 The following is a presentation of TFNN The power trading hour with your host David white Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 now David white and Welcome all to another Exciting addition of the power trading hour with me and it doesn't matter where me or you is as Long as we know the one thing that really truly matters that you're here at this time The following takes place between 2 p.m. And 3 p.m. So What do we have going on today? Well, I wouldn't look in for much of A movement until tomorrow and maybe even Thursday we'll get into that But certainly one day before Going into Did I do that Okay, I think I did do something here. Give me just a second here because I wanted to bring something else up So I need to get it started Okay That by doing that and we'll hide that Okay, now we're back to it Okay Come on. Oh there he goes Okay, come on Go away. Let's do this. I wanted to get into a few things I'm not going to do these in any particular order But first of all is CPI is on Thursday. I think there's a bit of Consternation around that number coming out Some of the other things that are going on that I wrote about in the newsletter this morning was Fay Which is Facebook? They've been kind of down a little earlier in the day Not very often that you see a company decide to take some poison And it's very interesting to me that Facebook would double down on being stupid I Said they drank the Kool-Aid this morning, which is probably an app way to discuss this They gap down on a lot when they did last week we talked about them actually having a bigger problem with the privacy issues in in Europe and of course They're gonna get kicked out so what do they do last night say that well we're just gonna have to leave and Everybody that loves our product that uses it in Europe. You should call up Your elected officials and give them a hard time because we're violating the law and they are But it's rare that you find a company Take on governments that have both armies and prisons Since they so blatantly Violate the law Over there about what data that can keep and what they can't keep It's kind of amazing that they try to go stick the thumb in somebody's eye My thoughts today were that this could blow out the bottom of Facebook And take the rest of the market with it. Oh, maybe over the next couple of days Certainly lower got to 218 11 for the low so far today But keep an eye on that because this is one where I think you're pretty much right here at the level where if this thing Goes a little farther It could just snap and the next move would be down to probably about 180 but keep a close eye on that but it's big enough in the indexes that it makes a difference and Basically when you get CEOs acting and incredibly stupidly and poking the bear Yeah It smacks of them believing their own press which isn't something you should never do other things going on also is In the bit con we've got to a new ETF that actually Is that the symbol on it? Yeah, don't let me get this back here I'm gonna organize stuff a little bit better here. Where is that? There it is Why is that not showing there it is? Okay WGMI and Valkyrie Bitcoin minors and the only reason I really like this is I've always thought that it has been one kind of sham after another In Bitcoin, but I do think now at least we have a way even if it's just in her day Or larger to go short Bitcoin and Larn and long But I thought it was kind of interesting the weasel I don't wouldn't call it a see a CEO Because it is a ETF with the fund manager saying something that was Not wrong But kind of silly in that, you know 80% of all the electricity used in these ETFs come from renewable energy Well, they did two years ago and they did four years ago And that's because the only way it makes any sense to turn electricity into bitcoins and make money is If your electricity is cheap you generally don't go to the most expensive place in the world that for electricity like running it off a Diesel generator and still expect to make money you go where it's cheap and that's the Nordic countries places that are north where you don't have to pay for Cooling because that's quite a problem all these things do is turn things into heat and To watch your electric bill go sky-high so they're next to Generally next to dams and stuff in Nordic countries or up to a dam or close to a dam up in Canada or Somewhere where the cost of electricity is very low. So not surprisingly They're selling it as a virtue signaling device. I don't think That makes a lot of sense since they were doing that for economic reasons long before this gal ever came along But yeah, if you want to short it WGMI the Valkyrie Bitcoin miners fund I wouldn't do it right away, but I'm gonna say is maybe they get to some place out there a little bit over the tips of their skis again You could buy it if you want to go long But probably a bigger issue out here and this is Bitcoin miners by the way not Bitcoin itself. So if this goes kind over the tips of their skis as many of these other I'm gonna say built-on sand kind of things do Go Where you can wake up one morning and find out all the people that you're investing in this one have just been Excommunicated by the governments where they live or where they at least operate You know, we saw China With a swipe of a pen run all of its Bitcoin miners out This could be something the same way so I'm more of a