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It's October 1st So we're in that period of time where we typically see some type of bottom form with markets moving up through December So that's what we're anticipating what we also know about and we also know that three of the four equity future contracts have Valid Gartley by patterns that are in place the one that does not a ZNQ So we're paying attention to today's candle formation at the end of the day If it's a bullish reversal candle, then you've got all four that will have Gartley by patterns What we also know is that the markets have been in a consolidation pattern and here we can see the Consolidations and we can see that prices still within we can see that the NQ testing the bottom of consolidation ES this morning testing the bottom the Dow equity future contract testing the bottom if those levels hold You know the expression. It's a coined here by Tom O'Brien I owe him a royalty when I say this if you can't bust it to the downside Price will try to bust it to the upside and that is really the setup as we speak right now We've got a Brent on the line and Martinez, California Brent. Thanks for calling. Thanks for holding How are you doing this morning and thanks for being up so early? I'm doing great. How are you this morning? Excellent. Thank you very much for asking and Pfe Pfizer is I believe what you're calling about and Tell me how I can best help you on this This is one I've been watching for a while. I just Was wanted you to take a look and see if there's some level down lower that it looked like maybe around $40 There could be a decent buy point down there, but I want to get your thoughts on it Sure, okay, so let's do as we typically do folks We start by taking a look at our three time frame charts here that show the current market profiles The market profiles the top of those profiles tells where sellers reside the bottom where buyers reside in the centers Where both buyers and sellers believe that it's fair value with inside that range the range being the top in the bottom So on a daily basis Brent We have Pfizer that has been below the bottom of its daily profile for the last four Sessions out here what we go take a look at you know in a few moments to see if that was a bottom signal or not But being below the bottom of profile suggests you go to the next level I would typically then move over to the weekly prices below the weekly profile as well Looks like this will be for three consecutive weeks So that says I go over and take a look at the monthly chart So the monthly chart prices trading right now and closed above the top of its monthly profile That's 42 24. So you had mentioned a $40 level 40 to 24 from a profile standpoint Would be the next support level price for to close below that that could bring 39 23 37 22 into play Any questions Brent before I move on to the other charts about these profile levels or anything I like that it might be some like a BC pattern if you did it on the daily Yes, I have I guess it's around 52 and they can see where it came down to a little retracement back up and then Maybe on these black charts and that's a good on there to see what you come up with Yeah, so the aid so excellent so the a to b equal CD to the downside the 1 to 1 level is Projected at the 4106 area Now if this is an a to b equal CD to the downside and if we take a look at the swing point out here that swing pointed Volume of 32 million shares it was passed with 37 So it's what we refer to as a confirmed a to b equal CD if that if we don't see some other bottom on the other charts Out here that would become the target what I would also say is that this is more likely to be more than a 1 to 1 a To be equal CD to the downside and the reason that I would make that conclusion is because the retracement That's the b to c leg folks was only 32 percent. I mean less than a point 3a to retracement it typically those shallow retracements will result in an extension of that c to d leg Not that it can't end at 4106, but this has the signature of wanting to move lower Brent So 4106 is the 1 to 1 39 31 is the 1 to 1.272 Any any questions about that about that? I? Think that's it for that matter. Thank you. Okay great. So let's pull over the other charts We're just curious as to whether or not there's any kind of bottom signal out here We'd be looking for a TD 9 count. We don't have that we'd be looking for roads Mentum indicator signal we don't have that we do see that the oscillator and change line change from green to red That suggests that over the coming sessions price and that level will catch up to each other But basically as long as price remains under that red oscillator and change line that closed last night at 44 16 That suggests move down to 41 39 That's the next break out level and that's on the daily time frame the weekly chart out here Because with price trading below the bottom of it's a weekly profile that could say prices over the longer term headed back to 34 33 So that's what I've got at here So the only pattern that is in play Brent as we take a look at it Is that a to b equal CD to the downside for Pfizer at the moment today or yesterday was bar number five of a TD 9 count? So we're three to five trading sessions away from that potential pattern Identifying some type of bottom up there any