 What is up everybody it's Stas here and in this video we're going to be talking about the top couple of stocks and ETFs that I'm personally watching and looking to trade right now in the month of November in 2019 and as you guys read in the title we're also going to be talking about natural gas because it saw a massive gap down today. What are my thoughts on that you guys D gas for this upcoming week we're going to be talking about that and very briefly taking a look at the overall markets in terms of these futures the S&P futures Nasdaq and Dow Jones and very briefly taking a look at the S&P index to see what the market has been doing over the past couple of days and the overall trend of the market over the past couple of weeks so if you guys enjoyed this video if you guys find value in this video feel free to go down below hit that like button consider subscribing if you do want to see further content for me and if you want to be further connected with the Strive Smart community the Discord group chats link down below the Facebook groups link down below and if you want to buy some merch that is linked down below as well so without further ado let's just get right into it and let's talk about and start off here with the S&P 500 and under a minute let's see what it's been doing over the past couple of days so clearly here on the 20 day one-hour chart this thing is uptrending right it's riding the moving averages this 50 SMA this green line has been acting as a support higher highs higher lows all that good stuff and if you guys watch my video on Friday we talked about how the S&P closed very very bullish because you can see we didn't break below that 50 SMA we held it at a higher low in the morning and we ended up closing on a very strong push up as you guys can see on this one day one minute right we bottomed out at about 30 73 we found nice support at around 30 85 which was an old all-time high we held that as a new support and again from there we saw the nice push-up the bulls took over here and in power hour on Friday and ran us all the way up to 30 93 so at this point based on the S&P index and the way it's been moving you know I expect further green here and potential pop up to 30 100 and above this week and that will obviously be an all-time high as the all-time high right now is 30 97 so overall guys the trend on the 500 largest public publicly traded companies which is the S&P 500 is up right and over the past five trading days you know we kind of consolidated around this level that was a resistance at 30 85 then ultimately we gapped up above it hitting that all-time high closing above that resistance as a support at again 30 85 closing up strong so that is very very bullish in terms of the 20 day performance of the S&P and the five-day performance which was last week's session so very quickly guys let's take a look at what the futures are looking like right now the E-mini S&P 500 index futures down about $2.50 right now down about 0.08% so nothing crazy right you know if we pull down I've been talking about this over the past couple of videos it's possible that you know we do hit that all-time high again like I said 30 100 but from there we may pull down and maybe test that 50 S&P again maybe at 30 66 maybe at 30 70 that is very possible and if I pull up that chart again on the SPX you know on the hourly chart hey we may hit that all-time high again 30 100 then pull down maybe 30 85 30 60 and either continue the uptrend or maybe do something that this arrow indicates of maybe a further sell-off down to maybe like 30 30 you know 30 20 that is possible if we do see a bigger correction of about 2 3 maybe even 4% right the NASDAQ right now down about $8.25 down about 0.1% so nothing really crazy there either the Dow Jones right now down about $17 down about 0.06% and again just like the S&P and the NASDAQ nothing really crazy so what am I looking for this upcoming week guys well tomorrow just like every Monday I'm going to be watching large caps are they gapping up are they gapping down I'm going to be watching obviously these futures you know if these futures are let's say up a quarter of a percent you know you know 0.3% 0.4% in the morning what's that going to be telling me guys that's going to be telling me that these markets are pushing into these higher high levels that we just talked about and to those all-time highs in terms of the S&P here and at that point honestly the Dow might be at an all-time high yet again as well if we do end up gapping up same thing with the NASDAQ and of course let's say the futures are down you know if they continue this little down spell that they're on right now let's say we open up you know down a quarter percent whatever it may be we may be seeing a bit of a retracement in the markets from there on the S&P let's say for example we may be going down to again that level we talked about a couple of minutes ago maybe 3080 3075 before either holding that at a higher low and continuing the uptrend or again falling down and seeing an even further sell-off so that's kind of what I'm thinking right now in terms of these overall markets and without further ado guys let's get right into it and talk about some of the main stocks and ETFs that I'm watching right now and let's start off with you guys because that is what we saw in the title and natural gas in general guys because this has been the talk of the town a lot of people in the community talk about you guys D gas natural gas and honestly a lot of you guys like watching those videos so let's just get right into it and talk about it and break it down because like I said I don't know if I actually mentioned it in the beginning of the video natural gas saw a massive gap down when the futures market opened about an hour and 22 minutes ago you guys can see it's down about 9 cents right now down about 3.5 percent and this is going to equate over to you guys being down tomorrow if this level holds it's going to open down about I'd say like 9 to 10 to maybe even 11 percent which it's going to be a nice pretty pretty sizable gap down on you guys but the thing that I want to talk about here is technically guys you know although we did break moving