 Let's get over to our man. It's the Tim wood folks as we do every Tuesday and Thursday and don't forget you can reach Tim is a great newsletter every trading day at odd or D hyphen oracle calm That's odd hyphen oracle calm Tim or what's going on brother? Well, I think you some charged over Yeah, you do it. Are you are you ready? Ready I've been ready since last week when you nailed this thing again Tim And you know you're looking at that s&p and it was halfway above the top Bollinger band and here we are on the fourth of March and a fifth of March and this thing's starting. So let's do it man All right. Let's look at actually chart one is what we talked about last week Okay, man, and that's that monthly chart, you know the yeah, they could sit above the upper Bollinger band And if you go to the second window up from the bottom There's a slight Actually that chart is the SPX VIX ratio with the Bollinger band on it Okay, yeah, and if you look at do the the right side the current time frame Yes, you made a the the SPX VIX ratio made a lower high While the SP's made a higher high ages at that blue arrow Yes, not a huge divergence, but still a divergence. So you had actually two diversions She had one on the SPX VIX ratio, okay, and also You're above the big percent above the mid Bollinger band or the upper Bollinger band and folks We're talking about 50% above the Bollinger band As you put it on your charts put it on the monthly which is even more intense This is on the monthly that Tim's talking about so pretty cool. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, this whole thing's on a monthly chart Right. Oh, yeah, they kind of tell different stories on different time frames. So actually as we'll look at the Next chart, okay the weekly time frame. So you start off the monthly now We're gonna look at the weekly. Yeah, and it doesn't look bad at all. Okay if you look to the you know where we are right now or this last rally up, you know the Bix even though it's going sideways. It's still made a higher high On the SPX VIX ratio on the time frame there. So it's not like a Monthly chart, you know rules of weekly chart to weekly charge rule is daily charge. Yes So so my interpretation of this is you know, this is not a a major decline Nothing like we had back in if you look back in November of 2021 that was a major divergence. She had The SPX VIX ratio, which is second window up from the bottom making lower highs We don't have that here. So you still have a pullback, but there's not a big divergence. So I don't think it's any big decline Starting here and so let's flip to chart three real quick. Okay We talked about this last Thursday. Yes is updated to today and the third window up from the bottom is the 63-day average of the 63-day average of the arms index So it's like three months of arms index. Yes, and usually if you're above 1.1 You got enough panic in the market. You can have some pullbacks, but nothing real significant Oh, yeah, big big declines concur when you get down around point one and lower You were up to 1.1 to which is you can have a minor pullback here, but it's not set up for a major pullback So in yet term, you know the weekly SPX VIX ratio and the 63-day average of the arms actually look decent So nice, so let's look at now look at the short term and folks So just so you understand if you're driving in your car right now Remember the program's archive so you can go over this when you get home because these Different tools that Tim's use are just awesome, man. Okay, so I'm ready Tim. That's the next shot, right? Yeah, the chart chart number four. I have a daily. Yeah daily chart of the SPY and that blue area. I just want to point out that's where the gap is yes And I thought you know the first time we pulled up we go down and touch it and we didn't we didn't even You know come close to a market rally to anyhow and now We're awful close, but we're still not touching it I made this chart earlier in the day, but we did get a clue yesterday if you the bottom window is just the VIX and Yeah, the S&P's inner day was higher than the prior yesterday was Monday and inner day was higher than Friday And while that was going on the VIX is also making a higher Low as the S&P's was making a higher high And that's usually a various divergence are insured term basis Okay, and also the volume yesterday was anemic Yes, try to rally above Friday's high. Yeah, and boy came in about 30% eyeball on it here about 30% lighter So really didn't have the energy to really push higher plus you had that VIX Um Divergence, so I'm thinking you know, it's not gonna go So now we can't take out the previous high with volume It's gonna try to take out the previous swing low. Yes, the previous swing low is a low We had last week and that looks like about five oh four approximately, you know and the and the Yeah comes in, you know probably about five oh three in the spot Yeah, and we've hit, you know, it's wilds and we've hit five oh four nine ten today So yeah, well How you test that gaps also gonna be important. Yes, so if you test, you know the gap formed on She wrote that date down, but I Know it's like two weeks The last one's like two weeks ago Yeah, about two weeks ago. Yeah, it's exactly Volume of that day as if you test that gap on on the day that bought the gap was created The volume of that day be tested on equal greater volume That won't be the final time you test that gap. You'll test it again If you test it