fan of maybe shorting this at Opportunity times than others, but there hadn't been a good way of really shorting Bitcoin This is the miners WGMI. It's supposed to be a ha ha ha thing We're going to make it if you want to try to remember it, but just a thought What else do we have here so that's kind of it as we look at the indexes So we go into the first break we're up 33 on the S&P cash stands next to three Bustles up That's what I want to get you to because I said to somebody earlier And I wanted to show everybody the options look like in the energy sector Grinding in the market, but seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges David White is able to find a path of least resistance David White's trading newsletter the path of least resistance is delivered daily Before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee Take the path of least resistance at tfnn educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? 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I know energies down today, but This kind of given indication that you may get a little bit of a pullback What you want to do is look at the hockey stick bins in these and that would suggest somewhere between 85 and 90 is where a kind of coat Phillips is going to expire At least they're thinking about it. Now again Tomorrow is Dalton neutral day. We'll see a lot more But it's down about a buck 50. My guess is that probably gonna pull back a little bit here I don't think it's the end of the world. I mean if you're long this saying at 55 No reason to sell it but because I think it's going to a hundred But certainly in the short term Over the next week week and a half probably gonna go back into the high in 80s Out here, maybe 87 maybe close at 90 On options expiration day, but it's gonna probably be somewhere in that line. I'll update it On Thursday after we get the Delta neutral data where this will change a little bit But yeah energy probably is kind of hit a short-term top But don't look for a lot of pullback in that side of the market other things going on what said do a little history and then we'll move on but My thoughts pretty much for the day so far As we go to history On this day in 2005 Google Maps is launched to the public I Never had to ask for directions again But yeah wouldn't want to ask for them before and of course now part of our daily lives and If that would be probably it that'd be the rest of the story but one of the reasons why didn't and still don't think a great deal about the CEO from Apple is that he pushed to have his version of this come out Google Maps had at one time 5,000 people working for it outside doing the mapping and had About 1,500 engineers writing the software for it but in 2010 as He became CEO The current CEO of Apple I mean He decided he wanted to have something to compete with them on iOS the Apple operating system for its phones so Where they had it, you know somewhere are we doing six and seven almost 8,000 people working on Google Maps at the time? He decided that he was going to appoint somebody and give them a whopping 110 people to do the same thing It did come out in 2012 after about two years later The head of the project told him it wasn't ready. They released it anyway Then the current CEO fired the gentleman for not doing it I don't that always said something to me about the character of That CEO and one of the reasons why I kind of figured out that he was for the most part an empty suit Give somebody an unwinnable job and then can them after they tell you that it's not ready release it anyway and then Blame storm him all the way until he is run out of the company But I always thought that was interesting when it came out, of course Apple iOS Maps would do all kinds of weird things like they'd look like they were melting like an old movie Things would move around on the maps It was never anywhere close to being ready and always wondered why they did it and why they fired the guy that was supposed to do it and Never gave him the resources We know what it took and it was an amazing amount of money To put into something like Google Maps, but now they make it back every day Ways is a little different that just takes everybody's data and maps Ways around traffic But that really just depends on you being able to give data back to ways and it doing something called the aunt I want to see what it's called. There's an algorithm, but it's Normally trying to find your way in an aunt colony kind of thing and then that kind of math goes back I don't know back to the 60s. Maybe maybe even longer than that, but yeah interesting, but ways just taking geodesic data, which is what it's called by the way and Allowing people to see who's moving where and fast, of course a lot of people especially in California very mad at ways Because it ends up putting a lot of people racing down back streets In residential communities, but yeah if you want to get around the traffic Especially if you live on the east side of Florida. I live on God's side of Florida Which is on the west coast 8 7 7 9 2 7 6 6 4 8 Other things going on of interest. We've got to uber and Lyft Lyft both of these companies have options That maybe They're more than 15% and maybe more like 20% Of an expected move No one knows which way it's going either higher or lower But I'm going to say that Everybody's expecting a massive move and generally the thing that these