average support levels with the gap down we're still technically speaking here on the hourly chart at a higher low for natural gas right and you guys can see what I'm saying we hit the low here at 228 the next low is at about 258 and now we're kind of holding this support at around 268 to about 270 which was an old resistance at a higher low if this holds right if this holds and we start to run up tomorrow you know back into the 270s maybe 275 this can be really the uptrend continuing here because you have to realize right natural gas this is a 20-day chart you're looking at natural gas went from 220 to 290 in literally the matter of 10 to 15 days so this is profit taking this is it cooling off this is not a huge huge downtrend beginning in my personal opinion because a lot of us know at this point we're getting into the season where demand for natural gas pumps up right we already saw an injection this past Thursday in terms of the inventory report that was less than expected which is what caused that massive you gas spike now think about it guys when we start to get withdrawals of this natural gas right when demand starts to kick in as this weather gets colder what is that going to do and especially if shorts start to cover here because there are a lot of shorts you know on natural gas right now if they cover and it causes a squeeze what's that going to do that's going to shoot up the price coupled with that that demand that's coming in I can see this you gas flying up and natural gas flying up over the next the next couple of weeks despite this pullback that we're seeing right which is why again I'm not worried about this pullback in my opinion this is simply a cool off period for natural gas before the real winter kicks in and before the demand starts to kick in and honestly before you know the price starts to fly up right just take a look at this this was simply um you know in terms of a percentage this is simply a 7% pullback from the peak you guys can see last time we saw a sizable correction you know we went from 273 down to about 258 which was around roughly the same of about a actually a bit less about 5.6 to about a 6% pullback so at this point guys for this upcoming week I'm going to be watching the inventory report very very closely right if we get a withdrawal if we get you know a cold forecast in terms of weather which I already saw a lot of cold weather coming in from the Midwest over these next couple of weeks you know of course heading to the northeast as well you know I think this is ultimately going to continue to go up but it's a matter of when that is going to happen and we all know guys most of us watching this channel you know when natural gas is going up you guys is going up as well right it goes up at a 3x rate which it is honestly why it's going to be down at a 3x rate you know if natural gas holds this negative 3.5 percent that it's at right so if it opens up you know minus 3.5 percent and you guys is going to be down probably into the 17s I'd say probably 16s actually probably not 16s more like the high 17s or high 16s low 17s is where I think it would be and on a technical basis guys that's going to be on top of the 180s sumay which last time we played and and touched that 180s sumay we rocketed up after and that will technically still be a higher low which again reiterates my point which is really I'm not worried about you know natural gas is rally ending here you guys is rally ending here I just think this is a cool off period I think we're simply going to hit a higher low here whether it's 16 17 maybe even down to 15 guys wherever we end up bottoming out at I think eventually this thing is going to rebound and head back into the 20s 21s maybe even higher especially as natural gas if natural gas sees that squeeze that a lot of people are expecting right so back to ng watch 270 watch 272 of course if we break back into 275 territory back up into 277 276 we may be filling the gap back up to 290 and anything above 290 we may be going up to 3 bucks which is another resistance that I'm looking at here based on let's see this hourly chart you guys can see it right here 290 up above that is a 305 310 etc right so overall that's what I'm thinking in terms of natural gas don't panic guys I think this will eventually rally back up as these weeks move on as demand starts to kick in withdrawals of natural gas start to occur and as this weather continues to get colder so let's talk about some stocks now that we talked about natural gas and you guys I have some on my phone right here the first one that I want to talk about is Shopify guys so Shopify if we look on the four hour chart here it seems like it's finding a support at about 280 to 285 bucks it seems like it's already bottomed at that level where we bottomed that towards the end of June in 2019 towards the end of September and honestly over the past couple of weeks in the month of October as well and I guess you can say right now in the beginning of November so we've bottomed out at this point multiple times and from the peak guys at 409 bucks to where we are right now how much money you know rather how much percent has fallen well 27 to 28 percent and what does that mean if we're looking to swing trade something that is how much money we can make in terms of a percentage value if we bought in here and if we sold at the peak if it were to rally back up to 409 dollars so the earnings report is kind of what caused this little drop right here quite honestly guys and I forget off the top of my head exactly what they reported but you can see here if I just hover over they were expected 14 cents of EPS they came in negative 29 so they lost money when they were supposed to be profitable in terms of EPS so that is most likely what's causing this downwards pressure on the stock but ultimately I can see this one reversing and what I'm looking for as you guys can see by this arrow is going to be a break above that 50 SMA and that 180 SMA being this green and yellow line I think if we get that break and into let's say the 315 to 330 ish territory I think this could be a good entry point on a potential breakout for Shopify and the truth is guys I look deeper into Shopify