questions about the daily or the weekly there And it's going to stay patient with that that's kind of With what she just went through makes sense to sit tight and see what happens Yeah, I think so, you know, the only thing that that would change Pfizer's outlook Really would have to close about 46 72 to say that the downward move is over out there So yeah, the only pattern in play right now is that a to b equal CD So I'd be watching as price gets down towards 41 0 6 there's a bullish reversal candle That would be your buy area if it don't get a bullish reversal candle then keep looking at added as price moves down to the 39 area How was your how was fishing and each route? Yeah, yeah, I actually had a real good day with my son and it was a lot of hiking Yeah, when I came back later in the day I checked my phone and it just it'll keep track of how much he's covered Okay, onto your phone is on. Yes. Yes, it was close to four 14 miles or something with the total Well, oh, that's a good day. That's a that's a good workout And I did have kind of the typical Of the classic, you know, the one that got away that the biggest fish I had the day to come off It's all single barber took So you just have to you know, that's just part of the deal. Yeah happens in it But I had a really nice fish on and I'm gonna fish along if I could tell it was something of size and yeah Came off That's all right, but we did you know probably gather between the two of us It's getting close to 20 fish. Oh, that's great. That's really great. That's great Well, Brent, thanks for calling in early Glad you had a great time with your son caught some fish and enjoy your weekend and we'll talk to you next week. I hope All right, thank you very much. Do you have a great weekend? You take care You bet you bet. Thanks for calling in. We've got another question or that has come in This one coming in from Hector and the fuel injectors and Hector wrote in let me see here Hector is is asking about the gdx. So let me get the gdx up on our screen here And in the case of the gdx Hector's asking the following questions It's a gdx yesterday on a monthly basis closed underneath the b-point and did it with the volume and that is correct So the b-point let me just take a look at the monthly chart here for you Let me expand it out just a tad And so the monthly gdx b-point of an a to b equal cd to the downside was a month of march did volume of 4 499 million and you can see on my chart in the bottom right that the volume for the month of september was 509 So yes, this is a confirmed a to b equal cd to the downside Based upon everything that we just you know Based on how we review things if we take a look at the weekly chart, which you didn't mention You also have another confirmed a to b equal cd to the downside the b-point being the week of march 1st That did volume of 152 million shares and last week the volume on this. Oh, I take that back. That was light volume So you don't have a confirmed a to b equal cd to the downside on the weekly chart Now let's remember that as we go take a look at steve's white background chart steve roads with tf and n We'll be back in a few to review the gdx the gold miners etf Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? 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Thanks so much for doing that. We recorded today's show between eight and nine We're gonna do that Really, I think through it looks like through the end of october through the end of this month So for the next three to four weeks out there, we'll do that on fridays And what we're doing is we're taking a look at the gdx right now for hector and patty And as hector has pointed out the gdx on a monthly basis has a confirmed a to b equal cd to downside I believe really what hector is getting at in his question is that question is If you pass a b point with volume does that guarantee that you're going to have an a to b equal cd to downside And I wish I could tell you the answer to that was yes I cannot tell you that that's the answer And so it's a likelihood But look even the weekly chart that we were looking at which we now have confirmed that it has passed a b point With lighter volume it could still fulfill an a to b equal cd So even if you pass a b point just passing the b point of the pattern Brinks about the a to b equal cd, but like brent and I were taking a look at when we're looking at fiser hector We're not just tied to one pattern out there We have a handful of patterns that we know Helps us to identify tops or bottoms out here the a to b equal cd pattern is one of those And we pay attention to to that on the daily time frame out here So look here what we also know is we've got price below the bottom of the daily profile price below the bottom of the weekly profiles We also know on any bounces or bottom where resistances So the battles to any on any upside move inside the gdx really going to be 30 32 and 30 58 now 30 58 is the level that I would be watching mostly Because what we can see is prices below the bottom of a bullish structured daily profile and any counter trend moves Will typically find resistance at the center of those bullish structured profiles So hector if you're to see a move above close above 30 58 That's an indication that this may be more of a bottom now. You're saying to yourself right now What do you