 The following is a presentation of TFNN The power trading hour with your host David white Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 now David white And welcome all to another excellent edition of our trading hour with me Of course you're here at the appointed time The following takes place between 2 p.m. And 3 p.m. So what do we have going on today? We're up just a little bit of course last of the kind of the hangover money and the s&p kind of coming in Generally you want to get these big moves about three days before they peek out They don't let people on the wrong side out easily So up about 10 points on the s&p cash down 50 on the down as deck up 95 and of course We're probably gonna see the Nasdaq outperform as we see more inflation and it's harder to borrow money those other two much more susceptible to the the companies Liquor not liquidating but diluting more shares to raise cash or have to pay more money for bonds Money a lot of other things like that, but right now we've got kind of a market. That's a little bit strange And that everybody's kind of just saying we're gonna get through it. We're gonna get through it We're gonna get through it, but I don't think we're gonna have a fairly good Christmas season for the retailers A lot of people just kind of look in the other way Apple Actually doing its dog and pony today on some new laptops. It's up a buck. It's that's kind of just with the market TLT's up 85 cents that should really come off the lows when It was rather the readily apparent that the bond vigilantes didn't have to sell everything or keep selling everything And you know, we had a little bit of China worries Some of that money coming here into the United States But I'm gonna say we're in an overheated market. The volume is pathetic for today You'd want to see something in the neighborhood of seventy seven and a half Billion shares on the CBO we consolidated tape We have about five point eight billion shares so far So no sign of strength. No follow-through this Generally looks like a big trading range from about 3350 ish now for support to about 4475 at resistance and We'll see we've got a lot of earnings coming up this week We'll go through those today And that's kind of it. I think there were some problems. We're just not going to get past anytime easily We've got that the whole thing with The ports mostly it's the Long Beach ports There you always have these unintended consequences of Having legislation and of course about a year and a half two years ago everybody in the political vein of California wanted The uber drivers and lift drivers to all be employees So they'd get free medical and all the other stuff by being employees in California they would get so they passed this grand law and What they a lot of people didn't think about was that it affected Over the road truck drivers who were basically their own bosses Well, you can't load or unload Any of those trucks in the port of Long Beach You have to work for a company and that company has to hire from the union workers So could we have a 80,000 trucks and drivers there in the next couple of days to haul all this stuff off and get stuff moving? Again, we could but it ain't gonna happen. It doesn't look like there's any budging so far in the In that vein for what's going on So this may go on for a long time till somebody finally So that says we can't We just can't stand it any longer and someone goes out there and has a word with the governor of California to get things moving But you know, maybe it doesn't maybe this is what they're looking for you never know It's hard to tell what's inside someone But you'd think that they would have moved by now if they understood the gravity of the problem So I'm getting ready to start writing off any of these retailers for Christmas But that's it. We're gonna start hearing what a lot of these retailers do say Over the next few weeks this week a few other things Gonna be interesting to find out tomorrow morning with Kansas City, Southern says about what they do of course of about was about 60 or 70 percent of all those containers end up on semi-rigs Eventually, but most of the time they go on trains to get it at least halfway across the country before they start letting the Over the you know the truck drivers that drive through 400 miles to deliver stuff So we'll see about that, but in the meantime Let's do a little history then we'll get into those earnings and earnings and earnings this week. Oh Yeah trucks older than 2011 not allowed either got about that And it's history repeating On this day in 1978 the US formally takes possession of Alaska after purchasing the territory from Russia for seven point two million dollars I got that I think over there might change for Or less than two cents an acre indigenous people settled the unforgiving territory thousands of years earlier the Alaska Purchase Compromised 586,000 square miles about twice the size of Texas and was championed by William Seward And who the insa? emphastically Was the Secretary of State under and you Andrew Don I can't even talk Andrew Johnson Seward was one of the folks that tried to kill be killed in the in the Aftermath of Lincoln in fact, I think they went to him first He had a big slash on his I think on a leg and on his face From that night and a lot of the the seditionists Were going after them. They called it Seward's folly Made fun of him, but much like things here just lately We found out maybe he was a lot smarter than a lot of people gave him credit for and of course now Probably one of the best deals ever made For land Even if it's bad land, they're not making more of it or much more of it anymore It's always a good deal as we get back as we said Kansas City Southern in the morning We'll start popping up charts for that And looking forward to the rest of what happens this week But I'm going to say we're probably this is about as good as it gets wouldn't be surprised to start seeing a little bit of selling Right at the close today. That'd be a pretty good indication that we've seen the end of Those people on margin getting out if they were short and those that were long maybe Pulling back in a little bit take it a little bit off the table. We'll be back in a minute Are you grinding in the market? But seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades Support and resistance define the ranges at which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges David White is able to find the path of least resistance David White's trading newsletter the path of least resistance is delivered daily Before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee Take the path of least resistance at tfnn educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? 