 Welcome back, it's still the breakfast and class TV Africa. We go straight now to off the press. G.D. Johnson, the chief lecturer at the Nigerian Institute of Journalism, will be analysing the dailies with us this morning. Good morning to you, J.J. Good morning, Justin, and good morning to the message, the citizen of the message. All right, merci. You have the first paper. All right, let's take a look at the Nigerian Tribune this morning. 2020 revised budget and NASA proves 4 trillion Naira for fuel subsidy. We talked about this yesterday. Interesting. Please get 182 billion Naira a salary increment. INEC allocated 219.54 billion Naira and federal government gives not to 17.32 trillion Naira total budget for 2022 fiscal year. These are riders underneath the board caption. Push on the way to prune PDP presidential aspirant to four. You're also fine. Platoon attack. We have buried 106 people so far, says local government chairman. And just before we move away, gunman killed INEC official in email during voter registration and commission suspense exercise. Now, there's a video that's making the rounds. I mean, a video that made the round. If you go on Twitter, you see that video where some armed men went to a registration centre where people were collecting their PVC. And it was really, really a sad, you know, sight to behold. Really, really sad. But we move away from that. You also find this, a day ban draw. Some will you or your toilet orders to graze fest remembrance anniversary of who will find out on the Nigerian Tribune this morning. Federal government may conduct consensus or census April next year. It's interesting. Federal governments may conduct census April next year. And as council of state, okay, is patterned for 159 convicts. Away from that, get your NIN ready to board train from May. And our C is quoted. It might just be a requirement to board a train. Really. All right. Away from the Nigerian Tribune to the daily independent. The lead story this morning, APC chiefs, more northern candidates to checkmate PDP. Other stories, insecurity, 11,536 schools closed in Nigeria since December 2020. That's according to UNICEF. Gone men shot dead attacking a number of police station. I and the official shot dead in Amos state. Federal government to conduct national census in April 2023. CBN FX program rakes in 60 million dollars in one month. Lawan urges police to probe death of Osinachi Muachiko. Other stories on the daily independent newspaper. Let's see. Easter security, unity, most guide our actions and utterances that's according to the president. Document show AB OBJ approved transfer of OPL 245 to Malibu. APC Congress's hoodlums unleashed violence disrupt by your support session. Those are all of the stories you can find on the front page of the daily independent newspaper. That's another way from the daily independent. We take a quick look at the punch newspaper and security. US approves $1 billion attack helicopters. Others for Nigeria. Buhari meets service chiefs, a boat caption for the punch this morning. Underneath insists Nigerian military must undergo human rights related training. And PDP knocks APC over killings. Kidnapping says ruling party has failed. These are riders underneath the boat caption. Away from the boat caption, four trillionaire petrol subsidy will kill economy. Man, LCCI orders won the president. It's a lot to grapple with. National assembly okay's 17.3 trillionaire revised budget. 965 billionaire fresh borrowing. Senate orders probe of oil theft. Please get 182 billionaire salary increase. That's also another boat caption and rider you find this morning. Claring agents reject customs 15% charge on imported vehicles. And you find federal government fixes April 23 for fest consensus in 17 years. And just away from that, families of kidnapped Caduna train passengers grown, appeal to bandits. Consumer group, others kick his reps, clared dirty fuel importers. Really? And you find Chibok parents again demand. Action eight years after kidnapping. The question is, are these children still alive? And M.K.O.A. Biola's eldest son, Kola joins politics. Let's see what the difference it would make. Autopsy begins on Osena cheese body. Senate demands justice. And just before we move away, you find a plateau attack. Community buries 106. And local government chair says many missing. Lagos accountant allegedly set wife and brother in law ablaze and calls for help. These are the headlines on the punch this morning. And finally, the nation newspaper. Experts are saying economy will sink further with 4 trillionaire subsidy. What to write as their national assembly revises medium-term expenditure framework. Police get additional 182 billionaire full salaries. All the stories make in front page. And in O.B. consort O'Koa in Asaba. Weakest shunts of Basiki. Arabuhari, lawan, Tinnabu Edge Hope, Alista. In security, worries can. 21,039 policemen promoted. Omishio Ray's comment will retire some politician or politicians says O'Yatala APC neck to meet on Tuesday. And just below the red strip there renovation of complex senators reps relocate. Osena cheese death probe that's from the national assembly. Those are all of the stories we can take from the nation newspaper this Friday morning. Let's have G.D. Johnson joined the