 It is going to be an odd one this weekend for the Corrales Punta Cana because of course this is a separate field event with the WGC match play going on this week, which means a lot of the PGA's biggest names not in the field for the Corrales Punta Cana, but there are still DFS to play, which means there is still money to be won. So we're here to break things down from a DFS perspective and get you set for the Corrales Punta Cana this week over on Fandual. Welcome on into the Heat Check Fantasy podcast powered by Number Fire. That's right here on the Fandual Podcast Network and NumberFire.com. My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for NumberFire.com. Joined here as always by Brandon Gedula. He is the managing editor of NumberFire.com. Brandon, we got a weird field this week. How are you doing today? I was researching this field yesterday and I kind of came to the conclusion that I like it because it requires more research than your usual event. And honestly, we're going to talk about some names we haven't talked about in years. We're going to talk about some names probably for the first time. But usually when we get this opposite field event, I'm a little bit underwhelmed for my research, but then by the time the show comes around, I feel like, hey, man, I'm starting to see some value on some names. And maybe not as tight as we typically get. So I think there's an advantage this week. And like you said, there's still money to be won. Yeah, it's not as tight. And the odds that the players on whom it is not as tight get steamed up from a popularity perspective are lower because a lot of these dudes are probably not household names. So it's harder to get... There's not a single household name. Johnny Vegas is... No, Johnny Vegas ain't making a pip. In this house, we respect Johnny Vegas. Yes, on this niche DFS Fandal podcast. Crown him. Crown him. Our households are not indicative. I'm sorry, I should have... That was rude of me. I should have said 2022 Corrales Punta Cana champion Johnny Vegas. I should have, you know, said it with the proper title. So apologies, Johnny. We're working that going forward. We'll start to get better throughout the podcast today. We're going to break down who in this field we should turn to for DFS, who could be, since surprise, names, who you can like, and who may have those pricing and efficiencies in just a bit. But first, with the men's sweet 16 coming up, you've got one last chance to win a share of $70,000 in DFS site credit, introducing the GMC mountain climber series, a completely free to play brand new contest series. That gives you a chance to win big throughout the first three rounds of the men's big dance. Here's how it works. Just correctly select the winners of each match have listed for the sweet 16. The more selections you answer correctly, the higher you'll move the mountain. Using GMC's custom mountain climber leaderboard, you'll be able to see where you stack up against the competition in real time every day. If you get every answer correct, you'll reach the summit and win your share of $20,000 in DFS site credit each round as an added bonus. 100 lucky fans who entered any of the contests win a share of the $10,000 bonus DFS site credit prize. The first games will be underway on Thursday. For this week's head of Fandal and reserve your spot in the GMC mountain climber series had to www.gmc.com. Not sure why I said the www. Anyway, GMC.com slash future dash vehicles slash 2022 dash Sierra to reserve your new GMC Sierra now at participating dealers. Reservation does not guarantee delivery within a certain period of time. Let's dive in now to the Corrales Punta kind of championship and take a look at Corrales golf club. It is 7,670 yards and a par 22. It's a long popper there. It hosted two events during the most recent PGA tour season. There was one in September and then one in March as well. So typically it's March one got moved because of COVID. They did play in September of last year as well. There are 120 golfers in the field. The top 65 plus ties will make the cut after the first two rounds. Now Brandon, no shot link at Corrales golf club, but we have some data here. Looking to pass events. What stands out to you in terms of what matters at Corrales golf club? Yeah, one of the things that jumps out is the winning scores. Typically have been 18 under 12 under for Joel Damon with some gustier wins last year. But other than that, it's taken 18 under to win this thing. So we're going to need some birdies and we have anytime we get a birdie event, there's there's increased volatility. And I think that this week is the name of the game is going to be some volatility. Whether you're digging into the match play or the Corrales Punta Cana. So I embrace the chaos this week. But one thing that I've started to do is look at fairway acreage per yard for courses. Kind of gives me a general estimate of how wide courses are. This one's rating out at a 6.5. So it's pretty it's pretty wide, which is why I think we get to see some. Some emphasis on driving distance relative to driving accuracy here. It's one of the higher end fairway acre per yard numbers for me in my database. Data golf shows an emphasis on driving distance as well. Past winners here. Kind of don't really fit that profile. Joel Damon, Hudson Swafer, Graham McDowell, Bryce Garnett. But we also don't have a lot of the longer hitters on tour in this field anyway. So, you know, I think that's going to be one reason why we'll talk about Jonathan Vegas in detail this week. I think he's going to be the best play. I thought it was going to be Joel Damon, but I've warmed up to Jonathan Vegas as the play for this week. As far as my key stats go, then I'm opting for stroking it off the tee due to the mix of guys who win or contend here who aren't necessarily long. As opposed to just driving distance, I'm looking at obviously stroking an approach. Notably greens in regulation rate out pretty hard to hit here. Again, that could be that could speak to skill level as well. But each of the 12 golfers who finished T nine are better here last year. We're top 17 greens regulation, which is almost always going to be the case anyway. But you can't go wrong this week if you need birdies to say I need stroking it off the tee. I need stroking an approach and I need birdie or better rate. Yeah, I think the going back to the driving stuff. I think the other reason to go with stroking off the tee versus just raw distance is that I'm kind of in search of good golfers this week. And so like I'm valuing off the tee play in general because I want indicators of like raw talent. I think it's the way I want to view it. And that's why like we'll be referenced or at least I will looking a lot at like the data golf true strokes gained query for this week too, because a lot of these guys are playing different tours, you know, competing against smaller fields. And I