mean a bottom steve? You haven't even showed me any kind of bottom. I know I'm about to do that So we're going to pull over the gdx right now and as we pull this over here What we're going to see is we have a valid Roads momentum indicator bottom and a valid td9 count now We can also see that yesterday price stopped at that red oscillator and change line And that's a key level that price needs as far as battleground areas 29 63 Is the next one up for the gdx if price can close above that That would really signal to us hector that you should anticipate a move to 30 58 If price is above 30 58 the next battle is at 30 109 and above that 31 56 a close above 31 56 On a daily timeframe is going to tell us about a Change in trend signal now that's on the daily timeframe. Remember the weekly chart that we looked at where Where we saw that the b-point has been passed but with lighter volume Well, we also happen to have this is currently see a basal Chapman is wave number seven That's letter g on my screen out here now This letter g this part of the wave can extend So we won't get a confirmation of this until next week, but we do know Wave number sevens are valid top or bottoming signals. Do they all work? No, not any path There's not any pattern. I found where it always works out here. That's why we use protective stops We use a position size if you use position sizing life is going to be good no matter what So here you are. Do we do have a potential bottoming signal on the weekly? We know we have now a to confirm bottoming signals on the daily Whether you have two or one doesn't matter doesn't increase the odds or anything along those lines In the monthly timeframe, we don't have anything to suggest any kind of a bottom out there So hector I hope oh the other thing when a bottom is forming When there's going to be some type of change in trend What we always like to do is look at the intraday time periods Now this is a cash indices chart means it trades for 390 minutes and I like to have equally Time bars out here. So that means you have two 195 minute bars in a trading day Well, it turns out on the 195 minute time frame. We have a TD 9 count bottom prices Inside it's a bullish structured profile in a close of about 2967 will suggest to run the 3033 There's 330 minute time frame charts out here, but I don't have a valid bottoming signal There was a roads meant to indicator Signal out here, but we didn't get a bullish reversal candle in time to complete that pattern So we don't have a confirmed bottom on that time frame for the 65 minute We have a confirmed roads meant to indicator bottom the 30 we already covered though. We didn't cover that We've got wave number seven here. We've got a TD 9 count We got a roads meant to indicator bottom price cruises through the first TD 9 breakdown resistance level for the 30 minute chart Gets up to the second one. That's where price turns back And so watch 29 90 if price can close above that tells you about a further rally out there So that's a full in-depth review of the gdx sector And I hope that that helps you out with regard to the different patterns that are going on What we must also realize and recognize is that and I'm going to pull over gold and silver Is that they too are going to be a significant influencer with regard to the direction of the gdx And so therefore what we want to understand is what's the pattern inside of gold and silver? And so now when we go take a look at gold, what gold did yesterday was it completed a bull sash candle You can see an a to b equal cd pattern that I have drawn in here the 1 to 1.618 area was hit And so this has a confirmed Gertley buy pattern The reason why it's a Gertley pattern is because if we come off the low from august 9th That was a nice move to the upside you try to buy that a to b equal cd to the downside that gets confirmed We did have one that was confirmed back on september 20th That has failed and now we have a new one that was confirmed and that was confirmed yesterday You can also see I'll get rid of the a to b equal cd pattern out here You can also see you've got a brand new profile that is formed So resistance inside of goldilocks is 1768 and support is 1734 so gold has a confirmed bottom Silver also yesterday confirmed an a to b equal cd to the downside. It was a 1 to 1.618 Yesterday was a bullish piercing candle Now I'm going to go ahead and get rid of the a to b equal cd pattern So both gold and silver have generated bottoming signals to go along with what we're looking at inside the gdx Now in the case of silver it has resistance at the bottom of its weekly profile. That's at 2272 above that you're looking at 2318 On the right hand side I've got the us dollar index and it's possible that this could form a three river evening star pattern today Just depends on the candle configuration We do see that there's a new profile that's attempting to form I'm going to get rid of the a to b equal cd here just to clean up the chart for you You'll see the new profile is attempting to form. This is attempting to form below price That is a bullish message. It says that the supply is down below price out here And so the us dollar index should find support at 93 74 But don't worry gold and silver can move higher with the us dollar index moving higher I won't go through that this morning, but you