 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot. My name is Tom Vecchio. We have a 12 game MLB slate tonight lock is set for 705 as always this is one of the many shows on the feindl podcast network You can find that anywhere whether it's Apple podcast whether it's Spotify You name it make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe leave a review That'd be greatly appreciated and you can follow me on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio one Of course the video version can be found on the feindl YouTube page We found on feindl TV plus and it can be found on feindl.com Watch before we happen to think is a snap into NFL action this season with feindl America's number one sports book right now New customers get $200 in bonus bets guaranteed when you place a $5 bet That's $200 in bonus bets win or lose if you've been thinking about joining feindl There's no better time to get in on the action The app is easy to use and there's a wide range of betting options including spreads of player props over unders and more So visit feindl.com and kick off the NFL season Fandl official partner of the NFL must be toy on plus and present in select states feindl is offering online sports Wearing in Kansas on an agreement with Kansas our casino LLC first online real money wager only $10 first deposit Priored bonus issued as non withdrawable bonus bets that expire seven days after seat restrictions apply see terms at sports book Fandl.com gambling prom call one hundred gambler or visit Fandl.com slash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, or Virginia call one hundred next step or text next step to 53342 in Arizona 1-888-797-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat and connect it call 1-809 with it if you're in Indiana call 1-805-247-00 or visit kscamblinghelp.com in Kansas in Louisiana call 1-877-770 stop visit gambling help line Visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland visit 1-800-gambler.net in West Virginia or call 1-805-247-00 in Wyoming Hope is here visit gambling help line ma.org or call 800-327-5050 for 24 seven support Massachusetts Call 1-877-8 hope and why or text hope and why in New York? All right, let's get to today's 12 game MLB slate lock is set for 705 We have a lot to get to in term in terms of Just the amount of pitchers that we have the amount of high quality pitchers when it comes to weather on tonight's light We're looking pretty clear in Chicago for the Cubs. They're at home hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates It's a little bit cooler, but there's some wind blowing from right to left and then in Kansas City There's about wind 10 to 15 miles per hour blowing out towards left field Which is obviously a nice boost for hitters other than that We are clean when it comes to weather Let's jump right into pitching. It is loaded as I said up at the top Spencer Strider 11.5 Blake Snell 11.3 Luis Castillo 10.9 Zach Gallin 10.6 Nathan Evaldi 10.1 Ryan Pepio 9.9 You say kukuchi 9.7 hundred brown 9.5 Logan Allen 9.3 There are a number of options on tonight's light again We do not have course field on tonight's light as well But really these top four pitchers that are all 10.6 and above are the ones we want to be talking Nathan Evaldi is 10.1 and I have basically no interest when it comes to him as I mentioned last week When he was going up against the blue jays. He's on some type of a pitch count innings limit Whatever might be since he's made his return off the IEL He's made three starts since returning off the IEL 1.1 2.1 and 3.1 innings pitched if things hold true I guess he'll be going for about four innings tonight and he's 10.1 Which means we have no interest in going to Evaldi Spencer Strider Blake Snell Luis Castillo and Zach Gallin are all elite options tonight and Three out of the four of them have great match ups Strider certainly has a tougher matchup going up against Philadelphia given their offense But Strider we can make the claim is the best picture on tonight's late when it comes to Spencer Strider He has a ridiculous 37.6% strike area 7.8% walk rate only allowing 1.07 homeruns per nine He has a 2.82 skill interactive era Sierra. That is very very low It also comes only 50.7 medium contact rate 45.4% fly ball rate, which we don't love to see but it's mostly medium contact He has an absolutely insane 19.3 swinging strike rate We know that Strider is capable of racking up the strikeouts early and often going for as many strikeouts as you could possibly imagine He's going up against Philadelphia They come with a 23.4 percent strike area with their current active roster is right-handed pitching Which is the 12th worst in the league, but Philly also comes in with a 106 WRC plus in this same split Which is the 12th best in the league and they come with a team ISO sitting at 175 in this split, which oddly enough is the 13th best in the league So they're a above league average offense versus righties. There's no doubt about that Strider is a better picture than they have compared to their lineup But still there's a bit of danger in