want to be able to account for that, you know, Vegas doing well at the Valspar. I have no idea if he's at the Valspar, how he did, et cetera, et cetera. But like him doing well there is different than like doing well at the Puerto Rico Open. So I think for me, we talk about this a lot for for majors, Valspar. He finished 27 Valspar. But we talk about this a lot at majors where you're hunting for like the best overall golfers because that's always going to matter more than course fit. I think that's true this week too, given the specific way this field breaks down. So last week on Friday, I published a piece on Number Fire about putting regression. And you're a good piece, by the way. And it made me realize that the way I run my simulations, which is based only on round by round scoring, adjusted for field strength and recency. I was like, you know what, I want to go back to a model that accounts for T to green and putting splits. And then we ran right into this event. And I realized how the reason I got away from that is because it's very difficult to account for putting splits based on distance from guys without shot link data, T to green from, you know, various tours. We can we can account for the DP World Tour, which if you don't know yet, that's what the European tour is now called. Don't have that for the coin fairy tour, but again, I use a full year of data. So a lot of that stuff's going to level off. If you use smaller samples, then it's going to be a little bit more problematic. But I found myself this week doing a similar thing you do your check, you're using data golf query tool. I use my own adjusted numbers, but basically just a long term. Who's who's the best golfer here? Yeah, who are the better golfers and just kind of go from there. And I think that you can't really go wrong. Because again, you're looking at weird samples, smaller samples from guys who don't always get to play on the PGA tour. If you're looking just the PGA tour stats, you're going to have some glaring weaknesses. You're going to miss some guys. So this is a perfect week where overall strokes gained, I think just makes a lot of sense. And like, that's probably where we should skew in general. Like we talked about course fit a lot because it doesn't matter. I'm like, you do make tweaks based on that. But it's not, it's a tweak versus the key component. And I think that for this week, the key component is just who's good, you know. Yeah. And I mean, like last week, we, you know, for, for Copperhead, like talk about driving accuracy being a little bit more important. And then it came down to, you know, Sam Burns, one again, JT was in the mix. Like it matters. You kind of tweak things a little bit. Yeah. You roster the best golfer, which is why you roster Sam Burns. That's just, that's the key takeaway that I have here. You know, that's all, that's all I can take away from that. Okay. Let's dive into past history here at Krause Golf Club. And again, they were here twice last year. So more recent course history than we typically get in terms like the past year and a half, which is good. And one guy who has done well is Joel Damon. You mentioned you might be a Damon guy for this week, partly because the course history, but also like Damon is a relevant guy. We talked about a lot at other fields. So let's run through Damon, what he's done at Corralis in the past. Yes. So Damon salaries 11,800. That puts him a second on Fandall behind just Jonathan Vegas at 11, nine. So we don't really have a runaway up in the 12,000 range, but I think for me it comes down to Damon versus Vegas for the top play. But Damon, most recent winner here has finished 13th, 12th, and then first, obviously at Corralis. And it's really hard to beat for any golfer at any setup and better yet, Damon's just in good form, especially relative to this field. He was T6 at Pebble Beach, made the cut at the WM Phoenix Open in the Genesis, 33rd at the Players, 39th at Valus Bar and really warming up to. I don't like citing finishing positions anyway because they can be really misleading, especially if they're fueled by putting. But usually to finish while you're doing more than literally just putting your way, you're not just putting it down the fairway or anything like that. But I'm warming up to like top 30s and top 45s being pretty decent, especially if you account for the field strength there. So I love those results for Damon. If you inject him into a field that is, frankly, about as bad as it gets for the PGA tour. But over the past year as well, Damon is in the 97th percentile and adjusted a tee to green play, which again comes from my database, which adjusts for field strength and recency. It's not very long off the tee, but that hasn't mattered here. He's among the best form of anyone in this field. So I think that Damon's close to Vegas, but I think that I'm siding with Vegas. We'll probably talk more about Vegas just later on, but does Joel Damon tempt you enough to go away from Vegas? Maybe not to go away from Vegas, but he could tempt me to the point where I go Vegas plus Damon and just go top heavy. Yeah, there's not a whole lot of separation once you get outside the top few guys. And I think that like my inclination is either going with that route where it's super top heavy with Vegas and Damon or Vegas plus balance. Because I think that like the low 10,000 range is pretty good. I mean relative, relatively good. So I would say Damon will probably be part of like one of the ways I decide to build things for a cash game. I don't know. I haven't, I haven't tinkered enough there yet. I've been mostly looking like tournament type stuff. But if I go Vegas, Damon, that's 90, 75 left doable. There's some 8,000 golfers who are viable. Submit 8,000 guys who are viable. I think my preferred route though will be Vegas plus balance. If I had to guess, but like if it's a top heavy field, you want to live in the part that is that is heavy more often. So I would say most likely I go 50-50 in terms of like my approach of like going top heavy versus Vegas plus balanced. I got you. Yeah. I mean, really the point here is that Damon is, can we call him the number two play of the week? I think that it's Vegas tier one, Damon tier two, tier three is other people. Like I think they're both in the tier of their own. Yeah, me too. Okay, cool. Let's talk about Graham McDowell. McDowell is 10-7. So that's probably why we're leaning towards being top heavy here. McDowell though has been going to cross put to Khanna. He's been feast or family, I guess, but the feast had been very noteworthy in order of his appearance as McDowell has been cut when cut forth with the fourth coming last spring hits fairways gets the green regulation with regularity kind of does Graham McDowell stuff. So that's good. Upside's good. The form is not. He did have a 13th at the Arnold Palmer Fuel by good approach play. The approach has been