worrying about overall You know, we'd like to get confirmation that a tense kumpo Someone like him is in fact going to play because he sat out there most recent game That would be nice to just get confirmation that he is in the starting lineup because I mean by chance if a tense kumpo does not play And this is just pure speculation because he is listed as probable But by chance if he doesn't play that would dramatically change things. That means you'd be prioritizing middleton injury holiday, etc, etc So I'm hoping that he does play. I do want plenty of shares of him in my player count player allocation I will say he does fall I would say fifth on my list right now in terms of studs It's yokich harden marant and murray as my top four right now it's like a toss up between a tense kumpo and uh, probably no actually probably trey young ahead of a tense kumpo In terms of a point for dollar value that I like them So I am certainly targeting the top tier a tense kumpo is in that mix That's why I personally want some confirmation that he will be playing tonight Again, I'm looking at the over on goga bataz a points over on bismac bianbo points Those are two spots that I already took the trey young line Over three and a half made threes is plus 130 and I wouldn't mind a little sprinkle on going for one of the higher ones because his Shot volume from three has been excellent as of late and he's been knocking down a ton So batatze bianbo Certainly look even take a shot on trey young tonight for that three point upside All right, so that does it for today's show. I'll be back next week on Wednesday 4 p.m. On the family youtube twitch twitter pages Make sure to give those a like follow or subscribe you can follow me on twitter at dfs underscore tom until next time Good luck in your contests