 Although there aren't any like no brain or ace type pitchers on Wednesday Slate for MLB DFS There are a lot of guys so I would classify as being fun and fun is kind of like a pretty vague term But there are a lot of guys on this slate who can do some stuff pretty well and are pretty interesting They may have some flaw in some way that prevents them from being like a Garrett Cole type guy or something like that But they're fun and I'm pretty excited for that for tonight And I think that it's going to lead to a pretty interesting slate in a lot of ways You can play things for today, so let's dive on in talk about those fun pitchers and get you set for Wednesday night slate Welcome on into the solo shop That's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Wednesday's ten a game main slate With lockset for 705 for tonight. There are two weather notes for today. One of those is in New York It's not rain. It's all about the wind in New York for the Mets and the Cardinals winds are out to center by 12 miles per hour It is also pretty humid in New York today, so I'd bump up bats there a bit 79 degrees Which isn't bad for this late either so although the Mets team is not a great one for offense a little bit better today than usual As a result of the weather rain is possible in Atlanta for the braze and the Rockies doesn't look heavy right now It says drizzle as possible, but you'll check back on that one later I bet that it plays but just check back on it later to make sure that is true later on as well So bump up to bats from that's Cardinals check back on weather for Braves and Rockies We'll talk about the pitching preview in just one segment first Hey soccer fans this season fan duel and captain Morgan are teaming up to give you a one-of-a-kind soccer contest Introducing captain Morgan soccer pick up a weekly fantasy contest that is entirely free to play the contest is simple All you got to do is make quick predictions for Saturday games this soccer season You'll learn points for each correct pick and compete for a chance to win it for $3,000 in prizes every single week Head over to Fandle into the captain Morgan soccer pick him today Must be 21 plus to participate for more details visit Fandle.com or download the Fandle app eligibility Restrictions apply. Let's talk about that pitching preview for today starting off at the top with Julio Arias Who is the highest salary pitcher on Fandle for today? He is ten thousand three hundred dollars John means is ninety four hundred dollars Sean Manaya 92 we have Antonio since a tail at nine and nine thousand fall by rangers Morris Hussier Keady Cal Quantrell John means and who Oscar Enoa all guys at eight thousand dollars or higher So that's second to your pretty meaty for today and when you look at this slate Because there aren't a lot of Like super high strikeout guys. There's not a coal type pitcher here on this slate It means we don't need as many strikeouts to be viable for DFS We don't need that you have a guy with a 30% strikeout rate to be in the hunt when it comes to our line of sorts tonight I think that gives us leeway to use Julio Arias in a plus matchup Arias is facing the Diamondbacks. It is absolutely a matchup. We want to target They do have good numbers against lefties the Diamondbacks do but those numbers feel deceptive They have a 106 WRC plus against lefties I'm fine Overlooking the raw numbers because they're on the road They're not team I fear overall with the lefty. So I will use Arias here He's a good pitcher even if he's not a high strikeout one That's kind of I mentioned like, you know, he's not like a a no brainer ace type But he's a good pitcher like a good real world pitcher He's been using his curb all more over his past 12 starts and he has a 24% strikeout rates That's not tremendous for DFS, but it's also not terrible and again on this slate It's more viable than others. The rest of the profile for Rias beyond the strikeouts is Stellar he has a 5% walk rate. He's letting up a 27% art hit rate That is the best number on the slate He has a 3.89 skill interactive era when you combine good strikeout rate great walk rate great hard hit rates That's why his era is 1.67 is a little bit boogie. Sure, but like he's good So I'm not expecting this thing to balloon all that much and we've seen a Rias Let it more than two earn runs just once this entire time and that was a course field He can get some strikeouts to he has seven eight and seven over his past three starts He had seven Strikeouts across five shutout innings and is one start against Arizona in this stretch. So we see in this matchup He's done. Well, there's a lot of safety here and it does come with some upside as well. So on this slate I think this is a pretty good combination. I think that Rias is a really fun pitcher I will put him at the top of my list for cash games and for tournaments and be hyper in on him for today number two for me is gonna be last Gary Noah and He just states the Rockies two stars ago, which means they're familiar with him And that's