 Pretty fun slate and DFS first and now you got a couple of options I think you justifies your top picture on the night and I would say the top three options the three I like the most are all in what I would deem to be plus matches whether from a a floor perspective or from a ceiling perspective so Pretty fun slate in that regard and not bad for stacking either so despite there being just seven games on this plate So pretty good offerings We're gonna break down which those pictures are like most how are viewing them and also the top stacking options For tonight over on fan dual calm welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim sauna. I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire here to break down this seven game main slate What locks up for seven ten p.m. Eastern for tonight the only game with a weather note for today Is going to be a a temperature that is actually just one game with a temperature above? 77 degrees that game is in Arizona for the diamond backs and the Phillies that is an 89 degree game And the roof will be open there They published that over at the diamond backs website ahead of time So we know the roof will be open 89 degrees Relative to other parks on the slate that is going to be the best one for offense now Does that mean you automatically stack there? No, will we stack there? Yes But we'll talk about why and where that ranks among the stacks later on but that's the lone weather note for tonight We'll dive in in to the fun pitching options and more in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast See wherever you get your podcast. We are an apple podcast spotify stitcher wherever you find your podcasts You can find us there while you're there if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on Spotify or apple podcast also check us out over on the fandal youtube page Make sure you're subscribed to the fandal youtube page and if you like what you hear leave us a thumbs up Have you ever started a player in your fantasy football lineup who scores three points while someone on your bench puts up 20? Well with fandals nfl best ball drafts You don't have to worry about that Draft your team and each week the highest scoring lineup from your roster Will be used as you battle for first place all season long leagues can be free to play or for money And range from three to 12 players the nfl season will be here before you know it So head over to fandal today and get in on the action Pitching preview for this monday mainslade zack efflin checks in with the highest salary on fandal his salary is $10,800 Followed by logan web at 10 6 james paxton facing colorado 98 haseus lasardo 95 Bryce miller on the opposing side of haseus lasardo 9000 with jack flairty and luke weaver as the other guys at $8,000 or higher Now the three guys to me you stand out most are going to be james paxton taseus lasardo and zack efflin and as i mentioned all three of those guys are in at least decent matches for today in terms of Strikeout stuff like that paxton's matchup is the best So i'm going to put in number one for today Due to the fact that he is facing colorado and paxton does still have some issues Primarily it's the baddest balls that have been his bugaboo But he's getting strikeouts and he gets the rockies in boston tonight So i think we're going to want to be here on paxton and put him at the top of our list We got a five star sample now in paxton with the red sox this year and Again, the baddest balls are an issue. He's led up a 42 hard hit rate with a 48 fly ball rate But the rockies don't generate any power. So they don't matter They have a 121 iso against leptis and remember that includes their sample at course field So even with half their games against leptis at course, they have done nothing from a power perspective Once you account for the park factor their wrc plus is 61 that is absurdly low So it's a plush spot for anybody and again paxton At least has the strikeout portion going for him right now He has a 33 strikeout rate through five starts the rockies a 27 strikeout rate against leptis So they're a good match up both for floor and for upside i've got paxton projected for 8.5 strikeouts tonight, which is the highest number on the slate so We will need to make sure the weather's good to go here It looks like it's better this morning than it was last night But if we get the all clear there paxton will be my top starter of the night and he is a guy I do feel great about with a salary of 9800 dollars For the second slot if I were talking about things straight up I would prefer zack efflin because he gets a great match up here Facing out for the a's we always want that but I can save 1300 dollars by going down to haste is lizardo And I think I prefer that route And the matchup for lizardo from a floor perspective is not as good as what we get with efflin or paxton Because he's facing the mariners and they've got some big guns against lefties But they also strike out a bunch 27 strikeout rate versus lefties Which is tied for the highest mark on the slate We've also seen lizardo inching up a bit there himself in the strikeout department Across his past five starts lizardo has been throwing fewer forcing fastballs and the forcing fastball is a Not a super high whiff pitch for lizardo. So it's not a bad thing to see him scale back on that And he has had some tough results in that time. He's had too bad adding specifically But the peripherals for lizardo are sick. He has a 2.53 skill interactive er a with a 35 strikeout rate It is a small sample. So I don't know if that will stick But he is at least in the right kind of matchup to get strikeouts for tonight Lizardo due to the matchup is not a cash game option. I think there you go With the higher floor matchup