okay, but he's been awful everywhere else. He has missed seven of the past nine cuts dating back to November. So like that's fine, but we're not getting a salary discount. And that's pretty rough. He's 10-7. Is that high enough for you to rule out McDowell for this week despite the good course history? I don't know. A high upside course history. Yeah, I mean, it's kind of the case against a balanced approach because when you dig into the 10,000 range, like you're getting guys with a lot of guys. I like down there. Don McDowell. Yeah, well, sure. But you're getting someone like Graham McDowell at 10-7 because the field is what it is. So usually we're not recommending many golfers with a salary of like 8,000 flat, but I think there may be multiple down there who I would consider. It's just not necessarily the right. I mean, I'm not playing Graham McDowell. I can tell you that much. Yeah, me neither. I think there are guys down here. I like just not him specifically. He's going to win now. Yeah. Let's move to your second guy on the list. It's Kelly Craft. It's $7,800 and what? We're talking about Kelly Craft. It's funny. Why? We got a WGC event this week. We're talking about Kelly Craft. Got to work with what you got, man. We are working with the tools that are brought to us. Kelly Craft is $7,800. I said there are some guys around 8,000 who I like. Talk me to Craft. He's Craft. One of those guys. It's okay. So last week we talked about Charles Schwartzl and a minimum salary in the course history section. We cautioned. We said like maybe, but overall we were not necessarily positive with our interest in Charles Schwartzl. He missed the cut because the form was bad. And it was a good reminder of golfers who have good course history but who are in a terrible form might not be golfing the same way they did two, three, four, five, six years ago. That's something that we always cautioned against. Kelly Craft though, of course the Corallus data is more recent than that. But unless we talked about just the winners at this event, we kind of had to talk about Kelly Craft as someone who has good form here. He's finished third, fifth, 14th, then did miss the cut last year at Corallus. But his recent stats are not good. They're all pretty bad. Tee to green. He's been pretty good at the putter. But in weaker fields though, and here's kind of the thing. For a field like this, if you look at someone's PGA tour log and they're missing cuts at tougher tracks, but then you see a T-50 at the Puerto Rico open. This field is probably just barely better than the Puerto Rico opens field. And if you see guys making cuts, I mean, he was 28th at Pebble Beach. That's not the strongest field necessarily. So you got to adjust. The salary is $7,800. He's figured it out. Corallus, I'm not getting there. But if we're trying to go with Vegas and Damon, do you see anything with Kelly Craft to draw you in? No, I see some guys in your player picks who had much value to use in the low 2000 range. I think that they are far more attractive than Craft. They have a better appeal than him. I think that what you're saying about looking at golfers who have done well in the equivalent fields is fine. And again, Craft has had some high upside finishes, but I'd rather bank on it with some other guys personally, which is where I'm leaning there. Let's talk about Hudson Swofford. He actually won this event last year, the September edition. He finished sixth in the spring, which seems pretty noteworthy. He gained 1.1 greens in regulation per round above the field across those two events, drove the ball pretty well too. The format is not great for Swofford. He has missed three straight cuts. He was 60th at the Phoenix Open, missed the cut week before that too, but that all came after a win at the American Express. So Swofford, win in September of 2020, win at the American Express. This past fall, he's not playing well with most of the people in the field aren't either. So the longer term stats in Swofford are bad. Does he do anything for you here at $9,400? He's one of my favorite players this week. I agree. Again, you can't look at Arnold Palmer and the players and seeing missed cuts and say, well, he's in bad form for this field because it's a completely different ballgame that we're talking about here. Swofford is, to me, the top play in the $9,000 range. There is no such thing as safety this week. Probably even with Vegas. I've researched this in the past. The weaker field strengths get, the less viable, the high salary golfers are because someone has to be salaryed up toward $12,000 just to make DFS work. But Jonathan Vegas, as much as we like him, it's not the same as having Justin Thomas to pick from. Let's proceed with caution here. He's not Sam Burns. He's not JT. He's not John Rom. So there's no guarantee that, you know, there's no guarantee Vegas and Damon. No, I thought you were being serious, honestly. So, you know, we have to embrace more risk with every single golfer at salary than we typically are. So I'm fine with Swofford. I'll talk more about him later. Yeah, I think so too. And the reason that I think that he's pretty interesting is like, I like some guys in the $9,000 range. I'm okay with some of them, but most of them don't have, like, Swofford has some distance. He has some giddy up off the tee. The guys that like in the $9,000 range are typically like guys who gain without being long. Whereas Swofford, he actually has a little bit of distance too. So I think that Swofford is pretty good too. So $94 has some upside has done well here previously. I like it. One other thing I'll say. This was a corn fairy tour event where it was then a web.com event, but Nate Lashley won and Dominic Bazzelli won here as well. I literally cannot find anything about Dominic Bazzelli recently. He's in the field. I think he's like 500 to one to win. I don't know. I don't know that, but Nate Lashley would have been someone I talked about here, but I don't want to talk about everyone at a high salary. So yeah, I think that makes sense too. Okay, let's dive into some current form here and talk about golfers who have interesting or noteworthy form in some way or another. We're starting off with the Rasmus White Guard, both the White Guards in the field for this week. That's, we got that story. I think that might be the big storyline over the week. You know, Nikolai and Rasmus, both here. You're talking about Rasmus. He is 10-5. What are you seeing with him right now? I'm talking about a little bit of both, Kato. Okay, cool. I didn't read ahead. No, I mean, look, look, they're twins. They just turned 21 last month, but they were kind of all the rage on the DP World Tour. I just want to call it the European Tour. DP World Tour is also an objectively funny name. They had some wins on the tour across the pond, but Rasmus, his salary is 10,500 this week. Nikolai is at 10,100. Of the two, you could more easily