 The following is a presentation of TFNN the morning market kickoff With your host Tommy O'Brien Good morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien company alive from TFNN Tuesday morning 9 o'clock 6 a.m. We got 24 minutes to go until the start of trading and you got markets accelerating higher right now We jump to the S&P's you talk about a bounce folks We're above 4600 in the S&P's as recently as March 15th two weeks ago exactly you had a 41 29 price point and that's within market hours not even talking about where we were pre-market overnight 4129 folks you're talking about 475 S&P points. I'll say it again 475 S&P points remarkable you check out the Nasdaq 100 we're up 166 points 1.1% you were trading with a 12,000 handle back on March 15th You're trading with a 15,000 handle right now up more than 2,000 points were up 2200 points to be exact on an index That had a 12,000 handle folks 2400 points would be a 20% pop in the Nasdaq 100 man these numbers watch out the Dow back above 35,000 35,000 You're up 810s percent Russell's up 17 points right now at 2092 on the reverse side of that a Lot of geopolitical easing right now as you have Russia to get to the bottom line of the story saying it's cutting some military Operations in Ukraine as a de-escalation. They're gonna reduce military op-in op they're going to reduce military operations near Kiev and Yeah potential for whether there should be talks NATO split on whether they should have those talks, but nonetheless looks like a de-escalation in the market taking it and running with it crude backing off we're at $100 and 45 cents You got gold backing off. We're off $46. We're at 1898. Here's what I'll say about gold folks You take a look at the run we had you start that run at about 1800 just below there on February 3rd You rise up to 2078. We're sitting exactly at that 618 That's also where you got the bounce back on March 16th as well only 13 days ago But right back to that price point the 618 it's where you chopped around a little bit towards the end of February as well We'll see if gold holds that 618 there gold trading lower on that news and Yeah, we have a slight bounce again in the tenure But no real huge action in the bonds right now as the yield of the tenure sitting basically right where we were yesterday When I did the program tenure yield 2.446 percent We'll call it 2.45 percent to round it as tenure stay in steady you get the 30 right now up 19 ticks 148.07 and we jump over to the volatility index folks 1888 haven't seen this price point in a while you look at that drop off yesterday, man We end at 1950 today. You see the drop off below 19 and again putting it back on a daily We have not seen this little volatility Priced into this market folks since January 13th. It's March 23rd 29th, excuse me January 13th. It is March 29th. You're talking about more than two months two months in about a week Since we've been at that level in the volatility index quite a fall off from where we were March 15th Vicks was at 34. You have the NASDAQ 100 trading up 2,000 points You have the S&P's trading up 475 points and you're the Vicks dropping from 34 to 1888 Here's all I'll say about this one can't go up forever folks I mean, we're sitting right near all-time highs now with everything going on with the Fed lifting off on rate hikes in dramatic fashion For the remainder of the year at least it right now as the data says we still have geopolitical tensions Be careful in this market trading at 4,600. Yeah at 4,100 and change You can make a good argument that maybe the market was oversold I imagine at 4,600 plus in the S&P with every going everything going on that you may be able to make the case that we're a little bit Overbought right now now interesting in terms of S&P climbing above where you were on February 2nd Let's zoom in on the action here. I'm gonna take this longer term Fibonacci trend off just from the highs we were at okay. We just crossed the 618 That's where we turned previously that price point. You had a high of 45 86 in the beginning of February We got up to 45 85 and 45 83 on February 10th. There was the sell-off down to about 41 31 We've just crossed those levels folks 4605 it's gonna be an interesting day To say the least my dad in the tiger stand right now talking about Europe. Yeah big numbers in Europe Man, how about the Dax up more than 3% footsie up 1.1 percent cat coral up 3.3 percent as well U.S. Ukraine. Excuse me Russia talks Potential raising the hopes there of the market as a little bit of deescalation That we'd all like to see just from a humanity perspective. All right, let's jump around to some of the headlines So there it is Russia to reduce the military operations Narakeev NATO allies let's close that are split on whether they should talk to Putin Berlin Paris the dialogue others say Putin can't be Trusted, I'd say most would say that Putin can't be trusted Interesting to see where you go from there though Moscow as they say cutting Ops in Ukraine deescalation Russian officials say Putin Zelensky meeting possible later Ukraine said no deal reached at is to Istanbul talks Tuesday The fact you have a Russian official coming out and saying there's a potential for the two presidents to talk There's a deescalation near Kiev It's got to be good news not sure if it's gonna matter, but it's got to be good news any news on a deescalation Maybe you get some talks not sure how you get out of this But