conversation right here. Good morning and thank you for joining us. Good morning. Good morning to you as all over the world. All right. G.D. Johnson, the bold caption for the Nigerian Tribune says NAS approved 4 trillion Naira for fuel subsidy and you have a reaction coming from the manufacturers association of Niger amongst others saying that this is going to kill the economy. What are your thoughts on this? Should this come to your surprise that the national assembly approved the revised budget of 17.3 trillion Naira? They approved it. This is April 2022. So you shouldn't come to anyone as a surprise. You guess a pattern is a consistent pattern. Now election here that you see is a long goes budget in approach across the length and breadth of the country from the government to state to the national. But what is interesting to note is the amount of money that is voted for fuel subsidy. The entire budget is 17.3 trillion and then you have a quarter of the budget because you have 4 trillion Naira. A quarter of the budget goes to fuel subsidy. A quarter 25 percent goes to 25 percent of your budget goes to fuel subsidy. You don't need the subsidy or to tell you that something is wrong somewhere. And you don't need an economic expert to tell you. The basics of economy will tell you that you are running the economy at ground and then this month that you and I can see. The question is who are those accounts on this? Well, this is that you spend this huge amount of money is on record that the president, when he was still a private citizen and a contestant, questioned the force of it. It's unfortunate that the APC government enjoyed a lot of leverage from the media and coupled with the fact that we have a moribund opposition party, that you are a light. Well, for me there are no opposition parties. They are just two sides of the same coin because you're just in there because carpeting. Among the political class is just an interest. And once their interests are what are you doing? You don't care. But just to cut the amount. Who is subsidizing? What are these subsidizing? That was 24 trillion. 25% of our annual budget will be expended on fuel subsidy. No subsidy of carousel, no subsidy of diesel or subsidy of PMS, premium motor spirit, which you call petrol. So it's unbelievable. It's unimaginable. So you don't need an expert to tell you that the economy will surely face a downturn because the bulk of the budget we are running is budget deficit. Two, we service a lot of debts. Three, we also, instead of investing in capital expenditure, we engage in consumption in the current expenditure, expenditure that cannot be easily audited, that cannot be verified or accounted for. But Jideh Janssen, if you look at some of the argument that's been put out. First, the government is saying that there are plans to reduce the production quota due to the activities of Vandals. And now due to the price, I mean the high-key price of crude oil, and that's necessitated by the Ukrainian-Russian conflict. These are some of the reasons. Don't you think that this is valid? I will get info from Ukraine. But however you look at it, do you know the prices? No, no, no. Even the European Union that gets info from Ukraine, has they affected the price of petroleum production in those countries? No, it's one, it's lazy economics to, it's incompetence. And three, it's just an excuse of those that are making money out of young fortunes of Nigerians, fortunes of Nigerians that are giving that Ukraine crisis as always with them. Not just that. When there's a crisis in the oil market, it pays you as a country because our own type of crude oil, money life, is one of the most sought after globally. So we are making more money from, from your handling, your handling more foreign exchange for me. You see, let's see. I don't want, the more you talk about this, the more you feel, I don't want, this, you see this issue of forced subsidy. Only God knows what is happening. All right, JJ, let's move on. Daily independent, it's main story that this one is APC chief's mall northern candidate to checkmate PDP. But leave that for a bit. Let me take one issue that is boggling me, which is that of insecurity, education, kidnapping and all of that, school security and all. 11,536 schools closed in December since, in Nigeria, rather since December 2020. That's according to the United Nations Children's Fund UNICEF. What are your thoughts as regards that, JJ? Add that to the COVID disruption. Add that to us to strike and then look at what happened to Nigeria economy in five years, in 10 years, in 20 years time. The implication of closing down school does not only have immediate consequences, it also has future implications. Because what is the quality of manpower that would get it in S5, 10, 20 years? That's just the implication. That's the implication of disclosure of schools and it's unfortunate that we reward failure in Nigeria because some ministers ought not to be in government again with respect to how they have handled the educational sector and the labor sector. Because how can the nation open its eyes to see that those numbers of schools are closed and then as we don't strike and then there's no heading side with respect to how to resolve that. Education is the key to