kind of a bummer because I like everything else about his profile I know if you're really good about you know, if it weren't for that still like him But I feel him better if that were not the case I used you know a last week largely because it was a small slate But he pitched well there he had seven strikeouts across five innings of two run ball Which wasn't dominant, but the strikeouts seven strikeouts and five innings. That was good He had a twelve point four percent swinging strike rate there And he had a mark of fourteen point three percent against the Rockies at course field But now he gets them at home. You know what has pitched Well since he came off the IL his ERA three point five oh his skill interactive ERA is around there two and three point eight five He has a twenty six percent strikeout rates He's letting up a thirty three percent rate of the thirty six percent fly ball rate Those are good numbers both the bad the ball numbers are better than average on this slate specifically And the Rockies are a very beatable team at a seventy seven WRC plus against righties That's the lowest on the slate. They're a twenty three percent strikeout rate is not super high But it's also not a negative It's a low walk rate a low fly ball rate So I think that he know will pitch really well here and that's enough to be viable on this slate I'll put him second behind Arias here and feel pretty good about it The reason he's not like a no-brainer type guy again is because the Rockies did just see him But I do think that for eighty four hundred dollars That's a that's a concern I'm okay with and still putting him as our top value of the day For the third slot I can go back up into the stud tier because you know, it is a value play for today I'm gonna go show on Manaya He and Ranger Suarez were very close for me in terms of this third slot Suarez has a better matchup much better match against the Cubs needs at home. That's good for him I just think that Manaya is the better talent and I think I'm gonna put him above Suarez for that reason I'm not gonna fall too if you decide to go Suarez over Manaya. Totally. Okay. I just love Everything about Manaya outside of the matchup. I think the matchup kind of sucks honestly He's facing the Royals. They have just a 19% strikeout rate against lefties Which is easily the lowest in the slate and I don't want to use Pictures against that very often because even if they're not gonna, you know, do a whole lot We need strikeouts. We need that juice to really make a difference So I don't want to target pitchers against the Royals especially lefties, but Manaya is so good We've got 11 starts on Manaya with his off-speed pitch being much higher velocity than it was earlier on this year I think he just changed the way he was throwing it and in that time he has a 3.26 singular interactive ERA He has a 29% strikeout rates and a 5% walk rate. He is still letting up a lot of hard contact That's why his ERA is bad. That's why he's had starts that have been terrible. That's what happens a lot of hard contact But the Royals have just basically two dudes who hit for a lot of power against lefties Salvador Perez and other Baratheon Modesty and I'm scared of those guys, but overall this is not a high power team Basically what that means that's out of Perez and Modesty It's tougher for the Royals to exploit the big weakness that Manaya has We see Manaya beast out in tough matchups recently His past two starts come against the Blue Jays and the White Sox two of the best teams in baseball versus lefties Manaya had nine strikeouts across seven innings in both those matchups. So I don't like this matchup Again, I think it's bad. It's a bad matchup But I think the talent matters here. So I wouldn't fault you for going Swaras over Manaya We'll talk about Tyler McGill and things to watch too. Maybe you can consider him But for me, I will go Manaya and see what happens. I tend to be a lot higher Manaya than others He might not be someone who you want to go to tonight. That's totally fine He's third for a reason, but I do think that there is enough there where I'm okay getting some exposure Taking advantage of the talent that he has and hoping the Royals with a little bit more for tonight As far as the stacks go we're going back to a team that really burned me last night That's Easton Astros. They've been in play for three straight day days now They were awesome two nights ago not so awesome last night But I think they're a top option again here against Kohai Arihara I second Arihara a bunch at the beginning of the year and he made me look silly with some really good outings in there He was starting to regress regress towards his peripherals The results were getting worse at the end of April beginning of May and then he went on the IEL Which is bummer, you know, because it's fun to see new pitchers in major league baseball and we haven't had him for about four months So that's been annoying and Arihara hasn't been bad since he came back He's led up three runs across eight innings and two