it's gonna take some talks and the market liking that and Boy the market is running with it now the Dax is up more than 3% right now But Germany was gonna be a lot more impacted than the US in this war energy purposes, etc. Just being in Europe Not surprising they're getting a bigger reaction, but boy we get a pop from here man S&P's are only up eight tenths percent right you're talking about you ever pushed two to three percent right now You're gonna be talking about pushing 4650 to 4700 in the S&P folks You're talking about trading at prices January 12th You get up to 4700 man the run we have had Remarkable to say the least in the S&P's as we trade higher All right jumping around to what else I have going on in terms of headlines Talking about the run Apple best run since 2003 brings three trillion back in focus 11 straight days and 400 billion dollars to the market cap. I often talk about it folks. It's remarkable that Apple they're dealing with more than 16 billion shares every single dollar you're trading at you're adding 16 billion dollars in market cap Not sure how many companies there are that trade over a market cap of 400 billion dollars I mean to put that in context folks. I think Facebook at some of the lows now Facebook has popped I'm sure with the market not as dramatic from 185 to 223. We jump over to the analyze tab on Facebook You're talking about a company valued at six hundred and fifteen billion dollars I mean put that in context Apple has risen in the last 11 days $400 billion which Facebook was approaching an entire value of $500 billion at the lows you check out Apple shares man That is a run folks you climb and again 182 and change I believe it is let's say it because they eclipsed it back on January 4th to become the first company worth three trillion dollars Let's see if they put the price in here Yeah, not sure they do 4.7% away from that three trillion dollar mark is currently where they sit they talk about yields in here as well Quite remarkable for a company trading at more than 28 times forward earnings and a rising rates environment with supply chain issues and inflation I would agree folks, you know the market probably deserved a bounce But boy we got some big multiples again And we got a lot of risks out there and we got certain banks coming out and saying that we might get 50 basis points for the next four meetings And then we'll get two more after that There's a lot out there to rise from 150 to 175 when you get 16 billion shares outstanding Stay tuned folks We come back talking our man Kevin Hinks from TV Ameritrade fast market right back Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market To stay on top of stock patterns You can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter at tfnn.com When you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks You need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis after all He's got 45 years experience as a day trader Larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking Expect notifications from Larry on market movement You need to act on at any time first-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter today tfnn.com educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right Information having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time The TAS profile scanner is the premier market profile base scanner Powered by its acclaimed task proprietary algorithms this feature rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500 plus global financial markets such as stocks ETFs commodities futures and Forex This powerful suite of tools Leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades Before they happen for a limited time You can save $100 off your first month by using the promo code upgrade and you still get a 30-day money back guarantee So you have nothing to risk Level the playing field with the TAS profile scanner which you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com Sign up today Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either Tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and Tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live From around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts To help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor You were born to be tfnn educating investors Folks we have the markets right now sitting s&p's right at about 40 points positive Nasdaq positive 175 doll positive 269 gonna be especially interesting to see where this market goes on the open with all the volatility You're up dax up about 3% right now Jumping over to some of the other headlines so Robin Hood they're gonna be adding four additional hours to extended trading for clients interesting to see how That's gonna spice things up potentially before and after the closing bell I mean if you think about it right with technology and where everything is going There's really no reason why you can't have markets trading 24 7 that's how crypto trades man And they go crypto markets go wild over the weekend where we've reached right now There really is no reason that you cannot trade an equity that you have outside of normal hours I mean imagine it. Yes exchanges are important right, but now you haven't broke ridges From now on they're talking about trading 7 a.m. Till 8 p.m It's only a matter of time until that gets expanded as well folks in my opinion because you think about it What's the difference between 