transformation. Transformation of any nation comes from innovation and innovation is a product of learning, inspiration and instruction. Now you have denied that opportunity. Then how do you intend to prove your economy, how do you intend to prove your society? Because there's a template, there's a plan that those that are in primary school this year in five, six years they will be in secondary school. In ten years they will have graduated. They will contribute to the economy of the nation. But you have truncated that process with school being closed and nobody's batting an eyelid and nobody's resigning, nobody's called to question. Rather you have them displaying some measure of it's unfortunate and I'm not missing my word, it's unfortunate that the character that we have had as Ministry of Education, as head of Ministry of Education and head of Ministry of Labor have shown some measure of arrogance that is not required for public service and that is not required for the common work and the common good of Nigerians. It's unfortunate. Okay, so another one that's very troubling as we inch closer to 2023, it's the election and on the Nigerian Tribune you have gunman Kiel Aynak official in Emo during voter registration commission suspense exercise. Now prior to this time I had mentioned the attack, I mean looking at the video that's actually gone viral. It was also being promoted by a sister station. PVC registration and collection center was being attacked. This is what's happening. What should we anticipate looking at 2023 because there's been a lot of concern about you know security and the 2023 January elections or the elections? The EU attack in Emo state is not in new. It's not in new. Attacking Aynak infrastructure in Emo state. You recall before the election in Anambra state, the critical sensitive documents were housed in Emo state and we have situation whereby Aynak offices were set up in some of the critical sensitive materials that are required were set up. And you ask yourself, are these people ghost? Are they ghost? Can they be traced? Can they be located? What has happened to our intelligence community? What has happened to our intelligence garden? What has happened to our security architecture at the state level that it has become easy for people to commit one term destruction of property and sin and then this itself, it's anyone that tries to threaten the democratic process is planning a coup. It's planning a coup. It's any attempt. It is not the use of bond to seize a radio station and announce the change of government. That is a coup. Any attempt for you to threaten the democratic process is it's addition. It's a coup and not even a single security aid has been fired, not singled, not police commissioner, not DPO, not area commander, not state DSA director. Look at the catalog of crises you have had with respect to Aynak offices and is infrastructure. In almost, for example, not to talk of an understate and then you have a governor that collects the security vote. You have the local government spending the security vote and then you have someone parading himself as a commissioner of police and someone parading as the DSA director. You don't, you don't reinforce failure. Accountability is holding people accountable to whatever responsibility you have given to them. The people committing this crime are not ghost, they are human beings. And why can't security agents track these people down? But Jida Johnson, he might just be quite disturbing. I mean, looking at that particular video, I'm probably sure you probably, you haven't really seen it. Who are these gone men? Because from what I saw, this person is probably very heated. I mean, they look very well dressed and heated. Looking like they have a bulletproof vest on and with proper ammunition. Where do they get the guns from? So who are these people? How do they move the gun? How do they move the gun? How do they move around without being intercepted by security agents? All right, Jida, let's move on before we get very emotional about the security situation in the country. It's not been emotional. It's just been, just looking at it from a passive point of view. Let's just move on now. There are talks of the conduct of a census in 2023. Precisely, we are looking at the country that is the federal government is looking at in April. Let's just talk about the census and know that in April 2023, the elections and all that. Let's talk about the time. Who are the elections in February? Who are the elections in February? Who are the elections in March? And then you have a census in April. So in April, the first two months and the first month in the second quarter. Now, this census, you are taking place in 2016. You are taking place because the last census we had was in 2006 and we are meant to have a census every 10, 10 years. Now, 2016 to date, there are no windows or opportunities other than for us to fix the census in an election year. And then we'll go on national holiday in February because of the election. We'll go on national holiday in March because of election. And then we'll go on at least a minimum of one week all the day because of census in April. And then you hand over power in May. They've approved it. There's nothing anybody can do. But once you just want that, what is