stocks do When there's that much money on the table is go nowhere at least for a little while tomorrow Everybody's this is kind of like the Super Bowl everybody's got their side and they're betting on it Let's take a quick look at uber But it is tomorrow, right? I'm pretty sure it's tomorrow To for earnings, right? Is it after the bell or is it on Thursday? Is it tonight after the bell tonight? Yeah, okay after the bell tonight, and I guess Next day or two for Lyft, but ubers tonight along with Disney Haven't looked at them for a while Disney not showing it quite to the same kind of range In fact the same's really gone quiet They could have a fairly massive surprise all on Netflix The news just does not get any better for these folks in Hollywood, and that's expenses are up talent is up Even things like script prices are significantly higher to get anybody that can write you know, they'd almost hire me at this point and of course, I Famously wrote dyslexia a cure for found But other than that not much going on out here in Disney, but uber Was a lyft February 8th. Oh tonight 405 it's what I show for Lyft. Why is it not show up in my list of stuff? 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Maybe it'll do it tomorrow, but certainly The door is open today now to 134 48 That's the low with 20 million shares back on May 12th We don't have a lot of juice yet, but I think anything more down here is gonna open the floodgates of selling As I said, I suspect we're gonna run down Maybe try to consolidate a little bit around this 134 and a half 135 area As we get down there and then eventually we're gonna retest this 131 95 Especially if you're new to the stock market and you haven't seen the bond market be the the The equity market be the tail that's wagged by the dog certainly the at least The equity market is one-tenth or you could say the bond market is ten times larger in actual cash money that we have in fact in all the big pullbacks and Generally all the depressions that we've ever had or the near depressions that we've had The bulk of the money has all been lost and REITs and those REITs tend to have a lot of bonds in them So that when housing goes belly up those tend to be the ones That literally go out of business. We saw that pretty horribly in 2008 and early nine Where they had lots of insurance, but their insurance companies weren't worth crap when it came to backing up all these and they just all circled the drain like a double flush so keep an eye on that but It's very tough to have an upmarket with a down Market in the bonds or at least is the way they're shown the TLT yields higher rise prices fall prices rise yields fall Always enough to give anyone a headache eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight we got some other stuff going on here Let's see here because I know we got some emails So let's see what else we have Yes, the we've got a little bit of a meme stock stuff going on To to and but they're just spikes in a downtrend. I suspect a game stop a nice little pop in this one today Generally get those right before the turn and shake everybody out again Nothing more than dead cat bounce on no volume for AMC and What else do we have a peloton? Peloton does not have a lot of short interest right now that everybody kind of got out When the rumors of them getting bought out were coming They do have a lot of interday shorts. They had about 35 percent short sales yesterday We don't know how many people covered those before the end of the day if they smart they did Because again, we had another pop here but this is This is one where people tend to short this thing in the morning and get run out fairly quickly But yesterday 30 percent pretty much There'd been some out here. You never know because you're always looking at least two weeks in the rearview mirror for the data from They cut the audited data from the exchanges on short sales And that gives people that are really heavily shorted About five days or so had noticed to get out of these or go after them So we're always a retail traders behind the this fact, but Peloton Yeah, it sounds to me like a lot of people got in back here at these lows gonna spread some rumors around and Probably ran whatever shorts that were out out But most of the people actually did get out of Peloton as a short before this bounce It was much More shorted four weeks ago than it is today and not that much. I think it's only got about I'm figuring maybe a day and a half or two days to cover so not that bad But what you do have is like this morning Everybody probably piled in short and got ran out before the end of the day Ah Okay That answers a couple of those questions What's going on with AMD and NVIDIA today some eyes that all been up a little bit, but all you are up to for AMD is the Kind of the downtrend line you got up there today volume is not all that exciting 63 million shares You had 81 million shares yesterday Again, not one of the stocks. I probably want to be short if things do turn around It probably will do much better. You know, it's a quick look at NVIDIA and then the SMH is NVIDIA a little less so really kind of sideways action on it No big volume. The SMH's were up about three bucks or so earlier in the day You got kind of a nice candle out here But again, there's not a lot of drive and that probably that drive is going to come Tomorrow and Thursday my guess is we're