on lighter volume 10% You know so say that day of two weeks ago with 100 million shares and today you tested on 90 million shares That gap's going to be support But if you test it on 100 million shares or even more You may may bounce, but you're gonna come back in and test that gap again, right? So I don't know what how that gap is going to be tested. I don't if we test it today, you know, I don't know if we got See update my chart here Yeah, we may I don't know. We'll probably test it this week. I don't know if we'll do it today or not But how you test that gap is going to be important and also and you know, you know, it's interesting Tim is that If we just I don't mean to interrupt you but if we go to the if we go to the NDX 100, right the cues So the spot the spy the volume is not that big today But the cues are coming into that gap right now And it's gonna have more volume because we've already done 45 million. I'm showing 52 When it gapped up But this is still early man, you know, we're talking. Yeah talking 20 minutes. They'll throw 20 million shares into the cues Anyway, stay right there folks. Tim and I are gonna be coming right back Tim will go through these charts for us We have the down industry was down for 92 Nasdaq off 321 S&Ps off 68. We're coming right back folks Welcome back folks. I tell my Brian Tim. Would we do appreciate your growling and problem with us out here We have the now a 515 Aztec's off 325 S&Ps are off 71 Tim's bring us through these charts, baby Okay, so I have the VIX the spy and the VIX up right now Tim Despite the chart number four. Yes. Okay. Yeah, all right There's a couple things was going to go on you know, you you were talking about the QQQ Yes, no on this chart. This is the SPY charge by circled on the volume charge two days there Yes, you know those two days I circled but the point QQQ works similar Is it's not exactly the rules of the S&Ps, but they do work similar So if you got a bunch of volume coming in on the QQQ today and the volume is 50% higher than the previous days before it it's going to stop that decline Okay, so because it's going to be a selling climax And so if it's a abrupt change either up or down in volume It stops it but if the gradual gradual change Either up or down is going to keep going. You know, it's wild now Hey folks, you're going to do this number man. This is so cool. It's unbelievable So check it out Tim. Yesterday, you know, as we both know and you just informed the whole audience We had light volume. So it's 34 million and The Q's could do 60 million today That's crazy Ian you have Powell we have Powell talking tomorrow in the next day, you know in the senate and the house So We get some volatility coming out. So just pretty cool Yeah, well, this is the week before auction expiration week two and this is where you get all the Weird stuff. Yeah, I get that. You know, I call it. Oh, actually word. Wally. We had Wally Wednesday Yeah, we're Wally. When is he with the ball and uh, uh, well and Chuck. Yeah Yeah, well and Chuck figure that you see he's selling the business too. So I love it I haven't interviewed him forever, man. I mean, you know folks said when in the 90s that I had I didn't have one that many times. I had him a few times because he's a wise guy too, man Yeah, yeah, he's a lot of fun to talk to. Yeah, so All right, but anyhow, I'm thinking My opinion right now is that we're probably going to touch the gap Okay, and how we touch that gap is going to be important and if you notice, you know, the market's Down a bunch, you know the 1.3 is we're putting it as we're talking right now And you got a trend right now 1.8. I know showing any and I panicked cat, but Did I lose it? Oh, go ahead No, can you hear me? Yeah, I have you. I have you. Yes All right Well, I'm saying was when the trend you know, you need at least or 1.2 to really get panic in the market And when we panic only forms at bottoms and a lot of times that panic just comes out of nowhere Yeah, you know, so but today we're not getting it They're not panicking today. They're buying today at a 0.86, right? Which is pretty wild, man. Yeah Yeah, so it may show, you know, it'll probably show up sometime this week But yeah, it doesn't appear it's going to be today or anything So I don't think today is the day of the bottom right right. So actually let's go to chart five. Okay This is the trend here the bottom window is a 10 day trend Next window up is a five-day trend next window up is a two-day trend um You at least need the two-day trend to get up around 1.2 and uh, so I'm thinking You know, they really get a buy single going for next week because I think expiration week Which is next week's going to be an up week. I would think you at least get a two-day trend up 1.5 we think that could happen this week. So we'll see if that develops or not Did he say a two-day trend at 1.2 or 1.5? Uh, say that again on the two-day trend. You like to see it at 1.2 or 1.5? Actually 1.5 is ideal, but I've seen 1.2 work. I see. Okay. Cool. I got it. Okay. Yeah Yeah, it's just kind of that's kind of a moving target on that two-day trend Yes, the end-day trend stage real consistent at 1.2 But the two-day trend is really bullish market gets down 1.2 and bearish markets. Sometimes you need 1.1 point 75 Okay, so you kind of watch what's happening over the last six months That's the reason why I got that one point. It looks like about 1.3 going across that two-day trend I see I got it. Yep. Yeah. See