 Okay, with that in mind, let's jump over to our man Tim Ortt. Folks, we talk to Tim every Tuesday and Thursday on my dad's program. And you can check out Tim at theord-oracle.com, that's his website, check it out, please. Always interested in this one. Tim Ortt, quite a day to have you on, man. Good afternoon. You're right. How are you doing? I'm doing well. You know, I was listening to your program when you were talking to my dad, Tim, on Tuesday. And boy, you guys sounded pretty bullish, man. I remember you saying, maybe this thing carries through to August, and boy, we got quite a head start. I'm pulling up your charts right now, Tim. Just give me one second. But boy, what do you think of this market, man, as we're accelerating? I know you love looking at some ratios or everything, but boy, we got some movement today, Tim. Right. Actually, just look at chart one, which is the monthly SPX, and I did a Bollinger ban on it. You can go back, fathers, if you want, but why I want to point out here is the times when actually month-ends is a week from today. So we haven't hit month-end yet, but anyhow, if it closes here or higher, it could be actually a short-term trouble for the market. The reason why is because when the S&P, I did this as the counterfeit charting, and when the candle closes above 50% between the high and low of the candle, that candle closes 50% above the upper Bollinger ban, usually you get a consolidation. And I marked the times on the chart there, the times when the candle was more than 50% or more above the upper Bollinger ban. And right now, it's kind of probably the chart may be kind of hard to see. No, we got it out there. So we got it out there. Yup. 50% mark. And I can kind of see how it's peaking above that line. I can, yeah. Yeah, but you want it, it can actually peak above it. It can be 10% above it, 20% above it, but when it gets above 50%, that's when you can have trouble, and that's where we are right now. So actually the most bullish thing you can have was for the market to back off right now, but closes here, chances are, then you're going to have a consolidation because the probabilities are pretty high. At worst case, you go sideways, and I guess the best case you go sideways, the worst case, it could come in like, February of 2020 where you had the COVID crash. I don't think that's anything happening here, where I do think it's probably four months in, which is a week from today, the market may just back off here, not a lot, but a little bit, and do a mild consolidation because I'm thinking what's going on here is the market's up too fast, too quick on a short-term basis, and if you flip to, see if I do that chart three, we might skip ahead here a little bit. You got it, whatever you want. It is interesting as you get that. Go ahead. Yeah, go to chart three real quick. Okay. I was just going to mention that, you know, even before you came on the air, I was saying, maybe we're going to consolidation, I'm sure you heard me, because boy, it's just been quite a run, man, from 4100 up to 5100 over the span of three months. But go ahead, we got chart three up here, we're looking at it for the SPY. Right. One thing here is probably three drives to the top pattern, and actually when I made this chart, the market's actually higher now, you don't have a, you can't really see it, but we're, even on the daily, we're 5% above the upper Bollinger band, which kind of leaves a little bit, kind of a, you know, the week, I didn't see that. The weekly is okay, but the monthly and daily are both above the upper Bollinger band. And also if you go down, second window up from the bottom, you get the SPY's hitting higher or high, and you get the VIX making a higher low, and that's usually not a good sign either, so this rally is not perfect. Normally you get disbelief when the rally starts occurring, and you got a lot of believers in this market right now. I still think at some point we're going to pull back down to the selling climax on this chart, which is January, or no, February 13th, which was last Tuesday, and I think we're going to still pull back down there one more time, then get the rally, the real rally going from there. So, you know, either way, we're going to go up. What I'm saying is we may see a short term acceleration pull back possibly we're all the way back to 490 on the SPY's, probably find support there, then start the next leg up. So it's pretty remarkable. And I agree, and I love what you're saying. It's pretty remarkable in terms of that we just trade up from 4100 to 5100, and that might not even be the real rally, right? But I love it. Hang with us. OK, Tim, we'll be right back. All right, stay tuned, folks. We're coming back with our man, Tim, or don't go away. Welcome back, folks. We got the S&P's up 103 points right now. That's the rise of about 2 percent. Nasdaq 100 up about 3 percent. The Dow up an even 1.1 percent. We're talking to our man, Tim, or we're talking markets. And let's continue that conversation. Tim, where are we going to? Well, I was thinking this pattern since on a monthly time frame, you're above the mid-bowling rebound by 50 percent. The daily, you're above the upper-bowling rebound, rather, by 50 percent. I think the pattern that's forming here is a little bit hard to see, but I'm thinking it's three drives to a top. We're in the third top right now. Three drives to a top pattern have a downside target where the pattern began. Well, the pattern began on January 30th, January 13th, I think it was, which is the selling climax day, and that's back down to 490. So I'm thinking it's just kind of a shakeout, especially with the market touching new highs. The VIX is not even below the previous high. If you look at the, you know, so the VIX should actually really be plummeting here. And actually when both markets gapped up, the VIX actually moved higher or the S&P's gapped up and the VIX gapped down. But the S&P's moved higher, and actually the VIX also moved higher from its open. So it's kind of an unusual situation. So I'm not, you know, I could be wrong, but I'm not really trusting this rally. Let's flip to chart two real quick. It's a great point, just as I had the