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You were born to be tfnn educating investors Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at 727-873-7618 Come back first question out of the gate today Is from Michael? He says Can you please share your thoughts on asml holdings I'm not exactly sure What if he's asking about fundamental or on the charts if you're unfamiliar with asml This company is the heart of all Chip development If you've ever made a silkscreen t-shirt or seen one made That's kind of how chips are actually made one layer at a time They'll put some Stuff down and they build it to kind of like a skyscraper one level at a time. They come by they'll polish part of it off There's a mask They'll put ultraviolet next rays against it. It's you know just a Ton of repetitive processes that all have to be perfect for a chip to work Well as you get smaller and smaller and smaller and now we have billions of Transistors on a ship the size half the size of a postage stamp You've got to make the the light is a problem it it literally even the waves in light are too big So they've gone to x-rays and some other stuff Anyway, there's some even some newer techniques now to make the stuff better faster bigger but the the The The machine that makes the silkscreen for these chips is ASML hopefully everybody can tell me if I explain this easy enough You don't need to make one you just need to understand what they do but because it is such a specialized branch of physics and Engineering that no one else really has the magic of it is For all practical purposes of monopoly So The problem is that they make these machines the machines make the silkscreen for the chips They make about 24 to 30 of these machines a year. It the lead time is about 18 months And you know, you just have to order these things when not in a pandemic when you suddenly need them But you know, you need to know that you're coming up on it now Of course, this technology is always involved are always evolving and you're always trying to make it a little bit better so on a fundamental scale ASML a monopoly hard to not invest in monopolies The problem is they just can't it's not like they made 30 machines last year and they can say we'll make 45 this year It takes a long time to turn that chip around 150 million dollars per sale, you know what there's probably a little bit of engineering and getting it installed and Support and everything else that they sell But that's it They hire the right folks. They go out and get them out of a PhD schools It's a very Small group and of course, they're all up. We're in Norway and Denmark. They're somewhere up there in the fjords and They have a very nice life a lot of people from the United States have gone to work for them up there and Other places around the globe. You just have to be the most brilliant people in the world to understand the quantum physics level of Stuff and the way it acts not the way you believe but the way it does Which is weird everything's weird In fact, probably the guy that knew it the best in 1960 said if you think you understand it you don't And that's it. You're just never gonna really understand it. You just kind of have to fight through it On the engineering so a very finite skill a lot of black magic It's everything you want that company their moat is the size of the Atlantic in the Pacific It's just how many machines get order and there's not a lot of difference So this is not one of these things where the winds of change really changes anything Maybe they don't deliver one machine, but right now someone would pick it up So it's not like these people are going anywhere anytime soon Just kind of a big trading range as people kind of look forward to what they're doing I think the only other company is Intel that really kind of is in competition What these good these guys do and really Intel is kind of a second tier Developer but all the machines that make all the stuff at TSM come from ASML and They just make them a little better every year. They get a little better and When you really think about it, that's the way that they make chips today It's like making a high-rise one level after another each level gets sanded washed Exposed with stuff stuff put on it Resanded and then they do another level on another level on another level Of course everybody always talks or not everybody but most of the people in the industry talk about 10 nanometers and five nanometers and three and a half nanometers. Well There isn't the ability to make anything that small what they're really talking about is if you have one Transistor and you put another transistor on top of it. How close can you get to it? Well, they'll offset it just a little bit Kind of like Lego where you just move at one little Set of nubs over to the right and it's a little over that and that's kind of it closer. You can get those But you're stacking them high to do it. Everything's really about 15 or 20 nanometers away Anyway, it's just how they can move things around and make them in 3d space close to each other Anyway, great company One of these kind of quiet companies you never hear much about they're gonna do well into the future If everything starts