starts But those starts were against the Rockies at home. So in Texas and the Diamondbacks Those are very different matchups than facing the Astros. They have a 114 WRC plus against righties. So Overall Arihara's peripherals say stacking against him is the right play He has a 5.35 skill interactive ERA across nine starts they 48% hard hit rates a 39% fly ball rates His ERA is 5.89 seen the results have gone to a point where we can feel good stacking against him It's expected ERA at baseball savanna 7.63. So it's good for him to be back I do have those starts where it burned me stacking against him lingering in my head But I do think we should stack against him with the Astros for tonight Now if we want to use some of the high salaried hitters here, we will need some value But I think the good thing is the Astros have shown us that they've got value guys We can trust on this team and with Michael Brantley and likely not gonna play again until Friday We're probably gonna get two of them in there. Jose Ciri is my favorite of the value options I do like Jasmine Cormac and Jake Myers as well Ciri Disgusting in triple a had a couple dingers two nights ago I had a stolen base last night McCormick a 190 iso against righties Myers at 125 versus righties for his iso, but does make decent contact. So I'll use any of those three guys I'm totally fine with that, but I would rank them Ciri won McCormick to then Myers Because they've been kind of going on and off with McCormick and Myers I'd assume it's probably Ciri and Myers tonight because McCormick was in there before but I do think overall Ciri is kind of the no-brainer. I'd assume he gets in there because of how well he's played I think that we should be in on him if that assumption is correct. The number two stack is also a pretty fun one It's not as good of a team, but it's a fun stack It's Cleveland facing Griffin Jax Jax has a really big batted ball problem And he doesn't get enough strikeouts to overcome it Jax has made eight starts since he joined the twins rotation full-time In those eight starts he's letting up a 44 percent hard hit rates with a 49 percent fly ball rates Those are ideal numbers for stacking. They come with a 17 percent strikeout rates So Jax is letting up a lot of balls in play and those balls are being crushed That has been in a pretty big way because he's allowed at least four in runs in forced-rate starts Not all those were against elite teams. He faced the Brewers once and the Royals once He did face Cleveland once in this time and he did pretty well He lasted six innings let up just two earn runs But he also let up two more unearned runs the hard hit rate against him that game was 48 percent. So Although the results weren't bad. He probably should have gotten knocked around a bit more than he did I'm not sure Jax will escape as luckily in the rematch here between these two teams That makes Cleveland a really solid option against him for tonight Now the top guys here for Cleveland are gonna be Jose Ramirez from the arrays and Bobby Bradley That's kind of a no-brainer to me at least those are the three guys you want to turn it to first and I want to stack them first Next guy up the fourth guy in the stack Above you know some of the guys like Bradley Zimmer, maybe I shouldn't go about Bradley Zimmer But like I do think Miles straws number four. He doesn't have her power But he steals so many bags that kind of doesn't matter He's very capable of having a ceiling game with his legs So he'd be number four in ranking out the stacking options here I do get kind of scared because it was been playing better recently But I'll go straw slightly above Zimmer Zimmer is very much a fine consideration for me But I'll go straw by a hair over him in terms of ranking them But they're all behind Ramirez race and Bradley for today For the third stack we're gonna take advantage of the good-hitting weather in New York The Mets are facing John Lester and Lester is doing some things pretty well right now But I do think the Mets can handle him Specifically Lester is keeping the ball in the ground He has been leaning more on his cutter and his sinker over his past five starts the plate discipline numbers there are terrible He has as many walks his strikeouts, but he's led up just a 33% fly ball rates His hard hit rate is lower than you'd want it to be at 36% That's helped him rack up a 2.890 array in this time So that's good. That's why you know the Mets aren't higher on this list But Lester hasn't been perfect. He led up a couple home runs to the Reds last week He led up four runs to the same Mets team and four and a third innings So it's not a slam dunk because again Lester is doing some things well But the Mets have guys who do lofted against lefties and the hitting conditions here are pretty good I think that's enough for me to take the dive and rock with the Mets here as far as the Mets go for the individual batters You do want to prioritize Pete Alonso and have your bias pretty obvious but Francisco Leendor salary is up there too with