can go take a look at yesterday's archive. We covered that Um We covered that in the chart patterns behind it so that you too can see that signal So hector to go along with the gdx. You've got bottom patterns inside of gold and silver Look if those bottom patterns fail and gold and silver Then that tells us that the gdx is likely going to go ahead and make that a to b equal cd To the downside that you and I looked at at the beginning So thank you very much for writing in much appreciated and let's go on to our next question And our next question Next well, let's get the next question here coming in from the tiger's den from snp and snp wants to take a look at ticker symbol sq square So let's get square fired up here while it's being fired up there I'll get that going on my other white background charts And the question is Steve can you look at square? I just wanted your opinion on direction from here So what we know about this snp is uh That price is trading below the bottom of its daily profile. So we know that's not a positive But price has found support at the top of the weekly level. So as long as price remains above 235 17 Uh, it's not going to give you an indication of a significant move lower And if price gets below closer below 235 17 That's a suggestion that price could pull back to the 200 and 80 cent And 209 39 cent level that is its bullish structured profile Before price would get down there the next level of support on the monthly timeframe would be 217 So now what we need to do is go take a look at square See if we can do this real quickly. We're about to go into a break No bottoming signal and you did get a close below the hammer candle So that would suggest snp 209 80 could be its target But no bottoming pattern out here inside of square in the daily No bottoming pattern on the weekly chart So 209 80 is what that is just that price wants to target That's inside ticker symbol s qc road with tf and n will be back in just a few Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with Become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfn dot com The tiger's den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas Join the den and surround yourself with these sharpest minds in the trading world Subscribers to the tiger's den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air And can privately chat with our tfn and host live during their shows Interact with other tigers and tiger's as they share trading ideas News analysis and discuss the market action all trading day Subscribe to the tiger's den risk free with our 30 day money back guarantee and become part of the tfn and trading community tfn and educating investors Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st In petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers Make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating Tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate LLC today at 727 329 83 22 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com. 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That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv Welcome back folks hector wrote in And a really mindful question out here It goes like this september only had 21 trading days Does that make a difference on the monthly volumes as the march swing point had 23 days? Very mindful to think about that. I've never actually Thought uh that through hector and I don't know the answer to that at this stage here I just say volume is volume But what we want to do is you know the larger picture that might be where the gdx has had it to You know in that monthly chart But we want to be mindful as well about what's going on on the other time frames You know the weekly and the daily and then the intradays to really give us that signals Whether or not there's a bottom that's in place and levels that price has to overcome to really confirm that for So good thought there. I don't know the answer To that and uh, so Thank you and sorry at the same time We've got a good question inside the tigers den the tigers den This is for zip and zip wants to take a look at cnh industrial and the question is looking to add Okay, so here's what we know about cnh industrial right now it closed yesterday Back inside its daily profile notice zip how Notice zip how that's a bear structured profile So if this is just a counter trend retracement price should find support and should not close below 1647 If price closed below 1647 the message there is to pull back to the bottom of that profile at the 1589 level If price were to close below 1589 then we're looking at uh Well, I don't know what we're looking at well We're looking at a move lower because the bottom of the weekly profile is 1572 So use 1572 as your benchmark to the downside if price were to close below that then you're looking at 1387 This is all profiles. Let's pull over cnh i and look at the daily and weekly time frames as well on my white background charts We're looking for its top or bottoming signals anything to assist zip. So with regard to this instrument It's really just a sideways consolidation. You can see that i'll draw that pattern in here for you Let me get that tool. It's going to be approximate with regard to what I draw in here for the consolidation so um Yeah, I mean I've missed it kind of missed it somewhat completely To