 Welcome into the Fan Duel. Hurry up. I am Sean Guasamac. Yeah, we are heading to Florida right from the West Coast to beautiful Florida for the Honda classic in the PGA this week And who better to break it all down than Jim Saunders from Fan Duel dot com Jim what a wonderful treat we had last week at the World Golf Championships in beautiful Mexico City Rory McElroy another top five finish He's not in it this weekend a lot of the top ten players are not playing this weekend But one that is is Brooks Kepka who you have as your top value pick at 12,000 this week Yeah And there's definitely a lot of risk around Brooks Kepka because as most of you probably know Brooks Kepka has like this thing where he doesn't always try all that hard in non majors who can blame him because it's a long Grinding season and this is a non major the players coming up a couple weeks away from now So there is a scenario in which Brooks Kepka does not care about how he does this event So you're trying to risk a verse maybe you pay for Tommy Fleetwood instead this upper tier But I do still like Brooks Kepka despite those concerns He finished second here last year and you look at his recent finishes ever since that knee injury He had over the fall they haven't been that great But one of the bad finishes for Brooks was at the Genesis and there he gained 1.7 strokes off the tee he gained three on approach So he played really well there Just had a bad short game that week leading to a 43rd place finish That is an addition to fishing finishing 17th at the Saudi International against some tough competition there So it's not as if Brooks has been abysmal since coming back and I also think that there is some thought to the potential narrative where Brooks wants to get ramped up for the players coming off of that injury and Wants to get back into form and there is no better place to do so than right here at the Honda Classic So I think you can talk yourself into Brooks Kepka Potentially trying this event That's why I like it because he is eighth and strokes me off the tee in this field over the past 50 rounds according to fantasy National he is eighth in the approach. He is a good Bermuda putter So anecdotal or statistically there are a lot of reasons to like Brooks Kepka And if he is locked in he is easily the number one golfer in this field That is why I'm gonna go here But if you are averse to the Brooks not caring narrative, I think that it makes sense to pivot away So Brooks is my top guy this week That is partially because I am okay with the risk associated with him because I do want that upside But there is definitely some ambiguity at the top end of this field But for me will be Brooks Kepka as my number one guy and you mentioned it Jim He finished runner-up last year at this course and at this event at the Honda Classic That is Brooks Kepka is your number one play someone who hasn't played this course since 2015 former world number one Justin Rose hasn't played great this year as you know Jim But he's second on your list 11,400 Justin Rose what do you like about his game this week here at the Honda Classic? Yeah, Sean. It's not just bad finishes this year for Justin Rose But he's also lost strokes and approaching each of his past two events and that's definitely a concern But it's hard to tell whether those two events should erase what he did before that stretch Let's look at the event he played just before those two bad events in the PGA tour That was at the Singapore Open in there Rose finished second then turned around flew to the Genesis and Here at the farmers insurance open he missed the cut there long travel makes a lot of sense that he wouldn't do well Struggle the next time out. So, you know, it kind of led to a bad of bad string events there for Justin Rose But at the end of the Singapore Open that was his 18th consecutive made cut It was his fourth top five and his sixth top ten in those 18 events So he's shown a lot of upside there a lot of consistency a lot of made cuts So when I look at Justin Rose to me kind of stands out as being a golfer who is just good Relative to this field trying to target good golfers out to the field has paid off the past two weeks with guys like Patrick Reed and guys like Adam Scott as well So I want to take a similar approach this week with Justin Rhodes Yes, the current form is concerning but that Singapore Open was in 2020 was after the new year That's good and the longer term form for Justin Rose is really really encouraging So we're getting him at a bit of a salary discount at eleven thousand four hundred dollars and a weird feel It doesn't have a ton of top-end guys I'm going to take some risks Justin Rose is definitely a risk given how bad the approach play has been the past two events But I think there is reason to still buy in despite that You can jump down to a little bit of lower tier guys like some J.M. Bianca on we got Daniel Burger down there, too I will not faulty for doing that, but I do think that Justin Rose is at least worth mentioning here at eleven four He's got good long-term form. We know he's a very good golfer great approach play on the longer term So I'm inclined to buy the Justin