 The following is a presentation of TFNN The power trading hour with your host David white Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 now David white And welcome all to another excellent edition of our trading hour and it doesn't matter where you're at You could be trapped in a room Watching Fed presidents answer questions without answering any questions whatsoever That would probably mean that you're in Washington DC And we'd send out a little bit of white light for you after going into the belly of the beast But I am not I'm in the free state of Florida Minutes away from the beach although it's kind of cold today But didn't really matter where I'm at or you're as long as we're together at this time The following takes place between 2 p.m. And 3 p.m. So what do we have going on as I said yesterday a few things I just didn't add up and To I'm not a big fan of being bearish when everybody else is bearish We get these kind of huge moves as we've had now so a couple hundred points off the Lowes in the S&P 500 not surprising. This is the way even if you believe you're a bear What was that guy that the average bear I Can't even remember the cartoon now The average bear and he had his little buddy with him can't remember What was that yogi? Yeah, yeah, that's what was anyway if you're a bear I've said it over the last couple of weeks. I want to say it again today When everybody gets short There's something that comes back and hits me like a hammer in the middle of the forehead every single time it's a line from Or a passage out of the book from Fooled by randomness. It's not a at least a week if not a day that something out of that book comes back and talks to me And yes, I hear voices But they're telling me not to tell you about hearing voices Anyway in the book he talks about one big thing and that is when Everybody becomes incredibly despondent get out We talked about if you just count the amount of days that a market goes down And even in a bear market, it's still about 25% The market's going up about 75% of the time It's going down about 25% of the time whether it's a bullish or bearish market. The difference is the The The amount or the value that it goes up it goes up generally fairly quick In a once the bear rate is over Of course in a bull market, you're always going up you get to short Real quick pulls down and that I get bought But this is the opposite side and as long as everybody's still frayed everybody's still quiet What you want to listen to are those voices not the ones I'm hearing But those voices that talk About how bad everything is going lower when they shut up It's like the proverbial pot that that won't boil while you're watching at it Then when everybody's kind of given up The 90 95% of the people still think well, it's over Then you want to watch and if everybody gives up shorting that's when the market will move its next big move lower and generally not before then and The Fed is being rather accommodative And of course the reaction to a few things is just Beyond the pale we were in the den talking about earnings coming through after the bell last night and I saw what I thought was one of the more spectacular earnings reports for Microsoft But wow, it was down about 270 269 something like that This something smelled Really bad My model didn't change with those numbers coming in it still said that was 80% chance that Microsoft would open above 290 this morning, and I thought that was a you rarely get or my models rarely say that much Before it and so you got to act on that I didn't buy Microsoft. I did something else, but Um You got to act on it when you get to aces what you don't do is slow play them If you're a poker fan, you'll understand the reference But you have to get to it and of course that means that I was up till five o'clock this morning Took a three hour nap and had the alarms on with two different computers on in places thing came back at me, but If you're trading futures The old saying is a future traders sleep like babies. They wake up wet and screaming I'm not a big fan of going into futures, but when I saw that yesterday It just didn't make one Poot of sense and it looked like the trap that it ended up being a Bear trap and of course, I don't know what they're doing right now. Let's take a look at Microsoft, but you know You've got really the murderers row Coming up. We're at 305. I thought 80% chance that it does 290 I would probably have said that a 50% chance it got above 300. Certainly. We got that And again, everybody's short Just look the other way if you if you're bearish and you can't stand it go walk your dog Go down to the beach. Go do something fun with all that money you made instead of giving it back but The people that have always made money And quick money in shorting stocks Tend to have a very bad habit of coming back to the well like they do in Bull markets and that's the best way to give all your cash back. Don't do it 877-927-6648 Yes, I'm out of I wanted to see 4450 on the S&P cash. I still have my other positions I wouldn't sell those but if you've got something like futures that are highly leveraged You got to take the money when you can and you know, did it hit there for a second? Will it rotate? Will it move around a bit? Yeah But I think the next couple of days are going to be pretty good. Of course