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Published on Jan 24, 2013
http://www.simulation-argument.com/ The simulation argument is continuing to attract a great deal of attention. I regret that I cannot usually respond to individual queries about the argument.
http://www.simulation-argument.com/si... ABSTRACT. This paper argues that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a "posthuman" stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. A number of other consequences of this result are also discussed.