argue that Rasmus is in better form. I mean, he's finished 20th, 47th, 42nd, and 30th, again, on the DP World Tour for him with poor putting in three straight. Nikolai's 2022 is made up of five missed cuts, but a win, two missed cuts coming on the PGA Tour, but now these guys have big samples on the PGA Tour said something I want to caution against, but overall his profile is one that kind of says we'll have positive T to green. Long-term, Nikolai has the better form and is a lower salary sum, more interested there. But basically, if there's a storyline of like a narrative base, it's probably like can the Hoyt guards win on the PGA Tour in a weaker field? Again, they're only 21, like they're kind of all the rage. So I think that this is a perfect example of you got to be a real, you got to be really into golf to be listening to this show this week and getting geared up for the Corrales. So you probably know about the Hoyt guards if that's the case. If you don't and you're just kind of listening because you want to throw in some lineups, I think the Hoyt guards should be someone you look at a little bit deeper. I think both are fine, but I'm going to prefer Nikolai at 10,100. Any interest for you, anything you're seeing from them? I want to ask how much of your preference towards Nikolai is the launch in it? I know that like they're twins, like in theory they should be pretty similar, but it seems like Nikolai has more juice in terms of like distance. It's more long-term form. So you like the long-term form from Nikolai more so than with Rasmus. You also get a salary discount because Nikolai is 10,1 versus Rasmus is 10,5. If you go to DataGolf's true stroke scan again, you can reference like 16,000 times, Nikolai actually grades out better there over the past six months as well. So I don't think Rasmus is a bad option to 10,5, but like we were talking about the 10,000 before, I think that the reason you talk about that is in the low 10,000 range, you have Nikolai Hoygard, you have Alex Smalley, you have Patrick Rogers. I think that Brian Stewart's not like he's not long, but like Stewart's a guy who could do well in this field as well. So Aaron Rye, $9,900. I think this is a pretty good range. I'm willing to include Nikolai in that as well as kind of like a higher upside guy in that range. I'm looking for like all around play, aka for a cash game option. I think I'd lean towards Smalley or Rogers there, but for tournament, I think the Hoygard would grade out pretty well. Yeah. I mean, they're both really long off the tee. So I just think that if I'm going balanced, I'm going to try to get, I would even consider not playing Vegas because again, I think he's the best play this week, but he's not a lock by any means. So I could probably see myself playing both Hoygards, Smalley and just hugging the 10,000 range. I think that could be interesting. I don't know if that'll be my default, but it's either going to be strictly Vegas and Damon plus all the value or just building around the 10,000 range. I don't really think it's going to be just Vegas and some balance there. I think it will be for me. I think that that is pretty attractive honestly and I feel pretty good with it. Now we're talking about going Vegas and Damon. We are not including the sake of the gala in that discussion, despite the fact he is number three in the betting odds as of right now. So let's talk about him. He's volatile of a volatility. When it comes to the upside is good. And that seems to be the case with the gala. And I think that that is more than you get for most guys in this field right now. The gala's events from the Phoenix open are on our third 48th cut cut seven. The two miscuts were not entirely during my putting, but it was a pretty big factor in those miscuts. Even with the bad putting weeks, the gala has pretty well rounded profile. He ranks 50th or better in stroking off the tee approach. Bernays are better gain and putting according to fantasy national. He's 11 four. So are you buying the search at the gala enough to use him at that number or doing the gap between him and Damon and Vegas is larger than what the salaries would indicate you do. I think it's larger for sure. I've, yeah, just in terms of my long-term form, I much prefer. Let me just sort this here. I guess he's on par with Damon, but Vegas is out ahead. I will note again, and I'll be, I'll be citing this a little bit more in the future. But again, the putting regression data that I use now has see gala overperforming pretty substantially recently. So that's one thing I'd be worried about. And that's including not necessarily having lights out plotting super recently. So we might be seeing that start to tail off. So that's never going to be the only reason that I don't like someone, but accounting for that compared to having just being able to play Joel Damon at a course where he's played well. I'll go Damon over to gala. And if you don't, I would take a head to head on that. I would not. No, I like Damon more. So I'm very much on board there. I think that there is a gap. Like I said, I think it's Vegas tier one, Damon tier two. Everyone else is fighting in tier three. Literally everyone else. OK, let's move on to Hao Tong Li. $9,100 I think under salary based on recent performance. He is $9,100. He's had some sparks, I guess, at times across actual PGA tour events. So what do you see with him recently? Yeah, I mean, I. I like how Tong Li. He was in the mix in the 2017 open championship. He finished third. I assumed he was older, but I think he's like 25 or 26 still. I'll look that up. But I got it. I got it. Yeah. Yeah, so five years ago, he was, you know, contending at the open championship because he has two top 40 or two top 45s at the Masters. So he made cuts there, which is impressive. He has a top 20 each at the US Open in the PGA championship as well. He held the 36th whole lead at the 2020 PGA. Overall, he's made nine of 13 cuts in majors. I mean, he's got three top 25s at majors. I know this is not a major. This is not what we're talking about. But like, if we see any spark from how Tong Li, we should probably think that he can do some damage in a field like this. And in 2022, he has just five events, but he's made four or five cuts with all four being top 33s. He has two top 12 finishes as well. I'm not saying he's my favorite value play, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's like in contention here because I'm starting to see something again from him. Did he jump off the page for you at all in your research? And if not, does he appeal to you now? Yeah. And he spends how much you trust like the recent stuff because he had a stretch like over the summer last year where things were really bad, kind of like bottomed out. And it's a question of, do you trust that five event sample to say, OK, he is leveled off from there? And like, maybe I don't trust it fully, but like, do I