that lineup as we saw last night. This is not to say that I don't like Strider I think he is absolutely SP1 on tonight's light but there's of course an argument to be made about Blake Snell, Louise Castillo and even Zach Gallant tonight I think it would really come down to Strider as one Snell and Castillo as 2a, 2b and then Zach Gallant as three Snell is 11.3 and only 200 less expensive compared to Strider And we obviously want to be focusing in on how popular some of these players are gonna be if Strider is going to be The clear chalk for tonight's like Snell makes a very very clear pivot Away from him and it's not like Snell isn't good He's of course one of the leading candidates for the or the leading candidate for the NL Sayang this year coming in with a 30.6 or excuse me 31.4% strikeout rate this season 13.4% walk raise obviously the thing that's holding Snell back in some of these outings and 0.81 home runs per night So he's allowing runners on for free with that 13% walk rate, which we do not like to see but He's not getting burned by it because he's able to limit the home runs able to you know Keep the ball in terms of medium contact and ground balls as we've seen from him throughout his entire career with a 51.5% medium contact rate a 43.5% ground ball rate all this leading to a 4.10 CR there's no doubt that Strider is a better pitcher compared to Blake Snell, but This matchup for Blake Snell is absolutely unbelievable he's going up against the Colorado Rockies and With their current active roster versus left-handed pitching they come on with a 28.3% strikeout rate versus lefties Which is the worst in the league? They also come in with a 59 WRC plus versus lefties, which is dead last in the league and just have some context Right now the Cleveland Guardians versus lefties are 29th in the league with an 81 WRC plus Colorado is 30th at 59 WRC plus there is a Substantial drop off for how bad Cleveland is versus lefties Colorado is borderline historically bad versus lefties So we have Snell and Strider up at the top and yes Strider Has more strikeout upside in his own right in his own in terms of his own pitching skill compared to Blake Snell But Philly is obviously a bit of a more dangerous offense compared to Blake Snell Compared to the match that the Blake Snell has going up against Colorado who again are borderline historically bad versus lefties And again Colorado is stricken out at the highest rate versus left-handed pitching right now So everyone might be looking towards Strider Again as the chalk option. I think this opens up a huge door for Snell to be a great great pivot tonight So we want to keep that in mind. We also have Louise Castillo tonight Who is also awesome and he has an elite matchup going up against the Oakland athletics And this is not something that we want to be shying away from Louise Castillo comes in with a 27.2 percent striker rate 6.4 percent walk rate allowing 1.29 home runs per 9 He has a 3.69 skill interactive ear right He does not have a hot as high of a strike area compared to Snell or Strider. That is very clear But this match begins Oakland is awesome and we could say that This is the best pitchers park out of this group Considering he's at Oakland. Atlanta's a good a good hitters park. San Diego leans towards a pitching park But it's not as good as Oakland And yeah, so we want to be factoring in as much as we possibly can when it comes to the athletics right now With their current active roster versus righties they come with a 24.8 percent strike area, which is a fifth Unfortunately, they've made a 9 WRC plus in this split, which is absolutely not good It's 25th in the league and they come with a 155 T Misa, which of course is not good and it's 24th in a So Castillo is no doubt in an awesome matchup tonight if Castillo was the top patron tonight's late We'd be going to him 10 times out of 10. We just happen to have two other options that are both completely awesome So this is where we're kind of splitting hairs between some of these pitchers Like I said striders number one, but snow and Castillo are 2a and 2b. However, you want to rank them We also have Zach Gallin on tonight's slate Zach Gallin again does not have as high of a strike area. It is these other three pitchers He's at 25.7 percent 5.3 percent walk rate is great to see only 0.98 homeruns per 9 He's a 3.70 skill interactive era, which is awesome He's always limiting the hard contact and the fly balls He's a mostly medium contact and ground ball pitch which could see a 50.4 percent medium contact rate and 40.5 percent Ground ball rate. I don't expect them to have as many strikeouts as basically any of these other three pitchers But I certainly do like this matter going up against San Francisco As we see them struggling versus righties overall coming at the 23.4 percent strikeout rate Which is the 11th worst in the league. So there's higher strikeout upside individually with Snell and Strider There's great strikeout upside from the matchup with Snell There's great strikeout upside with Castillo not only individually, but also the matchup