 We've got a star studded slate for tonight in daily fantasy baseball. We've got some ace pitchers we got a course field slate and I'm gonna be greedy and say that I want both I want to get to Gary Cole and Corbyn burns without Limiting myself as far as Peter goes. I think the good thing is I can be greedy for tonight I think there are ways we can make this happen whether be with You know some creativity with which guys we use a course field with our second stack we pair with our course field stack I think we can make this work and I don't think it's honestly that hard so we get to have our ace and Stack them up, too, and I'm pretty excited to do so So we'll dive on in and get you set for this Friday night slate welcome on into the solo shop That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Friday's 10 a game main slate With laxer for 705 p.m. Eastern for today quick note I'm recording this on Thursday night because I'll be out of town on Friday, so There may be some changes of pitchers. I'm also recording this before Salaries are out because I don't think the slate's gonna go up until 10 and I can't record that late So talking to you before salaries are out. It should be okay I think we have a general idea of where guys will be and stuff like that But just letting you know that in advance in case they decide to Magically jack up everyone at Coors field or make Eric Cole like $15,000 just full disclaimer at a time on that and also in case any Injury news breaks after we're recording here on Thursday night weather also subject to change because of the time I'm recording here, but My glimpse at the weather looked pretty good with no real issues The there is a chance of rain at Coors field looks like it's light rain and it should pass pretty quick So I'm not overly concerned there I think they should be okay to play that game that schedule may be a delay, but I don't believe It'll be anything too bad beyond that So it should be pretty fun slate with no massive weather issues impacting it quicker monitor to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire Daily fantasy podcast feed our NASCAR podcast for a road America is already up breaking down my top options for DFS or America a road course for this week also talking about Ideal roster construction for this kind of race for a very very short race broke down all that over on the number fire Daily fantasy podcast feed find that wherever you get your podcasts and if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review We got UFC coming up later on via Austin Swain as well with the biggest slate this weekend So hit subscribe to get those podcasts right as they are posted this baseball season turned case into cash and big Wins with annual sportsbook right now new customers can step up to the plate with a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 with great promotions every day a safe and secure app and the ability to get paid fast There is no better place to bet America's pastime than on fandals or than America's number one sportsbook Download the fandals sportsbook app today and sign up to get started with your no sweat first bets up to $1,000 must be 21 plus and present in select states Refund issued as non withdrawal with free bets that expire 14 days after received first online real money wager only restrictions apply See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandal.com Rg in Arizona 1-800 next step protects next step to 5334 2 in Connecticut 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Louisiana Call 1-877-770 stop in New York text Text open wire call 1-877-8 hope and why in Tennessee called the red line at 1-800-899-789 in Wyoming 1-800-522-4700 and in West Virginia 1-800 gambler net Pitching preview again no salaries as of yet, but you can probably tell who the good guys are gonna be for tonight We've got Corbin Burns. We got Garrett Cole as the top-end guy Christian Javier is on this late as well coming off his Contributions to the no hitter so a pretty good number of really solid guys for tonight. And again, I want to be greedy I want to jam in all the studs I can get I Don't think it's too difficult the stack course field today while still getting to our stud pitchers So I see the second value stack to pair with them And I think that allows me to go with Corbin Burns to get a call from the top two guys I'll go through Burns now as he is my top-ranked pitcher on the night Burns is facing the pirates and that's a big part of this It's a pretty good matchup. They have a 92 WRC plus versus righties The bigger draw though than that is their 25 percent strikeout rate That is the second highest mark on this slate Burns himself has the second highest strikeout rate in the slate as well the 32 percent for the full season comes with a 6% walk rates a 35 percent hard hit rate allowed and that's translated to good results Not just peripherals, but good results as well. He has a 2.4 1e array Burns has gone seven plus innings in seven of 15 starts including each of his past two That's helped him at double-digit strikeouts in a whopping one-third of his starts Which is a pretty absurd number Burns does have about a four percentage point gap in his strikeout right on the road versus at home So it is a slight downgrade there only one of his double-digit strikeout games has come on the road as well Kind of picking nits honestly can still a 30 percent strikeout right on the road A lot of those road starts have been against lower strikeout teams and the pirates are not that So even on a slate where I want a stack course field Burns will be my top pitcher of tonight With a slight edge over Garrett Cole. I think I can make this work and I like to do so So Corbin burns even if I had to get created with my stacks will be my top pitcher of the night Cole will be number two and he's behind Burns only due to his matchup Cole stays in the Guardians and they are a low strikeout offense just a 16 percent strikeout rate against righties this year That is a big downgrade for anybody It is for Cole to my strikeout projections account for that and I've got Cole projected for 7.5 strikeouts tonight That is one full strikeout behind Burns But it's ahead of everybody else in the slate behind Christian Christian Javier and Javier is in a pretty tough matchup himself in turn in terms of You know, it's a tough team. He lets up a lot of hard contact That's why I have Cole above Javier the strikeouts should still be there for Cole at 7.5 That's not that bad and that's because Cole is in a groove right now He has a 34 