VIX up, and I was noticing that myself, not often do you see, I mean, just even you just look at that chart, man, 1450 right now, that is above many days on that S&P in terms of where we are. Meanwhile, we got the S&P's at 5100, so worth noting for sure. I'm sorry. So it's nothing real, real bearish. I mean, not all key indicators work all the time, but if you get enough of them, saying that, you know, maybe that, you know, not chase this rally, then you could be wrong, you know, if that turns out to be the case, I'll have to get in later. But here's another chart that kind of warns me. Which chart is that number two? I got it up. Go for it. All right. It's the SPX tilt ratio, which is the second window down from the top. When the RSI 10 of this ratio gets above 75 when I sent you this chart with 74.27, normally you can get a short-term consolidation. That's where those blue lines are. When the RSI gets down below 30, you're at a low. So you got two things here, two methods unrelated to each other. I kind of say the market is extended. You know, can these indicator fail? Yeah, possibly. But I'm going to kind of wait and see what it brings here. If we're still holding these highs, you know, the next couple of days, I'd be saying, well, maybe I'm wrong. But I'm thinking we're going to get pulled back here, especially on the monthly chart. If you flip back to chart number one, you know, if you can pull that chart up real quick. It's pretty rare. You know, this chart goes back to 2015, so it doesn't get there very often when the S&Ps are above 50% above the upper Bollinger band, but when it does, it's usually an accurate signal. So the most bullish thing it can do is actually back off here over the next, well, until next Thursday. And that would actually open the door for this rally to continue. So right now, because of you running into the upper Bollinger band, you're 50% above, the market's kind of up too quick, too fast. So it's kind of like a stretched rubber band. So I'm thinking, minor pullback, nothing real significant. You get kind of a sideways move, go back to 490. I think that's where it sets up the next rally. So we'll be talking next Tuesday again to see if I'm right or wrong. Who knows where we'll be by then. That's right. On a short term for the S&Ps. Nice. We can flip to the, if you have questions, or we can go on to the market. No, this is great, man. Let's just keep rocking for sure. You want me to go to chart five? Chart four? Chart four, excuse me. Okay, we got four up there. Right. Here's, you have something good. This is, I always kind of look at the bigger time frames first, then go down from there. And this is the inflation deflation ratio. And the top window is the RSI for this ratio. When the RSI gets down around 30 on this ratio, it kind of means that Josh moved to his downside. And this chart goes back quite a ways, about mid 2014. And it shows all the times, the blue line show all the times, when this ratio RSI got below 30. And they all pretty much marked, you know, significant lows. And we're actually, we're going to go back and forth between chart four, chart five. The reason why I do that. We got them both up. Go for it. Easy enough for sure. Yeah. So chart five is a different method. And the reason why I'm kind of going back and forth, it kind of tells the story here. Chart five, the bottom window is the 50-day average of the up-down blowing percent for GDX. And when it gets below minus 20, which is all the circles at the bottom indicator, the bottom window, and all the red circles are times when that indicator got below minus 20, the big bold circles are times, when the, go back to chart four, are times when the inflation deflation ratio RSI also got below 30. So I matched those times up, two different methods. And so both of them say you're at a low here. But what it does suggest that this low is probably to hear me at term low, but it's probably going to go sideways for several months. So that's the bad news. But it's the good news, you're at a low. The bad news, you're not going to rally here right away. It may take, you know, maybe, you know, April, May, June, July, I don't know. But you're at a low, it's probably just going to mill around, really go nowhere. But once the rally does start, if you look on, on chapter page five again, those are multi-month rallies. You know, sometimes they can last even longer than that. So a big rally is coming, but you're going to go sideways over here for probably the next several months. And that's the bad news. So the previous rallies, you know, can last a couple of months. So the next rally is probably going to be at least six months. But it may not start until July or, I don't know, maybe May, I'm not sure. Seasonally wise, gold is a lot of times make highs and lows in July. So I'm thinking, my point of view, it could be July before this rally gets going. So we're at a low, but it's not going to go anywhere. So, you know, it would make sense. What I'm telling my customers. It's a pretty reasonable position, you know, back to the market and with gold as well. But to say, you know, maybe we'd adjust things, excuse me, for, you know, a small period of time with the run that we've had. And, you know, you cap it off with quite an exclamation point today right now. You know, we got, I'm sure your S&P's 1%, Nasdaq 100, 3%, Dow, excuse me, S&P's are 2%. Dow's up 1%, Nasdaq 100 up 3%. Not exactly, you know, a blow off, but it seems like it's a reasonable position that at some point we give a little pause. And if it's only two days and I'm listening to you on Tuesday and that's the pause, then watch out for this market, man. It's pretty remarkable. But I was enjoying what you were talking about on Tuesday of this week, man. And here we are, dramatically higher yet again as we push higher. That's pretty remarkable. Tim, I appreciate the time as always, man. Always a pleasure talking to you folks. Remember, you can check out Tim's work at orid-oracle.com. We talk to Tim every Tuesday and Thursday right here on the program. And we look forward to talking to you on Tuesday, Tim. Have a great one, man. All right, thank you. Thanks for having me on. Thank you.