8 p.m. And midnight what's different between midnight and 4 a.m. No difference at all and then you say Well, why only the weekdays right? I mean we all sit and we wait for those futures to open at 6 o'clock on Sunday Realistically there is no reason why at some point you don't see some type and maybe it happens was through crypto Maybe you get some kind of fintech App or something right just speaking broadly, but there is no reason why when you think about it that you can't trade an equity Outside of specific hours when you think about what gets done with crypto etc on those Right now 7 a.m. Till 8 p.m. Before that you only have 30 minutes before the open So 9 a.m. You had to wait until and then you had two hours after the close So they were going 9 till 6 they're now going 7 till 8 they expanded on two hours on each side Our customers often tell us they're working or preoccupied during regular market hours limiting their ability to invest on their own Schedule or evaluate and react to important market news. I Take it for what it's worth. I imagine that's the trend folks Fox Robin Hood They started off with the free commissions and that's where the whole world went I imagine that you're gonna start seeing more and more ability for retail traders to trade outside of 9 30 a.m. Till 4 p.m. Hours And that's probably the beginning of it right there All right jumping around to what else we got going on Let's jump around to some of the fang stocks as we look for this market to open in nine minutes from right now We jump to Amazon shares catching a pop to about 3410 just remarkable run for all these equities folks Amazon March 8th Trading at 2671 you look at the lows we had of about March 15th with the market talking about Amazon up about 500 bucks from that price point You're gonna be pushing 3400 still about $370 off the all-time highs Microsoft had quite the run yesterday up to 310. You're gonna push it up to 313. You're coming up Just to the highs we had on February 2nd So it's gonna be interesting keep your eyes on these markets because you have the markets bumping up to critical areas across the board on many different equities and indices Microsoft not hard to see on the chart that is an area that was prior resistance from Microsoft shares Let's jump over to Google see how they're trading Google. You're back in an area You did trade lower from back on January 13th Google got quite the pop on their earnings in February got a new high of 3052 but you are up to an area that was an area of a little bit of resistance outside of that earnings pop Also kind of an area where Google turned lower We jump back to Apple that said quite the pop not hard to see that Apple is in an area That's been a little bit of resistance going back now Just checking out the indices to match up those price areas as I mentioned NASDAQ 100 right back to where we were on February 2nd as you look for that area We jump over to the S&P actually above that area now on the S&P S&P a little bit stronger than the NASDAQ 100 as those growth stocks Especially hit hard as you've seen yields to rise dramatically to push almost 2.5% on the yields And as I say that we jump over to notes and bonds. We put it back on a 15 minute chart Now five minute chart Talk about a pop folks We're up to 120 203 man. You just rose. I mean these moves are just staggering folks It is across the board man from 8 in the morning you just rose a full point in the tenure right now and You have yields dropping trying to figure out where if I could peg the yield in terms of where we were at that low Can I? No, it's not gonna be that quick Okay Nonetheless, we have yields dropping nearing 2.41% now as the market continues to rise We got the opening balance seven minutes from right now. We jump around to some of the other stocks Let's see how jam and bank stocks are trading right now quite the volatile day for banks yesterday right now You're gonna be up about two bucks. The whole market's just gonna be positive on that type of geopolitical newest folks Let's jump to some of the airlines trading higher in a big way, of course Delta up a buck 50 overnight to a pushing almost $40 We jump to United shares up to 4548 American shares trading higher to 1783 domestically You get a pop as well up to 15 bucks for jet blue. We jump over to Southwest shares up to 4545 Boeing shares up to 191 Airbnb right now to 171 70 gonna be interesting to see how those travel stocks react with the geopolitical tensions Potentially easing in this market. All right, let's jump around to some of the stocks We're making headlines this morning and we jump down the list FedEx So their CEO is gonna step down from a role at the company that he founded more than 50 years ago Smet Smith. He'll become executive chairman on June 1st. He's gonna be replaced by the CEO Excuse me replaced as CEO by their president and chief operating officer, Raj Subramanian Rene. Let me get that Subra manium. There we go FedEx positive But man everything's positive this morning. I think that was Well, no, that's a that's a move on that news So from 230 to 239 looks like they're happy to see some succession in there You're trading right at 239, which is right at that 382 FedEx still well off the highs you had last year 319 Lows and Home Depot is checking out these yesterday interesting to see how they go with the housing market right now Lows back to 213 from 263 you jump over to Home Depot You're back to the 618 