Rose at eleven thousand four hundred dollars Despite some very legitimate concerns about what he has done recently All right, you mentioned to Jim Justin Rose a smart risk there at eleven four as you mentioned someone that you have at 9700 that Jason Koch rack who finished tied for fifty first to over par last week at the World Golf Championships not a lot of money here 9700 so it's there's some investment, but some value as well What is it about Koch racks game that and play for this weekend with not a lot of top-end golfers as you mentioned? That would be a nice play here at 9700. Yeah, whenever you decide to use Jason Koch rack Which is something I do probably more often than I should you have to acknowledge that the putting is going to be bad And that's just been accepted downside with Jason Koch rack But they're on Bermuda putting surface for this week and of the putting surfaces That is the least bad number for Jason Koch rack and I'm warning it that way intentionally It is not a good putting surface for him, but it is his least bad surface That's at least a positive for Jason Koch rack and that's encouraging because everything else He does is so good that when he's less bad as a putter He can really shine with his ball striking because he ranks seventh in this field in strokes He got the tee over the past 50 rounds per fantasy national He is also 28th and approach and 49th and scramming so the rest of his game is pretty good Especially relative to this field if we make the putting less of a concern That can benefit Koch rack quite a bit And he showed that he can handle these greens last year came home with a ninth place finish He's been struggling a bit recently. So there is still some concern for Koch rack He mentioned the WGC mexico. He had a couple of missed cuts before that as well but Hopefully a return to Bermuda greens can pay off for him and he can lean on that good ball striking and finally shine here I don't like the 9000 range all that much at all But I do think that Koch rack is a guy who does stand out Given that his biggest weaknesses will be less of a concern this weekend than they usually are So if Jason Koch rack could get his putting under control seems like a good value play right there at 9700 Someone in the 9000s that you have listed just below him. That's kevin strelman at 9400 Talk to me about kevin strelman and honda classic and how his game might play this weekend And maybe we could get some great value here at 9400 with strelman in the interest of full transparency I hate this entire tier this tier is terrible There are not a lot of golfers in this range who are all that enticing But hey, we got to stick to the format recommend someone who is in the low 9000 range And I guess that kevin strelman is a guy who stands out most there in that group But in all honesty if I can avoid this tier I am going to try to do so now the reason I gravitate towards strelman If I'm in this tier is that he's kind of like Koch rack where the ball striking is really good If I'm going to be in this tier I want someone who has major strengths and for strelman that is in his approach play He is ninth in approach to past 50 rounds. He is 32nd in strokes getting off the tee So the ball striking will be good. That means that strelman will give himself himself opportunities for some birdies There are going to be imperfections with everybody in this range And we can point out all those imperfections as well with strelman like Koch rack It will be a short game that is a major concern. So for cash games I would like to avoid strelman I'd like to avoid this entire tier if possible jump down to some cheaper guys Take some more risks down there. So maybe it's more of a tournament based week this week Just because of the way things shake out, but strelman does Strike the ball very well. That's encouraging for me if I do wind up in this tier So it's a pretty blank tier overall But if I am here, I do think that kevin strelman is pretty easily my favorite guy in the mid 9000 range All right, jim. So let's get away from the 9000 range there with kevin strelman And let's go a little bit lower and that's brian harmon you have listed 8800 is this a range that you like for harmon A little bit of a long shot. I would gather but for 8800 is that the what you're looking at here Do you like this tier better than the 9000 tier? I like this tier better than the 9000 tier because of brian harmon He has 8800 dollars and we know that brian harmon is not going to win this event But he's 8800 dollars and you don't really need a guy to win an event when he's that cheap The thing that I love about brian harmon is that he is super well-rounded statistically I have four key stats. I'm looking at for this weekend stroking out the tee stroking approach scrambling and putting on bermuda And brian harmon is top 30 in this field in all four of those stats There is not a single other golfer in the entire field regardless of salary who checks all four boxes So brian harmon well-rounded overall, but especially well-rounded for a guy who has 8800 dollars He has made 11 of his past 12 cuts. He has five top 20s in that span And I know I'm not going to get