the strategic thinking behind some of the decision making? What informs the way we go about coming about with policy statement that would drive our nation? I hope that the census succeed. But you could see the bottlenecks you have created with respect to that. That's putting too much pressure on your people who go out to vote for polling again for the census. And then you close businesses on election day. You close businesses again because of census that we could have done. We could have scattered in different periods and different years. So, yes, I mean, you have actually put out, you know, valley argument, GD Johnson, right there. But let's also look at another part of the fact that we're going to have sensors. We understand the importance of having sensors for every country and for every government because it helps in planning. You will plan because you know the number of persons that you have in the country, different group of persons. It helps also with the budget. So how have we been going about budgeting for the people and planning without for the window? I mean, you say, I mean, if we're looking at 10 years to have a census, we've had a window of almost five or there about. So how have we been planning? What have we been doing? How did we arrive at having all of this? Now, let me put it across to you. We should have done this sensor before 2023 election, which will have a lot for constituency delineation, constituency delineation for the other group. I agree with the sensor as critical to planning. Planning is key to development. However, when you are planning, plan does not. All right. We seem to be having a disconnect. Julie Johnson. All right. Well, he has, like you said, he has read some very valid and point concerning, you know, 2022. We have so much to do in 2023. There will be so many holidays, like he has said with the elections are holding at that time, you know, and when you do sensors, you know, people are advised to stay at home. There's no work for quite some time. People are asked those who either want to travel to the estate, you know, they have this window and timeframe to do all of that. And because of that, there will be so much time, there will be so much timeless. And I wonder how that will actually keep our economies. But we understand that we have Julie Johnson back. So it's about the timing. A plan does not guarantee you success. A well-executed plan is what guarantee you success. But if you understand what you're going to be dealing with, then it makes it possible. So do we even know the number of children that are born into this country every day? Do we know how do we even plan? If we look at the, you know, budget that's been allocated to educational sector, do we know the number of persons that we have? I'm just saying as much as planning does not necessitate success, but we also need to understand that you can't take away planning. And so government that has not been planning for the past five years, what have they been, how have they been, you know, working with the policies and action? You have an administration that is at the twilight of its administration, a month to the end of the administration. That's when the administration is conducting sensor. The sensor will be conducted in April. Power will be under over in May 29. By the time the new administration comes in, that's when the provisional result of the sensors will be coming on. What we are seeing in the flight is very, very simple. Sensor is key, is important. In actual sense, number is so important that in the Jewish tradition, God gave a particular book, the book of numbers. Numbers is important. It's important for us to have accurate data, accurate data of the number of people we have in Nigeria and accurate data of the real demographic attributes of our population. It's important. However, the timing is critical. Look at what the 20-23 budget has made provisions for and what 20-23 budget we make provisions for. Now look at the INEK budget. $219.54 billion for INEK. They should share this money to all Nigerians and let us not do any election. $219.5 billion for INEK. $4.3 million for petroleum subsidy. And then the national sensor will come up with. In fact, when you see the budget for the national sensor, you will be shocked to see the number, the amount of money they will use to enumerate, because that's the term, to enumerate in Nigeria. You will be shocked with what we voted for. All right, J.J., that's as much as we can take on this particular discuss for one tough time. J.J. Johnson is the Chief Lecturer and Nigerian Institute of Journalism. Many thanks for your time this morning. It's a pleasure to be with you, Justin and Miss. I hope you could write it. I will wait for the drama in Oshun between Uttalar, Omishuri, and Arrebre-Shala. Uttalar retired there, Arrebre-Shala, but I'm glad to let him know that, to be sure of your time, you can take this to the bank. It's a conundrum. All right. I would see how that plays out in Oshun state. Thank you so much yet again. It is still the breakfast on the Mplus TV Africa. Off the press is off right now. We'll take a break and see what happened this day in history. And we'll come back and talk some more about Bumbaka, Augusta, and a whole lot to expect on the show today. Stay with us.