from the run they had interesting, right? You got Home Depot back to an area that you found support at in early June you jump over to Lowe's shares And not quite the same in terms of the run you had I think Lowe's was putting about a 3-8-2 versus Home Depot pushing the 618 and yeah, you not before that 3-8-2 now These companies both of them as you've seen yields rise dramatically quite the sell-off from March 24 last week You just saw a huge sell-off as you had a little bit of slowdown potentially in the housing market You have rising yields. That's the sell-off on Home Depot Similar sell-off Lowe's but nice when you're back to an area that you saw support in them as in February 24th And you're right back to that 618 for Home Depot shares as well All right other equities making moves this morning Uber so it looks like Uber now we have some Uber in mind newsletter rocket equities and options folks It looks like they're gonna try and corner the taxi market So they're close to an agreement with San Francisco taxi companies to include taxis in its ride-hailing platform in that city They recently struck a similar agreement with New York City So I wonder how that's gonna play out in the future that Uber is deciding guess what we're just gonna be the platform for everybody our own ride-hailing service and Taxis which are still a part of commerce I Wonder what kind of deal I wonder what kind of profits but interesting that they're kind of locking that down because how do you come in as a Company-like lift do you make a similar deal? I wonder what the details are I'm gonna be digging to find out but Uber with the market trading higher They're getting a pop by about a box So no huge pop on that news as they'd be up a buck I imagine anyway on that news game stop the reddit sucks. Let's see how they're doing today Off a bit, but yeah as they said you talk about a run man. I think they said that's the 11th straight day Let's see for Eight nine ten today would be the 11th straight day if they get the run You just trade it from 80 to 190 be careful if you're in those equities, man God bless you if you're still in it for that run AMC catching a pop yesterday all those mean stocks. We jump to the cannabis stocks not so much Still sitting at about 794. All right, folks. We're coming back for the opening bell. This should be a good one Stay tuned. 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You were trading at 45 81 We're trading right now up 41 points in the S&P's at 46.09 in this market quite the market man across the board We jump to crude we got a 99 print in crude right now 9933 and you talk about a drop-off man 7 30 the news breaks of potential talks potential de-escalation Looking for a ceasefire potentially a bunch of different headlights out there all pretty good They're all words right now. We'll see if words turn into actions But nonetheless crude drops seven bucks in the heartbeat man We're not want to be trading that market right now without some defined risk in some capacity and gold drops pretty fast as well Man, you're down 45 bucks on the session now remember gold Trades on a session that ends basically in the afternoon So you're getting a $45 print, but that is down from where we were yesterday afternoon of a price point of about 1935 or so so that is where you get the $45 print Where we were in terms of the drop-off on that news gold drops about 18 dollars or so on the news of potential easing And yeah, these markets are running higher folks Let's check in on Europe right now in Europe you get the DAC sitting still up about 3.1 percent What's the up 3.2 cat coral now up 3.5 percent as our S&P's inch ever higher 1.1 percent in the positive right now Nasdaq 100 1.3 percent and the Dow We're talking 35,258 in the Dow as well Boy, we almost got some video game numbers already to end the month of March man You talk about some volatility. We jump over to the VIX right now 1875 on the volatility index right now. All right, we jump from markets. We jump to homes home prices heat it up to start the year with huge surges in Arizona and Florida home prices nationally, I mean what's happening in housing markets man watch out rose 19.2 percent Year over year in January up from 18.9 percent in December the 10-city comp annual annual increase was 17.5 percent up from 17.1 the 20-city comp was nineteen point one Phoenix Tampa Well, we know Tampa's in Florida folks. They don't say Phoenix, Arizona They say Phoenix, Tampa and Miami. So the biggest annual gains of 32.6 30.8 percent and 28.1 percent respectively It's amazing what's going on this market folks. I just had a friend Sold a place for about 2.5 million dollars Bought the place for 950,000 in 2017. I Mean and that's not surprising when you're getting one-year increases of almost 31 percent And as we all know all markets not created equally sometimes depending on the property you're getting Even the higher-priced properties even seeing a higher run than that as you have people leaving the big cities coming down to Tampa Coming down to Florida Miami Fort Lauderdale Boca St. Petersburg, Florida Just amazing numbers folks 31 percent rents on the rise in dramatic fashion as well But really remarkable on a national level that you got a 19 percent year-over-year rise and imagine you got 19 percent and then you're going to throw some rising rates on top of it That's going to increase the payments you need on top of that Tough to see that market