that we get a paxton efflin But for tournaments, I really have no objections here lizardo well worth 9500 dollars And I think those savings are actually valuable on this slate And they're valuable and left me to put him above efflin So considering the stacks the the stacks a little bit higher salary I think it's okay to take the savings did down to lizardo and make him number two So rankings to me for the studs paxton one lizardo two efflin three For cashings to be paxton one and then I guess efflin two But would just kind of probably go with paxton personally Among the value guys luke weaver is my favorite here a lot of caveats apply to saying that The first is that I'd rather spend up because paxton salaries 98 lizardo 95 those are not super bad honestly and second Weaver has been far from flawless even recently, but his matchup is good and his salary is 81 So let's talk through a situation right now Weaver is facing the royals They are a high strikeout offense with a 26 strikeout rate against righties and just an 80 wrc plus So it's a great matchup both for dfs and for other stuff for Real world pitching for weaver weaver has had issues this year his era is 6.27 But I feel like that number is pretty unfair his expected era is 4.50 His skill interactive era is 4.04 and that number I would say is misleading because On the full season weaver has been letting up a lot of hard contact the one Flaw with skill interactive era is that it doesn't do a good enough job of factoring that in so I would say the expected era of 4.50 a better representation of what weaver has done than his skill interactive era But weaver has been getting better recently across his past six starts Weaver's been throwing a lot more cutters and That has hurt his strike outright because it's down to just 20 percent in that time But his hard hit rate allowed is down to 38 percent Which is about average and that's a lot better than it was before His first three starts this year weaver's done this against pretty tough matchups Now he's in a much better spot. So He is flawed and I would rather spend up to get to paxton get to lasardo But I can see the case for weaver and I can't sit here now and tell you I definitively will not have weaver in my player pool because I like the raise for stacking and they're pretty high salaried rangers same thing. So I can't guarantee you I won't use weaver. I would like not to is what I would phrase it, but um, He's releasing considerations. So to me preferences to get to paxton get to lasardo But I have weaver as an outlet if stacking is a little bit tougher than I'd like for tonight Speaking of stacks, let's dive into those now and talk about those rays. They're at oakland for tonight It's 61 degrees there, which is the coldest on the slate and it does downgrade the rays But I feel like we need to be here regardless They're facing james capralian who has had good results since he rejoined the rotation And he is doing some things well But the peripherals leave more room for us to be skeptical because the good is that pack or kept capralian has let up Just a 37 hard hit rate across five starts and that's a bit better than average. It's not bad. You'll take that but The rest of the data is where we can kind of get some excitement 52 fly ball rate allowed And that's pretty scary when you're facing a team with a 201 iso against right He's even without a brand and lau on the roster Capralian just a 17 strikeout rate within 11% walk rate He's gotten by with a low hard hit rate allowed I just don't know if he'll be able to do that here I think that does allow us to stack the rays against him So the rays are going to be my top stack despite the fact their park factor for tonight is pretty poor I think it's worth talking about luke reilly for a second because the rays do platoon him where he doesn't play against left He doesn't start against lefties should say but he's crushing righties with a 315 iso and the concern With guys like that who crush righties, but don't start against lefties is Will they get yanked if a leftie comes in? The rays don't do that with reilly at least typically because he has finished nine consecutive starts. He has Seven stolen bases against righties. So two sources of upside He is a platoon bat But he is one we can trust for dfs and reilly is honestly one of the lower salaried rays salary at $3100 for tonight. So I think luke reilly Is someone we can trust despite the fact that his archetype can sometimes be one We want to be wary of in dfs guys who leave early for pinch hitters are always going to be Tough to sell but reilly doesn't seem to be that guy He's facing the way the rays have handled him across the past couple of weeks or so Number two stack me the rangers also a pretty high salaried stack but face and taylor anderson who is still trying to get his groove back from last year and When you're a pitcher who's struggling as a lefty, you probably don't want to face texas because It's a rough spot. So I think the rangers is great at wealth from a stacking perspective the rangers against lefties a 144 wrc plus and a 187 iso So that's tough for anybody But it's tougher for someone who is still clearly searching to try to find the magic he had last year Most recently anderson has been throwing more cutters and more change-ups It's an eight start sample and in that time 14 strikeout rates with a 45 fly ball rate the hard hit rate has been pretty good for anderson that time but The other issues that he's had the fly balls the lack of strikeouts That has prevented the hard hit rate from being enough to help him get by It's a pretty tough ask to force anderson to go on the road and face the rangers here So I like them plenty as a stack for tonight. The rangers. I think are a quality