going to have a fairly big and wide day tomorrow that does happen as we said at the top of the hour on options expiration day Delta Neutral Day, that's when the Market makers decide to hedge out their positions completely and hope that whatever happens just slowly burns down To expiration and they get to keep all Whatever premiums are left in it, but they don't want to take any real Real problems on the other side of those so, you know, if they're long some stock Then they'll short the other side of that or if there's You know if they're on Puts on one side, then they'll go long the equity on the other and they'll box in whatever profit they have now that happens throughout the day It's not like they come in and go okay at two o'clock. We're going to do that They kind of are on almost automatically changing that with computers throughout the day to keep that Keep that ratio correct and even through options expiration you'll get a little bit of that But what we do have is everybody going and doing that tomorrow almost every month It is one of the all by average the one of the has the biggest trading range Of of the month, so it's pretty predictable and organic in the market But it comes down to just a math routine where they prove that Be in eight days before options expiration on the monthlies You don't want to have any Exposure on the last seven days so you get out on the the eighth before it eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Other things going on in the market, I think we've got some other things here Okay, okay, Ronald wants to ask about the polar plunge That's somebody in the den that Brings that up from time to time, but it's a I don't put a lot of money into it, but certainly today You have kind of come off those highs for background But like I said on Monday kind of a big snooze fest starting tomorrow though I suspect business is gonna pick up Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area including the surrounding St. Petersburg Tampa and Clearwater markets Tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value Or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the Most informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow Investment properties are capable of creating Tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call Tiger real estate LLC today at seven two seven three two nine 83 22 or email us at Tiger at TFNN comm that seven two seven three two nine 83 22 call us today The technology around us is changing every day with so much happening. 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This is the old fire. I and They had kind of the most interesting I thought Security system But we're just never able to sell it I think mostly because they weren't the pick of Wall Street. They never got the money to Actually expand as they should have But maybe they're just a little bit or maybe we're a little bit before their their time other things going on in the market Is Todd who asked can you look at the barba? Baba Baba Baba in Yeah Well, you're basically kind of in a trading range around I would say the center is probably close to 125 out here Is anything gonna happen? With it. I don't think there's a lot going on I do know that if you read the Chinese the English Translations of the Chinese papers, which I do do There is a lot of flak coming their way from the chai comms you know in between selling organs and in in Slave labor unions and and Committing genocide the Chinese communists actually don't like Capitalism as much as they thought they did at one time and these guys are still Got both barrels pointed at them From Ali Baba By from the Chinese communists, so I would still say it's fairly rare I've said this before the Chinese stocks ever started to head lower And that was you don't want to be playing these things with anything other than options either up or down Because you never know what those guys are gonna say, but you know hundred bucks A hundred and twenty bucks you almost got down to one what 110 108 the low out here But I don't think you want to be in these stocks Kind of makes me think kind of the same thing with Bitcoin up at 50,000 is this the test of the top For the last time in those And we've pulled off that and it's gonna do nothing but sell lower I don't know you may get one more run at Bitcoin at 50,000, but since it's all pretty much run by People that have no idea about what's going on it could do anything. I kind of like more predictable stocks than this madman But that's it. Anyway, we're only up 13 points now on the S&P cash But not unsurprising as we talked about on Monday That the options really had collapsed on both sides. You kind of have to keep an eye on it but Not a lot of reasons to think that the market does a great deal before Tomorrow one of the downsides has been of course that The selling at the very end of the day Which is if you get selling at the end of the day almost always the big men of Wall Street When you look at the dark pool numbers those On Wall Street that got swamped by retail traders over the last 30 days are not so now This is the the Wall Street guy kind of back in control about that 8779 276648 I would have loved your phone call today If not just to break up the monotony anyway Yeah, Facebook blew through the lows here to 17 I don't know how long this a low this could go I did get a question during the break about what