rising continually except for the fact that we have inflation and if you have inflation Assets are on the rise land property, etc. On the rise that one is not surprising when you think about it Washington DC Minneapolis and Chicago saw the smallest annual gains although they were still up double digits I mean the worst performing cities in real estate We're still up double digits. They still beat CPI even at 8 percent, which is remarkable when you think about that While the index is a three-month running average more grid rates began to climb in January So it'll be interesting to see where these statistics go in the next few months the average rate on a 30-year fixed Ended 2020 to one at around three point two five percent and in January at three point six per eight percent and now it's flirting with five percent The only thing that comes into that folks is that people need a place to live and rent prices are on the rise as well So hopefully if you're able to save some money, maybe you get into a home at three percent five percent ten percent down Because it's not like you can just save money on rents I mean the rents in some of these cities especially as well through the roof So it's it's a it's a rise in steady fact And and it's not like it's just a rise in the housing prices Inflation we're gonna see where we go this market is inflated man up 50 points We take a look at where we are now you put the daily Seems like we might be coming up to at least 4700 I mean you're right in the middle of a chopper round area basically you're now above where we were the highs of February You're sitting at 46 746 17 Maybe we rise to 4700 but man as I said if you're at all thinking about selling in this market folks I would be considering it right now especially if you're on a longer-term perspective and you don't want to rind out some potential volatility because I mean Has the market forgotten that we are gonna be in a rising rate environment that we've potentially never seen before Let's see what we're doing here. I don't think so. So we'll see we'll see where we go. Sorry for that Okay, let's jump around to what else stories other equities moving this morning. Let me get it up Dave and Buster's so they are lower after they miss pre-market after a top and bottom line miss in its latest quarter Dave and Buster's fell eight cents a share for shy of estimates quarter learning 52 cents We're strong in light of ongoing COVID-19 headwinds. Now. Here's the the tough part about this folks depend I don't know where they do business. I don't know what states they do business in But people are ready to get back out man and and okay, so let's let's put this up here Yeah, there you go. That makes more sense. They got a conference call going on. I was surprised by that because They should be doing well right now, you know any we were just saying actually that my family saying which we had more places Like something like that. We could go to around us. We're not quite in Tampa. I think they probably have one in Tampa. I'm not sure You're up from 29 bucks in December right this year alone Dave and Buster's from 38 to 45 You take a look at the three-year weekly to see the run They've had you're basically sitting right back at pre-COVID levels down to $4 and 61 cents when the market wasn't sure that These companies would stick around but you're up to 45 85. They're out with their numbers Very end of earnings season Dave and Buster's up 6% and Pinterest they're a little bit lower. They get a downgrade from Morgan Stanley to equal weight from overweight Challenging user trends including a greater proportion of time spent on activities with lower monetization potential so Pinterest this was a Pandemic darling right and Not so much lately up to 90 bucks back to 26. You're basically flat on that news They get a downgrade but boy. I mean that comes after quite the slide from 80 bucks less than a year ago to $26 you're back to pre-pandemic levels for Pinterest Let's jump around some of the other social media companies as we come into this break Facebook's gonna be a study. We're up 1.6 percent man. You jump over to the analyze tab I talked about it before you're talking about a company now valued at about 600 billion dollars Price to earnings ratio talking about only 15 five-year average is 25 Part of this is they're not gonna earn as much when they're spending billions on the metaverse. Okay, but boy You start looking at the properties. They have folks I mean there's reports out there that Instagram alone would be valued at 200 billion to 300 billion dollars. All right Instagram alone 200 to 300 billion Now I cannot stand the way the Facebook runs their company. All right, but boy You're looking at a company now. That's at 600 billion Instagram 200 to 3 billion They got what's happened there as well They get Facebook Messenger and then you have Facebook on top of it as well and no matter what you think folks Facebook That's a number that you can understand When you're making $40 billion in profits station folks right back Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area including the surrounding st. 