the bottom but now since that's what we're looking at. So I see a consolidation pattern more than anything else So just a bunch of sideways movement out here. That's what the daily chart shows the weekly chart really shows the consolidation much clear And the consolidation is really in between its uh TAS market profile levels 1572 to 1710 So with regard to an entry point and something that's consolidated much like the markets right now The best area would be at the bottom. So if you're looking for an entry point Use 1572 as a price target then look for those intraday time periods and look for some type of bottoming Pattern which we don't have inside of chni as we speak right now for its 30 minute time frame So hope that helps you out zip and thanks much for the request out there I see we've got another request here by email This one coming in from uh, johnny d in north carolina. Would you please do your analysis on bmy? Absolutely. So let's go pull up the chart for bristol mires bmy again is the ticker symbol and let's see what it says At the thing is a little rocket ship to the downside now price closed below The last uh three out of four days below the bottom of that bullish structure profile So this is really helpful because you if you were listening to what our analysis of that last stock I apologize if I forget which one that was but we talked about a When price closed we were looking at a bear structure profile here We're looking at a bullish structure profile when price closed below it Which it has the last I says at last three out of four trading sessions Yesterday being the exception to that countertrend rallies will stop at the center of that profile. That is exactly remember We use the body of the candle That is truly the essence of price the wicks are just nothing more than an extreme emotion during that time period of that candle session out there So we use the body of the candle and that is exactly where price stopped now in the case of bristol mires And then yesterday that was two days ago. I apologize and then yesterday price took out a uh a little junior swing point out there Price is below the bottom of the weekly profiles. You're inside You're closed inside the box on the monthly time frame So what this is suggesting to us johnny is that price could be targeting 5541 now We want to go take a look at bristol mires on the white background charts Just to see if there's any kind of signals for us and what to be watching for so let's open up the daily time frame And as we do this we populate it. We'll see that yesterday was bar number eight of a td9 count We see that price is stretched It has generated a roadsman to indicator signal and brister mires mires could generate some type of a relief rally That could begin today could begin between today and monday And that's just simply based upon that td9 count. We know that the low that the td9 count first has got to form bar number five Today, what does it need to do? I'm sorry bar number nine today. What does it need to do in order to generate that? It must be a close below 5984 If there's a close above 5984 Well, then that pattern will be negated the roadsman to indicator signal will not be negated But that's what you'll be looking for and then we'd be looking for a counter trend rally Of course, you're still using that 60 66 level as a key level that price would need to overcome If it does overcome that then what we're looking at johnny is to move up to the top of the profile 61 57 A close above that would say man. This is going to be a relief rally that takes you up to 65 14 Maybe it's more than that. Let's look at the weekly chart. What kind of signal do we have on the weekly time frame? Well, on the weekly time frame, we're only in bar number six and the weekly suggests that price is going to pull back to 56 68 56 68 is a prior td9 count to a breakout resistance level Um, that's just a target. Well, it'll hold that level Maybe maybe but you're in bar number six. So right now brister Bristol Myers suggested it wants to head lower You do have some signals that point that you could get some type of relief rally in play between now and a Between now and between yesterday really and uh Monday out there. So johnny, I hope that helps you out Thanks so much for writing in and have a great weekend. I believe there's one other question That has come in. Yeah, there's one other here. This is for, uh, tony in, uh, pennsylvania lude wicks quarter pennsylvania never heard of that But i'll look it up on the map and uh, thanks so much for writing this So, uh, what tony wants to look at can we look at v i c i we absolutely can Let me get that going here on my white background chart for v i c i There we go. Let's go see what vicky Is uh communicating to us this morning So as we pulled this up on the white on the uh, we can see prices below Its daily profile price closed. Well, the weekly is not the week is not over. That's a both structured weekly profile So tony first thing to watch today is does vicky properties closed below 29 29 if it does Then that suggests that price should pull back into the 25 39 to 26 28 level again We're just going profiles. We go daily to weekly and then to monthly. That's what we've done here Now we're going to take vicky and i put her on the white background charts Because what we're looking for is