See tonight We've got a few stocks coming out Tesla after the bell LRC X Seagate Intel Now service now Levi and Las Vegas Sands They're all positive on the day Tesla is the leader up 5% on it Is it going to do horribly probably not my guess is it's got a thousand dollars In it after earnings There's a bit a lot of problems in that stock, but again You don't want to be short Until everybody kind of gives up on that side of the market could they surprise they could But I think everybody's been lied to so many times by tesla that does it really matter what he says they're just going to crowd in and trade to the to the tech swami but uh Yeah, I think tomorrow tomorrow night Things look good For apple back in a bit Are you grinding in the market? But seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader? 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They're heavy and mine needs a lot of restoration, but uh, it works But i'm gonna have to spend probably a couple of months working on it But uh, haven't felt like doing that quite yet. I'll wait until it's miserably hot outside um And uh the good weather moves through but uh middle of july and august is a good time to start working on stuff inside Down here in florida 44 11 as I said, uh Don't get too excited out here. Um, my guess is that why 44 50 may be the high of the day in the s and p More than likely we're probably gonna kind of meander back up that way as long as everybody keeps pounding on the On the uh indexes. I don't think there's a whole lot above that There could be 4,500 depending on how apple comes out with earnings But uh, I'd say it's good. Oh, that's why I wanted to get to Uh to to to give me a call 877-927-6648 uh to Corning Had a little bit of a of a gartly pattern and did a little bit too much of a retrace for me Uh, but uh, it was okay. Uh, but um, this is why you should fear Not fear the reaper That's a song you should fear apples and what it's doing. Uh, this is telling you something. Uh gl W is of course a company that makes all the gorilla glass for all those high end smartphone phones like samsung and uh apple And that's telling you something Uh, you don't get that far out of uh being wrong Out here. I didn't see it coming in. It wasn't a bad looking thing Um, you tested the previous october 27th low 35 dollars 24 cents with 7.2 million shares Came into it two days ago with 6 million shares. So there wasn't anything out here saying, uh, no, uh burning bush Uh with tablets made of stone saying buy me But uh, it gives you a little eye indication that somebody's doing some bidness And uh, you know what I mean bidness If you've been around people that have talked like that Uh meandering is that like jaywalking kind of Uh apple related g s a t global star mobile satellite services worldwide Man, I tell you what I don't know how you you know You get into this um You're betting that maybe they can sell the licenses to someone else But I don't know if that's the way it works Uh, but certainly if you're talking about mobile satellite services worldwide, uh, musk Um Just launched what two weeks ago Uh, the first of the laser in a connected satellites I haven't heard whether those are working yet But I don't know why any of this stuff's even still in business Other than maybe there's some kind of value in the licenses for the Uh positions they have their satellites in but I I mean, I don't know if it uh, SpaceX goes belly up Someone is just going to buy all those satellites because there's a ton of them already out there I you know, I just don't see it. You know, there's some teething pains with starlink from uh, SpaceX uh, but so far All the reviews on I was going to get it And I decided not to and probably a good thing because if you live in climate Places where it's hot like it is down here They can shut down if they're out in the sun too long They're working on making new versions of that But uh, you know what not a bad product from what everybody says now They're only about what one tenth of the way through with all the satellites they need But the first reports of those laser interconnected satellites, which means that you'll be able to talk Across things like the middle of the ocean To those satellite uplinks. I know there's a big company here in in tampa working on the uh, aquatic marined version of that and another one for RVs, of course RV is another big business down here in tampa If you ever go, uh east of town, it's just uh, rather amazing But uh, no, uh, don't think there's a whole lot going on here Um, and we got a couple more minutes five more minutes. Uh, anyway, um Yeah, I you got a bounce out of here but Generally, if you're a satellite company and you're a dollar stock You're circling the drain and there's one reason to buy it and that is maybe That license for those satellites. Maybe the positions are in something like that is there But you have to look at how much debt these companies have But uh, there's so many of these out here. I just don't know how they're going to be able to compete Uh, even if SpaceX goes belly up whoever buys them because all those satellites are going to be up there Gets to come in. Um They're going to have something for two or three years and in the meantime they can build their business out on it But uh, I don't see any of these others. I think the big key to musc Uh, it's not even musk. It's the gal Over there on the opposite side of Florida from us who really has it going on and uh more he kind of stays away from it the better I like it and uh Looks like a good idea and good business Uh, it's going to run at a loss for a little while That stuff people like global star is going to have a hard time. 