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It's on the front page of tfnn and now folks We've always had the Tigers Den we used hotcom which was an outstanding piece of software For its time and unfortunately like anything else technology man is amazing how quickly it moves and it just wasn't keeping up With what we needed to do and so we're moving the dent to discord and we're changing the dynamic folks We want to bring in just everyone we have because we're fortunate at tfnn to have such a community of traders Whether you talk about the Tiger's Den what did you talk about the YouTube Tiger's Den over there? Earl baseball Gary IKEA aka EKS Pat Stone right everybody over in the YouTube Tiger stand I encourage you come on over to tfnn come on over to the front page I'll put the link in there in a moment It's one dollar for the year folks and that's really only charged to make sure we keep out spammers We keep out bad actors etc. So people can't just be putting an email address is coming in there every day and ruining the environment It's a dollar for the year to make sure that we bring people in that are serious about Creating a community. Okay if traders in there bouncing trading ideas off We got about 140 people right now, but I imagine this is gonna go quick. We'll have a couple hundred people in there About seven in the morning six seven in the morning. It starts becoming active till four or five at night The great thing about the Tiger's Den now folks and discord if you've never used discord outstanding piece of software man I really got introduced to it in building out the Tiger's Den trading room and You can use it on your mobile you can use it on your tablet you can use it on your desktop So what's so cool is I was sitting last Sunday night, and I'm sitting there and I'm sitting on my phone And when I'm watching futures, I'm sitting on my phone. I'm chatting with our man G7 Jeff in the den I'm chatting with Maria. I'm chatting with Z white shark SMP I encourage you to check it out folks. It is $1 you sign up at the front page of TFNN, okay? You fill out the information you subscribe for a dollar After you subscribe you'll visit discord and download the piece of software and that discord you can use as part of an internet browser Okay, but I encourage you to download the piece of software because it is much better when you are using the actual download or Download the app on your phone or tablet, okay? You download it you create an account and then you just simply email us with your account name And then we make sure that you've come over we add you to the room and you're in it's just that simple folks If you have any questions, you can email us at sales at tfnn.com You can always email me Tommy at tfnn.com our man Jacob has done an outstanding program folks He's been leading the charge on this Jacob. Thanks so much man Give him a give him a nod if you if you see him in the Tigers Den folks because he has done an outstanding job getting this all set up And you can email Jacob at Jacob at tfnn.com check it out folks. We want to get everybody in there It's a buck for the year and there's no strings. There's nothing else You're not going to be upsold in there to be a part of the Tigers Den That's the charge check it out great community and pretty cool when you add in the fact that you can use it on Mobile and tablet because we imagine and as we're talking about it This is going to allow the den to really start to foster more communication outside of normal trading hours when we're not all At our computer, right? Maybe you're on your your tablet. Maybe you're hanging out with your iPad Maybe you're just sitting on your phone watching futures trade at 8 o'clock at night after dinner all those times very conducive So check it out the front page of tfnn We're excited folks and we got a lot of cool stuff planned so so check that out get in there for a dollar Okay jumping around back to the market S&P's sitting up 42 Nasdaq up 194 right now. We jumped to some of the other stories. I had pulled up here as I pull it up Excuse me All right, we talked about Robin Hood We talked about the stocks making moves and home prices apples nearing 3 trillion again and the Fed Pivots toward jumbo hikes after being slammed as too slow Interesting you get this article out right keep this in mind folks because yes, I I imagine we were gonna bounce But man who had the S&P? Okay, who had the S&P? two weeks ago trading From 4100 and changed to 4,600 who had the S&P trading at 4,600 by the end of March when we're in March 15th I imagine that even if We got easing geopolitical tensions. I don't think people would have had the market rising above the February highs Because man, we still got rate hikes coming folks and that's what the article is talking about Okay, we got rate hikes coming and we got jumbo ones coming In the days after the March 15th and 16th FOMC meeting prowl and his colleagues shifted from a long-standing preference of slow and gradual rate Hikes especially interesting that it was March 15th and 16th because I just showed you that's where the market lows were right To front-loading policy with a half-point hike on the table in May and more to come I told you city came out and said there's gonna be 450 basis points hikes For the next meetings and then you're gonna get two of them after that or folks you stare at this chart Okay, I mean if they're teaching this chart in class imagine You're taking a business class at Villanova University My alma mater that's in the final four by the way And they asked you theoretically to look at this chart And decide what you would do if you were the president of the Federal Reserve You got inflation accelerated to a 40 year high of 7.9 percent and the real thing