getting going my guess is they'll probably sell a few more machines Then they sold the year before but everybody's always waiting for them for the next big thing which is a The ability to make stuff just a little bit smaller closer together Every little bit you can bring those things together is less power that you use and less heat that you expose especially for things like Headsets and VR equipment Getting stuff smaller is less power and less heat and that's kind of the holy grail whether you're making an iPhone or you're making you know the kind of equipment for you know, I say like earbuds or Augmented reality glasses. It's all in there as far as This goes see you got kind of a light volume bounce out here My guess this thing is gonna play around a little bit in maybe an 820 to 740 range for a while go a little sideways until next Where I think there are credit going to start delivering a lot more of those newer cheese Anapy scale. Well, I was gonna talk about two minutes ended up doing the whole segment on ASM L I'd say go inside ways for a little while Much more next year We'll be back in a minute. Are you having fun trading the markets? 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I think it was jack Uh about intel and how well they do in this part of the business and uh intel does well in packaging Um, there's really three major parts of uh semi-conductors. There's uh the design uh manufacturing and packaging packaging is um You wouldn't think about it, but it is one of the critical things for making everything work And there's as much magic in that as many other things Uh, but for intel Um, they yelled and screamed with a big press release. I think last monday, maybe 10 days ago somewhere in there About uh them moving to this latest technology that they have Like as uh ml and uh Uh, the problem was that they were doing that five years ago So intel was patting themselves on the back for only being five years late um Just I it just shows you how much that these guys decided to keep, uh working on technology Uh the future technology but never implement it and by never implementing it they found uh fell behind And it's still problematic Intel's got kind of a nice space out here. It's not a business going away. They've got some fairly decent new chips coming out It's just really tough right now because everybody's behind uh team AMD uh for lower-end processors not like server chips But uh with its big popularity It's been able to push at least and get a foot in the door Of the where intel really makes its money, which is in these uh Big server places where they sell chips that are 1500 or 10 grand apiece Uh, and I think they sell one that's actually 20 grand. I don't know how many they sell of those But when you're talking about selling something that sells for maybe 50 or 75 bucks in someone's home pc They really kind of just look the other way Uh, Andy grove who was kind of the real big guy at intel In the uh 70s and 80s that really helped it grow wrote a book uh, he always said Uh dammit if we don't eat our own lunch someone else will and that's probably the best Words that have come back to haunt intel in the last 10 years That is we'll cut down on our nd. We'll make a lot of money We'll call cash out and then when we leave there won't be I mean it'll still be a company and it'll still be smart folk, but It's not what it wants. Uh the old horse is not what she used to be old intel Okay, we're gonna get to earnings uh that I had here The first one I wanted to look at was uh Tuesday morning j and j To the 6 25 in the morning So that'll be getting going before we're up um, you know these guys just continue to put a gun in their In their pants and squeeze the trigger In the front of their pants and hit, uh their giblets So I don't know what else you can say about it. Uh came down on lots of volume Irreparable damage to their Name, I don't think so everybody kind of just they still love the smell of talcum powder even if it does cause cancer um, you've got kind of light volume out here going into earnings, but I wouldn't be long the thing if this if they just come in line. They're going to get killed They're going to have to really come out with something that No one else has thought of Ericsson, uh the Swedish meatball company Our swedish uh semiconductor company just back after what should be fairly stiff Resistance in the morning. I don't see a lot happening out there. Uh, halla Burton. Um, actually the word from, um What is it? Uh, I tried to think of the company that does it I put it put it and post it in the den every friday Uh, we're up 10 rigs from last week um from Last uh, yeah from last year or no from last week So a lot of those, uh rigs that were down Uh for the hurricanes that went in and hit texas and into new or leans or back online You can see companies like, uh, holla Burton who does a lot of services for those things have been going back up and Of course, you got a high crude price the best thing for, uh, look a Industry that's having problem is a high price because then everybody gets back to work With more stuff. What is it baker Hughes? It's what I've been thinking about Um, yeah, HP's another one. We'll take a look at it but anyway, uh halla Burton in the morning to uh to to HP helmerick and Pain, is that what it is? Yeah Um Another one that's uh had a nice trip up here. You didn't have a lot of volume These things are probably a little bit beyond the tips of their skis You always want it to see when those baker Hughes numbers really start flowing is generally when we start seeing some kind of high So, I don't know. I don't know if we're going to see these things break out above the resistance level Which is about 35 36 bucks on this, but we only have a day to wait Wait, not much going on it Uh, the other one I wanted to look at uh, and it'll be watching closely in the morning to see how things go because I think Even if these individual stocks do a little better I