a huge outing here like expecting a top 10 out of brian harmon is asking too much But if you can get this guy through the cut and get four rounds out of him And then get the high-end outings out of your other guys in your lineup You're still going to have a pretty good weekend for pga dfs So I know the upside is limited to brian harmon, but the floor is very good And just by making the cuts he is giving himself additional upside relative to guys in this range So brian harmon may not be the most exciting play, but he has a very well-rounded play And I think his cut odds are very good And he's someone I want to build around this week brian harmon could very well be the player I use most often while multi-entering for tournaments. So despite the lack of upside I have a lot of faith in him and he makes me like this range a whole heck of a lot more than I like the range Right above this harmon at 8800 dollars, but someone right below is sam burns at 8500 dollars And he's coming off a performance tied for 23rd at the genesis open four under there He missed the cut at the phoenix open, but seems like a great play this weekend sam burns Yeah, absolutely You mentioned that the waste management phoenix open where he did miss the cut and that is definitely a negative But what I like about birds is that his approach play has been really good recently Even though the longer term form for burns there is not very good He's actually a hundred and second in approach the past 50 rounds and that's bad even for a guy who's 8500 dollars But it's been a lot better recently over the past four events Burns has gained at least 1.6 strokes in approach each time and that does include the waste management phoenix open there He actually gained 3.9 strokes in approach But he still missed the cut because his short game was pretty bad there and that's definitely a negative He also gained 2.7 strokes in approach at the american express So overall the approach play has been getting better if you look at burns over a 50 round sample approach has been His biggest weakness. He is actually 16th and strokes came off the tee He is also fifth in bermuda putting so if he could improve that approach play He would suddenly shape up as being a really good option for dfs And we have seen that approach play get better over the past four events So I think we could see a change here in sam burns. He is still a really young guy He's he's only 23 years old. So it makes sense. We could see some improvement from sam burns We had seen that recently and it's in his biggest weakness Which had been his approach play if you get that approach play better His off the tee play can shine. He can putt lights out of bermuda that all adds up really well so Sam burns definitely a bit of a risk here just because We haven't seen the approach play be as good over a larger sample But I think there's reason to believe it's getting better and he has other strengths elsewhere too If you don't want to gamble as much with sam burns I do like tom hoagie as well at $84 in camera entering golly at $8300 Both those guys have better approach play over a larger sample But I do like what sam burns provides So got some options down here in the mid $8,000, which is why again I dislike that mid 9,000 range really good options here really good option with brian harman And it pushes me towards going a bit more top heavy in a lot of my lineups for this weekend That'll do it for jim sauce when we come back. It's davis maddock as we continue the fan duel hurry up jim. Thanks for the time Thank you. Sean. I appreciate it. Looking forward to what should be a fun event and uh, good luck with all your dfs You're betting this weekend. We will be right back right after this Welcome back to the fan duel hurry up. We are now joined by davis maddock of dailyroto.com for his best bets At the Honda classic on the pga tour davis. How you doing today? I'm doing great You know bryce and he came very close To winning the wgc mexico 3 putted on the uh the 17th grade So that wasn't the best but overall, you know a good golf tournament last week really looking forward To this week bryce and not in this field though as he finished runner up as you said on that bogey on 17 But someone who is justin rose former world's number one golfer but hasn't played well this year He's 20 to 1 to win this tournament. What do you like about those odds for justin this weekend? So when justin rose is uh healthy when he is comfortable with his playing environment and everything He really is the best along iron player in the world You know, I would say he's probably even better than rory even better than dj and uh, you know right now He's uh the 13th ranked golfer in the world But I I think he's a little bit better than that and and his recent form has started to turn around a little bit as Well, so I just think 20 to 1 in kind of a weaker field just seems a little bit low for justin rose Someone a little bit further down the list there as far as odds are concerned 55 to 1 that would be jt poston Finished in the genesis open tied for 30th a couple of weeks ago did not play In mexico city at the world golf championships. What about jts game this