 the chiefs not surprisingly the home favorite here giving six in this one and i'm coming to you first on this one how are you betting this game at arrowhead so brown's past defense was below average a season ago so you figure all right well pat my homes is going to cook right well think about all the changes that the browns made as far as the secondary is concerned john johnson the third troy hill they really drafted in terms of focusing on speed with this brown's defense and so i expected to be a good bit better and really challenge pat my homes maybe even with say secondary sex things like that now brown's offensively baker mayfield i do have some questions with him primarily because he has the longest average time to throw of any starting quarterback in football from a season ago so that's a big concern for me and then as far as pat my home is concerned like i said i think it's a tougher defensive matchup i'm expecting kind of a lower scoring game here my number is closer to five i think the browns are covering