trust enough in this field for $9,100? Sure. Yeah. He's totally valid. He's a guy who does have at least some distance. He can put well at times. He's got some off the tee stuff as well. So I think that if it were like a tougher field, I might not be as inclined to buy into what he's done, but it's not. So yeah, I think that it's fully fine to buy in him here at $9,100. And I would say, again, like looking at a cash gamey type roster, even if I go with the Vegas plus balance approach, I will need guys in the low $9,000 or the $8,000 rate to some point. And I wouldn't be shocked if he winds up being the guy I use there. Yeah, over the past six months, he's 11th in data golf, true strokes gained. That's for him, nine events. That's pretty decent. And again, younger guys. So you can buy into some turnarounds a little bit more. I would love to see how Tongley in contention. It's some majors. I think that'd be fun. I think that'd be a lot of fun. Again, 26. That's not too bad. So you talked about Kelly Kraft doing well in lesser field events, measuring up well there. One guy we've seen do that before as well is Miliano Grillo. He has feasted in fields like this previously. Good course history at Corale specifically. But the four main great for our boy Miliano. He was 21st the Genesis. That was the only made cut for Grillo in his past five events. And it's just one of two made cuts in his past nine events. Only two of those were legit implosions where he just like torched it and like absolutely did not come close to making the cut. But they were also his most recent two events at the Valspar and the players. The off the tee play has still been good, but the approach has slipped. And if we're getting Grillo without the good approach play, we're not really getting Grillo. That's not, that's not what we're signing up for. So I saw his name, looked into it, had interest. Kind of out, I think. Is that an overreaction? What about you? At the salary, I think that he would rank behind Nikolai Horgard, Aaron. Rye. Rye. I see it. It's one of those ones that you get it wrong first, then you correct it, but then you never know which one you thought it was first because you thought it could have been either or. So there was a guy when I did baseball in Wisconsin over the summers in my college, his name was Rich Pricotano. Couldn't say his name. It's not a tough name. I couldn't say it. Rye is an objectively easy name. It's just like it's a mental block. It's the way it's spelled. I had to like sit there before games like a half an hour saying Pricotano, Pricotano, Pricotano over and over and over again because I couldn't say his freaking name. Also, Richard, you're listening. Hello. You never met me, but your name messed me up mentally for a very long time. So I'm going to go Aaron Rye, Nikolai Horgard over Grillo and I would rather just eat some salary and go Grayson Sigg or Hudson Swofford as well. Yes. In that range. I just think that like. If you get if you get Grillo without irons, you don't want to see what's going to happen. That's not him, but it's not only that, but the only way Grillo is relevant is because he's striping his irons so well that the putting, right? He can't hurt himself with the putting. So if the irons are there, he's still got a putt and he's got to putt from farther away, which is not ideal. Although I guess he's actually one of the better golfers or better putters from plus feet, but he's also really bad within 15 feet. And that's not a good sign. And a great man. Okay. So let's move on to what the bookmakers are saying for this week. We got Johnny Vegas is the favorite over at Fando Sportsbook. He is 16 to one followed by Joel David, 18 to one. So he think a lot is 22 to one. There's a big dip down to a bunch of dudes, a gaggle of guys who are 29 to one. We've got Mark Hubbard, Nate Lashley. You mentioned before, but Tia Schwab and Adams Fenson, they're all 29 to one. Peter Uline, Doc Redmond, Nikolai Huygaard, Alex Smalley, Brian Stewart, Bryce Garnett, Kramer Hickok. Oh my gosh. Everyone 33 to one. Thomas Dietrich and Patrick Rogers are all 33 to one. Basically, Fando said, you figure it out. We're going to do price exploration by putting everyone at the same price. You tell us who is too long by betting them. We'll go from there. That's where we're at. So I want to talk about Vegas here because we talked around him a lot. But he's the betting favorite. But he's 16 to one. That's kind of long for a favorite. I know it's a pretty volatile field. I know he's not like Justin Thomas, as you mentioned. We can disagree on that. But anyway, I'm going to take. I'm going to require JT versus every time you give me an outlandish take, I'm going to just pencil in on our head to head bet sheet a head to head whenever these guys are in the same field. Um, next time Vegas is playing with JT, I'm getting JT in that side. Uh, uh, Vegas or Brooks and like a non money field. Brooks were here. Would Brooks even like bother using multiple clubs? Would he just like use like an iron for every shot, even his putts? Like if you were in this field? I think Brooks could be, uh, in contention for the masters, which is not a bold take, but I'm kind of keeping my eye on him. So I'm not going to speak ill of Brooks here. Well, pre-offer of Vegas versus Brooks bad for whatever they're in the field together next. Just kidding. Not doing that. Anyway, I think that Vegas to me is someone I want to be overweight on in tournaments. I will use them in our head to head as well. Where do you settle in on him? Yeah. So my numbers have him closer to 12 to one and 16 to one. I see some value there for an outright, which I almost never see on the favorites. Dibs. Dibs. Well, we can both back him. So, um, but yeah, I think that he is shaping up to be the best play from a process standpoint. We'll both talk about him later on. Was there another question? Um, tournaments. What do you usually throw like seven at me? So what do you do with him in tournaments? How heavy? I don't think he's going to be that comfortable. Um, I'd say probably, uh, 50% would get me where I'm going. I might do 80 and see if it kills me. It kills me just because like I might be, uh, Hey, I'm not going to play as much this week as usual. Um, but B, I'm just like, I think I might just say if it buys me. Yeah. And it's one of those things where like if Vegas does win, uh, you want to make sure that you're taking advantage of that. Yeah. It's, it's always a balance you have to find with, because it's super high, high volatility. But you don't want to have Vegas win and play him in. 20% of your lineups. Yeah. Because the odds that you're going to hit on the other five in that line, and those, that smaller number of lineups is not, not ideal. So I think this week, yeah, maybe maybe we could load up on Vegas if that's the route we're going. Yeah. I think that for me, I've become a lot more comfortable recently