it's I think it's very tough to see a market go much higher At least in the short term rep 10 points still on the s&p cash Uh, can city southern at the previous high on about a fifth of the volume though today So not in common everybody kind of waiting what's going on. Uh, this should be doing a lot better um This 300 mark is right there, but you're going up against the september third high that had 1.2 million shares You got uh, 250 so far today Yeah, even uh friday you had a little under 700 000. So this is not going after those uh with any kind of gusto Okay after the bell tomorrow night, uh, we've got netflix and I didn't cover it But uh late friday night, uh, the unions did come to an agreement And pretty much, uh, the producers at netflix and apple and amazon Which are really the bulk of all movie video production now Pretty much cave because they knew that they weren't going to get away with it There was some fairly extensive Asks During the pandemic that they got away with That you know in just regular times no one would have put up with it and now of course feeling the wrath of the hollywood Unions um Not a lot happening out here. This I think this could have been a much bigger deal for them Uh, but netflix tomorrow night I just kind of go on sideways into it See if there's any reaction to disney disney had the bigger problem Although they're down today should have looked a little bit better uh, just 13 million shares back in a 13 million share low 30th of september, uh, but the 21st of september had 23 million shares So you're down here. It's kind of the bottom end of uh, On disney. We come back look at intuitive surgical and united airlines Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st Petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive Experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value Or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers Make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow Investment properties are capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate llc today at 727 329 22 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's 727 329 83 22 call us today The technology around us is changing every day with so much happening It can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David white's investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology That shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David white has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for valued tech stocks As well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every friday with updates throughout the week You can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only 37 in 50 cents Sign up for david's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer Try it risk-free today with our 30 day money back guarantee tfnn educating investors Are china a shares hot or not? If you trade china a shares now may be time to take a closer look trade chau or chad Directions daily csi 300 china a share bull and bear etf's china a shares in either direction Visit direction investments.com today an investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before Investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus Please contact direction shares at eight six six four seven six seven five two three the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully Before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four side fund services LLC Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv I had a quick question for ron that we'll get back to earnings here and he says uh What happened on apple anything of course not much in the way of movement, but no um They've got newer laptops. They're at least a little bit more competitive with what's available on the pc They're behind um You know that's was you know a five percent of their business and it just Takes a huge amount of development And expense uh for what is You know max which are about seven percent of the pc or the personal computer market um So I just you know they talk about it and they love to have people running around with macbooks and stuff, but man, it's You know, it's hard to say that the pc's are just Uh continually uh being uh a little bit uh Better there's just so much more business to do In that I don't think apple's gonna long term going to be able to compete Then they've made a bunch of mistakes over the last five years on these new laptops from waiting way too long to let a new one out to uh Making various mistakes. So not much going on there uh Probably the more interesting part of that whole segment was amd releasing some new motherboards Where they're licensing the thunderbolt connector On their uh products So apparently that deal got done between intel if you're not familiar with the thunderbird connector or a thunderbird A thunderbolt connector on a pc or a laptop You can have like a high Highfalutin graphics processor outside your laptop or very expensive high resolution monitors. It's a very high Speed uh connection that'll probably be you'll see a lot more of it in the coming years now that amd's licensed it to Uh, so it'll be around a little bit more and what we were talking about when we left Because my train of thought has always derailed is uh intuitive surgical is Rg Yeah, it's just uh Just hanging out everybody I mean these guys make a lot of money up front when they come out with something new And it's just uh You know a lot of this stuff just looks like it's gonna go sideways. We'll see what they have to say tomorrow I don't see a lot other than those coming up in their interactive brokers tomorrow wd 40 Uh water displacement formula number 40 always love that Okay, that's uh for tuesday, but it's got to be netflix. Oh, we didn't look at united airlines. Um Yeah, they're getting uh lots of protests apparently Uh, you can't say the reason why these guys are protesting on youtube So i'll have to uh say nothing But if you want to go