it works pretty good at 1.3 right now If you look at all that those are all with the bottom. That's what I'm looking at. I know that's pretty cool, man. Wow Yeah, yeah so but Anyhow, that's uh The trends not or the downtrend on the spx is probably coming close to a low But it's not a low today Uh And it may not be tomorrow, but sometime this week. I think you're gonna find a low so but not today And you know as tim said, you know, you know, we we got option expiration next week So I'm in Dave white. He used to love this folks setting up You know if you can get a nice low in and get the panic this week you can get some nice Calls of cheap money, man Yeah, yeah, I'm kind of for that thing too is When everybody's really blowing out the the trends and stuff is it's you know, the the higher the panic, I guess Yeah, the better it is because it's almost actually putting fuel gasoline on a fire Yes, so when it's really blows out because when that thing reverses they don't let you in right, right? As I mean it's a it's like a rocket ship out of these holes But it goes into kind of a minor panic Low it comes out A decent rally, but not you know, not like explosive But it goes into the hole of extreme panic it blasts out at market extreme volatility to the upside so I don't know which one we'll get get this week, but We will I guess we'll have to wait and see So We can move on if you want I'm ready. I just said the next one. Yep Church six we're going to go real quick here Well, I want to show is you know, I guess sir, uh, this is the uh, which church six is Okay, the inflation deflation ratio on the weekly time frame So this is common airman term type signals and the the the dark red circles are times When another indicator Uh gave a bicycle which is on page seven. Okay So all those dark circles in there are the exact times both those signals were created for for both so Well, I'm turning these are bicycles of different methods coming in the same time. Yes, and if you if you look in chart number eight Okay, and see you red. Sorry, which is the bottom window. I see it on the xAU Which is the weekly xAU gold ratio we had an rsi hit below 30 last week And those circles on the xAU bottom window there are the same signals generated on those two previous indicators. Wow And we got some good juice on gold this last three days, man As more signals come in on the same time. Yes So, you know, we've been kind of arriving kind of boys here over the last several months If you notice those previous bicycles really didn't fail. They just kind of went up and come back down You know, because really the market hasn't done a squat Since June of last year, right? I mean it just moves it moves sideways besides driving the gold bulls including me crazy Yeah It's just a sideways market. You know, I go up come right back down and go back up All right, but now you got three different signals of three different types of indicators Coming in and all them, you know, we still may move sideways here a little bit But we're probably at least near me a term low at a minimum. Yes, so We'll see how that all works out. But now stay stay right there, Tim We're gonna be coming back folks. We've got two more charts to go with Tim Uh, there's those girls also gonna be gold charts. We get the dial right now at 444 and Aztec off 297 S&Ps off 61 when I look at You know, my uh screen here is These golds are still in pretty good shape. Tim and I be gonna come right back folks Welcome back folks. We're talking about man. Mr. Tim Orton right now. We are talking Uh gold so I got the chart up folks at Tim All right, uh chart six Uh kind of one of them were briefly but this chart Gives a signal probably once a year And what it is an inflation deflation ratio rsi Um Any other the point I was trying to make that the The Circles bold circled areas. Yes our times Uh, which is, you know, we got one here, you know Last week or two Bold circles then we the last one we had was 2020 Yeah, 2022 Then before that was to get 2000 Um looks like about 19 and so anyhow, these signals are pretty rare Yes to get the rsi on a weekly time for him below that but when you do get it, they're pretty reliable Nice, so anyhow that that chart Uh, it gave a buy signal and this next one Chart number seven. Yeah, this is in play. It's the uh Uh, yeah the 50 day average, which is the bottom window seems to work best Okay, when the 50 day average of the up-down volume gets below 20 And turns up that did it back in axi late february and those bold uh bold circles on the bottom mirror the ones Of a chart number six, right? So so you're getting a double buy signal on this method So something totally different than what the first method was. Yes, and you flip to you flip to chart Number eight. Yeah, which is the weekly XAU gold ratio, right? So whenever when everything just goes in a dumpster This this is a chart that You know pretty much shines look at that in the bottom window Is that I circle those times. Yes, and that knows mirror the previous signal. So you got three signals All developed at the same time right in this vicinity So we leave that at least that amendment looking at any minute term low here We are rocking. We are rocking until thursday without man. Mr. Tim. Ord. Remember you can get hold of him at ord hyphen oracle.com Tim. Have a great one. Have a safe one All right, we'll see you Thursday. There's a have a great one folks come back and visit tommy tomorrow morning nine o'clock