their balance sheet is quite impressive if you're just looking at a cash standpoint and a debt standpoint they have very minimal debt on their balance sheet and they have two billion dollars of cash two billion dollars of cash that is pretty solid in terms of a balance sheet and their revenues are growing like crazy I think it's 40% year over year in terms of Shopify's revenue so this is very much a growth company so we can really see a pop and break here and a continuation especially due to how hot the stock has been over the past couple of months but of course there's bears out there that think this stock is heading back down to low low 200s high 100s whatever it may be and if we do get that right if the bears do come out on top here and we start to run back down at that point guys as a swing trade not going to be looking at it because those technicals won't be attractive maybe as a long-term growth position maybe if it gets back down in the low 200s we could potentially consider that but that's another video for that's another topic for another video honestly guys so another stock I want to talk about is proctor and gamble this is one that a lot of people consider you know a value play a safer stock and to be quite honest guys it's been in a weird spot over these past couple of trading weeks ever since they reported their earnings I remember I swing traded it I think it was through their earnings or after their earnings made a nice profit I exited out and I was thinking to myself I want to get back in I want to get back in but I knew I had to be patient and see what the pattern was going to give me over the next couple of weeks and days right and now I finally feel like I'm at that point where I could potentially re-enter into proctor and gamble especially if it holds this $120 level and this is a very important level because it's a support well it was an old resistance from the middle of August and if we break this level guys this new support we're at you know we may be filling down to about 115 bucks and if we do do that ultimately that's not going to be too good for the bulls because let me show you guys this trend we're on right now we're on this trend and technically right now we're holding a higher or low on this trend and if we gap down to that 115 level we're completely breaking that higher high really or really the higher low trend of the up trend and especially if we break 115 guys that's going to be very very bad in terms of proctor and gamble on a technical basis so as long as we hold this higher or low here at 119, 120 and we start to rally back up you know maybe 121 would be a nice entry point and I'm going to set an alert right here on proctor and gamble to be alerted if we do end up breaking 121 I'll probably take a swing position there that offers me about three to four percent of profit up to that previous all-time high and of course if we break that even more money in proctor and gamble another stock PYPL guys also known as PayPal so PayPal and Visa they reported earnings a couple of weeks ago I believe PayPal did they beat on EPS and revenue and their earnings in general were just very good and you can see it on the price action of the stock you know after they reported it went from 96 and really the next week of trading it was trading at 107 bucks so after earnings it went up 11 points and since then it's kind of cooled off up until now and right now we're seeing it holding that $100 level of support that we double bottomed that back in the beginning of October before we rallied up and before we started to sell off so at this point I think this is very critical guys and we can see based on the action from Friday we closed very very bullish right we found support at 100 bucks we pretty much retested it and we closed above moving averages in my opinion that's signaling further upside for this upcoming week especially since we're breaking out of the 50 SMA on this hourly chart as well so for PayPal what I'm looking at is a really really just a gap up into the 102s 103s and that is where I'm looking to enter into the position and ultimately after we break out of these moving averages on the four hour chart I think that's going to be the main confirmation because I'm scared to get in in a full position under these levels because you know these moving averages on the four hour chart have been a resistance over the past couple of months so for me to be in a more comfortable spot I'd like to maybe get in with a small position here at 102 then add the bulk of my position you know after we head into the 104s 105s which would be putting us above those moving averages so PayPal those are kind of my thoughts on that one McDonald's is another one that a lot of people have been talking about they've been in the news for the wrong reasons their CEO I believe his name was Steve Easterbrook Steve Easterbrook you my friend Steve Easterbrook you made a mistake he got caught with you know he had a relationship with an employee he got fired McDonald's stock tanked after that well not really tank I don't want to exaggerate it guys it didn't really tank but if we look on the five day chart probably the 10 day chart we'll show it you can see it I think it was this day you know we went from 198 down to about 187 so I guess you can say that was a tank move in terms of a blue chip company like McDonald's 10 points in a day that's pretty bad and from there you know we've been recovering 187 we broke above 193 now we're holding 193 as a support so ultimately at this point ideally what I'd like to see is a break out of these moving averages on this hourly chart and really a move up to 198 bucks which would be if we broke that a very bullish move that could get us back into the 200s and to that 205 dollar price level and to be quite honest with you guys I'm looking at McDonald's right now as a long buy a long term buy this could be a swing trade you know once we break into the 198 I'm actually already holding it in my swing account right now but it could also be a long term buy at these levels you know their payout ratio 60% if you guys don't know McDonald's is a dividend paying stock I don't think they're a dividend king I think