 Welcome to the Fandall hurry up. I'm Ariel I've seen today. We're gonna talk about the coca-cola 600 at Charlotte motor Speedway to help me out It's number fire and Fandall's own Jim Sonnis Jim. What do people have to know about this track? Yeah, it's we actually have practice in qualifying again this week So that's exciting. We had the last week to more data to come this weekend Which means you give inflection points for betting, but I think for the the people we're talking about today I would expect their numbers to shorten post practice on Saturday That's I'm trying to bet them now before we get the data of how fast they are Saturday morning Let's start with the hometown kid Charlotte's own William Byron You like Byron to win this race outright at 16 to 1 why a big part of it is how good He's been in this package so far this year He actually has a win already under his belt in this same package That was back at homestead and that showed he has upside and my model does still ding by or in a bit for upside Because outside of homestead. He hasn't really dominated races But despite digging him for that he still shows up as a value to win this race His implied odds at 16 to 1 are 5.9 percent his win odds my simulations are 7.3 percent So good edge there and Byron has shown that he can do it on this track as well I mentioned the hometown narrative But also he's had a top 8 average running position in two of the past three races here I think he's a good value at this spot I did want to look for a podium or a top 10 on Byron But those numbers have been cut down quite a bit because of how consistent he has been so to me if you wanted that Byron I think the best way to do so is via the outright at 16 to 1 right now Speaking of consistency back-to-back top five finishes in the last month for William Byron Going over to some top 10 finishers Austin Dillon plus 200 to finish inside the top 10 at Charlotte Motor Speedway this weekend Why do you believe this is the week that we could see him dominate at Charlotte again after winning back in 2017? Yeah, definitely and not just the win in Charlotte last year But also he won in Texas last year in Texas is the sister track to Charlotte They both configured the same way and the reason he did that is because his team is really smart about tires and on low wear tracks like Charlotte I trust Richard Schild is racing to be able to out strategize other teams We saw that last year Dillon had a top 9 average running position in both Charlotte races He won in Texas had a top 10 mark in the second Texas race as well He's looked good this year had a good run in Atlanta, which is the same configuration different tire wear So Dillon really blends a lot of things the course history you mentioned not just at the win But also the two good runs last year the history of Texas that he showed last year and also good current form That all matches up really well I think that both the children's cars are very interesting this week Austin Dillon and Tyler Reddick But the longer number is with Dylan. I think Dylan's actually a little bit better from a top 10 perspective than Tyler Reddick So I'll take Dylan at plus 200 to get a top 10 again this week Dylan's been on a little bit of a top 10 drought hasn't finished inside the top 10 since Talladega back on April 25th However, Jim says the drought is ending this weekend one more top 10 finisher. You like Mattie Benedetto It's plus 225 deep Benedetto has never finished inside the top 10 before at Charlotte Why is he doing it now? He's due obviously, you know, if there's a first time for everything but the Benedetto my win My simulations actually a massive gap between the number here and where he's simulated that he is a 31 percent implied odds here At plus 225, but the odds he gets the top 10 of my simulations are 42 percent I don't see gaps like that very often Maybe double-check my number because I was kind of shocked to see deep in a dead Oh be that far that much of a value there But it makes sense. You know, if you look at my projected average running position, he ranks 11th there He ran really well in both Las Vegas and Atlanta Las Vegas another low tire wear track similar to Charlotte So to me that's a key indicator. They could run well once again at this weekend I just think he's undervalued it plus 225 to finish top 10. I don't think he has the upside to win this race That's not something I view as being a possibility for deep Benedetto But a really good run possible finished fourth in Kansas a couple weeks ago to me Plus 225 is just too long and I would expect to be fast and practice on Friday night So if you like deep Benedetto, I'd say bet him now and this is my favorite bet on the board for this week Deep Benedetto top 10 at plus 225 I love it because deep Benedetto also went on a hot streak towards the end of April end up finishing three different times top 10 Two top fives that was at Richmond, Talladega and Kansas for Jim Zanis. I'm aria Levstein. 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