did Facebook actually do and There is a long and sorted list But probably the worst thing that Facebook did was people with dissident opinions were being doxxed and their addresses being given out by the people that Control that data over there in Europe and A lot of people I think one of the reasons why We see Peter Thiel leave the board on this one is he's just tired of trying to talk Zuckerberg into something that isn't back crap crazy Because I don't know if he's just evil and Mad or a combination of the two But my guess is that he is going to have big problems come in the future But yeah 217 and meta you don't get a bounce in three days after a move down like that There is something Extremely wrong in the stock for Facebook metamucil whatever you want to call it I Thought well, that's certainly the story That they're saying that he's going to do that. I don't think so I think it'll has a lot more to do with the fact that He gets paid like all the guys on the board and options and sees Kind of a Zuckerberg thinking that he's a kamikaze not a lot of future in that so I don't think so No, I don't think he's gonna be part of the Trump thing and there's a lot of conspiracies I would say it's just as true as the reason why the CNN in CEO left that was You know well because of that it wasn't it was because he had 10% of the viewers. He had a year ago that's why almost nothing we hear and in in In the news these days is reality. You always have to dig down and As Mark Twain said the truth the king are the ally can go around the world twice Before the truth comes out the front door, but yeah, it's the same thing When I first heard that I thought okay That's always the same thing. I'm going to spend you know, you hear it from the CEOs I'm I'm going to spend more time with my wife and my family. We owe it to them. You always know that's a lie you always know that Since somebody had an affair with for five years and everybody knew about it suddenly it's the issue No, it is an easy way to fire somebody but the issue is not that it's the fact You had 10% of the people watching you had a year ago if anybody lost 90% of their business in the year they'd be gone It's a good way to get rid of them. So no, I don't think feel is that class Schwab, huh? He's an idiot Anyway, just my thoughts But yeah, you got a lot of competition coming on in the social media sector in the near future And again, I think a lot of people gonna figure out that they're on the wrong side of history in the very short term And you know, it's the same thing You see that what is the truth that you read about Canada? What's going on up there and you find out that it was a false flag thing they threw a shirt on and a flag on a on a statue and that's the Scracing this statue. Well, it was back to its old self in two minutes after they took the shirt off But now there's a lot of reasons why no one can tell the truth Generally because what they're doing is wrong. So yeah, I give it my hats off to the Folks in Canada the nicest people in the world. And when you know when they're ticked off There's something really ticked off. Well, we'll be back in a minute Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the World from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make The right moves with your money watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor You were born to be TFNN educating investors You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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That's 877-518-9190 Catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of TFNN also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on TFNN As we come back Yeah, one of the quotes I love of all time I'd open it on Bismarck never believe anything until it's officially denied Yeah, you that's always What you have and if you don't hear the denial then probably it's not true It's probably true if it is denied. So if it's not yeah, there's probably something digger to figure to dig down And there and figure out what's going on 877-927-6648 if you can call in the next 10 15 seconds Yeah, we're just back here to 500 Wasn't expecting a lot of movement Continue to watch Facebook if this thing just gaps away to the downside It could be rather horrible. You don't have a lot of volume today But not problematic, but you know, we're at that point with the TLT if that thing gaps down It's probably gonna suck everything with it Kind of like the end of the Titanic where everybody gets sucked down When the ship sinks, but yeah, does it look all that bad on the TLT? Just looks like the trend line that can continue on to 134 48 and then maybe even lower Of course the Fed will be out there a little bit. They're not quite done. They're not totally dead They're almost dead. They're mostly dead Princess bride reference there, but certainly you what were less than 30 days from the end of all Fed money going into the bond market Yeah, it's hard for me to think that that holds up through that. So I'm just wondering where everybody decides to They've got an organized retreat. When does that turn into a stampede? I think that happens in the next big gap lower. We've had one gap We've had a couple of smaller gaps my guess is One big get a big gap down walk into the morning. That's gonna tell us the jig is up The cast is died So when you cannot when you have to we will return tomorrow like that