here is that for the first time since 1991 you have core and CPI rising because every time prior you really got some crazy numbers with gas Dating back to 2009 you see that the core number in yellow pretty steady Even when you had some bonkers numbers with the headline number because of energy you had the headline number at 5.6 percent But they said hey guess what cores cool at 2.5 then when you got the flip side of that Right you had the headline number at minus 1.3 percent, but the core was still at 1.5 Well things changed dramatically folks cores through the roof right now Inflations through the roof you take away energy and gas and we're still at pretty crazy prices You better believe that we may get some 50 basis points hikes because if I was given the assignment to look at where we are in This economy look at where we've been in history Look at where interest rates currently sit and then say what should you do as the chairman of the Federal Reserve with a mandate of? price stability That's one of the mandates folks And full employment well wears employment employment is full wears price stability. It's a mess. I Just keep it in mind because the more I see it the more I see this market bounce I imagine that even as geopolitical tensions ease we may see the rise of possible Rising rates come back to this market and at least pull back some of this and man the run has been substantial folks Just taking this off and putting a run in terms of the run. We've had since March 15th I'm just gonna put a potential Fibonacci retracement in there Excuse me a simple 382 of the run we've had over the last two weeks. We'll bring the market down 165 s and p points. That's a 3% pullback potentially in a healthy acceleration And that only brings us back right to where we were trading at almost five days ago folks So we're gonna see the volatility persist. It's not gonna stop anytime soon But I imagine we may have a pullback at least in some period of time. What do they say they say sell the Buy the rumors sell the news They're buying the rumor of potential talks right now folks, but what kind of talks that we're gonna get you know Things are not gonna go back to a Pre-invasion of Ukraine situation overnight tensions on the rise Still energy problems not going away overnight and interest rates rising by potentially 2.5 percent more from the Fed this year Stay tuned folks. We'll be coming back to finish up the program. 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That's 877-518-9190 This segment is brought to you by thinkorswim for more information Just click the thinkorswim banner on the front page of tfnn.com Welcome back folks. You got the markets in positive territory Give him back some of those gains when you put things on a five-minute chart right now We were up to 4623 right after the open. That's a five-minute chart And it's been a little bit of a sell-off since then you're now only positive by 30 points As I said, how high is this market going to go folks? Are we really going to make new all-time highs today at 4800? Yeah, that would be like a four or five percent pop not going to happen But are we really going to make new highs in the next few days? With everything else going on listen crude is still at $100 the s&p's were at 4623 The Fed is going to rise Potentially two and a half more percentage points from where it is right now over the next six meetings And you have inflation you have wage rising wages rising supply chain issues trying to bring it into fruition folks You may see some selling as we get up to these levels because man We haven't seen a run like this in two weeks in a while in this market Especially as tensions still kind of on the rise there When you think about nothing really has been solved in any way at all concrete and we've seen this play out before We've seen Putin talk about things and meanwhile he's just sending more troops in I mean, this is the whole build-up the whole time biden was saying that the ukraine is going to be invaded within days Putin tried to spin something out there that it wasn't even possible wasn't even happening wasn't going to happen Meanwhile, they were just marching more troops in the whole time and then invaded wouldn't be trusting those words at all But we are now stretching into like what five weeks six weeks of this war. It's remarkable how time has flown And yeah, I imagine that it's beginning to weigh on Putin and I don't know how long it can go on So we'll see remarkable s&p's up 33 nasdaq up with 160 and the dow right now up to 78 crude back above 100 bucks as you have the market receding a bit You know the crude popping a bit. We're still negative five bucks and you got gold popping as well So all the markets kind of recoiling from that first move I mean gold is right back to where we were practically before we even got that news Which is remarkable when you think about gold trading down 32 bucks But most of that 32 bucks had already taken place folks by the time we got that geopolitical news at about 7 30 this morning All right folks stay tuned should be a wild day in the markets as usual lately We got our man basal Chapman coming up next Uh larry's uh traveling today, so he will not be live but other than that We got fast market at 12. We got our man Steve Rhodes at one. We got our man Dave White at two of them We got checks the Tigers then new the front page at tfnn.com. I see those subscribers coming right now. Thanks folks