they're a dividend growth you know in terms of how many years they've they've grown their dividend I think it's 42 years or something like that you know again 60% payout ratio dividend yield of about 2.5% they have 40,000 stores worldwide this company is very very massive and a lot of people view it as a real estate company because 95% of their their locations their franchises right their franchises where McDonald's takes a fee from those buildings you know from you know the those ran franchises right so in my opinion this if you're looking long long term it could be a buy and if you're looking to swing trade it I definitely think it could be a play especially if we break like I mentioned a couple of minutes ago into those levels of 198 200 bucks and especially above 200 bucks so McDonald's that's kind of what I'm thinking there Facebook is another one that I'm watching here as always guys at this point Facebook needs to make a move back into the 193s we've we've broken below 193 guys which is not too attractive but the attractive thing is we're still holding the trend that I just drew of higher highs higher lows right if we were to break down this week you know into the mid 180s that's not going to be too good and for me that won't be good because I'm actually swing trading Facebook right now but ideally what I'd like to see is a break again above the 192 level and honestly a higher high and into the 200s that would be absolutely ideal especially as they did quite well in terms of their earnings I'm hoping that momentum can push us back into again that 200 dollar 200 dollar I can't talk guys 200 dollar level and maybe even to the 205 level and ideally higher than that so Facebook you know just watch this trend that I just drew for you guys if it breaks into the mid 180s that's not a good sign if it gaps up tomorrow into the mid 190s that is a good sign so Facebook watching that Disney is another one that we talked about on Friday's video and let me show you guys on this one day chart actually no no no that does not do it justice five day chart what I'm looking at here so they reported earnings they crushed it I believe they missed on revenue but they crushed on EPS and it seems like the stock investors you know traders they didn't give a crap about the miss on revenue they love that that beat on EPS and the fact that Disney Plus is coming out here I think in like two three days or something like that we saw the pop from 132 up to about 142 and that sell-off is what I'm finding attractive here and that nice bullish close that we saw and the nice hold into the after hours that's also what I'm finding attractive right so from that 142 peak down to where we closed that's about a 3% margin of profit open so heading into the session tomorrow what am I looking for right I'm looking to get in Disney ideally if it holds 138 into the morning session that is ideal if we start the uptrend from there continue the uptrend that is where I'll enter with a limit order probably at around 141 bucks to get out at about that 2% profit so I'm thinking Disney right now has a lot of momentum right a lot of momentum due to this EPS beat massive massive EPS beat again Disney Plus is launching that might even shoot us up even further so this is definitely a dip I'm thinking in terms of Disney stock and if we just drag it out a bit to the 4 hour chart you guys can see you know we got rejected at 142 which is that level that we got hit at towards the end of April into the month of May and if we break that tomorrow guys again with the hype from Disney Plus maybe if we get hype from it and if this momentum from the earnings continue we could end up going to 145 which is even further from 142 obviously which would give us an extra 2% on top of that initial 2.5% that we're talking about so ultimately this has about you know 45% in the tank again if we get in at these 138 levels which would be ideal in my opinion so let me check the list guys any other stocks okay we talked about those you know one more on my head is ATV guys you know ATV Activision Blizzard they reported earnings they beat on EPS and revenue their guidance wasn't that great which is what caused the stock to dump after they reported earnings right you guys can see it here this was the day before actually the stock was anticipating earnings then they sold off heading into earnings we got the earnings they kind of bottomed that about 53.20 now we're starting to gap up and we're seeing a bit of a bullish breakout here on the five-day five minute the fact that we closed above the moving averages and we held 54.20 very strongly this is a double bottom as a support that's looking pretty strong in my opinion so what am I looking for an ATV in particular here I want to see a gap up into the $55 level tomorrow that is ideal if we get that that's going to be momentum to the upside in my opinion and ideally I'll enter here probably above these moving averages and really swing traded up to 57 bucks 57.40 which at that point would offer around three four percent in terms of margin of profit so those are a couple that I'm watching I'm heading into this week guys I could talk about a lot more trust me I got a bunch of DMs but the truth is I can't fit every single stock in ETF into this video or the video would be an hour trust me guys I have so many more to talk about but we'll get to the ones that I didn't talk about in today's video in tomorrow's video so make sure to subscribe to the channel for that and honestly if you enjoy the video subscribe anyway right why not I talk about stocks every single day on this channel I go over the markets you know what am I doing and of course earnings anything big coming up to watch out for it's covered on this channel so if you guys enjoyed the video feel free to go down below hit that like button consider subscribing if you do want to see further content from me and if you want to be further connected with the StrifeSmart community the discord links down below the Facebook links down below as well as the merch and all of the social links Twitter Instagram all of that good stuff is linked down below so I'll catch you all in the next video thanks again for watching peace out