research it there's a reason why the pilots are not too friendly for this And it may not be a huge risk But it there is a risk apparently associated with it and them not being pilots because of it But again our sensors our big brother lurking over our shoulders everywhere we go Stalin would be proud Okay, what else do we have here? Oh, that's it. We were looking at united airlines. Um high high fuel prices are gonna kill them, right? That's what you're gonna say tomorrow my guess Um pilot shortage high fuel prices It's kind of hard to think that these guys are gonna just turn over a new leaf tomorrow My bet would be there on the uh Would be on the downside Uh Again i can't talk about it All we can say is that uh If you want to know about anything know about why they lie about what people do Because they do it all the time just watch that sanjay gupta interview with uh, joe rogan I lie lie lie lie. I don't think these people are able to tell the truth And of course they don't want you calling it on We're calling them on it Other things. Uh, anyway What else we have out here? Anyway, that was intuitive surgical. Uh, let's go to wednesday Uh, where we have horizon. I don't think there's gonna be a lot of surprise in this one Um The saying is just been going lower Anytime you start having things like 5g There's a lot of upfront expense And until they kind of get to the point where that's hit the peak And everything's bottomed out. It's always problematic to be in a carrier company Uh, when a bago? Uh, makes me want to go watch uh Lost in america again. Isn't that just one of the best movies ever? and Why can't they make more of those and less of these stupid superhero superhero movies that are just awful god awful And I was in the special effects business So I like special effects, but it should be part of the story. Anyway, uh, it lost in america when a bago high fuel prices What else can you say? That's what they'll be talking about on earnings on wednesday morning Uh to to to asml on wednesday morning. Also, we've already talked about them Uh, the nasdaq has earnings in I don't think there's anything in that biogen That's always a big mover on earnings because they tend to say stuff a lot of people weren't thinking about Uh, this is uh, actually a the chart that you love Out here for this one And that is you take off like a rocket And you come back over a long long long period of time The only thing is you need a little bit of consolidation why this thing goes out on the right hand side You don't quite have it yet, but uh, I'll keep uh, uh You know over a long term these things tend to look like an ekg, right the blood pressure thing Uh, but actually, uh, this is a nice looking chart No volume as you get back over here to the 262 70 kind of side But not much travel zoo t z o oh Uh to to to 8 a.m Uh, just going sideways again Same problems that the airlines have I think you're probably going to get a little heads up on united airlines And travel zoo This should probably trade fairly closely and can uh, canadian pacific railway Uh, and night transportation Um hard to not think that these Companies are just going to do good since they uh, we've got such a energy hostel Uh administration now that don't like uh pipelines are going to be going on rails And it makes sense because uh, one of the biggest contributors is uh, uh political Guys is uh, william buffett and he owns all the railroads So I would be surprised that uh, some of that cash had a little impact on why the Uh Pipelines didn't go so far, but gotta look good and say that canadian pacific. We'll be back in a minute Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis And it's not just dry tedious text either Tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts To help you make the right moves with your money Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be Educating investors You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball. 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That's 877-518-9190 catch tamo bryan professional trader and educator founder of tfnn also a special guest on cnbc Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the tom will bryan show next on tfnn We uh get ready to wrap up the day we'll take a few more here um biotech travel zoo That's kind of it for wednesday morning uh tesla on wednesday night um, it's been rocking and uh As I we had a call didn't look strong a couple of weeks ago, but what I always want to talk about is uh, how many people have been shorting and You know, you've had some fairly big days 20 percent Generally, you want people, you know 10 12 percent on a daily basis from the fnred data um overall people tend to short it in the morning and cover in the afternoon days to cover still under two days At this point a lot of people don't go after The stocks, but uh, you're going back into the highs. You got about half the volume of that 900 dollar high, you know Things change high gas prices make this a little bit better off but I'm not a big fan As I said, uh at this price You have the next 20 years of growth already priced in so the question is You know as just a game theory you want to be short this one when That uh all that uh pie in the sky in the future changes Nothing changes more quickly than yesterday's Day of the future. I suspect Long term they're going to get hit by toyotas and bmw's fuel cell technology It's just hasn't quite happened yet now. They did have an excellent high Or low volume test of that march 5th low And you got it tested by on my 19th with half the volume So you certainly wouldn't have been short there. We were looking at it like right under 800 Um, haven't had any volume since then still don't have any volume Uh, but it doesn't matter. Um, we may see some kind of blow off top And that may be the final straw Some kind of big giant blow off top on earnings on wednesday So when you can not when you have to we'll back tomorrow same back channel same bad time