those guys and his overall numbers are Relative to his baseline. They're kind of poor But we look at Leendor since he returned from the IL he has a 307 isolated sucking percentage He has good bad at ball numbers the sample versus lefties specifically because I think it doesn't matter a bit more because it's which hitter But against lefties just 29 plate appearances. He is crushing the ball So his season-long ISO is 150 against lefties I'd view him more favorably than that like I'm gonna put Alonso first because the upsides insane But I'm okay viewing Leendor as being in that same tier as by as an Alonso for today and feeling pretty good about that So I think that we should feel good about the Mets here today ranking them third in terms of stacks Let's finish up here with things to watch the other side of that game is interesting from a both a stacking in a pitching perspective We got Tyler McGill facing the Cardinals and he's getting strikeouts recently He has a 29% strikeout right over his past six are some more fastballs But he's letting up crazy amounts of hard contact I think you can justify using McGill as a pitcher or you can justify using one-offs against him I might be more inclined to consider as a pitcher because he has pretty extreme platoon splits Where he's good against righties bad against lefties and the Cardinals don't have a lot of good lefties in this team That's why Dylan Carlson's kind of maybe the one one off I'd consider here But again, I think it's a consideration a pitcher the bad at ball numbers really scare me That's why I can't go above Maniah and stuff like that. But like, you know, it's it's worth considering McGill has an upside game in his range of outcomes Two other spots. I'm okay stacking are in the same game. Actually. Those are the White Sox against the Angels We got the White Sox facing Jason junk junk was not a big strikeout guy in the minors and didn't get many ground balls That's a good stacking profile The reason the White Sox aren't higher on this list is that junk might suppress hard contacts His numbers with the Yankees triple a team kind of hint at that I would say so I like the White Sox But that's why they're not a higher. I think there's a possibility junk does a good job of suppressing hard contact Angels facing Dallas Keichel. We've talked about his struggles plenty by this point He's led up five earned runs in four straight starts. Clearly. We can use hitters against that Jared Walsher showing a Tonya both lefties facing a lefty here But they both hit for power against lefties Walsh isn't good But like he has for power still Joe Adele did not play yesterday ran into a wall So he's a little banged up, but if he's in there, he hits lefties. Well back Stacey is $2,400 He's the other guy I consider here So both the White Sox and Angels Considerations as far as stacks behind the teams we discussed in the Astros Cleveland and the Mets Let's do some homerun calls for today and both these are from the same team So I apologize those may be kind of boring, but hey, you know Whatever I think that they said the best-hitting conditions against a pitcher Let's have a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact. So we're going hard at Cleveland here I had to decide do I go Jose Ramirez or from the array for the boring one. It was tough I decided to go Ramirez. I know target field tends to favor righties Maybe I should go raised but like Ramirez the fly ball rain versus righties is insane So I'm gonna go Jose Ramirez the boring one the fun one is Bobby Bradley another lefty here so again kind of a downer because of the The way the platoon splits work at target field But I think Bradley's got good power they can go deep against Jack So the homerun calls for today both on Cleveland Jose Ramirez and Bobby Bradley That is all that we have here for today on the on the solo shop But we are back again once again later on today for our regular MLB Q&A now If you've been listening the past week or so we've moved the MLB Q&A to 430 for today It's at 4 because there's no NFL Q&A for today NFL Q&A every day except Wednesday So on Wednesdays the MLB Q&A will be at 4 p.m. Back to 4 30 Thursday and Friday So you want to tune in get your question answered on air swing by the fandal YouTube twitch Facebook and Twitter pages at 4 And get those questions in then if you've got questions for me before 4 p.m. I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J I M S a N and ES you can also follow the fando podcast network at fando podcast We have our PGA podcast Brandon could do it recorded that yesterday getting you set for this weekend's events We have our week one NFL recap podcast posted week two preview going up tomorrow We have UFC and NASCAR this weekend so a lot of good stuff Make sure you are subscribed to the number fired daily fantasy podcast feed Good luck to you all tonight. Have fun with the enticing pictures for today. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow This has been the solo shot right here on the fan duel podcast network