any kind of bottoming signal and as we take a look at this We don't have that on the daily time frame. You're in bar number three No rogment and indicator signal that's been triggered here. You're below breakout levels So this really looks like this wants to head lower. We take a look at the weekly time frame charts We populate this we're going to see no bottoming signal here. So that suggests headed lower So when it comes to vicky vicky wants to head uh lower lower to where you know There's probably an a to b equal cd pattern on the daily time frame But right now we don't really need to do that We can just simply use our monthly profiles as the likely next price target areas And that's at the 25 39 to 26 28 level out there So we've been through all the questions in the den. That's a beautiful thing all the questions by email That's a beautiful thing. Let's go see what the uh markets are doing He got dow futures up 88 right now s and p's up eight nasdaq up seven Russell 2000 up by seven golds up about 70 silver up three 37 cents right now We'll be back in just a few the reality is that navigating financial markets can be risky Markets can be chaotic and difficult to understand Having the latest market advice can help you turn this chaos into a key for creating winning trades At tfnn we understand that it can be hard to find reliable market news That's why each of our market experts offers their very own market newsletter A must-have tool for every trader out there striving to find an edge in today's markets tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets so you can analyze the market before you trade Try any of our great newsletters risk-free with our 30 day money back guarantee Just visit the newsletters tab on the front page of tfnn.com tfnn educating investors Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with Become an apex creditor in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfnn.com The tiger's den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world Subscribers to the tiger's den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air And can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows Interact with other tigers and tiger's as they share trading ideas News analysis and discuss the market action all trading day Subscribe to the tiger's den risk-free with our 30 day money back guarantee and become part of the tfnn trading community tfnn educating investors Are you looking for a secured investment? 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That's 877-518-9190 Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com and hit watch tiger tv. That's tfnn.com and hit watch tiger tv Back up folks. So we've got a request here to take a look at ticker symbol A's ae ae zs atonara Zen terrace ink out here the question is where are the resistance levels? So as we take a look at the profiles price closed above the top of the daily profile You see that's bullish your next resistance zone. So the countertrend rally if it's only a countertrend Will not close above 87 cents. That's the center of the weekly profile price closed above that you're looking at 99 cents The monthly chart as you pointed out when i punched post this up on the screen looks good because you got very So above the monthly profile now if you're wondering why did price stop where it did at 75 cents? That would be a good question Well, we can answer that and we can answer that because we know where the td9 breakdown levels are The td9 breakdown levels Let me pull this back here to the left a little bit was right at 75 cents So, you know the rule out here this formed a nice td9 count bottom a nice roads momentum indicator bottom Price got up to that resistance level of 75 cents. That's the first key level Dan that you want to see price close above if you close above 75 you go up to 89 If you close above 89, you get up to 109. That's what the daily time frame tells us If we look at the weekly the reason to really point that out and show that I didn't come up with it Dan just asked about the ticker symbol is is the importance of understanding those breakdown And breakout levels and folks I teach that to you So if you and you really want if you're a trader you really want to understand these tools you can subscribe to mastery probability For 29 days it won't cost you anything And you'll learn this pattern and many more out there. So take advantage of that while that opportunity is available on a weekly basis Out here. There's nothing else really to report on so uh, dan I hope that that helps you out though. So folks Let's not forget that the market that we are in right now Is nothing more than a consolidating market and consolidating markets and we can just take a look at those So as soon as I get back to wherever I put that maybe right here. No right there Oh man stevo come on So here there we go. So here's our consolidating markets out there And uh, they're very difficult to uh to uh trade out there And the cool thing though is if you break the consolidation What's the NQ is threatening to do this week? We then have a measured move price projection It's called equal to or greater than a consolidation folks. Stay tuned. We've got great programming lined up Thanks for joining me here at eight o'clock and have a fantastic Friday fantastic weekend. We'll see you next week