 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday October 12th. I'm Chief Meteorologist John Hensworth for Longmont Public Media We have a last quarter moon third quarter moon Monday October 17th So you got to get out in the early morning to catch that The large complexes of sunspots that we're pointing towards earth and giving some nice shows at night The high latitudes are now rotating away off to the right getting the Sun rotates Different speeds of different latitudes, but it's about once a month I'll look at it drought things are getting better in Colorado take a look at the areas here in the southwest and even up in the Northeast droughts backing off on the All those locations and in the western slopes. It's it's good news. So drought-free this big strip through the mountains and south Nationally things are a little worse in the south not much change in the west The rainfall most of it happened in the southern Counties this last week and it's going to look the same for the next week For severe weather Well, there is some down here in the southeast so that might help with water supplies there Look how high and dry we are on the west with nothing on Wednesday Thursday the front is sweeping further along Friday It's almost exited the nation in the east and everything is quiet. It's gonna be a theme here So there's the low near Dallas yesterday's gusty dusty Cold front is now all the way down into West Texas and entering Mexico and another reinforcing little shot there Cooling things down, but bone dry. There's our rain in the east it moves up to the further to the east and then out We're just high and dry in the west. So it's interesting a little low down here near Yuma For smoke and just very light amounts of snow smoke Thursday Friday Kind of settling down with the clean air coming from Canada So our normal high temperatures dropping were very rapidly from 67 to 63 over the next 10 days getting us not quite To Halloween week but getting close 38 to 35 for the nighttime low and oh my goodness Just almost nothing precipitation wise just almost nothing happening at all So here's our water vapor satellite from Tuesday yesterday You can see the front coming through and then today it's sweeping all the way down with a dryer down here Modern moisture, but not enough to make much Maybe I see some clouds in the sky. So the highlights over the next 10 days seven days as this northwest flow sweeping over us most of the time So it's interesting cut-off low feature down here. That's gonna reconnect with the jet stream and then get replaced So this is Friday at noon then Sunday that is moving out it's trying to get into the flow here and Mainly causing rain and thunderstorms to our south. We are in north Northerly flow dry air in northern Colorado and then for Tuesday Another load comes in start spinning in the southwest big ridge over the west. We still have north flow here So let's put it in motion and see keep an eye on this low down here rotating around and by the weekend It's finally starts to move And yeah, Arizona northern Mexico New Mexico is gonna see some rain. So then Colorado will catch some precipitation Kind of merges in and goes as a new one Comes down to replace it. It's just an interesting pattern and overall northwest flow Bone dry remains for us. There it comes that low It tries to reconnect to and it goes a little more northerly path or a week and a half from now You can see the cold front that just swept through heading down into the southeast and And another cold front moves down on its heels a little bit backs up into Colorado cooling us down on the eastern side of the mountains here. We are to October 17th 18th Lots of cool air for the east and south, but we are only getting grazed by it now then for Precipatable water It is pretty much dry. We get some moisture coming in as this low ejects It moves up into Arizona and New Mexico. You can see it's moisture. You'll see clouds. It'll get cloudy. It just won't be much And then as that next low comes down another ribbon of moisture Settles up over california, but it's just not going to be for us So we did have a little tropical system down in the southern gulf shouldn't affect the u.s Just kind of petering out down there. There's our cold front sweeping the rain and thunderstorms down Here's the second reinforcing one as the low comes out of the southwest Pretty good precipitation event for New Mexico and texas and northern mexico and Like that, but again bone dry up here We'll keep this going as we watch the next low Rotate in and then reconnect You can see here it comes moving up through southern california It's out of getting some nice rain utah as well, but then it just kind of doesn't make it into colorado So for the next five days very dry across the state Next 10 days the southern counties get some Central mountains, but that's about it So 70s and then the cool front knocks us back to the 60s for thursday We warm up for friday back down for the weekend of the 60s with very little chance I'm giving a 15 chance of a stray something And some clouds at the end of the weekend. It just isn't much to highlight Taking a look at ENSO. This is the El Nino Southern Oscillation index We've been in El Nino for a long time. It's given us this Drought in the west Are these contributed to it and you can see it's actually predicted over the next year. This is april may June next year Going back to neutral. Maybe even next Christmas 2023 Maybe we can get an El Nino going get a lot of precipitation last time we were in El Nino We got colorado completely drought-free not even one square foot. It was Even slightly stressed. So you know hope And wait So check out Longmont later in Broomfield leader for frequent weather updates and lots of local news This has been chief meteorologist John Insworth keep looking out