of being okay with losing everything. Um, like whether it's NASCAR, like playoff NFL stuff, I've just become more comfortable with like, I'm okay if I get nothing back this whole week. Yeah. If you're playing GPPs in order to like grind out a profit, a small profit. Yeah. That's not ideal. Yeah. Let's play a double ups. Play head to heads. Um, play a lot of like, whatever for you, a low dollar head to head is, do the build a good, you know, solid lineup or mix up some lineups. If you really want, play some head to heads. And then if that sort of can offset what you enter into GPPs, if this is something you're struggling with, yeah, that's something that you could definitely explore. Yeah. I think just being like, as long as you can, like a play with your means. So the fact that if you lose it, all it's fine, like just do that first of all, from a bank, bank or manager perspective, but be okay with that. Um, okay, which golfers odds have shifted most notably since things opened. There's a ton. Um, so he's the gala, 26 to 22 on Vandalsport's book, Matias Schwab, 31 to 29, a cluster from 40 to 33 includes Brian, so we're going with gaggle, not a cluster. I'm going to say cluster. I Brian Stewart, Patrick Rogers, Nikolai Hoygard and Alex Smalley, Nick Taylor, 50 to 41, Wyndham Clark, 65 to 50, emphasizing his name there. Hayden Buckley, 80 to 60, Seth Reeves, 100 to 60. And then another cluster from 100 to 80 includes a spreadsheet. The notorious spreadsheet runner, Sean O'Hare, Roger Sloan, Tray Malinax, Brandon Hage and Vincent Whaley. Vincent Whaley also. Whaley is also on that list. Yeah. Yeah. But like he's easy to figure out. O'Hare is like, Well, with the thing in there, with Vincent, with Whaley, it's either Vince or Vincent with O'Hare. Sometimes it includes God's comma. Sometimes it's not there. Sometimes it's a space between the O and the H. Yeah. So how come we also a spreadsheet runner? Yeah. Sneaky one. But anyway, I think that with the, all the 10,000 guys shortened. So Smalley's there, Hoygard's there, Rogers, Stewart, all those guys are between 10 and 10, three preference for you between them? Between the Stewart Rogers, Hoygard and Smalley. Smalley. I agree. Okay. Which lower salary golfers have not stood out to you? Wyndham Clark. Again. Emphasizing his name here. 50 to one. John Hough also 50 to one. Cluster of 60 to one includes Hayden Buckley, Victor Perez, Chase Seifert, Seth Reeves. 65 to one cluster includes Adam Shank, Callum Taren, Vaughn Taylor, Ryan Armour, Cameron Percy, and then 70 to one. We got Hank, Libiota and Ben Coles. So Wyndham Clark, I'm going to talk about him later, but just in case people tail off before we get to them, what draws you towards him? Why is he an emphasis for you? Long off the tee, he's the kind of guy you just monitor and be like, when can he just like nuke it? And that's what he does. But also he is, and I'll just blow this for, he is the best golfer in the sub 9000 range pretty easily in my long-term adjusted strokes game numbers. He's at a 0.20 above the baseline worldwide, worldwide baseline golfer over the past year with my adjustments. Only one golfer other than Clark is better than a negative 0.35 below 9000. And in fact, Clark is second among all golfers below 10,000 in long-term form. And he is $8,800. So more on Wyndham Clark coming later on. First up on some weather for this week, you mentioned last year that the winning score for Joel Damon was lower at 12 under. That could be in play again this week because there's going to be wind on Thursday and Friday. It's going to be 15 mile per hour winds Thursday and Friday throughout the day. The wind speeds may come down a bit during the day on Friday. So that could incentivize using golf or bumping up golfers with an earlier tee time Thursday. I don't think it's enough where you want to like go all out in that because it's like a three mile per hour difference. But like, hey, that still matters. So not a thing where you're stacking tee times. There could be some rain too. So we can check back on the weather there as well. But not a stacking tee time situation, but maybe a slight edge and wind will matter for sure for this week. Let's dive into our player picks here for the Corrales Putacana championship starting off at the top range. Brandon, who stands out to you in the stud tier on FanDuel for this week? Should I keep it? Yes. We have the same token. Yes. About making you talk about people you don't like. Well, no, it's people I like, but a little bit less. No. And I want to, I didn't know if I should give options. As an actor, you always got to give options. What? You know the reference. No, I don't. You do. No, I don't. No, I don't. It's from Oh, hello. I've seen that once. How would I know that reference? Because you've seen it once. That's why. That was a long time ago. Jonathan Vegas. It was during work. And I've never, I would never disregard work. You watch that during work. I think so. Worst person. I agree. Jonathan Vegas, not the worst person. In fact, probably the best person to play in your FanDuel lineups this week. Pretty easily the best long term adjust the golfer in my database over the past year. He's the best off the tee. 94th percentile in iron play as well. 99th percentile in distance gained. It's just a good recipe for him to keep playing well. Especially at Corralis where he has two top 26 finishes. Yeah. Vegas got that distance, got that approach, make some birdies, checks every box. And like the birdie number is big for me because it accounts for like his not being good putter. Ranked second in the field and birdies are better gain the past 50 rounds. He was 18th year last spring. So the weather does get unruly. He's played in that before. So I think that Vegas, the clear top cut guy for this week. And again, I think a lot for cash gains from me and a guy I will be heavy, heavy, heavy on for tournaments as well. Who else do you like in this upper range on FanDuel? Alex Smalley, but you talk about him first because we both have the same top two here. Yeah. So I think we could have put him in the mid range if he wanted. But I think overall he's someone I just want to be in on here at 10-3. Smalley, well balanced, mediocre putter, but still gets birdies thanks to pretty strong off the tee play. That quality driving is because he's both long and accurate, which should play well this week. The approach did let him down to miss cut at the Valspar last week. But Smalley, not bad there. I think there's enough here for me to feel good about him whether it's part of a balanced approach with Vegas plus balance. Maybe it's like a Vegas plus something else plus Smalley is the third ranked guy. I think both of those are viable for me. What put you on Smalley? Long off the tee, which should stabilize quickly. He's got 50 plus rounds on the PGA tour, but still one of those things that you know is you kind of know it early