week that you like 55 to 1 So we have a really interesting golf tournament this week where brooks kepka and tommy fleetwood are kind of the co favorites and uh, you know They they really are not of the dominant tier of golfer of you know, dustin johnson rory mackle roy jesson thomas They're they're a little bit. They're a tier lower than that So what that means is I think there's a ton of value in the 40 to 80 to 1 range And poston is just one of those guys who has a game that fits pga national really good with his long irons You know has a a good short game is capable of making putts And you know a big part of this golf course is just avoiding trouble and poston has a game You know that really allows him to not be hitting a ton of water balls Let's go back a little bit to a 22 to 1 favorite billy herschel the florida native playing well I mean he's had two top 10 finishes The last two times out finished tied for ninth last week at the world golf championships in mexico city 22 to 1 seems like good value here Yeah, horschel is another one of those guys who is not viewed as one of the highest You know top tier golfers in the world and he isn't but when billy horschel gets a lot of good results it comes on the back of Amazing putting and while we don't think that that's a skill that he carries with him 100 percent of the time I do personally believe in kind of short term form for billy horschel And he is you know when when playing well He really does gain some of the most strokes putting per round of anyone that you're going to see and he does have You know good strokes gain to the green good You know strokes gain around the green numbers relative to this field So horschel I think is again a guy who has a pretty attractive price to me in this market Yeah, very attractive, especially with the way he is playing last two times out Should be very favorable at 22 to 1 two top 10 finishes at this course the last five years That's billy horschel. All right. That's 22 to 1. Let's move a little bit further down the odds 80 to 1 you have johnny vegas here Has only missed a cut at this course once in the last 10 years How about johnny vegas? So I think vegas is uh, just for sure my favorite play this week at 80 to 1 He's sixth on tour this year and strokes gained off the tee doesn't gain a ton of strokes elsewhere But you know as i've already mentioned I'm not betting anything at all on brooks capco or tommy fleawood So I I would like to be betting a ton of guys, you know kind of in between 80 Uh 100 like I just I want to bet a lot of deep guys at this tournament But vegas is a guy who has good results on tour this year You know had a a good result last week at the portery go up and I think he shot a 62 on sunday there So he can go really low and uh, you know He is also just capable of scoring on a course that is not going to provide a ton of scoring opportunities So really like johnny vegas this week at pga national and davis a longer shot you have here 130 to 1 Now that's a long shot here matt jones, but he has a previous top five finish at this course How about matt jones 130 to 1 can he pull pull it off here this weekend? So matt jones just kind of he's just kind of your your stereotypical pga tour grinder He's hung around a long time doesn't win very often but makes a lot of cuts You know is a good putter has a good short game and and and right now He's just kind of like you know, maybe jason co crack from last year Lucas glover from last year just a long time pga tour grinder Who's really hitting a good vein of form at a really opportune time for getting results So you know at 130 to 1 our friends over at data golf think he really is probably more like 100 to 1 kind of a bet so at 130 to 1 at the fan dual sports book We are going to go ahead and take that value seems like good value there davis How about rory sabatini 90 to 1 previous winner at this course for the south african Rory sabatini does he have a chance here? With these long odds to maybe crack the top five and and pull off the upset and win here at the honda classic So we'd feel a little bit better about sabatini had this bet taken place last year when he turned into a you know Long-term pga tour grinder who just hit this crazy vein of form and he was seemingly getting t10s every single week But you know, we do still we we think of things in terms of adjusted baselines over the last year Over last 50 rounds things like that. So sabatini. It's still just a guy who if you look at his baselines It's just a little bit underpriced at the numbers you can get him right now And uh, you know decent course fit, you know, he's not going to be swallowed up by the by all the water and the trouble That can be found on this golf course davis maddox best bets for the honda classic You can catch davis at roto daily roto dot com and for the record. He likes johnny vegas 80 to 1 as his best bet of this weekend Thanks a lot for the time davis. Thanks for having me guys and uh, you know, hopefully we come back with more winners next week Once again, thanks to davis maddox and jim solace for all the information This is shonkwa samakya for the fan duel hurry up. We'll see you next time