 Tim Ord on the line, Tim, can you hear me? I sure can. How are you doing? Hello? Hello, can you hear me? Yep, yep, I'm good. I'm good, I can hear you. Good, how are you doing? Good, good. Good, fantastic. Well, we got your charts up here. The first one we're looking at is on gold. I'm interested to hear what you have to say on this. All right, yeah, this is actually the gold chart. And it goes back to a long time, 2005. And I put some cycle lines on there. There's a red cycle line, and there's a blue cycle line. And the red one's an eight-year cycle line, and the blue one's a 16-year cycle line. Anyhow, over the course of years, the eight-year and 16 years, I've done a good job picking out decent lows. And the last low was picked out in 2016. And that was when the eight-year and the 16-year corresponded right on the money. And now we have the eight-year coming-in effect. I present this chart at least six months ago on your program. And late 2003 or 2023, the eight-year cycle is going to hit a low, while we're hitting it right now. And it seems to be lining up pretty well. And I did some fibonacci stuff on this chart. From the low of 2016 up to the high of 2021, the market gold itself, this is cash gold. Only you trace a 38.2% retracement. So that's a small retracement. If you retrace anything less than a half, a lot of times this is at least a halfway point of the next move up. So we could see a powerful rally, I think, coming. We got the cycles about right for a rally. The fibonacci relationship seems to be working out. The more time you test the high, we tested that 2,000 high a little bit, actually, over that three times, probably the next time we go through. A lot of times you go through the third time. But the fourth time even gives a higher percentage that you'll probably break through that 2,000 level and head on up. The top window is the RSI of this is actually a monthly chart. But when the RSI is above 50, usually that's when the uptrends happen. I noted it all in blue there. So we had a bear market starting in 2012, down to this 2016 low. That's when the RSI was below 50. And in general, the state above 50. We're currently above 50 right now. We're at 5450. So we had a little dip here last year. But we got back a RSI, got back above 50. So there's quite a bit of evidence that important something on a bigger time frame is about to happen. And this is on a monthly time frame. So fibonacci, as they say, this is probably a halfway point to move up. The cycle work is on for a move now. The RSI has been above 50 for the last about a year, I think, at the last August. It hit that low. And so everything's kind of set. So let's move on to the next chart. And that's gold. So gold, it looks really bullish going forward here. So let's look at the next chart, chart number 2. We got it right here, GDX ADP. Yep. And this is at the monthly. The top window is a monthly GDX. And the bottom window is a monthly GDX up-down volume and it's a cumulative. And the next window higher, which is the middle window, is a monthly GDX advanced decline cumulative and it's cumulative volume. And there's a couple things that I want to point out. When these give signals, a lot of times they're multi-year. So this is not a short-term chart. And so far, what I want to really point out, if you go back to 2012, both those indicators closed below the mid-Bollinger band and that's your cell signal. And if they bearish all the way into 2016 and then they closed above the mid-Bollinger band, that's the blue line. When it closes below the mid-Bollinger band, it's a red line. So you can see, it gave a signal in 2016, stayed long until late 2017, gave a cell signal. Then gave a bicycle back in 2019, gave a cell signal in 2021. And right now, both indicators are still below the mid-Bollinger band. But I have shaded pink areas there to identify times when this gets below extreme lows, I guess you might say. The lowest it's ever been was 2016 on the middle chart. Touched that level in 2018. But we've been in this yellow or this pink area since 2021, more or less kind of trended sideways here. We got above the mid-Bollinger band actually a couple of different times and kind of came back down. But I think the next time it turns up, probably going to just stay up. But we're in an important area according to history because we're in that pink zone, this middle chart right now, the pink zone, which I think is a very oversold condition. A lot of times, you get this oversold, you really get good rallies out of it. And the bottom window, which is advanced, or which is the up-down volume, it actually got below the 2016 low. So it's really, on a historical level, extremely oversold. And it too, right now, is still below the mid-Bollinger band. But these are big time frames here. So once they do close above the mid-Bollinger band, at some point they will. I think they'll probably be sooner than later. They are late giving a buy signal, but they basically get majority of the rally. So even though they haven't gave buy signals yet, but it flipped to chart three. So this is a, yeah, the chart three, the previous chart, chart two, was a monthly time frame. This is the same indicator, but on a weekly time frame. And so they're going to get shorter signals. These are multi-month signals. Most of them, they're usually anywhere from two months to six-month signals. So you'll get, where the monthly charts may stay long for two, three, four years, the weekly cycles will give, cycle in and out of short-term signals that may last a couple of months, may stay long or short, maybe six months. The last signal it gave on both signal, or on both indicators, which is the up-down volume cumulative and advanced line cumulative, was back in April of this year. It gave a sell signal as both close, or either one can close below it, either one does, that's the signal, but both turned down in April of this year. And now for the first time, both are closing above the mid-Bullinger band. So I hear the music, so. Yeah, hang on, Tim, because I want to keep hearing some more about this. I want to hear some few charts yet to go through. Folks, stay tuned and we'll be right back with Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. Go check them out, we'll be right back for you. Welcome back, folks. This is Jacob Schup, filming for Tom O'Brien. We are with Tim Ord of the Ord Oracle, that is Ord-Oracle.com. Left off, we're looking at the GDX. Tim, are you still with us? Yep, I'm here, so. Fantastic. Yeah, we can continue. So we