 Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to my presentation. I am going to present my paper the title of the presentation is adapting social safety net programs to climate change shocks issues and options for Bangladesh Hoa is the climate change issue important to Bangladesh. There are a lot of issues for example, geographical position, monsoon climate low elevation and higher incidence of poverty and this study concerned to flood cyclone, water logging salinity and drought objectives to quantify the number of rural poor whose livelihoods is threatened by climate change and describe the type of climate risk facing them to identify successful examples of coordination of disaster management social safety nets and climate change adaptation Here the brief methodology literature collection and synthesis from national and global perspective collection of secondary data collection of primary data through FGD case studies quantitative analysis of household income and expenditure surveys stakeholder consultations construction of household risk index and GIS mapping collection of primary data The sample area are shown in this map Model for climate change risk or household vulnerability we used Integrated vulnerability index and the formula is there are two formulas The vulnerability consists of adaptive capacity sensitivity and exposures Here the model parameters for example household assets incidence of poverty basic services in pie structure and institutions These are the parameters for measuring adaptive capacity of the household for sensitivity extreme climate or climatic shocks for example frequency of cyclones and floods and Current sensitivity we used highest 2010 data For current sensitivity due to climate shocks and exposures we have projected the rainfall and summer rainfall and annual temperatures towards 2050 and these are the meteorological observatories in Bangladesh these are the district wise and we averaged over the division wise there are seven Administrative division in Bangladesh these are the areas of flooding from 1954 to 2010 regular flood affects 20% of the country increasing up to 68% in extreme years these are the flood frequency at district and division level since 1966 The select division is more vulnerable to flood and the Khunna and Borishal division is less vulnerable to flood the damage due to historical floods in Bangladesh for example 1974 1984 87 88 98 and 2004 the damage due to flood is gradually increased and the lower figure for damage the culture infrastructure and housing are seriously damaged due to flood for example here 2004 flood population affected and diarrheal incidents due to historical floods for example 1988 1998 and 2004 more than 30 million people are affected due to flood in Bangladesh and in 1988 more than 5 million people are affected due to diarrhoea and on an average near to 2 million people are affected due to diarrhoea This is cyclone cyclone frequency at district and division level since 1966 the Borishal, Sitagang and Khunna division are at risk high risk due to cyclone because of presence of Bay of Bengal and Russia and Rangpur division almost kneel for cyclone cyclone heat from 1961 on an average only 1.2 year is enough for a cyclone in heat This is so frequent in Bangladesh and temporal distribution of sea cyclone heat in Bangladesh since 1960 and we categorized all cyclones and we found that most of the cyclone heat either before the monsoon or after the monsoon and we calculated that 36% of the cycle instruct during pre-monsoon season and 64% at the pushed monsoon season so if we harvest if we can harvest buru rice before the May the rice is safe from cyclone heat But after pushed monsoon cyclone heat is difficult to miss for rice cultivation human casualty due to cyclone There are some great devastations. For example 1970 Bhola cyclone about five lakhs people were died and 1991 Gurki cyclone about 1.5 lakhs people were died and these are some devastation scenarios Accord Bangladesh due to four historic cyclones the another issue is immersed in Bangladesh that is water logging in south-east Bangladesh Due to riverbed siltation some land are gradually water locked Losing agricultural production and these Orchid case scenarios due to prolonged water logging in south-east Bangladesh The salinity the another issue in dry season salinator intrusion is occurred as much as about 100 kilometer inside Bangladesh from the Bay of Bengal along the Debutaries annals and rivers and one-third land area of Bangladesh is under tidal excursion and We have found that from 1973 salinity affected area is gradually increased and the another issue is drought especially North and western part of the country is affected under drought The left figure is in winter season and the right is the summer season scenario This is the household Incomend expense and expenditure service result for example in wrongful division about 11 percent household are affected due to flood and in Khunla division about 7 percent household are affected Due to drought or irregular rains so we have found the total number of affected people due to different types of climatic shocks and we have found that About 10 million people are affected due to different types of climatic shocks in Bangladesh In normal year and in extreme year this figure would be raised about 3 to 5 times as many this is the Temperature and rainfall in Bangladesh from 1948 division level data and this is temperature projection toward 2050 this is rainfall projection toward 2050 division wise data and this is sea level rising. So now We found the model output for measuring vulnerability The adaptive capacity sensitivity exposure and vulnerability We found that the household of wrongful division is more vulnerable and The household from Russia division is less vulnerable Basically in this calculation Flood and cyclone cyclone frequency are used and this is the mapping just use the previous data So study strategy or policy to reduce vulnerability We should increase the adaptive capacity and reduce the Sensitivity and exposure improvement of adaptive capacity in household level community level and estate level So in all level Have some responsibility To increase the adaptive capacity for example household level income house Quality remittance make a finance activity should be enhanced in community community level awareness to disaster and Preparedness training should be increased in estate level road breeze Calvert public transportation should be increased Reduction of sensitivity to climate shocks for example For flood construction of strong embankment with adequate sluice glades for cyclone Almost same Policy for water logging elevating the bottle of areas Roads home states for salinity Inhibit the inclusion of Salinity water from sea Reduction of exposure to climate change Here for a good also productions We need some defeated crop cultivars To reduce the exposure to climate change shocks. For example short duration varieties deep water varieties etc So social protection in Bangladesh This is priority level Despite in pressure impressive greens in poverty reduction in last decade the steel poor accounted about 35 percent in rural Bangladesh Social production financing in Bangladesh about 10 to 12 percent National budgets are used for social protection in Bangladesh and there are more than 30 safety net programs But for our big one for example, BGD, RMP, FFW and CLP and This is the budgeting for these programs CLP Funded by Defeat and Osit and partially by government of Bangladesh It is identified that most social safety net programs operating by GUB have some limitations. This should be scaled up So what is the model which we need a defeated model and We find this model to climate resilience of Bangladesh. Thank you