stack here Now the added perk here with the rangers facing lefty is that a lot of the secondary guys benefit from that kind of match up Mitch garver josh young z keel doran all get banned bumps up and it does help make them a bit easier to stack Now the one downside is that even those secondary guys quote-unquote secondary guys in this team Don't come with low salaries. Uh garver salary is 33 young is 34 doran is 29 so You're not really saving a lot of salary, but it is at least a little bit easier to get to them here. So Both the rays and the rangers may require some gymnastics trying to find some value place somewhere to squeeze them in But I think they're worth that effort and that is part of why I wanted to go With lasardo as my second ranked pitcher over efflin because I think salary will matter quite a bit for tonight So ray is one rangers two the best park factor tonight easily as mentioned belongs to the dime backs and the fillies Fillies are facing tommy. Henry and they have not hit lefty as well so far this year But I still think we want to give them a look here. Henry is face of fillies once this year That was back in philadelphia a few weeks ago and he did line up just two earned runs there But both those runs came on solo homers. So the upside was there Henry had one good start after that a really good start He held the rockies scoreless for seven innings But as mentioned before paxton the rockies suck against lefties Next start for Henry the nationals tagged him for five earned runs with two homers So I think that kind of wipes out the goodwill from that quality start against the rockies henry Has thrown fewer curve balls his past six outings and in that time He has a 5.23 skill interactive. Yeah, right with a 16 strikeout rates and a 10 walk rate The fly ball rate is 42 and I think that's the cause of the home run issues when you let up that many balls in play And a high percentage of them are in the air Probably going to get you in trouble at some point So yeah, the Phillies have struggled against lefties But I think there is enough here to make them one of the top plays of the night Henry hasn't faced a lot of lefties so far this year and you see that a lot with lefties where When they're facing an opposing lineup you take out all the lefties except for the best ones So the sample we have on Henry is small and it's basically just the best lefties he's seen But those lefties have hit him pretty hard and same thing as we saw last year Both those are very small samples But I do think it gives us the green light to go With brice harper with college warber here because both those guys can't hit lefties pretty well Despite being left-handed. So I would say When you're stacking the Phillies be receptive to harper and schwarber because henry When they've left lefties in the lineup against him has not excelled against those guys So I would say green light at harper and schwarber for this stack Things to watch a couple other offenses to consider for stacking the red sox are facing connor siebold who Has had some really nice starts recently some of those where I course feel which makes it a bit more impressive But the peripherals are still not perfect. I think that means the red sox are in play for stacks But I would not put them above the Phillies or the other two teams So red sox probably fourth for me fifth would be the the giants Basically Matthew liberator who had an awesome start to this year pitched really well in triple a2 But he's come back to earth recently specifically because he's letting up too much hard contact His hard hit rate allowed is 44 across four outings the giants of a 109 w rc plus against lefties So I do like liberator as an overall pitcher Which is why the giants aren't higher on this list But if you want more of an under the radar option for stacking I would say the giants might be in that discussion Because of the hard contact liberator has allowed Finally matt strom is starting for the Phillies, which means is expected to be a full bullpen game But strom could go 40 to 50 pitches based on the length he's shown in the random starts He's made and he's pitched really well this year So that prevents me from being on arizona despite the fact this is a very good park factor for tonight So the Phillies. Yes, I will go to in the the good park factor The the diamond backs not quite as much because I respect strom respect the Phillies bullpen Sounds like everyone there should be available. So, uh, I'm okay being lower on arizona for tonight Let's finish up with the dinger calls for today. The boring one. It is the rangers against the lefties So adelie scarcia who is in play against righties two is going to be in play for tonight So the boring home run call adelie scarcia hasn't had as many home runs recently, but I still feel like that's in his his bag So adelie scarcia is the boring home run call the fun one alec bow It just came off the il yesterday. So we get him back in there facing a lefty Boom not a guy turned to against righties, but against the lefty good park factor. I can get behind that So dinger calls for this monday adelie scarcia and alec bow That's all we got here for the solo shot for today back once again tomorrow for a full slate on tuesday to get that as it is posted Make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast And like as mentioned as always if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating as well If you've got any questions for me. I am on twitter at jim saunas j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast want to thank you all for tuning in for today Get lucky you with your mlb dfs lineups for tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down Tuesday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network