percent strikeout rate in his 10 starts since he started throwing his slider more often He did face the Astros in one of those another low strikeout team and Cole had eight strikeouts in that game And Cole's home road splits are a bit smaller than that of Burns and they're both these guys are on the road for tonight I still heavily prefer Burns because the matchup is so discrepant between the two but there are obviously situations and realities where Cole does that score Burns and will likely get a roster a discount on Cole due to the different matchups these two guys have so I Don't blame you if you skip over Cole to load up on Court's field after you go with your burns line ups I still think he's worth it and I want to use him here He's just too good to ignore I get it if you want if you want to skip over him, but for me personally he fits my process still despite the matchup I think he can easily be the SP ones night So I want that upside to me. It's Burns one Cole number two as far as value plays go again I don't have salaries yet, but I do think that Lance Lynn is probably gonna grade out pretty well from a a value perspective Let's talk about him here. We'll talk about one more value play in things to watch Lynn is facing the Giants, which means it's not a great matchup, but It is in San Francisco It's a great park for hitting for tonight or for pitching for tonight because the projected temperature there is 18 degrees colder Than any other game on the slate. It's very good for pitching Lynn's results thus far have not been very good. His ERA is six point one nine and three starts That's even despite facing the Tigers and the Orioles in that three-star span His peripherals are a lot better though. He has a three point two three two skill interactive ERA That number might be even better if his strike outright were higher than 23% But I think that number could go up because Lynn's swinging strike rate is 15.2% It's a very good number Part of that is a matchups his face obviously get a boost from you having two softer matchups in there But against the Jays the one tougher matchup Lynn has had he had a 13% swinging strike rate there, too It's pretty good. He's fully stretched out. He's Lance Lynn. He is made of steel. He won 109 pitches in his most recent start He is struggling with hard contact. Just why is the ERA is so high and that's why I might not get here But it's Lance Lynn man. He's weird. He's fun. He'll probably have a low salary I've played worse options. So not a posterior at all. I think that Lance Lynn actually is a pretty decent option Depending on how much salary he can save you. I need a pretty big gap to justify it below Cole and burns because there's a big downgrade behind those two guys, but I would say Lance Lynn is pretty solid if Christian Javier were to be You know 9,000 or so I'd probably look the match up and overlook the hard contact But I think that uh, he'll probably be above that so Lynn to me the top value We'll talk about Joe Ryan in things to watch first So let's talk about some stacks here for today The Rockies are facing the Diamondbacks at Coors Field neither offense good against left or righties, but I still want to stack them here We'll start with Arizona because I prefer that side between the two We'll just touch on the Rockies here after that The Diamondbacks are facing Antonio Sinsatella who's had good results at home this year Probably shouldn't have good results though because he's made 12 starts overall And he has a 4.7 of skill interactive era with a 13 strike outright. He's letting up a 41 hard hit rate Does get some ground balls, but it's not enough to cancel out the rest of the stuff in his profile So when you put that at Coors Field, it's a bit surprising that Sinsatella's ERA at home is 3.5 too I'm not convinced that will stick because it seems like there's a lot of cluster luck In what's happened for Sinsatella so far Opponents have a 503 Slugging percentage against him at home. It's 488 on the road Their Woba is actually higher at Coors Field than it is elsewhere. The strike outright is lower at home He lets up more hard contact and more fly balls as well So I cannot explain to you why Sinsatella's ERA is lower at home But I can say to you it's probably not going to stick That means we can go to arizona here and I think we can do so With a pretty good amount of confidence. So arizona I think should be a focal point of our stacking for tonight Within this stack dolphin varsho got moved down the lineup pretty recently But as he's no longer hitting lead off, but he's still hitting tanks He has a 214 iso against righties this year tons of hard contact tons of fly balls He can steal some bases and maybe less likely batting fifth or sixth versus first But I still like him a lot. I think I'd probably put him above alec thomas Even though thomas is now batting higher in the order. I would go Christian walker first david parol the second varsho third thomas fourth And I think that the overall point here is I still really like varsho Despite the demotion in the order. Hopefully he has a slightly slightly slightly lower roster rate batting sixth Then he would otherwise but No concern to me. He is still a true stud that I love to use in dfs I do think the rockies are up there with the diamond backs for tonight. They're facing marrow kelly I think he's a pretty solid pitcher, which is why I prefer arizona But i'm not sure that kelly is something we need to avoid at course field For the full season kelly has a 4.28 skill interactive ERA with a 20 strikeout rate But his batting ball just pretty good. He's led up a 35 hard hit rates with a 35 five ball rate in Most situations almost every situation. We are not stacking against this guy, but this is not most situations We've seen kelly have some rough outings He led up four plus runs in two of his passory starts and those two games Were against sincenady in detroit at home He also struggled earlier on this year against pittsburgh And that's part of it too, you know part of the reason we could feel good about going here is that The schedule hasn't been too bad for kelly so far No games at course field his past five games have included four super advantageous matchups. So This would be a good matchup if it were in arizona for kelly, but we're not we're at course field That's tough and he showed he can mow through this lineup when they were in arizona Eight strikeouts across eight and a third or an eight and two-thirds innings But this is different. He's at course field So I think the rockies