on. Good off the tee numbers overall. Field average basically in terms of irons and wedges. And overall fourth in my long-term adjusted stroke gain data among the field, but the salary does not reflect that. Okay, so let's shift down to the mid-range. Who do you like down there? Hudson Swofford, 9400. The Swofficer, former winner here. And he's kind of... Is that an official nickname? Is that an official nickname? It was in a commercial list like their nicknames. That's bad. It was in a commercial for like... I hate it. ...skatchers or something maybe? That's way worse. I don't... Already bad and just got way worse. I'll look it up, but I remember seeing that commercial. He's long off the tee relative to the field. One of nine golfers in this field to be in the 80th percentile in adjusted off the tee and adjusted approach. Both ball striking numbers. One of nine, salary of 9400. I'll take that. Yeah, I think that Swoffer makes a lot of sense. My current bill for cashings does not have me in that range, but I think that I'd be okay with... Is it too balanced? 9400, but I'm not telling you what my lineup is. Yeah, just... No. No. Not doing that. Give me just five out of six and I'll go from there. No. I'm not doing that. But I would be receptive to him. Like if I were to reconfigure, if I were to shift some guys around, I'd be okay with Swoffer for that format. I think that for tournaments he works out well too. That first mid-salary guy is Patrick Rogers. I tend to, so I kind of like an upper tier play, but also it's our podcast, our rules to deal with it. He's similar to Smalley. I think that they both great out well this week. Rogers is not as accurate as Smalley, but he can go long. I do like that for this week. He's also a better approach player. He has gained there in four of his past five events. Rogers, good on the greens too. So the hope is that the course helps erase some of his issues of accuracy and lets the rest of what he does grind through. So I think that for me, a start of Vegas plus Smalley plus Rogers, pretty enticing. Let me do it for this week. What's your read on Patrick Rogers I tend to? Yeah, I think he's definitely someone we can consider. I don't know if I rank him better than, I definitely don't rank him better than like Smalley. Yeah. I would be on the fence between he and Nikolai Hoygard. So again, this is why I said, I'm kind of tempted to play like a Smalley Hoygard Rogers. The Hoygard style. Let's go. Like, I don't know. I mean, I'd feel pretty confident that I'm not dipping down too low. Yeah. The main issue with that is like, I think Swofford's really good. I think Hal Tong Lee has a big case for upside. And they're like, I'm going to play a Wyndham Clark a lot at 8800. So I don't want to forgo the win equity that Jonathan Vegas, Joel Damon, were lower on Figala, but like you kind of get where I'm going there. Yeah, for sure. Okay. I think that that is fair as well. Okay. Let's move down to your second midside play. Who else do you like in this range? Aaron Rye nailed it. You sounded so proud. I love three letter word. Get on me. Hey, man. It's my show. Rye is another one of those golfers along with Swofford to finish or to rank in the 80th percentile or better in both of the ball striking stats over the past year. The form, you know, some low end results, some missed cuts, but again, it's, you got to adjust it for this field. You got to adjust expectations for what this field is. A missed cut at the Arnold Palmer is probably equivalent to like top 30 year. I'm excited for some positive party regression as well. Yeah. I think that Rye works as well. And like, hypothetically in a hypothetical head to head lineup. If I couldn't quite get back up to Hoy guard, Nikolai that is, I'd be okay to take into discount with Rye at $9,900. I think that he, he works that hypothetically again, putting that out there. I think that he would work for that too. I like Rye as well. My second mid-summer guys, Tyler Duncan, he's not long. So I can see this being like a guy we made a disagree about. And he's got a couple of missed cuts to open January, but one of them was not that far off. It's anything with his cut of the Phoenix open. Outside of that, the things have been pretty solid for Duncan. He finished 25th of the Valspar. Thanks to quality all around play. Also had a good week of approach at the Pebble Beach program. It's kind of the big thing missing from this profile. So it was encouraging to see his approach play go well. Duncan makes birdies and gain strokes, despite not being all that long off the tee. And I think that makes him a good play this week at 91, despite the fact he's on a course fit. So I like Duncan. I might like how Tom Lee a bit more. We talked about him already. What is your rate on Tyler Duncan at 91? Duncan and how Tom are others to consider in my main helper on number fire. I like what I see from Tyler Duncan, Puerto Rico, T35, T25 at Valspar as well. I think he's probably a little bit under salaried. And I don't think he's like, should be 10-1. I think 9,100 is a little low. Right. Yeah. Yeah. Like 12-1 probably. 13. Yeah. That's kind of what I was thinking. I agree. Yeah. Same page, you know. Okay. Let's move down to the value tier for this week. You mentioned Wyndham Clark. Teesam is one of your favorite guys, 8,800 dollars. Any final thoughts for you on Clark as being your favorite value for this week? Super long off the tee. Good off the tee overall when you account for strokes gained. Kind of a solid putter as well. I'm not putting above his baseline either. So I think that he's just the best value play. And again, just one of the best golfers below 10,000 and he's not really salaried as such. So Wyndham Clark, probably one of those guys whose results at worst courses for him get bogged down and then eventually his salary is there for a good course fit. Yeah. I think that that makes sense too. So I'm okay with Clark as well, 8,800 dollars. I like Chase Seifert. Seifert was here for both of the events last year. He made the cut both times, finished 18th in the spring. That's good. He's been solid but unspectacular since the start of the new PGA tour season. He's made four out of six cuts, never finishing better than 22nd. Has also gained an approach in all four measured events in that time. That's not too bad. The downside with Seifert is that he's not long off the tee. He is still 37th in the field and stroking off the tee the past 50 rounds, but he's 18th in approach. The approach play is good. That's in addition to being not terrible as a putter. So again, like Duncan, not a course fit in terms of the distance, but he does a lot of other stuff really well and I want quality golfers. I think Seifert is that for 87. What are your thoughts on Chase Seifert for this week? You laid out the case for him, but one thing I will say is, and again, still new to the putting regression stuff, but I have him