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I could be wrong on apple, but I don't think so I think you're probably looking at two or three bucks higher in apple uh probably Maybe in earnings And maybe just after earnings, but I think there's probably a couple more bucks higher out there I think a lot of people are going to go and look for a company that's got Uh 200 billion dollars that can buy their share back. I think there's a lot of other stocks to be shorting other than apple Uh other than microsoft for all I know it was them buying it all back that drove it up higher today You never know but guess what? There's uh, I heard something years ago Uh, and it was uh by somebody who was complete moron And I was shocked that they had something interesting and valuable to say But you know Stop clocking all that Uh, we were talking about something. I forget what it was uh in the somebody getting in a fight with the newspaper and she said uh uh, she said uh Her dad used to say don't get in fight. Don't get in uh getting a fight with someone that buys ink in 55 gallon barrels Of course, this is uh newspaper for you folks that Don't remember what those things are Like us old folks who remember getting our fingers dirty But uh, that's kind of it. I don't understand the whole idea of getting in a war with somebody Um, they can really thrash you Uh, if they want to just for the thrill of it Uh, but there's a reason why those companies have become big and huge and that is because they buy shares back And uh for all I know that's what they've been doing this week Uh on earnings, but uh, I'm not a big fan of coming out here and trying to attack this You want the market to calm down. You want it to hit some highs You want lots of people forgetting about whatever happened the last couple weeks When things calm down Generally, you'll get some kind of thing now one of the things I was talking about in the den I don't know in the mid part and why I wasn't thinking that a high had come in quite yet today Was uh the dogs, uh Those stocks that really couldn't get out of their own way Maybe they were up a couple of percent or two or three, but you know, they may have 20 30 40 short interest and they just hadn't squeezed yet I'm trying to remember a time when they didn't before the market turned south It almost seems like a rite of passage to see a market ready to break down Going after some stock that's got an enormous amount of short interest Only to have it club you and run you out of your stop fairly quickly And then we're in reverse. So Generally, I'm a big fan if I'm sitting out here. Like I said, I'm not in really of much of anything That would be problematic I've got options right now for the daily newsletter and I'm more than willing to sit on those But it will take a while but You know, if you don't have some defined risk in the market, you want to have it But like I said, probably going to play around up here Going to go into earnings. I'm going to expect that tesla at least holds its own And we're going to probably see apple do very well And I think that is a lot. In fact, what if we have out here I think uh after the bell tonight, like I said, we've got uh tesla But uh, what's tomorrow? Yeah, if we had to put it on here, okay tomorrow night tomorrow morning, we've got uh to to Mastercard new McDonald's blue love mo bx thursday night is apple uh hood we got v and x and wdc so with uh with uh stx tonight, you're going to get a view of seagate Uh that you can put on western digital for thursday night You've got clack juniper and mondalees After the bell on thursday night To to to let's get that back up here There we go. Um Yeah I'm just I'm thinking that everybody's a little bit kind of far out Uh in the biotech space like I said, I think people are looking for bigger names like microsoft and all that kind of stuff Uh and well known names. I don't know if you're going to see as much of that But my guess is if you do see one of those biotech stocks rip about 15 20 percent Then i'm going to start looking for the downside in the rest of the markets But that's kind of what i'm talking about the you're going to get these stocks that are way out there and it's going to be problematic Uh See where do I think nvidia is going The other one I covered earlier Um Right now, I think you got 270 in nvidia on a dead cat bounce Again, these are companies You know, do they have sky high pees? Yes What else do they have they could sell four times what they want to today? Also, the other one that you're talking about to uh dod Uh these are all companies that could sell four times as much stuff tomorrow if they could build it And maybe there's some other problems where they can't build it But I would not be short the companies and maybe maybe you made some money But I'm thinking there are a lot of companies that were literally going out of business you could have shorted I don't and not a big fan of going after companies with big pees Uh that I