despite not being good offense being pretty bad honestly and kelly being a decent pitcher I do still think the rockies great out well for today If you can only get to one core stack, I would say prioritize arizona But still get some lineups in there with the rockies as well One guy i'm not super sure about within this rocky stack is chris bryant He didn't show a lot of power in his rehab stint He did strike out quite a bit had multiple strikeouts and I think his final three rehab games And since he's come back up He's put 12 balls in play Only one has had an exit velocity of at least 95 miles per hour And those three starts were all against lefties I will include him for sacks for sure But he's not as much of a priority as he typically would be so again if we're going through the process of ranking out Rockies batters tj crones above him charlie blackman's above them I'd probably put ryan mcman above him too personally just like mcman a lot Um, I'll probably have bryant within the top four still so I'll still a lot But he's more of a rotational option versus a core play when I am stacking course field Now if we want to load up a course like I said, we'll need a a value stack to pair with them Whether it be the rockies or arizona to get to coal birds, etc, etc There are two value stacks. I like a lot those two teams are the nets and the twins I'm going to talk about the twins here We'll get to the mets and adjust a second the twins are facing spencer walkins Which blends everything you want together in a stack lets up a lot of balls in play A lot of those are hard hits for the full season walkins has a 5.70 skill interactive eray with a 5.14 eray His strikeout rate is 11 with a 40 hard hit rate allowed When walkins came back up from his rehab stint He was throwing more sliders and fewer curveballs And that's just something he started to do before his absence from the rotation here Got a six part sample and walkins leaning more on that slider The strikeouts are up a bit, which is good, but the hard contact is also up So he did a success his most recent time out five shutout innings, but It's not going to bother me too much. I think the twins offense pretty lethal right now pretty low salary too So I think to me they great out well and are our top of value stack of the night and I'll be high on them In the situation I got a lot of low salary guys here to help move the needle max kepler 175 iso against righties alx cureloff Has a 56 hard hit rate since he came back up from triple a I like gary sanchez still the righties have been pretty good against walkins So hosting miranda could work for that as well if he's in the lineup He's been hitting the ball better since he came back up So miranda and sanchez on the right hand side cureloff kepler on the left hand side It's not bad. So the twins a quality stack for tonight if you need to say some salary Shifting two things to watch the other value stack again is the mets. They're facing glenn auto who rejoined the big club last week and The velo in that return is a little rough got knocked around big time and that's been happening all year for auto It's not a good park for hitting in new york But it is warmer than usual and warmer than a lot of other places for tonight in new york So the mets are right there with the twins if you need a value stack to pair with burns or or coal To stack coors field I think the brewers are the other spot you could turn to for hitters for tonight They're basically runs and contraris who got a lot of strikeouts when he first joined the rotation for the tigers but the velocity is stabilized across his past five starts and Letting up a lot of hard contact and a lot of fly balls in that time It's 84 degrees in pittsburgh for tonight. So I think you can give the brewers a sniff this time around It's a tigers for for conferis. I'm thinking of uh, ronnie. Uh, contraris, but either way, um ronzi Letting up a lot of hard contact right now. I think we can stack the brewers against them in pittsburgh For today the other value pitcher you could look at outside of lance lin is joe ryan He is fully stretched out now. Um, coming off his injury He's gone 100 plus in two straight starts from pitch count perspective He had just one strike out in one of those so his floor is bad He also had seven uh strikeouts in another though So he has a ceiling still and you can have upside against the oriel. So not opposed to like joe ryan I think that he could be a good option for today too probably It's between him and lin. I could go either way. I'm guessing ryan's gonna have a higher salary though So i'll go with lin one ryan two depending on where they settle in from a salary perspective Let's finish up with our dinger calls for today. The boring one going to court field is christian walker facing off with Sonza taila again Not huge splits. We can go with righties or lefties against him aren't a lot of righties in the Arizona lineup anyway, but i'll go with christian walker as a boring home run call for today The fun one. Let's go curel off not a big fly ball batter So that's kind of annoying from a dinger perspective But did go deep a couple nights ago Just crushing the ball overall. He had a lot of home runs in triple a once he got sent down so I think curel off can get the job done Love hard contacts will go with christian walker now It's curel off as a dinger calls for today That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot again Make sure you check back on starters check back on whether to make sure things did not change overnight And uh get update updated numbers uh there or updated News there to make sure everything stayed steady after recording here on thursday night Do not forget to check out our nascar podcast on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed and our usc podcast coming up On friday via austin swain find that wherever you get your podcast by searching for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed And while you're there make sure you are subscribed If you've got questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s you can also follow The fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast i'll be out part of next week through thursday So austin swain as you covered on tuesday no podcast monday due to the fourth austin has you on Tuesday tom becchio has you Wednesday thursday i'm back with you on friday to talk more mlb dfs Have a fantastic and a safe weekend. We'll talk to you once again later on next week This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network