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The Surprise for the BOND BEARS

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Published on May 5, 2016

To give my view of the long term T-bond market, I use the TLT, an ETF for that sector. It has far outperformed the stock market over the past 2 years. Will that continue? Listen closely.

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Auto generated Transcript by YouTube
welcome ladies and gentleman This is Bert Dohmen with chart predictor makeshift today let's look at the Treasury bond market this is now the subject of debate will bond yields rise or decline and we have a specific point of view on that having been a rate for a long time on this market here we show the TLT it's an ETF for the twenty-plus year and it shows you hear going back to 2011 the big rally decks they had two came up from below 90 and now they're about 230 240 points on a 90 points apiece it's a huge rally is certainly has outperformed the stock market and it has been one of our favorites once again when we get to scare about the federal reserve raising interest rates to see here just as we did last year and last year the federal reserve did so in December finally and it was a big mistake because the stock market tumbled after that so now let's look at this chart with the technical see this line is a resistance area which is also support and get above that resistance rates here under spike came down rally came down again and each time this line presented support now is bouncing off this is a long-term chart so each line did you see here each bar is one week of trading and what we have the aral here is the support area these parallel lines are basically is standard deviation channel and you can tell you back here and hit the standard deviation which is normal and has bounced off what do we make of this chart we consider this very bullish for a bond prices meaning that it binds meals will decline and that is a very bad sign for the economy means that the big money is betting on sharp deceleration the economy and controlling our extended forecast over recession yes head and when there's a recession there's a flight to safety bonds Treasury bonds in the world we talk more about this and the fundamentals in our Wellington letter so be sure to get that it's the best bargain and a world for just a few hundred dollars per year you can make money and save yourself fortunes

  • Category

  • Song

    • MX226_79 - Corporate Success-13858
  • Artist

    • Ariel Mann, BMI|Randy Miller, BMI
  • Album

    • MX226 Money and Markets
  • Licensed to YouTube by

    • AdRev for a 3rd Party (on behalf of Megatrax Music, BMI (Megatrax)); AdRev Publishing

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