also can like I said be able to sell four times as much stuff And probably the rest of the year they could do that and not ever catch up So not a big fan of it, but uh even then I know everybody's talking about the big pees But I'd say dead cat bounce takes you to 270 on nvidia and that could be just the next couple of days Um You know that gets up there all the volume falls out you start seeing stocks that don't have Huge sales going forward that have problems. That's when I think the next leg would come back in You know, maybe something happens. Maybe the Russian invades, but I don't think they're gonna do that. We've got probably another week to 10 days Uh for them, they're gonna wait till the uh till the new moon And I'm pretty sure you've got uh what? Seven 10 days, maybe somebody that den knows but there isn't a soul. I think anymore In the military that wants to go in on a full moon So or even a partial moon So, uh, we shall see Uh Yeah, maybe they'll fool us but Maybe they'll get bad weather You know, you can get some really bad weather and then Full moon or partial half moon doesn't bother you as much, but Uh, generally they don't want the chance of the getting halfway in there and then the moon comes out And they're all silhouetted why everybody picks them off Uh Okay What else do we have here? Oh, uh, can I take a look at apple? I can and what do you have you got the bounce out here? um, I suspect You're really talking about maybe 170 172 out here I don't know if you get all of that on earnings, but maybe Little bit on earnings a little bit going into friday's close a lot of short positions in app. I don't understand it You go after the week. You don't go after the strong when you're short. We'll be back in a minute Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area? Including the surrounding st. 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If you trade china a shares now may be time to take a closer look trade chAU or chAD Directions daily csi 300 china a share bull and bear ETFs china a shares in either direction Visit direction investments.com today an investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares Carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus Or summary prospectus. Please contact direction shares at 866-476-7523 The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk Including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services LLC Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv As we return we've got uh mike who's uh bathing in cancun Where you say it's 83 degrees, huh? Yeah, uh, it's 27c whatever that is and it's that sounds pretty close So what do you want to talk about today? Uh, if we can take a team take a look at team mobile. I I'm kind of married to that one right now A long-term investment. What's the symbol now that they got put together What's that? Well, is the merger done with sprint and all that what's going on? I haven't paid attention Well, I mean team over They use frequencies that penetrates the buildings much more that they lower they use the lower frequencies and therefore You have better distribution of the 5g and they're not they don't have to put up with the issues at the airports Yeah, I I understand the technology. I I understand the technology. I don't understand What's going on between them and the merger? Do you know about that? No, I haven't followed that what's what's going on there Well, they've been trying to get together with sprint team us. Okay. That's that's all I'm done with that That's a long time ago. Yeah, I thought it was I just hadn't really paid attention. I understand the thing Okay team us. No, they they acquired all those frequencies from sprint. That's why they're so strong now in the 5g And I'm wondering why that stock is not going up and it didn't go up when the rest of the market went down Oh, well, it does go up a bit when the when the market went down. That's what's strange Yeah, well, it's not but I'll tell you why have you listened to the show before? Oh, yeah, okay Have you heard me say that that why that when there's big capital spending That wall street hates it Yeah Okay, that's why it's not going up They don't like, you know, they've got what three maybe five years of heavy spending And then they'll reap the reward for the next 10 15 years, right? But one thing the one thing wall street does And it's to the detriment of the companies is if you spend some money Then they put you in the penalty box One of the reasons why intel got behind the power curve is they just kept not spending the money not spending the money Not spending the money and then they got caught out, right? And that's generally That's generally There the Wall Street is not going to give you any kudos for that all they care about is whether they make money on you in the next quarter They're not really concerned on whether they make money in you in the next year or two years or five years Now there are some people that are involved in wall street that are looking at the long term and saying, okay They're spending the money. I'm going to sit on my hands for five or ten years with it like a buffet But they're not that many people everybody's in the church of what's happening now And uh anything where you spend lots of money means one thing you're going to have to borrow money