looked at the yearly gold going back to, I think, 2005, wherever it was. All the cycles of works are in sequence right now. Then we looked at the monthly cumulative up-down volume advanced climb indicators. That was chart two. And both of them are extremely oversold on the monthly time frame. They haven't closed above mid-Bullinger band. But now we're looking at the weekly up-down volume advanced climb indicators. And now we have closed above the mid-Bullinger band. So the weeklies are on a bi-signal. I didn't show the dailies, because the dailies actually flipped to a bi-signal here, I don't know, a week or two ago. So they're more responsive, but they whip around longer more. The weeklies are less whippy. But they're still a little bit late, so you didn't get it at the bottom. But once you get the weeklies turned up, like I said, you don't get whipped around a lot. But I'm saying, if we're just starting to bi-signal on the weeklies, most of those signals last at least two months, and a lot of them last six months. So this signal is probably good all the way into year-end. So in general, we think we're probably going to move all the way into year-end. And if you flip back to chart number two for a second anyhow, if the weeklies are on a bi-signal and it runs into year-end, the monthlys will flip to a bi-signal, because both indicators will be going up. So if the monthlys flip to a bi-signal, chances are this could be a multi-year bi-signal currently going on. So this may essentially go all the way into 2025, maybe 2026. So this could be a big signal. The market has just been really kind of choppy since 2021. We need an impulse wave to start. And these indicators suggest that's probably going to happen here over the next couple of months. We're probably on a bigger timeframe. We're starting an impulse wave. And actually, that impulse wave, in my opinion, probably started last August. This consolidation we had down from the April high was just part of a bigger uptrend. But anyhow, we do think a multi-year probably rally is starting here. So anyhow, it's pretty much all I have to say about that. Yeah, fantastic. We can, you have questions on it or? No, I think this is a very convincing analysis on that. OK. We can go to chart four. OK. Right here we have. We're going to switch to the S&Ps, both the four and chart five are on the S&Ps. And this is what I like to happen. This is a swag breath thrust indicator. And a nutshell is the advancing issues by total issues and take that and do a 10-day average. And so when it has to hit down 0.4, that's run to 0.6 in 10 days. In general, this mirrors what this swag breath thrust indicator really does. And so we did get a reading below 0.4 here about a week ago. And we need a run now to above 0.6 by October 19, which is Thursday. We're coming in right now around 0.53. So in general, for this to trigger, we need the market to actually continue to rally into this Thursday to trigger this indicator. Why is it important to trigger this indicator? This indicator is good for picking out here midterm lows. If you notice, I have the red and blue lines across the chart. And that tells you when the swag breath thrust indicator was triggered. If you notice, they all come at powerful bottoms. And we had three triggers back at that. The solvation phase from 2022 to 2023 are around that 4,000 level on the SPX. And you got three of them in that range. That was a very bullish signal to get three over that time period in a year. So that's why it was kind of extremely bullish in that sideways consolidation, because it triggered three breath thrust swag breath thrust. It did it three times. So that was a pretty powerful signal. I'm hoping it's going to do it coming into Thursday. And it does do it in Thursday. It doesn't really need to, but if it does, it'd add to the bullish picture, because I'm thinking we're going to probably rally all the way to year end. That's saying we're going to have some mild consolations along the way. We will. But in general, that'd be a powerful sign if this indicator can give above 0.6 by Thursday. And it's possible. The market is off a little bit today. But if Monday or if Wednesday and Thursday rally, that may trigger that 0.6 area. And that's all we need. So will it do it? Not for sure. We'll have to wait and see. But here's another indicator on page last. We're going to pay our chart five. And this is the second window up from the bottom is the 10-day average of the trend. And usually when it gets above 0.2, it's a bullish sign for the market. That's when panic happens. And the trend reading above 1.2 is usually a bullish sign, because that's where more selling numbers volume goes into the downstocks. That's usually a good sign. That's what bombs are made of. And when it gets down below 0.9, that's usually kind of a worrisome sign that the market has rallied too much too soon and usually get pullbacks. And all the red lines on this chart show the times when the trend was 0.9 or lower. Currently, we're at 0.86. Sometimes this can be a little bit early. So if we do rally this week, this is Optic Expression Week, which normally has a bullish bias. And so we could spot we rally into Friday. Even if we do, we'll probably have next week down. Optic Expression Week normally means bullish. So it kind of has a bullish fling. And this indicator, even though it's 0.86 on a 10-day average, it can delay a two, three day before that very signal trick kicks in. So if the market does rally, I'm still thinking we're going to have a pullback in the market. If it didn't start, it may be Friday. It'll probably start next week. So how big the pullback will be? I don't know. It could be at worst case 4,200. We could test the previous flow at worst. But it would be a pullback that you should buy. Because the bigger trends up, I think we'll hit new highs going to year-end. And we're entering into one of the most bullish seasonally periods that start actually after next week, at the end of October, the first of November, usually starts a really bullish seasonality. So it could be a little bit choppy between now and then. I'm thinking. So you've got to be a little bit careful here over the next couple of weeks. Absolutely. Tim, thank you so much. We're really looking forward to Tuesday to see if the spike-breath indicator, excuse me, the thrust, how that pulls out. And just thank you so much for coming on. It's always a pleasure. All right, thank you. Yep. Tim, have a good day. All right, folks, be right back. Just stay there.