 The timing and direction of Russia's new major offensive in Ukraine have been announced. Given the pace of forming new units and troop deployment, the Russian Federation may organise a new offensive operation in August or September, says the military and political analyst of the Information Resistance Group of Ukraine, Oleksandr Kovalenko, according to RBC Ukraine. As Kovalenko explained, for Russia to organise a new offensive, it needs to compensate for the losses it suffered during the past year and since the beginning of this year during the Avdivka Offensive Campaign. Currently, the enemy is not advancing as intensively along the front line as before, but they still try to do so. During the summer, they will form new units, complete those that are not yet formed, and around the second half of this year, they may indeed begin offensive operations. Russia's objectives on the front remain the same. Complete capture of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The next priority, in case of advancement in Donbas, is the expansion of the occupation to the Zaporizhia region, located on the left bank of the Nipro River. According to the first scenario, Russia's new operations could unfold towards the Sloviansk-Kramatosk agglomeration. For this purpose, the enemy needs to intensify its actions in Lyman, Svesk and Bakhmut directions. Another variant of their actions involves another attempt to capture Kurakov and Volodar. According to Kovalenko, the terrorists need to control the 0532 road, which is a logistical artery from Marienka to Volodar. The enemy is currently trying to create conditions for cutting this logistical artery in the Novo Mykailivka area. They are also pushing towards Pobeda and Vodian from Solodki. In fact, they are creating conditions to push towards Volodar, not only from the south, but also from the north. Says Kovalenko, he also believes that the enemy may try to re-intensify offensive actions in the Kupiansk area in the second half of the year. A new offensive on Kyiv, which some Western media predict, currently seems highly unlikely. For Moscow to organize such an operation, they would need to accumulate no less than 100,000 troops along the Kyiv region, particularly from the north, on the territory of Belarus. To deploy such a force, conduct its deployment, combat coordination and so forth, it would take at least three to four months, and this cannot go unnoticed by Ukraine's special services. Currently, according to RBC Ukraine, no such activity is observed in the north. The Institute for the Study of War reports Russia may start a large-scale offensive in the Donetsk direction at the end of spring or the beginning of summer. At the same time, it says the enemy will probably be able to start a coordinated, large-scale offensive operation only in one operational direction due to the limitation of their human resources and planning. There was a drone attack on the cities of Yelabuga and Nizhnykhams of the Tatarstan Republic of Russia. The Russian press reported on this. The Kamikaze drones, which are said to belong to Ukraine, hit the Yelaznevta product oil refinery in Yelabuky and Taniko oil refineries in Nezhnykhams. As a result of the blows, an explosion and fire occurred at the same time. An attack was made on the Alibuji Polytex plant in Dormitory located in the Yelabuji special economic zone located in Yelabuji. It is said that Shahid drones are produced at the plant. It is said that although the factories were damaged as a result of the attack, the production process did not stop. Local authorities say there are casualties.