against Oakland But it's not like Zach Gallin isn't a good pitcher and also not in a good matchup So there's a lot to consider when it comes to these top pitching options And I think they're all great and obviously presents, you know an opportunity to fade the chalk with Strider Go to Snell go to Castillo or go to Zach Gallin And as I said, there's no course field on tonight's late So we should certainly be looking to pay up for this high level of high level of consistency Now Ryan Pepio is 9900 going up against Detroit I assume he'll be somewhat popular just given the matchup that the Tigers are so bad overall They strike out at a high rate and he of course is a little bit less expensive compared to some of these other options Uh, not a player not a picture that I'm initially going to if I'm running one or two lineups But if you're rolling on multiple lineups, Pepio could certainly make his way into the mix Let's move on to the hitting stacks on tonight's slate Yes, we have the Braves and we have the Dodgers of course two of the mainstays when it comes to stacking We know the offensive upside that they have The matchup tonight for Alana is significantly better than What they had last night going up against Zach Wheeler Tonight Alana's at home. They're going up against Christopher Sanchez for the Philadelphia Phillies The Braves are now on a four game losing shriek. I believe it is Uh, you know, this kind of just seems like the spot for them to to kind of turn things around get their offensive going and You know, I expect them to put up some runs tonight. I don't think that's too much of a surprise Look to Atlanta for some offense. Look to the Dodgers for some offense, but outside of that Where can we be going? Let's go to the Cleveland Guardians As I mentioned, there's about 10 to 15 mile power wind blowing out towards left That is certainly good to see the royals are expected to have Steven Cruz on the mound To start the game whether or not he goes super deep in the game is yet to be seen He's a right-handed pitcher. We could be seeing Alec Marsh come behind him as the bulk reliever So it could be a couple of innings for Steven Cruz and then some pitching from alec march This is the first season for Steven Cruz in the mlb. He has seven innings pitched at the mlb level this year We really can't take anything from that. It doesn't matter that he has a 12.5 walk rate He's allowing 1.29 homeruns per nine. It's from 17 sample size. We really can't take too much of that We can look to alec marsh Who's a 60.1 innings sample size this season His first year in the mlb. He has a 25.4 strike a rate, which is certainly pretty solid 11.8 walk rate, which is not and 2.24 homeruns per nine allowed That is something I think we should be looking to attack considering He has a 44.6 fly ball rate if those fly balls are getting near tonight Given the fact that there's extra wind blowing out in kansas city. That should be a benefit to cleveland now. I mentioned cleveland are 29th in the league when it comes to facing lefties But they're actually pretty solid against right-handed pitching and this is the spot that we want to look to attack and ultimately cleveland Not super expensive when it comes to their salaries, of course. Jose Ramirez is 3700 That's where his salary should be and he is of course the ideal option when it comes to stacking cleveland, but other than that Josh nailers 3,300 Andres Jimenez is 3,000 steven quan is 3,000. We're not dealing with super super expensive options From cleveland, which makes them very favorable to stacking considering There are pitchers that are above 11,000 that we want to pay up for tonight So yes getting jose Ramirez and josh nailer who both have 190 isos Respectively in this split versus righties would be the ideal way to go about things But if you can't afford uh, jose Ramirez, I get that because we're you know potentially paying up for snail or strider at pitching This is where you look to bow nailer at 2600. This is where you look to ramon loriano at 2600 again Depending on which of these players are in or out of the lineup So I would love to get bow nailer in there with his 232 iso versus righties in this split, which is great at 2600 Is he my first party? No, of course not. I want to be getting jose Ramirez in there I'm getting his brother josh nailer in there. That's where I really want to be going But again, again, the salary is largely dependent on what we're doing at pitching Miles straw, you could certainly mix him in there will brennan These players don't bring a ton of power upside in their own right But they are better as a part of a stack the same thing can be said about Steven quanta a player that does not strike out at nearly anything He strikes out so so low which is great to see he gets on base So we want him as a part of the stack rather than going to him individually From the guardians tonight We also should be looking to a number of other teams tonight I think the Padres are very much in play tonight as they were last night We saw a bunch of runs from them last night. I think it was 11 some good