In a rising interest rate environment and no one wants to know you No one wants to know no one wants to know your name or your symbol or anything else I just hadn't really paid any attention to it because I knew post sprint mobile and all the stuff that went in together Was all about them spending money and I never really thought that there was a long big future in it When they're done spending money the thing will probably start hitting up Hmm Okay, so you don't see any bounce anything out of this one I It's a horrible business to be in an raising right, uh rate environment Hmm Okay You I mean get out long term It's great and you want to buy it when it when it comes out But when you're throwing up stuff and you're buying money and you're spending money Wall street don't want to know your name All right. Yeah, okay Okay, all right. Well, we'll see if I can get up to the 1718 Ranch here and then get out of it Yeah, okay. All right. You bet. Thank you Thanks for the call eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Hey, yeah, we got a little bit of a pullback here Uh, what do we have? Oh Well, that certainly wasn't nice was it? Okay, we must have said something that someone didn't like Uh, okay. We'll keep an eye on it Uh Question about micron Still probably the best semiconductor Company out there as they are the ball bearing company and the semi-conductors Uh, you had a bounce off the low. You got a kind of a light ball. You bounce out here today Yeah, not much going on just suspect that, uh Yeah, if anybody in the den knows what they said That's Okay I'm looking at a few things here real quick While we go on Yeah Okay, uh question about the smh is smh I think you got kind of a light wall you bounce, but I don't see much else out here It probably should hold 270 as I said after all this rigmarose done everybody's done, uh In an orgy of shorting. We're probably getting ready for the next leg up in the market into apples earnings Maybe they won't come out with good earnings, but I don't know. Um, I felt about the same on Microsoft's let's take a quick look at them and see how They're doing now after the uh polar plunge here Which were still not up that much But apparently they're giving mr. Powell the raspberry Came back you still got uh, yeah Still got a little bit more 298 or so on Microsoft got lots of volume back here off of it. Um 276 The january 24th. Well, you had some volume. So yeah, could you come back to 295? I think you can Energy was about the same with the way up on the way down I don't think it's tremendously bullish right off the bat, but there's some stuff there Uh, okay, we've got Microsoft question about work day Wda y We'll get to that real quick Um Yeah, that's back down You know, this actually doesn't look bad. You've got another seven bucks lower To test the low of 220 the july 27th low on work day that had seven million shares You got about three today So this one just looks like it's getting ready to join its little friends back here from july 27th But that looks pretty close to being ready if the volume didn't pick up before the end of the day Maybe it takes a day or two to come out, but that looks rather interesting. So thanks for that Ronald, um Question about lanar Are the housings is the housing sector done? Okay And someone in the den says the pal says there's a lot of room to raise rates without dampening employment But apparently the housing market Uh, you got light volume in this too Um, you had a four million share low two days ago At about two million shares now you're gonna have to wait until the uh Close comes in find it. That's it eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis And it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you Make the right moves with your money Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the toml bryan show next on tfnn Uh, we've got darnold who asks uh, so is this pullback of buy? Uh, it depends on what you add. Like I said, uh, this is a market all about individual stocks now Maybe not so much the indexes, but yeah I bought some stuff during the break Out here. So yeah, not bad Um Time to add a little bit. Maybe I'll get rid of it before the end of the day But uh, yeah, I think everybody'll get in after the shock they'll get Back to normal here, but I don't think that there's I think a lot of people are just been overreacting But I don't think it's any different than Microsoft after hours last night. Everybody's going to take a shot Take the shock and then they're going to look and go well It really wasn't that bad um So we'll move on but uh, yeah, I could have done without the dip but You can give me an opportunity to get a few more Uh positions on we're still up Now let me update this because it is moving so quickly Uh, we're up 15 points on the s&p cash dow's down 40 now the nasdaq's still up 112 rustles up about 27, but that may be delayed Uh gold's down 32 And I thought a little bit more out of gold, but uh, yeah, what can you say? But uh, yeah 1820 is not the end of the world. I don't know what the uh What the actual one is here. Let me Bring that up Yeah, 1820 And so you're down 12 bucks And I don't think there's a lot going on there Well, uh another well show's already over So when you cannot when you have to we'll see you here tomorrow same bat channel same bat tongue