as a really good putter and by I have him, the data from Fantasy National has him really good. I was wondering if you were going to say that he's bound to collapse. No, no. From within 15 feet, he's in a 72nd percentile over the past 50 rounds, but from outside 15 feet, 13th percentile. So he should be a positive stroking putting, but is losing there. So I think he's a good call out. Good job, Dan. Hey, I'll take it. Let's just end the podcast now. Just forget the last two picks, but you do want to bring up the spreadsheet runner, Vincent Whaley himself. He is 8,000 on the button. What draws you towards him? Pretty good long-term form, just a positive .08, but you'll take that. Again, if you just pull up the data golf true strokes game query, you'll see not a whole lot of golfers above zero for this field, which just means that they're not better than like the world average golfer effectively, but he's long off the tee, not necessarily the best iron player, but a putting regression candidate and 28th year each of the past two years for just 8,000. Yeah. I think that he's one of the guys I would use if I need to like bend over backwards for the Damon plus Vegas approach. I think that Whaley be the guy I would turn to there. And I'd be very okay with that. I'd probably need Whaley plus like a Seifert or a Buckley or a Clark, but that's fine. I think that that is okay for this week. Let's talk about Hayden Buckley, a guy I like. He is $8,600. He's been in a funk with no finishes better than 49th since the Sony Open back in mid January, but longer-term data on Buckley is still pretty solid. He ranks fourth in the field and strokes him off the tee over the past 50 rounds. He's also 36th in approach and then helps him sit 31st and birdies are better gain despite being a bad putter. So, you know, the Buckley, you know, the putting is largely fueled the downspin that he's had. We should expect him to be bad there. Like I'm not expecting him to bounce back and be like a magical putter, but you know, maybe he'll be less hideous. He's better off the tee than most guys in the field, both at a distance and accuracy. So I'm okay with that profile at $8,600. Once you're going to Hayden Buckley for this week. I see the case for him. I just prefer other golfers in this range. Specifically, it's going to be hard for me to get to Buckley compared to Wyndham Clark. And then also Dylan Woo at the same salary I'd rather play. So what about a Dylan Woo versus Hayden Buckley head-to-head? I looked into Woo. I chose Buckley over him, but I think that Woo makes sense. So sure, I'm okay with that. I'm not against Woo, but I'm fine with that personally. More a matter of like, there are options down here, which is why as much as I love, like really like that 10,000 range, it's going to be hard to pass up Vegas, Damon, even Thigala because we have options down here for once. Poor canola's dose. You can go Vegas plus the 10,000 range. Kick a couple of guys down there. Feel pretty good about it. I'm telling you, that's the optimal approach for this week. Come to the light side. Come to Papa. Anyway, let's bring the Winpix to Papa right now. Finish up here with our Winpix based on the odds over at FanDuelSports, but already called Dids on Vegas. You cannot have him. Change of the rules right now on the fly. Vegas is 16 to 1. I want him. You can take him if you want, I guess, but I'll be mad at you and won't talk to you for a week. I do think he's going to win. But for the sake of the show. No, I was joking. You can actually take him. I guess there is a hat on the line. No, you're going to be mad at me if he wins, like, oh, you joke that I couldn't take him. Oh, it does sound like me. Oh, is that just the clip you played back? Yeah, verbatim. It's actually you every week after the Dustin Johnson thing. Like, would you like to explain the Dustin Johnson? No, I don't. People have heard it before. They don't need to hear it again. Now I just imagine you with the sound board of all my greatest hits. Oh, buddy, I wish. If I had an unlimited budget and cared, I would do it. I do really think that Vegas is a good bet. Like, I think you're going to win. So I'm going to have a hard time going away from him. Yeah. So I'll go with I'll go with Jonathan Vegas at the top, but I will. I feel like we might be eyeing up the next guy as well. So I'll let you go first, but. We're going to a small. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I could go either way. Actually, with this one. So if you want to go small, I can go Patrick Rogers. I'll do that. I was also considering when I was playing I'll do that. I was also considering Wyndham Clark. Why did I go Patrick Rogers? Just a second. I'm going to retract this. Oh, okay. You know what? No, just kidding. Those odds are long enough. Sorry. I'm deciding here on. What I want to do. I don't want to do Rogers. I take that back. You can have small if you want them. That's okay. Okay. So you've got small Lee. I. I'm going to go. With. How long we have 45 to one? Oh, yeah. Let's change up a little bit. I think I like what I've seen enough recently. Relative to this field. You said he might be in contention. The whole thing. 45. 40 or. Well, let me check. Actually, I haven't seen. 45. Yeah. He's 5001. Yeah. You know, why not? Well, 5000 unit bump. Well, why not? Let's do it. When he wins. Sorry. I've already crowned Johnny Vegas a champion. Maybe it'll be a playoff between how long Lee and Johnny Vegas. Maybe that's the ultimate outcome. Yeah. Okay. Let's go. Send the people off to fill out the lineups here. Any final thoughts for you on the Corralis point to kind of championship? No, I think we covered it. And I have some match play stuff up on number fire as well. Oh, so if you are betting the match play, head over to number fire. Check that out to see what Brandon's numbers say for that. That is Wednesday. Correct. Where that starts. Yes. So if you want to do that, do that now. Check out match play stuff. But then the Corralis put to kind of a lock on Thursday over on Fandall. That is all that we have here for today on the heat check fantasy podcast. But as always, we are jam packed throughout this week on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed. Tom Vecchio has NBA and NHL VFS Austin Swain with USC. I've got NASCAR. A lot of good stuff. MLB couple of weeks away. So a lot of incentive to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcasts. Brandon, if people have questions for you on Twitter, where can they find you there? I'm at goodwill13gdula13. And I'm at Jim Sonnis. J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S. You can also follow the Fandall podcast network at Fandall podcast. Big thank you to everyone for tuning in for this week. Good luck to you with your DFS launch for the Corralis put to kind of we'll talk to you once again next week. This has been a heat check fantasy podcast powered by number fire.