home runs They're going to be going up against Ryan Feltner for the Colorado Rockies He has been out for quite a while and he has 35.1 innings pitched this season He has 97.1 innings pitched last year So we can look at a decent sample size whether it's this year or last year He's not a high strikeout pitcher. He walks to any hitters He allows too many home runs and this is his first start back off of the 60 day il And this is yeah, not the easiest matchup to kind of land going up against the Padres Yeah, they've been inconsistent this year, but they certainly have a ton of power And I'll be looking to them yet again tonight for that power upside Same thing as I said last night, you know, we want to get up to soto tatis machado those three players But of course we got some power out of some of the other hitters last night zander bogarts had a big game last night He's only 3k tonight. You can go to pro farm Can you go to any of these other hitters that happen to make their lineup? You know give them the salaries and what you may or may not have available We also should be looking to the washington nationals tonight and I know everyone's not going to be running to get some of the nationals In your lineups like they're not an amazing offense overall But the matchup they have going up against jose arena is something that we do not want to be passing up so we have Cleveland which I think is in an amazing spot tonight We have the Dodgers. We have the braves. We can be stacking those teams each and every time I think we can be stacking Seattle against and I'm not going to specifically talk about them other than mentioning them here And I think we can stack the Padres night. All these teams are great I really like the washington nationals tonight Going up against jose arena who is simply not a good hitcher He comes in with an 11.6 walk rate allowing 3.77 homeruns per nine now, of course This is from a very small 28.2 any sample size And he has a 14.5 walk rate But if we look back to whether it's last year whether it's the year before when he's pitching 97 or 102 point 100.2 innings He's allowing over one home run per nine in every year dating back to 2018 when he allowed 0.98 home runs per nine. This is who jose arena has been throughout his entire career He's not a high strike out pitcher. He's allowing too many home runs and he walks too many hitters He's coming in with a 5.81 skill interactive era this season and for his entire career He has a 4.96 skill interactive era He's allowing too many fly balls He's allowing too much hard contact this year. It's pretty straightforward for jose arena It's a small sample size this year But it's really just a small sample size that mirrors largely his entire career Which is not a good pitcher too many walks too many home runs too many fly balls And this is where the nationals could come into play Not only because of the matchup, but also due to the fact that their salaries Are very friendly much like the Cleveland Guardians night where cj abrams and lane thomas are solid hitters to certainly have as a part of stack They are 33 and 3200 after that every other hitter on the nationals is under 2700 So this is where we get some serious power We get some serious salary relief with a bit of power upside due to their matchup versus jose arena So when we want to pay up for snell and we want to pay up for strider We want to stack the braves. We want to stack the dodgers and all these hitters are super expensive We need that kind of stack to unlock the rest of the lineup and The nationals might be uh an option tonight The the guardians might be an option tonight because of what they allow the rest of the lineup to do So we have a number of teams we can stack tonight. We have amazing pitching options on tonight's slate Let's close things out with some home run calls Going to be keeping it pretty simple going with austin riley of the elana braves Love this match up for him going up against christopher sanchez Of course, there's a ton of varieties in the braves lineup that you go for home runs going up against the lefty on any single slate But I like riley tonight Uh, you know coon is always going to be there as an option albies ozuna murphy they're all great But I really do like austin riley tonight given the hitting profile versus christopher sanchez We could certainly be looking there each and every time and then if you want to go to josh nailer I think that is certainly very very viable for the cleveland guardians again a 190 iso in this split We should see two righties on the mound for the royals whether they're they're opener or they're reliever coming behind them I think that's what we're going to be seeing from them and again the wind blowing out in canza city Is always a benefit to the hitters All right, so that does it for today's podcast as always it can be found across the the fando podcast network can be found on Spotify can be found on apple podcast. Make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe You can follow me on twitter at tom underscore vekio one until next time. Good luck in your contest